Technical Outlook, Strategies & Commentaries On The Major Currencies

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDCHF Looks For More Strength On Recovery

 

 

USDCHF: Having halted its weakness to close higher the past week, USDCHF looks for more strength on recovery. This is coming on the back of its price halt at 0.9786 level on Dec 14 2015. A build up on that strength should call for a run at 0.9990 level where a break will set the stage for more gain towards the 1.0050 level. Further, resistance resides at the 1.0100 level and subsequently the 1.0150 level. Its weekly RSI has turned higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9850 level with a turn below here opening the door for more weakness towards the 1.9800 level and then the 0.9750 level. Further down, support resides at the 0.9700 level. All in all, having halted its weakness to close higher the past week, USDCHF looks for more strength on recovery in the new week.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD: Except the pair sees a reversal of its past week losses, EURUSD remains bearish below 1.1059 zone, representing its Dec 15 2015 low. On the down, support is located at the 1.0800 level and if violated, expect more weakness to occur towards the 1.0750 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0700 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0650 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0600 level. On the upside, resistance is comes at 1.0900 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.0950 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.1050 level. All in all, EURUSD remains bearish below 1.1059 zone, representing its Dec 15 2015 low.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD Continues To Retain Its Bearish Bias

 

GBPUSD: Having remained weak and vulnerable to the downside, GBPUSD continues to retain its bearish bias. Despite its present price hesitation, we look for the pair to extend its past week losses in the new week. Support lies at the 1.4800 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.4750 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4700 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.4670 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.5000 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.5150 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.5200 level followed by the 1.5350 level. On the whole, GBPUSD continues to retain its bearish bias as it looks to extend its downside pressure.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDJPY Looks To Recover Higher On Price Correction

 

USDJPY: Having put in a temporary bottom at the end of Monday trading session, USDJPY looks to recover higher on price correction. This corrective view remains valid as long as the 120.33 support zone remains unbroken. On the upside, resistance resides at the 122.50 level where a cap may be occur again. Further out, we envisage a possible move towards its range top at the 123.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 123.50 level with a turn above here aiming at the 124.00 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 121.50 level where a break if seen will aim at the 121.00 level. A cut through here will turn focus to the 120.50 level and possibly lower towards the 120.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY looks to recover higher on price correction having halted its weakness on Monday.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPJPY Faces Downside Pressure Medium Term

 

GBPJPY: Having continued to maintain its broader weakness, GBPJPY faces downside pressure medium term. This view remains valid while the cross trades and holds below its key resistance zone at 183.36. On the downside, support comes in at the 179.00 level where a violation will aim at the 178.00 level. A break below here will target the 177.00 level followed by the 176.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 181.00 level followed by the 182.00 level. A cut through that level will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 183.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 184.00 level. All in all, GBPJPY faces downside pressure medium term below the 183.36 resistance zone.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURJPY Eyes Further Bear Pressure On Price Failure

 

EURJPY: Having turned back lower following a reversal of its intra day gains during Wednesday trading session, EURJPY eyes further bear pressure. This view remains valid as long as the cross trades and holds below the 132.79/99 zone. Resistance resides at the 132.50 level with a break above that level paving way for strength to develop towards the 133.00 level. Above here will aim at the 133.50 level. Further out, a turn above here will shift attention to the 134.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 134.50 level. Conversely, support comes in at the 131.50 level. Further down, support stands at the 131.00 level where a violation will aim at the 130.50 level. All in all, EURJPY eyes further bear pressure while holding below the 132.79/99 zone.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD Faces Further Upside Pressure On Price Bounce

 

GBPUSD: Having followed through higher on the back of its Wednesday recovery gains, GBPUSD faces further upside pressure. Support lies at the 1.4850 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.4800 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4750 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.4700 level. Conversely, resistance stands at the 1.4950 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.5000 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.5050 level followed by the 1.5100 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the whole, as GBPUSD faces further upside pressure, the 1.5000 level comes in as the key resistance level.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD Faces Medium Term Downside Pressure

 

GBPUSD: Having remained weak and vulnerable to the downside, GBPUSD faces medium term downside pressure. Despite its flat close the past week, we think downside risk is not over yet. This is coming on the back of its loss of upside momentum on Friday (see daily chart). Support lies at the 1.4850 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.4800 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4750 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.4700 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance stands at the 1.4950 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.5000 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.5050 level followed by the 1.5100 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces medium term downside pressure though closing on a rejection candle the past week.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD Faces Price Consolidation Risk In The New Week

 

EURUSD: Having taken back almost all of its previous week losses to close higher on Friday, EURUSD faces price consolidation risk in the new week. This development if triggered could see trade between the 1.1466 and the 1.0818 range. On the downside, support resides at the 1.0900 zone. A cut through here will open the door for more upside towards the 1.0850 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0800 level where a break will expose the 1.0750 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.1000 levels where a violation if seen will aim at the 1.1050 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1100 level with a turn above that level targeting the 1.1150 level. All in all, , EURUSD faces price consolidation risk in the new week with directional moves on hold.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD Faces Downside Pressure On Recovery Failure

 

GBPUSD: Having failed to follow through higher on the back of its Friday strength on Monday, GBPUSD faces downside pressure on recovery failure. While the 1.4949/44 zone caps any strength, we look for the pair to weaken. Support lies at the 1.4850 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.4800 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4750 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.4700 level. Conversely, resistance stands at the 1.4950 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.5000 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.5050 level with a cut through that level paving the way for a move higher towards the 1.5100 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces downside pressure on recovery failure with eyes on 1.4904 zone.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GOLD Targets Its Key Support On Bear Pressure

 

GOLD: Having sold off on Wednesday to close lower, GOLD targets its key support on bear pressure. This development now leaves it aiming at its key support zone at the 1046/47.00. While it trades and holds below the 1085/88 zone, its broader bias remains lower. On the downside, support comes in at the 1050.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1040.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1030.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1020.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1075.00 level where a break will aim at the 1088.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1098.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1110.00 level. All in all, GOLD targets its key support on bear pressure with eyes on the 1046/47.00 zone.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPJPY Faces Downside Pressure On Continued Bearishness

 

GBPJPY: Having continued to maintain its broader weakness, GBPJPY faces downside pressure on continued bearishness. This view remains valid as long as the cross trades holds below its key resistance zone at 180.22/82. On the downside, support comes in at the 176.00 level where a violation will aim at the 175.00 level. A break below here will target the 174.00 level followed by the 173.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 178.00 level followed by the 179.00 level. A cut through that level will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 180.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 181.00 level. All in all, GBPJPY faces downside pressure on continued bearishness while holding the 180.22/82 resistance zone.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDCHF Rallied On Bullish Offensive With Eyes On 1.0100

 

USDCHF: Having USDCHF rallied on bullish offensive the past week to reverse its previous week losses, it eyes further strength in the new week. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9950 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 1.9900 level and then the 0.9850 level. Further down, support resides at the 0.9800 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.0050 level where a break will clear the way for more strength to occur towards the 1.0100 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0150 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. All in all, USDCHF continues to hold on to its short term recovery bias with eyes on the 1.0100.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD Bear Pressure Builds Up On 1.0795 Level

 

EURUSD: With a reversal of almost all of its previous week seen the past week, EURUSD bear pressure builds up on 1.0795 level. On the down, support is located at the 1.0795 level and if violated, expect more weakness to happen towards the 1.0750 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0700 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0650 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0600 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further downside pressure. On the upside, resistance is comes at 1.0900 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.0950 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.1050 level. All in all, EURUSD bear pressure builds up on 1.0795 level, its Dec 07 2015 low.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURJPY Faces More Downside Pressure On Sell Off

 

EURJPY: Having sold off strongly during Monday trading session, EURJPY faces more downside pressure on sell off. This will leave its psycho level support at 129.00 level as the next downside target. While the 131.35/77 zone remains unbroken, this view remains valid. Support comes in at the 128.50 level where a break will aim at the 128.00 level. A turn below here will target the 127.50 level with a breach turning focus to the 127.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance lies at the 130.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 130.50 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 131.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 131.50 level. All in all, EURJPY faces more downside pressure on sell off.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD: Risk Of More Weakness On The Cards

 

GBPUSD: Having GBP continued to hold on to its downside pressure, it leaves risk of more weakness on the cards. Support lies at the 1.4700 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.4650 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4600 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.4550 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.4800 level with a turn above here allowing for more strength to build up towards the 1.4850 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.4900 level followed by the 1.4950 level. On the whole, having GBP continued to remain weak and vulnerable to the downside, it leaves risk of more weakness on the cards.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDCAD Remains Bullish Above The 1.4000 Level

 

USDCAD remains bullish above the 1.4000 level following a break and hold above that level during Wednesday trading session. This is coming on the back of its Tuesday downside price rejection to close higher. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.4150 level where a break will target the 1.4200 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.4250 level where price hesitation may occur. But if further recovery is seen, the pair could strengthen more towards the 1.4300 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.4000 level followed by the 1.3950 level. Further down, support stands at the 1.3900 level and then the 1.3850 level. All in all, USDCAD remains bullish above the 1.4000 level after breaking and holding above that level during Wednesday trading session.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD: Having triggered a correction on Wednesday and followed through higher on Thursday, EURUSD faces further recovery offensive. On the upside, resistance comes in at 1.0900 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.0950 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.0050 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. Support lies at the 1.0800 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0750 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0700 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0650 level. All in all, EURUSD faces further recovery offensive following a build up on its Wednesday strength.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD: Halts Weakness On Rejection Candle

 

GBPUSD: GBP has halted its weakness to close on a rejection candle on Thursday. This development has set the tone for a recovery higher threats. Support lies at the 1.4550 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.4500 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4500 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.4450 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Resistance stands at the 1.4700 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.4750 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.4800 level followed by the 1.4850 level. On the whole, GBP faces the risk of further downside pressure.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GOLD Faces More Downside Risk On Pullback

 

GOLD: Having capped its strength at 1113.09 level to weaken during Friday trading session, GOLD faces more downside risk on pullback. Except it retakes the 1113.09 resistance, it should target further weakness. On the downside, support comes in at the 1090.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1080.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1070.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1060.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1115.00 level where a break will aim at the 1125.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1140.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1150.00 level. All in all, GOLD faces more downside risk on pullback following failed attempt on the upside.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD Faces Additional Recovery Threats On Price Failure

 

EURUSD: Having rejected lower level prices to close higher on a rejection candle the past week, EURUSD faces additional recovery threats. On the down, support is located at the 1.0850 level and if violated, expect more weakness to happen towards the 1.0795 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0750 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0700 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0650 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside. On the upside, resistance comes at 1.0950 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1000 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1050 level where a break will expose the 1.1100 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. All in all, EURUSD faces additional recovery threats following its higher close the past week.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GOLD Eyes Further Upside Pressure On Rally

 

GOLD: Having closed strongly higher on a rally the past week, GOLD eyes further upside pressure. On the downside, support comes in at the 1098.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1088.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1080.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1070.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1115.00 level where a break will aim at the 1125.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1140.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1150.00 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. All in all, GOLD eyes further upside pressure following its strong past week rally.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD Looks To Recapture The 1.4400 Zone

 

GBPUSD: Having sold off during early trading today, GBPUSD looks to recapture the 1.4400 zone. While the 14603 level caps any recovery, our bias remains lower. Support lies at the 1.4400 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.4350 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4300 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.4250 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance stands at the 1.4500 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.4550 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.4600 level followed by the 1.4650 level. On the whole, GBPUSD looks to recapture the 1.4400 zone following its ell off.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD: Risk Remains Lower On Bear Pressure

 

EURUSD: With EUR remaining weak and vulnerable to the downside, risk remains lower on bear pressure. This view remains valid as long as the 1.0969/1.0000 resistance zone remains unbroken. Support lies at the 1.0800 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.0750 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0700 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0650 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the upside, resistance comes in at 1.0900 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.0950 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1000 level where a break will expose the 1.0050 level. All in all, risk remains lower on bear pressure with key support being targeted.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD Broader Bias Remains Lower

 

GBPUSD: With the pair continuing to target further weakness, GBPUSD broader bias remains lower. Support lies at the 1.4300 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.4250 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.4200 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.4150 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Resistance stands at the 1.4400 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.4450 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.4500 level followed by the 1.4550 level. On the whole, GBPUSD broader bias remains lower on further downside pressure.