Technical Outlook, Strategies & Commentaries On The Major Currencies

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD: Eyes Further Upside On Recovery

 

GBPUSD: With GBP closing higher on Monday, further upside is envisaged. While holding above its year – to-date-low at 1.5589 level, recovery risk remains. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5600 level where a break will aim at the 1.5550 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5500 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5400 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Resistance resides at the 1.6050 level with a break aiming at the 1.6100 level. A violation will aim at the 1.6150 level and possibly higher towards the 1.6200 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD: Eyes Builds Up Recovery Tone

 

EURUSD: With EUR continuing to eye further upside, price extension is likely in the days ahead. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2550 level where a break will aim at the 1.2550 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2600 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2650 level. On the downside, support comes in at 1.2400 level where a break will aim at the 1.2350 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2300 level where a break will expose the 1.2250 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.2200 level All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURJPY: Corrective Pullback Risk Remains Intact.

 

EURJPY- Despite its two days of price hesitation, our bias on the cross remains lower on correction. On the downside, support comes in at the 146.00 level where a break will aim at the 145.00 level. A break will target the 144.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 143.00 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 148.00 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 149.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 150.00 level where a break will aim at the 151.00 All in all, the cross faces corrective downside pressure.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPJPY: Sees Price Hesitation

 

GBPJPY – The cross may continue to maintain its broader uptrend medium term but faces corrective pullback risk. On the upside, resistance lies at the 186.00 level followed by the 187.00 level where a break will aim at the 188.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 188.50 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 183.00 level where a violation will aim at the 182.00 level. A break below here will target the 181.00 level followed by the 180.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 179.50 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDCHF: Vulnerable, Eyes Further Downside

 

USDCHF: With the pair closing lower and continuing to hold below the 0.9741 level, further decline is envisaged in the new week. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9600 level with a break targeting the 0.9550 level and then the 0.9500 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.9450 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9700 level where a break will aim at the 0.9750 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9800 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside on correction.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GOLD: Looks To Extend Weakness

 

GOLD: With a sell off occurring on GOLD the past week, further bearishness is now envisaged. If this occurs, a recovery higher could occur toward the 1,150.00 level. On the downside, support stands at the 1,130.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,100.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,080.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,050.00 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1,207.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,230.00 level. A break will target the 1,250.00 level followed by the 1,280.00 level. A cut through here will extend gains towards the 1,300.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD: Triggers Recovery Higher

 

GBPUSD: Although GBP maintains is broader medium term downtrend, the reversal of its Friday losses on Monday is suggestive of further recovery higher. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5650 level where a break will aim at the 1.5600 level where a break will aim at the 1.5550 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5500 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5400 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.5800 level with a break aiming at the 1.5850 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5900 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5950 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term but faces immediate recovery higher.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPJPY: Bullish, Faces Upside Risk

 

GBPJPY: With the cross remaining biased to the upside, further strength is envisaged. On the upside, resistance lies at the 187.00 level followed by the 188.00 level where a break will aim at the 189.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 190.50 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 185.50 level where a violation will aim at the 184.50 level. A break below here will target the 183.50 level followed by the 182.00 level. Further down, support lies at the 181.50 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside medium term

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURJPY: Weakens On Correction

 

EURJPY- With the cross declining on Tuesday on corrective pullback, further bearishness is now envisaged. On the downside, support comes in at the 146.50 level where a break will aim at the 145.00 level. A break will target the 144.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 143.00 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 148.00 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 149.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 150.00 level where a break will aim at the 151.00. All in all, the cross faces corrective downside pressure.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

AUDUSD: Continues To Face Downside Pressure

 

AUDUSD: With the pair remaining weak and vulnerable, we think it should still extend its downside pressure. On the downside, support lies at the 0.8350 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.8300 level and then the 0.8250 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.8200 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8450 level where a breach will aim at the 0.8500 level. Above that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.8550 level with a cut through here resuming its broader uptrend towards the 0.8600 level. On the whole, AUDUSD continues to retain its broader downtrend.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDCHF: Bullish, Resumes Broader Uptrend

 

USDCHF: With the pair reversing its previous week losses to close higher on Friday, further bullish offensive is envisaged in the new. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9850 level where a break will aim at the 0.9900 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9950 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push towards t5owardss the 1.0000 level. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9700 level with a break targeting the 0.9650 level and then the 0.9600 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.9550 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside medium term

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD: Threatens Additional Price Declines.

 

EURUSD: Having taken back its previous week gains at the end of the week, the pair faces the risk of further decline in the new week.However, beware of a corrective recovery threat in the new week. Support is seen at 1.2200 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.2150 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2100 level where a break will expose the 1.2050 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.2000 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2350 level where a violation will aim at the 1.22400 level where a break will aim at the 1.2450 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2500 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2550 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GOLD: Set To Extend Recovery

 

GOLD: With GOLD putting in a bottom the past week, risk of further upside should build up in the new week. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1,230.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,250.00 level. A break will target the 1,270.00 level followed by the 1,300.00 level. A cut through here will extend gains towards the 1,330.00 level. On the downside, support stands at the 1,200.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,180.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,150.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,130.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURJPY: Sells Off On Correction

 

EURJPY- With the cross seen selling off on corrective pullback, further weakness is likely in the days ahead. Its present corrective pullback was highlighted in our weekly analysis. On the downside, support comes in at the 148.00 level where a break will aim at the 147.50 level. A break will target the 147.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 146.00 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 149.00 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 150.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 151.00 level where a break will aim at the 152.00 All in all, the cross faces corrective downside pressure.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDJPY: Declines Further On Correction

 

USDJPY: Having turned lower on Monday and followed through lower on correction during Tuesday trading session, further decline is envisaged. On the downside, support comes in at the 119.00 level where a break will target the 118.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 117.00 level followed by the 116.50 and then the 116.00. On the upside, resistance resides at the 120.50 level followed by the 121.50 level where a break will target the 122.00 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 122.50 level where a violation will aim at the 123.00 level On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD: Loses Upside Steam

 

GBPUSD: Unless GBP breaks and holds above its intra day high at 1.5756 level, it faces a return to the downside in the days ahead. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5600 level where a break will aim at the 1.5550 level where a break will aim at the 1.5600 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5500 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5450 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.5756 level with a break aiming at the 1.5850 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5800 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5850 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term but faces immediate recovery risk.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDCHF: Loses Upside Momentum, Declines

 

USDCHF: With the pair reversing its previous week gains to close lower on Friday, it now faces further downside pressure in the new week. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9600 level with a break targeting the 0.9550 level and then the 0.9500 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.9450 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9700 level where a break will aim at the 0.9750 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9800 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push towards the 0.9850 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside on pullback.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD: Bullish On Recovery Higher

 

EURUSD: Having reversed its previous week losses to close higher on Friday, it now faces further recovery bias. However, a mild pullback could occur before more strength is seen in the new week. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2500 level where a violation will aim at the 1.2550 level where a break will aim at the 1.2600 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2650 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2700 level. Conversely, support is seen at 1.2300 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.2250 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2200 level where a break will expose the 1.2150 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.2100 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GOLD: Extends Further Strength

 

GOLD: With GOLD extending its gains the past week, it faces further bullishness in the new week. However, watch out for a pullback. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1,250.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,280.00 level. A break will target the 1,300.00 level followed by the 1,330.00 level. A cut through here will extend gains towards the 1,350.00 level. On the downside, support stands at the 1,215.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,200.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside towards the 1,180.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,150.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

GBPUSD: Declines On Price Failure

 

GBPUSD: With GBP taking back some of its past week gains to weaken on Monday, further decline is envisaged. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5600 level where a break will aim at the 1.5550 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5500 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5500 level. Resistance resides at the 1.5700 level with a break aiming at the 1.5750 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5800 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5850 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its broader downside bias medium term

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURJPY: Bearish, Extends Sell Off

 

EURJPY- The cross continues to face downside pressure selling off further on Tuesday and opening the door for more weakness. On the downside, support comes in at the 144.50 level where a break will aim at the 144.00 level. A break will target the 143.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 142.00 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 146.00 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 147.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 148.00 level where a break will aim at the 149.00 All in all, the cross faces corrective downside pressure.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD: Vulnerable On Price Failure

 

EURUSD: Having taken back some of its intra day gains on Tuesday and weakening during Wednesday trading session, further weakness is envisaged. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2569 level where a violation will aim at the 1.2600 level where a break will aim at the 1.2650 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2700 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2750 level. Conversely, support is seen at 1.2450 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.2400 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2350 level where a break will expose the 1.2300 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.2250 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

USDJPY: Bullish, Targets Further Upside

 

USDJPY: Outlook for USDJPY now points higher after rallying strongly on Wednesday. On the upside, resistance resides at the 119.50 level followed by the 120.00 level where a break will target the 120.50 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 121.00 level where a violation will aim at the 121.50 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 118.00 level where a break will target the 117.50 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 117.00 level followed by the 116.50 and then the 116.50 On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the downside on pullback

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURJPY: Faces Price Hesitation.

 

EURJPY- With the cross failing to follow through higher on the back of its Wednesday gains to close lower on Thursday, downside risk is likely. On the downside, support comes in at the 146.00 level where a break will aim at the 145.00 level. A break will target the 144.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 143.00 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 147.00 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 148.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 149.00 level where a break will aim at the 150.00 All in all, the cross faces corrective downside pressure.

 

[FXTechstrategy Team 10]

EURUSD: Vulnerable, Reverses Gains

 

EURUSD: Outlook for EUR continues to point lower following a reversal of its previous week gains the past week. However, a mild recovery higher may occur before more strength is seen in the new week. Support is seen at 1.2150 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.2100 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2050 level where a break will expose the 1.2000 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.1950 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2700 level where a violation will aim at the 1.2750 level where a break will aim at the 1.2800 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2850 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2900 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.