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Savant

Is the VIX Really Low?

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Volatility index is very low, that's why the market is extremely complacent; we can say that it is confident in the short term outlook, but very cautious in long term outlook.

What do you think, is trading safer in short term in should it be more cautious in long term?

Is VIX that useful in gauging perspective?

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The VIX is low, but it is not an all-time low and it could still go lower (think of the 2003-2007 bull market).

 

Roughly speaking, it measures the forecasted volatility of the market for the next 30 days, according to put prices of the SP500.

 

Eventually it will go higher, because is mean reverting. But it does not mean it should do it now.

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