Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TheNegotiator

Complicated Simplicity

Recommended Posts

Another thing is when people talk about sport. I like football (or soccer if you're american (or welsh)) so I'll use that as an example - but it's definitely appropriate to other sports. In football, there's always talk of how "keeping things simple" is really great and how "doing the basics well" can win you games. I absolutely agree with that. But most of the YAFS who bang on about it fail to recognise the years of work put in by the players and coaches to know what they should be doing. Which simple pass is the right pass? When do I shoot? When is it right to play it down the wing? Blah blah blah. What about all the technical work which goes on in preparation for the game? The amazing sports science like diet or movement analysis to help make players fitter stronger and less injury-prone? Is that simple? REALLY????

 

Of course, each one of those ideas is simple. But knowing when to do them, and how to do them with such excellence you can out play the other best and most talented, highest paid, super atheletes who's sole purpose in their career is to PREVENT you from doing that... ya. I can explain how to swim in a very simple way to just about anyone. Doesn't mean they will be the next Michael Phelps. And mind you swimming is easy. Yet to do it professionally does take years of devotion and mastery. Even though it's incredibly simple. Arms in circles. Kick feet. Turn Head. Breathe. Do again. but all the details and neuance that go into making someone take that to the degree where they can be good enough to swim for a living... yea, that's definately not simple or easy. There's a lot to it. So much that to be the best requires that you work with a full time professional who is telling you every day what you need to do better, how to improve this, that...etc. that dude is called a coach. A full time coach. for arms in circles. Kick feet. Turn Head. Breathe.

 

It may be fairly straightforward once learned and understood and practiced and experienced and gained some mastery of... but that right there is why it is complicated and somewhat difficult.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

I was going to use the bike example, but you sort of captured it with swimming.

 

Swimming is easy or simple once you have learned how to swim. So is trading.

 

We tend to forget what learning to swim or ride a bike was like. Afterwards we can say it is simple. Just swing your arms in a circle and kick or simply steer the handlebars and pedal. As a child, the ocean, pool or whatever, looked daunting. It looked like if you failed, you may never come out. You were afraid of things that could happen. Once you gained mastery of the basics, that fear largely subsides and you can proclaim that it is simple. Time makes you forget the things that concerned you when you began.

 

Once you gain confidence it is simple or easy. The same is true of trading. Once you know you won't die or fail, then it is very simple. However, the road to mastering the basics is not always easy since there is so much misinformation available to comb through. Confidence cannot be transferred from mentor to trader. In the same way a parent cannot teach a child to have confidence with swimming by saying to the child " don't worry that the water is deep, all you have to do is swing your arms around and kick", even though, that is really all you have to do. Confidence in trading or any endevour comes from within.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
hi there,

 

Does anyone read Sun Tzu ...he is as relevant now as 2500 years ago, which I imagine means that whilst things change, People do not.

 

Sun Tzu says that it is good to confuse your enemy ... well just let us take a moment to look around at all the countless threads and posts here at TL ... all we see is confusion confusion confusion.

 

Complicity versus simplicity .... all I see is confusion.

 

We buy into a rising market ... we sell into a falling market ... that is all I know and it is all I need to know.... and that is not discipline, it is common-fucking-sense.

 

buen fin de semana

 

Good morning,

Let us push on for a bit and talk of 'Confusion' and of 'Winners' because one is the opposite of the other.

 

Losing is not the opposite of Winning which might suprise some of you, simply because losing is a function both of Winning and of Confusion.

 

Winners must learn to accept losing as a part of their learning curve

Confused people never learn from their loses and are therefore destined to remain confused.

 

When Winners enter the world of trading, all they need to learn is The Art of Trading, because they are bringing their winning attitude and habits with them.

 

When Confused people enter the world of trading, the fun begins and stays that way until they finally give-up or set about changing their attitude and habits.

 

The sad reality that 99%+ of people fail to maintain an active account after twelve months shows how deeply engrained confusion is imbedded in our modern society.

 

Never before has such an abundance of opportunity been showed upon us and we respond by being so poorly prepared.

 

No wonder a small proportion of the people walk off with the bulk of the profits.

In days gone by, this disproportionate distribution was the result of privilege, but sadly today it is the result of confusion.

 

When I say that the mission of a Retail Trader is to ... buy into a rising market and sell into a falling market ... I mean exactly that.

 

To spell it out, I mean that Buyers need to exit at higher prices than their entry and Sellers need to exit at lower prices than their entry.

Is this confusing .... not to me it is not.

If a Buyer fades his/her entry whilst prices are still falling in the hope of catching the bottom tick, then that is their business ... it does not change the mission at all.

If anything it highlights their confusion over the workings of the market giving rise to further confusion over what is important and what is secondary.

 

There exists confusion over the belief that the correct answer to confusion is discipline ...

well now you have feed confusion with yet more confusion ... a little like putting out the fire with gasoline, or borrowing your way out of debt.

 

Now, if you are thinking that consistency is a better path out of confusion and into the enlightened world of Winning, then I would agree with you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Good morning,

Let us push on for a bit and talk of 'Confusion' and of 'Winners' because one is the opposite of the other.

 

Losing is not the opposite of Winning which might suprise some of you, simply because losing is a function both of Winning and of Confusion.

 

Winners must learn to accept losing as a part of their learning curve

Confused people never learn from their loses and are therefore destined to remain confused.

 

When Winners enter the world of trading, all they need to learn is The Art of Trading, because they are bringing their winning attitude and habits with them.

 

When Confused people enter the world of trading, the fun begins and stays that way until they finally give-up or set about changing their attitude and habits.

 

 

If you execute properly, there is nothing to learn from losing. Losing is a function of the game. If you properly execute and lose and try to learn from your loss, then you are indeed confused.

 

Losing stirs emotions. Winning stirs emotions. We must accept that winning and losing stir emotions and learn to properly release those emotions. Subduing the emotions, or pretending to control the emotions, is not properly releasing the emotions. You will not fool your "self".

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If you execute properly, there is nothing to learn from losing. Losing is a function of the game. If you properly execute and lose and try to learn from your loss, then you are indeed confused.

 

Losing stirs emotions. Winning stirs emotions. We must accept that winning and losing stir emotions and learn to properly release those emotions. Subduing the emotions, or pretending to control the emotions, is not properly releasing the emotions. You will not fool your "self".

 

If you execute properly, there is nothing to learn from losing. Losing is a function of the game. If you properly execute and lose and try to learn from your loss, then you are indeed confused.

 

Losing stirs emotions. Winning stirs emotions. We must accept that winning and losing stir emotions and learn to properly release those emotions. Subduing the emotions, or pretending to control the emotions, is not properly releasing the emotions. You will not fool your "self".

 

noobs,

whatever you do, don't listen to this nonsense.

... because only 1% really 'understand' and 'agree' with him.

... and if he happens to say anything about how the emotions get stirred before the winning or the losing and what to do about it - don't listen to that either...

:wnkwink:

Edited by zdo

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • AMZN Amazon stock, nice buying at the 187.26 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMZN
    • DELL Dell Technologies stock, good day moving higher off the 90.99 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?DELL
    • MCK Mckesson stock, nice trend and continuation breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?MCK
    • lmfx just officially launched their own LMGX token, Im planning to grab a couple of hundred and maybe have the option to stake them. 
    • Date: 2nd April 2025.   Market on Edge: Tariff Announcement and Volatility Ahead!   The US economic and employment data continues to deteriorate with the job vacancies figures dropping to a 5-month low. In addition to this, the IMS Manufacturing PMI also fell below expectations. However, both the US Dollar and Gold declined simultaneously following the release of the two figures, an uncommon occurrence in the market. Traders expect a key factor to be today’s ‘liberation day’ where the US will impose tariffs on imports. USDJPY - Traders Await Tariff Confirmation! Traders looking to determine how the USDJPY will look today will find it difficult to determine until the US confirms its tariff plan. Today is the day when Trump previously stated he would finalize and announce his tariff plan. The administration has not yet released the policy, but investors expect it to be the most expansionary in a century. President Trump is due to speak at 20:00 GMT. On HFM's Calendar the speech is stated as "US Liberation Day Tariff Announcement". Currently, analysts are expecting Trump’s Tariff Plan to impose tariffs on the EU, chips and pharmaceuticals later today as well as reciprocal tariffs. Economists have a good idea of how these tariffs may take effect, but reciprocal tariffs are still unspecified. In addition to this, 25% tariffs on the car industry will start tomorrow. The tariffs on the foreign cars industry are a factor which will particularly impact Japan. Although, traders should note that this is what is expected and is not yet finalised. Last week, President Trump stated that he would implement retaliatory tariffs but allow exemptions for certain US trade partners. Treasury Secretary Mr Bessent and National Economic Council Director Mr Hassett suggested that the restrictions would primarily target 15 countries responsible for the bulk of the US trade deficit. However, yesterday, Trump contradicted these statements, asserting that additional duties would be imposed on any country that has implemented similar measures against US products. The day’s volatility will depend on which route the US administration takes. The harshness of the policy will influence both the Japanese Yen as well as the US Dollar.   USDJPY 5-Minute Chart   US Economic and Employment Data The JOLT Job Vacancies figure fell below expectations and is lower than the previous month’s figure. The JOLT Job Vacancies read 7.57 million whereas the average of the past 6 months is 7.78 million. The ISM Manufacturing Index also fell below the key level of 50.00 and was 5 points lower than what analysts were expecting. The data is negative for the US Dollar, particularly as the latest release applies more pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. However, this is unlikely to happen if the trade policy ignites higher and stickier inflation. In the Bank of Japan’s Governor's latest speech, Mr Ueda said that the tariffs are likely to trigger higher inflation. USDJPY Technical Analysis Currently, the Japanese Yen Index is the worst performing of the day while the US Dollar Index is more or less unchanged. However, this is something traders will continue to monitor as the EU session starts. In the 2-hour timeframe, the USDJPY is trading at the neutral level below the 75-bar EMA and 100-bar SMA. The RSI and MACD is also at the neutral level meaning traders should be open to price movements in either direction. On the smaller timeframes, such as the 5-minute timeframe, there is a slight bias towards a bullish outcome. However, this is only likely if the latest bearish swing does not drop below the 200-Bar SMA.     The key resistant level can be seen at 150.262 and the support level at 149.115. Breakout levels are at 149.988 and 149.674. Key Takeaway Points: Job vacancies hit a five-month low, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI missed expectations, adding pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate decisions. Traders await confirmation on Trump’s tariff policy, which is expected to impact the EU, chips, pharmaceuticals, and foreign car industries. The severity of the tariffs will influence both the JPY and the USD, with traders waiting for final policy details. The Japanese Yen Index is the worst index of the day while the US Dollar Index is unchanged. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.