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FXTechstrategy Team

Technical Outlook, Strategies & Commentaries On The Major Currencies

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EURUSD: Retains Upside Bias

 

EURUSD: EUR closed higher for a second week in a row leaving risk of more upside on the cards. Resistance is seen at the 1.1350 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1400 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1450 level where a break will expose the 1.1500 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, support lies at the 1.1200 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1250 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1150 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1100 level. All in all, EUR faces downside threats in the medium term.

 

EURUSDproWeekly1.png

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GBPUSD: Faces Further Upside Risk

 

GBPUSD: GBP’s outlook continues to point higher with risk of more gains envisaged. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.5650 level with a break aiming at the 1.5700 level. A violation of here will aim at the 1.5750 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5800 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5450 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5400 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5350 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5300 level. On the whole, GBP continues to remain on the offensive in the short term.

 

GBPUSDDaily.png

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GBPUSD: Bullish, On The Tear

 

GBPUSD: With GBP strengthening strongly further on Wednesday, further bullishness is envisaged. This development leaves the pair targeting further upside towards the 1.5813 level where a break will aim at the 1.5850 level followed by the 1.5900 level. A break will target the 1.5950 level where a violation will aim at the 1.6000 level where we should see price hesitation. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside. On the downside, immediate support lies at the 1.5650 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5600 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5550 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5500 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its upside bias.

 

GBPUSDproDaily2.png

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USDCAD: Risk Points To The Upside On Correction

 

USDCAD: With USDCAD closing on a rejection candle a move higher could be developing. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.2300 level followed by the 1.2350 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2400 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2450 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2200 level followed by the 1.2150 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.2100 level and then the 1.2100 level. All in all, USDCAD remains biased to the downside on correction

 

USDCADproDaily2.png

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EURUSD: Retains Upside Bias But With Caution

 

EURUSD: EUR may have closed higher the past week but with caution as pullback threats could occur. Resistance is seen at the 1.1450 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1500 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1550 level where a break will expose the 1.1600 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, support lies at the 1.1300 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1250 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1200 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.1150 level. All in all, EUR faces downside threats in the medium term.

 

EURUSDproWeekly2.png

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GBPUSD: Triggers Correction On Price Failure

 

GBPUSD: With GBP triggering a correction during Monday trading session, we expect more weakness to occur in the days ahead. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.5900 level with a break aiming at the 1.5950 level. A violation of here will aim at the 1.6000 level and possibly higher towards the 1.6050 level. Its daily RSI is turning lower supporting its current price action. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5800 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5750 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5700 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5600 level. On the whole, GBP continues face downside pressure on correction.

 

GBPUSDproDaily3.png

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AUDUSD: Bearish, Sees Weakness

 

AUDUSD: H With AUDUSD following through lower on the back of its Friday weakness, further downside pressure is envisaged. This view remains valid while the 0.7818/48 zone caps. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.7800 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7850 level. Below that level if seen will set the stage for a run at the 0.7900 level with a cut through here targeting further downside towards the 0.7950 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 0.7700 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7650 level and then the 0.7600 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7550 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure.

 

AUDUSDDaily.png

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USDJPY: Bullish, Remains On The Offensive

 

USDJPY: With USDJPY maintaining its bullish offensive following its Monday strength, further upside pressure is likely in the days ahead. It looks to retarget the 124.24 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 125.00 level with a turn above here aiming at the 125.50 level. A break will target the 126.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 126.50 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 123.00 level where a break will target the 122.47 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 122.00 level followed by the 121.50 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside medium term.

 

USDJPYproDaily2.png

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USDCHF: Bullish With Eyes On Key Resistance

 

USDCHF: With the pair building up on its corrective offensive on Thursday, it faces the risk of further bullishness. Resistance resides at the 0.9428 level with a breach targeting the 0.9500 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 0.9550 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9300 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9250 level and then the 0.9200 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional weakness towards the 0.9150 level All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on further correction.

 

USDCHFproDaily.png

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AUDUSD: Holds Above Key Supports

 

AUDUSD: With AUDUSD continuing to hold above key supports, a move higher is now envisaged. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.7750 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7800 level. Below that level if seen will set the stage for a run at the 0.7850 level with a cut through here targeting further downside towards the 0.7900 level. On the downside, support lies at the 0.7646 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7600 level and then the 0.7550 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7500 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure.

 

AUDUSDproDaily1.png

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EURJPY: Bullish Above Key Support At 137.97 Level

 

EURJPY- The cross held above its key support at the 137.97 level on Thursday leaving risk of a move higher on the cards. On the downside, support comes in at the 138.00 level where a break will aim at the 137.50 level. A turn below here will target the 137.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 136.50 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 139.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 139.50 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 140.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 141.00 level. All in all, the cross continues to face upside threats whole holding above the 137.97 level

 

EURJPYproDaily.png

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USDCHF: Reverses Losses, Eyes Further Upside With Warning

 

USDCHF: With Having reversed its previous week losses the risk of a move further higher is envisaged in the new week. Resistance resides at the 0.9428 level with a breach targeting the 0.9500 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 0.9550 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9250 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9200 level and then the 0.9150 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional weakness towards the 0.9100 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on further correction.

 

USDCHFproWeekly3.png

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EURUSD: Risk Turns Lower

 

EURUSD: With EUR taking back its previous week gains to close lower last week, further weakness is envisaged. However, we may see a correction higher of the mentioned declines in the new week. Resistance is seen at the 1.1250 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1300 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1350 level where a break will expose the 1.1400 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, support lies at the 1.1100 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1050 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1000 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0950 level. All in all, EUR faces downside threats in the medium term.

 

EURUSDproWeekly3.png

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USDCAD: Recovering With Caution

 

USDCAD: Although is seen threatening recovery higher, as long as it trades below the 1.2421 level, we still see risk to the downside. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.2400 level followed by the 1.2450 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2500 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.2550 level. Its daily RSI is pointing higher supporting its current price action. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2250 level followed by the 1.2200 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.2150 level and then the 1.2100 level. All in all, USDCAD remains biased to the downside on correction but with caution

 

USDCADproDaily4.png

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EURJPY: Remains Vulnerable To The Downside

 

EURJPY- The cross continues to face downside pressure leaving risk of more weakness to occur. On the downside, support comes in at the 136.00 level where a break will aim at the 135.50 level. A turn below here will target the 135.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 134.50 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 137.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 137.50 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 138.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 139.00 level. All in all, the cross continues to face upside threats.

 

EURJPYproDaily.png

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USDCHF: Loses Upside Momentum, Vulnerable

 

USDCHF: Having closed almost flat the past week following its two-day weakness, risk of further decline cannot be ruled out. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9300 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9250 level and then the 0.9200 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional weakness towards the 0.9150 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 0.9500 level with a breach targeting the 0.9550 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 0.9600 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on further strength.

 

USDCHFproWeekly.png

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AUDUSD: Remains Weak And Vulnerable

 

AUDUSD: With AUDUSD continuing to face downside pressure as it followed through lower during Tuesday session, risk remains to the downside on more weakness. On the downside, support lies at the 0.7400 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7350 level and then the 0.7300 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7250 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.7500 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7550 level. Below that level if seen will set the stage for a run at the 0.7600 level with a cut through here targeting further downside towards the 0.7650 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure.

 

AUDUSDproDaily1.png

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EURUSD: Risk Points Higher

 

EURUSD: With EUR closing higher the past week, we look for more recovery higher to occur. Resistance is seen at the 1.1250 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1300 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1350 level where a break will expose the 1.1400 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, support lies at the 1.1100 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1050 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.1000 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0950 level. All in all, EUR faces downside threats in the medium term.

 

EURUSDproWeekly1.png

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GBPUSD: Bearish, Declines Further

 

GBPUSD: With GBP remaining weak and retaining its downside bias, further downside pressure is likely. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.5600 level with a break aiming at the 1.5650 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5700 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5766 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5500 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5450 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5400 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5350 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its pullback bias but with caution.

 

GBPUSDDaily.png

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AUDUSD: Puts In Temporary Bottom

 

AUDUSD: Having halted its weakness on a rejection candle print, AUDUSD now looks for a corrective recovery higher. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7300 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7250 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7200 level with a cut through here targeting further downside towards the 0.7150 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7400 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7450 level and then the 0.7500 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7550 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure.

 

AUDUSDDaily.png

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USDJPY: Consolidation Sets In But With Upside Bias

 

USDJPY: Corrective pullback may have ended leaving the pair threatening its medium term trend resumption. If this is seen, resistance resides at the 124.50 level with a turn above here aiming at the 125.00 level. A break will target the 125.50 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 126.00 level where a violation will aim at the 126.50 level. Conversely, support comes in at the 123.50 level where a break will target the 123.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 122.50 level followed by the 122.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside.

 

USDJPYDaily2.png

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AUDUSD: Weakens On Trend Resumption

 

AUDUSD: Having continued to maintain its broader downtrend, further bearishness is envisaged. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7250 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7200 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7150 level with a cut through here targeting further downside towards the 0.7100 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7350 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7400 level and then the 0.7450 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7500 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend pressure.

 

AUDUSDDaily1.png

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USDCHF: Retains Recovery Risk

 

USDCHF: With the pair taking back almost all of its past week losses to close marginally higher, it faces the risk of a move higher in the new week. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9550 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9500 level and then the 0.9450 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional weakness towards the 0.9400 level. Resistance resides at the 0.9650 level with a breach targeting the 0.9700 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 0.9761 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on further strength.

 

USDCHFWeekly.png

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EURUSD: Biased To Upside On Recovery.

 

EURUSD: Having EUR taken back most of its previous week losses to close higher the past week, we could see more recovery occurring. This development leaves risk higher in the new week though with caution. Support lies at the 1.0900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0850 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0600 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0550 level. Resistance is seen at 1.1050 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1100 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1150 level where a break will expose the 1.1200 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside medium term.

 

EURUSDWeekly1.png

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USDJPY: Weakens Further On Correction

 

USDJPY: With USDJPY weakening further on correction on Monday, further downside pressure is envisaged. On the upside, resistance resides at the 124.00 level with a turn above here aiming at the 124.50 level. A break will target the 125.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 125.50 level where a violation will aim at the 126.00 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 123.00 level where a break will target the 122.50 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 122.00 level followed by the 121.50 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the downside on correction.

 

USDJPYDaily3.png

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    • A custom Semi-Log Scale Oscillator indicator is now available for MT5 on Metaquotes website and directly in the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/114705 This indicator is an anchored semi-logarithmic scale oscillator. A logarithmic scale is widely used by professional data scientists to more accurately map information collected throughout a timeframe, in the same way that MT5 maps out price data. In fact, the underlying logic of this indicator was freely obtained from an overseas biotech scientist. A log-log chart displays logarithmic values on both the x (horizontal) and y (vertical) axes, which generally produces a straight line that points up, down, or remains flat. A straight line is not very useful for trading markets because such a straight line is so smoothed that actual price values that appear over time are very far away from the line study. In contrast, a semi-log chart is only logged on one axis--generally, the y axis. Such a semi-log chart is well suited for trading markets because the time (x) axis is preserved in its original form while at the same time, providing a graduated y scale where the distance between price increments progressively increases as price rises higher (and decreases as price falls lower). This allows us to establish a zero level for a low price, clearly view trends on straighter angles, and clearly observe amplified price spikes at high prices. Accordingly, this indicator employs a semi-log scale on the y axis only. This indicator is anchored because it allows you to specify a start time for calculation of price bars. The settings are as follows: Year.Month.Day Hour:Minute - defaults to 1970.01.01 00:01 - if left on default setting, the indicator automatically detects the earliest price bar in chart history--even where the year 1970 is not in history. Notes appear in the indicator settings window. Size of first pip step to log - defaults to 135 - this default is suitable for higher timeframes such a MN1 (monthly), while 5 is suitable for lower timeframes such as M1 (minute). Ultimately, optimal settings will depend on the timeframe that you attach the indicator to, the level of price volatility within that timeframe, and start time that you choose. Remember... The semi-log formula calculates from low to high, so your start time must always be a major swing low. Again, notes appear in the indicator settings window. The standard (built-in) MT5 indicators that can be applied to the "Previous indicator's data" can be applied to this indicator. Indicator lines (indicator buffers) can be called with iCustom in Expert Advisors created by Expert Advisor builder software or custom coded Expert Advisors. The log scale Open, High, Low, and Close prices are buffers: No empty values; and No repainting.
    • A custom Gann Candles indicator is now available for MT5 on the Metaquotes website and directly in the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/126398 This Gann Candles indicator incorporates a series of W.D. Gann's strategies into a single trading indicator. Gann was a legendary trader who lived from 1878 to 1955. He started out as a cotton farmer and started trading at age 24 in 1902. His strategies included geometry, astronomy, astrology, times cycles, and ancient math. Although Gann wrote several books, none of them contain all of his strategies so it takes years of studying to learn them. He was also a devout scholar of the Bible and the ancient Greek and Egyptian cultures, and he was a 33rd degree Freemason of the Scottish Rite. In an effort to simplify what I believe are the best of Gann's strategies, I reduced them into one indicator that simply colors your preexisting price bars when those strategies are in-sync versus out-of-sync. This greatly reduces potential chart clutter. Also, I reduced the number of input settings down to only two: FastFilter, and SlowFilter Both FastFilter and SlowFilter must be set to 5 or more, as noted in the Inputs tab upon attaching the indicator to your chart. Gann Candles works on regular time-based charts (M5, M15, M20, etc.) and custom charts (Renko, range bars, etc.). The indicator does not repaint. When using the default settings, blue candles form bullish price patterns, gray candles form flat (sideways) price patterns, and white candles form bearish price patterns. The simplest way to trade Gann Candles is to buy at the close of a blue candle and exit at the close of a gray candle, and then sell at the close of a white candle and exit at the close of a gray candle.
    • A custom Anchored VWAP with Standard Deviation Bands indicator for MT5 is now available on the Metaquotes website and directly through the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/99389 The volume weighted average price indicator is a line study indicator that shows in the main chart window of MT5. The indicator monitors the typical price and then trading volume used to automatically push the indicator line toward heavily traded prices. These prices are where the most contracts (or lots) have been traded. Then those weighted prices are averaged over a look back period, and the indicator shows the line study at those pushed prices. The indicator in this post allows the trader to set the daily start time of that look back period. This indicator automatically shows 5 daily look back periods: the currently forming period, and the 4 previous days based on that same start time. For this reason, this indicator is intended for intraday trading only. The indicator automatically shows vertical daily start time separator lines for those days as well. Both typical prices and volumes are accumulated throughout the day, and processed throughout the day. Important update: v102 of this indicator allows you to anchor the start of the VWAP and bands to the most recent major high or low, even when that high or low appears in your chart several days ago. This is how institutional traders and liquidity providers often trade markets with the VWAP. This indicator also shows 6 standard deviation bands, similarly to the way that a Bollinger Bands indicator shows such bands. The trader is able to set 3 individual standard deviation multiplier values above the volume weighted average price line study, and 3 individual standard deviation multiplier values below the volume weighted average price line study. Higher multiplier values will generate rapidly expanding standard deviation bands because again, the indicator is cumulative. The following indicator parameters can be changed by the trader in the indicator Inputs tab: Volume Type [defaults to: Real volume] - Set to Tick volume for over-the-counter markets such as most forex markets. Real volume is an additional setting for centralized markets such as the United States Chicago Mercantile Exchange. VWAP Start Hour [defaults to: 07] - Set according to broker's or broker-dealer's MT5 server time in 24 hour format. For example, in the New York, United States time zone, 07 is approximately the London, United Kingdom business open hour. VWAP Start Minute [defaults to: 00] - Set according to broker's or broker-dealer's MT5 server time in 24 hour format. For example, 00 is on the hour with no delay of minutes within that hour. StdDev Multiplier 1 [defaults to: 1.618] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its nearest upper and lower bands. For example, 1.618 is a basic Fibonacci ratio. Some traders prefer 1.000 or 1.250 here. StdDev Multiplier 2 [defaults to: 3.236] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its middle upper and lower bands. For example, 3.236 is 1.618 (above) + 1.618. Some traders prefer 2.000 or 1.500 here. StdDev Multiplier 3 [defaults to: 4.854] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its furthest upper and lower bands. For example, 4.854 is 1.618 (above) + 3.236 (above). Some traders prefer 3.000 or 2.000 here. VWAP Color [defaults to: Aqua] - Set desired VWAP line study color. This color automatically sets the color of the start time separators as well. SD1 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of nearest upper and lower standard deviation lines. SD2 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of middle upper and lower standard deviation lines. SD3 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of furthest upper and lower standard deviation lines. Just to clarify, popular standard deviation bands settings are: 1.618, 3.236, and 4.854; or 1.000, 2.000, and 3.000; or 1.250, 1.500, and 2.000. Examples of usage *: In a ranging (sideways) market, enter a trade at the extremes of the standard deviation bands (SD3) and exit when price returns to the VWAP line study. Trade between SD1Pos and SD1 Neg, alternately buying and selling from one standard deviation line to the other. In a trending (rising or falling) market, enter a buy when a price bar opens above the VWAP line study, and exit at the nearest standard deviation band above (SD1Pos). Optionally, repeat the same trade but substitute SD1Pos for the VWAP, and SD2Pos for SD1. Reverse for sell; or Trade all lines (VWAP, SD1Pos, SD2Pos, and SD3Pos) in the same way. Again, reverse for sell. Indicator lines (indicator buffers) can be called with iCustom in Expert Advisors created by Expert Advisor builder software or custom coded Expert Advisors: No empty values; and No repainting.
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