Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

BlueHorseshoe

Puzzles for Traders

Recommended Posts

thh 3/8

hth 3/8

htt 3/8

tht 3/8

 

your sequence is htt. all the others have an equal probability on three tosses of being hit. now on being the sequence before yours not sure but i think it would be around 20% if there is one coin tossed 12 times. the problem is that the more coins tossed (participants in the contest) and the (amount of tosses) made, both affect the probabilities. i could be off on this but i think that the amount coins tossed and the amount of tosses somehow enters into the solution. it would seem that they would have to enter into the problem???

 

in general

 

1. Greater sample sizes produce more accurate probabilities

2. If the possible outcomes in which an element is present is increased, the probability of that element also increases.

 

i'm just not sure how to apply 1 and 2 above into this problem. i never was too good at math anyway. too busy looking at the girls in school. too busy drawing pictures and shooting spit balls and other unimportant things while in class.

Edited by Patuca

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
It's a turntable bridge!!!!!

 

Here on the East Coast of the US, we would call that a "Swing" bridge.

As opposed to a "Draw " bridge or "Lift" bridge.

 

The Amtrak bridge that crosses The Mystic River is a Swing bridge. Vessels transiting the area should always take the Starboard channel, unless otherwise indicated by navigational aids.

 

Bridge tenders monitor VHF channel 13. call them and ask if you have any questions.

 

My current ticket is 100 Ton Master - Near Coastal.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You are a prisoner sentenced to death. The Emperor offers you a chance to live by playing a simple game. He gives you 50 black marbles, 50 white marbles and 2 empty bowls. He then says, 'Divide these 100 marbles into these 2 bowls. You can divide them any way you like as long as you use all the marbles. Then I will blindfold you and mix the bowls around. You then can choose one bowl and remove ONE marble. If the marble is WHITE you will live, but if the marble is BLACK... you will die.'

 

How do you divide the marbles up so that you have the greatest probability of choosing a WHITE marble?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Do this quickly....

 

Count The number of F's in the paragraph below

 

FINISHED FILES ARE THE

RESULT OF YEARS OF SCIENTIFIC

STUDY COMBINED WITH THE

EXPERIENCE OF YEARS

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
You are a prisoner sentenced to death. The Emperor offers you a chance to live by playing a simple game. He gives you 50 black marbles, 50 white marbles and 2 empty bowls. He then says, 'Divide these 100 marbles into these 2 bowls. You can divide them any way you like as long as you use all the marbles. Then I will blindfold you and mix the bowls around. You then can choose one bowl and remove ONE marble. If the marble is WHITE you will live, but if the marble is BLACK... you will die.'

 

How do you divide the marbles up so that you have the greatest probability of choosing a WHITE marble?

 

I haven't thought about this too carefully but . . .

 

You have absolutely no control over the second part of the process (which bowl), so the best probability would be 50/50, in which case the best division would be to put all the white marbles into one bowl and all the black marbles into another?

 

BlueHorseshoe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
You are a prisoner sentenced to death. The Emperor offers you a chance to live by playing a simple game. He gives you 50 black marbles, 50 white marbles and 2 empty bowls. He then says, 'Divide these 100 marbles into these 2 bowls. You can divide them any way you like as long as you use all the marbles. Then I will blindfold you and mix the bowls around. You then can choose one bowl and remove ONE marble. If the marble is WHITE you will live, but if the marble is BLACK... you will die.'

 

How do you divide the marbles up so that you have the greatest probability of choosing a WHITE marble?

 

He should put 25 w and 25 black into each bowl.

 

No matter which bowl he gets he has a 50% chance of living.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
You are a prisoner sentenced to death. The Emperor offers you a chance to live by playing a simple game. He gives you 50 black marbles, 50 white marbles and 2 empty bowls. He then says, 'Divide these 100 marbles into these 2 bowls. You can divide them any way you like as long as you use all the marbles. Then I will blindfold you and mix the bowls around. You then can choose one bowl and remove ONE marble. If the marble is WHITE you will live, but if the marble is BLACK... you will die.'

 

How do you divide the marbles up so that you have the greatest probability of choosing a WHITE marble?

 

Bowl 1: 50 black marbles and 40 white marbles

 

Bowl 2: 10 white marbles

 

 

Choose the bowl that contains the least amount of marbles, (weighs the least), as that bowl has only white marbles.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Bowl 1: 50 black marbles and 40 white marbles

 

Bowl 2: 10 white marbles

 

 

Choose the bowl that contains the least amount of marbles, (weighs the least), as that bowl has only white marbles.

 

you cant choose the bowl by weight etc;

you need to divide the marbles, then while blindfolded choose the bowl, eg; left or right.

but a good guess and along the exact right lines.

 

Ans: 1 white one in a bowl, 99 in the other bowl.

 

Result: chance of choosing a white is 100% from one bowl or 49 from 99 from the second bowl.

ie; 1+49/99 from 2 choices. Or close to 75% chance.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I thought we were going to get the answer to the bridge question over the weekend. The suspense is killing me.

 

He was riding his moto with a handgun in each fist and unfortunately missed the bridge and ended up in the Patuca river.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

:cool:

He was riding his moto with a handgun in each fist and unfortunately missed the bridge and ended up in the Patuca river.
The Patuca River is a very tough jungle environment. no Holiday Inns. no real stores. no malls. forget hospitals or clinics. want electricity? bring your own.electricity. running water plenty- the river. Mostly foot paths and donkey trails . jaguars and dangerous snakes.

 

You will sleeping most likely on river banks, in thatch roof houses when invited, under makeshift thatch huts, or in tents. it is a very hot humid environment. get ready for jungle rot.

 

ready for a trip MM? we will get you another jackass down there so you won't have to ride one from your gunless abode.

 

Ready? seize the day with passion and enthusiasm :rofl: :haha:

 

PS you don't have to read about adventure. you can become the adventure!

Edited by Patuca

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
:cool:The Patuca River is a very tough jungle environment. no Holiday Inns. no real stores. no malls. forget hospitals or clinics. want electricity? bring your own.electricity. running water plenty- the river. Mostly foot paths and donkey trails . jaguars and dangerous snakes.

 

You will sleeping most likely on river banks, in thatch roof houses when invited, under makeshift thatch huts, or in tents. it is a very hot humid environment. get ready for jungle rot.

 

ready for a trip MM? we will get you another jackass down there so you won't have to ride one from your gunless abode.

 

Ready? seize the day with passion and enthusiasm :rofl: :haha:

 

PS you don't have to read about adventure. you can become the adventure!

 

Sounds intriguing and dangerous.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
people won't give up the magical word --- "uncle"

 

Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle

 

There I said it for everybody....can we have the answer now?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
He walked up one side of the bridge, crossed over and walked back down the other side.
how could he do this at exactly the same time? same day. same bridge. please explain. Edited by Patuca

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle Uncle

 

There I said it for everybody....can we have the answer now?

thanks you for your kind and humble attitude. also the other person (gekko) that publically said uncle. you guys know when to take your stop losses. the other "smart" people on this thread must be too arrogant to accept their stop losses??? well except captain bob ..he did, however he did keep taking positions again after geeting stopped out. i suppose he saw "reversals" coming? ...i need a few more public "uncles" (four more "uncles" so i have 7 clear "uncles") to render up the "profit". either they will admit defeat...bite the bullet.. or feign "no interest".... puzzles can do alot for traders. teach us to accept losses.

 

we can never learn to trade until we are willing to bite the bullet WAY BEFORE we blow our account. of course with MM it is "bite the golf club" (see thread on arm/disarm for more info).

 

i am waiting..i have time...

 

PS remember it is actually very simple. so simple you will be really pissed when the profit target is reached and you were stopped out. maybe the others aren't really arrogant but just have "bigger" stops and are swing puzzling instead day puzzling?? i may get banned for life???:rofl: :rofl:

Edited by Patuca

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There were two bridges. He crossed one while at the same time going around the other. If that's not it then Bob ! or Uncle!

 

Well.. Bobs your uncle heheh

 

oh by the way. Stop loss? What's a stop loss?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

remember the only way to "see" the profit target is to get stopped out and admit it publically or guess the riddle at which point you will immediatley become inducted into the puzzler hall of fame for traders. i don't see that happening ...but who knows... records are made to be broken and puzzles are made to be solved.

 

the answer is actually quite rudimentary and elementary.

 

you know i actually started getting a real education when i got done with colleging? what about you guys? :haha:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ok one more guess. He is Catholic. While going around the bridge he made the sign of the cross, thus crossing it at the same time as going around it.

 

ok, uncle after that one! LOL

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
thanks you for your kind and humble attitude. also the other person (gekko) that publically said uncle. you guys know when to take your stop losses. the other "smart" people on this thread must be too arrogant to accept their stop losses??? well except captain bob ..he did, however he did keep taking positions again after geeting stopped out. i suppose he saw "reversals" coming? ...i need a few more public "uncles" (four more "uncles" so i have 7 clear "uncles") to render up the "profit". either they will admit defeat...bite the bullet.. or feign "no interest".... puzzles can do alot for traders. teach us to accept losses.

 

we can never learn to trade until we are willing to bite the bullet WAY BEFORE we blow our account. of course with MM it is "bite the golf club" (see thread on arm/disarm for more info).

 

i am waiting..i have time...

 

PS remember it is actually very simple. so simple you will be really pissed when the profit target is reached and you were stopped out. maybe the others aren't really arrogant but just have "bigger" stops and are swing puzzling instead day puzzling?? i may get banned for life???:rofl: :rofl:

 

I understand you theory here , as far as taking SL, and that you want people to admit when the situation goes against them. If we had real money on this riddle many would have given in a long time ago ....since we are in DEMO mode here the guesses will keep on coming. Most people do not like to admit defeat so the will BHP ( Buy , Hold , Pray) until they are proven right even if it means the lose 90% of the funds.

 

We are playing an emotional game here where there is nothing of real value to be lost.

Perhaps those of us that already accepted that we were wrong could get told the answer in a PM so we can move on to the next trade??

 

Gekko :cool:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 3rd April 2025.   Gold Prices Pull Back After Record High as Traders Eye Trump’s Tariffs.   Key Takeaways:   Gold prices retreated after hitting a record high of $3,167.57 per ounce due to profit-taking. President Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all US imports, escalating trade tensions. Gold remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Investors await US non-farm payroll data for further market direction. Fed rate cut bets and weaker US Treasury yields underpin gold’s bullish outlook. Gold Prices Retreat from Record Highs Amid Profit-Taking Gold prices saw a pullback on Thursday as traders opted to take profits following a historic surge. Spot gold declined 0.4% to $3,122.10 per ounce as of 0710 GMT, retreating from its fresh all-time high of $3,167.57. Meanwhile, US gold futures slipped 0.7% to $3,145.00 per ounce, reflecting broader market uncertainty over economic and geopolitical developments.   The recent rally was largely fueled by concerns over escalating trade tensions after President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping new import tariffs. The 10% baseline tariff on all goods entering the US further deepened the global trade conflict, intensifying investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, as traders locked in gains from the surge, prices saw a modest retracement.   Trump’s Tariffs and Their Market Implications On Wednesday, Trump introduced a sweeping tariff policy imposing a 10% baseline duty on all imports, with significantly higher tariffs on select nations. While this move was aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing, it sent shockwaves across global markets, fueling inflation concerns and heightening trade war fears.   Gold’s Role Amid Trade War Escalations Despite the widespread tariff measures, the White House clarified that reciprocal tariffs do not apply to gold, energy, and ‘certain minerals that are not available in the US’. This exemption suggests that central banks and institutional investors may continue favouring gold as a hedge against economic instability. One of the key factors supporting gold is the slowdown that these tariffs could cause in the US economy, which raises the likelihood of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Gold is currently in a pure momentum trade. Market participants are on the sidelines and until we see a significant shakeout, this momentum could persist.   Impact on the US Dollar and Bond Yields Gold prices typically move inversely to the US dollar, and the latest developments have pushed the dollar to its weakest level since October 2024. Market participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut, as the tariffs could weigh on economic growth.   Additionally, US Treasury yields have plummeted, reflecting growing recession fears. Lower bond yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it a more attractive investment.         Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Gold’s recent rally has pushed it into overbought territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70. This indicates a potential short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The immediate support level lies at $3,115, aligning with the Asian session low. A further decline could bring gold towards the $3,100 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong support zone. Below this, the $3,076–$3,057 region represents a critical weekly support range where buyers may re-enter the market. In the event of a more significant correction, $3,000 stands as a major psychological floor.   On the upside, gold faces immediate resistance at $3,149. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially leading to a retest of the record high at $3,167. If bullish momentum persists, the next target is the $3,200 psychological barrier, which could pave the way for further gains. Despite the recent pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, with dips likely to be viewed as buying opportunities.   Looking Ahead: Non-Farm Payrolls and Fed Policy Traders are closely monitoring Friday’s US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves. A weaker-than-expected jobs report may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut, further boosting gold prices.   Other key economic data releases, such as jobless claims and the ISM Services PMI, may also impact market sentiment in the short term. However, with rising geopolitical uncertainties, trade tensions, and a weakening US dollar, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains strong.   Conclusion: While short-term profit-taking may trigger minor corrections, gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish. As global trade tensions mount and the Federal Reserve leans toward a more accommodative stance, gold could see further gains in the months ahead.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Andria Pichidi HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • AMZN Amazon stock, nice buying at the 187.26 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMZN
    • DELL Dell Technologies stock, good day moving higher off the 90.99 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?DELL
    • MCK Mckesson stock, nice trend and continuation breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?MCK
    • lmfx just officially launched their own LMGX token, Im planning to grab a couple of hundred and maybe have the option to stake them. 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.