Is There a Strategy Wins 90%

[Pipsonia 10]

Yes, there is, exit your profitable trades prematurely and your overall winning % will rise, but if your losses on the 10% of losers outweigh the winnings then you'll be back at square one.

[MidKnight 12]

There are plenty of approaches that can work for over 90% winrate and are extremely profitable. I've seen live accounts running the same strategy for over a year doing this. (check out myfxbook.com or fxstat.com or zulutrade.com)

 

These strategies generally fall into two categories:

a) some sort of grid trading that has enormous MAE for a tiny gain.

b) very infrequent trades based on some sort of fundamental drive that ends up building positions

 

Both of these suffer from unknown price exit points when one is wrong and they compensate for it by extremely small positions with ammunition to spare for scale-ins. One thing they have in common though, is they are usually the most profitable systems on the above mentioned sites. Some absolutely unbelievable.

 

With kind regards,

MK

[llonigro 10]

  wrbtrader said:

 

By the way, strongly agree that position size management is one of the keys to successful trading. Good traders know when to increase their position size and they know when to decrease their position size.

 

 

 

Yes as that famous song says " you gotta know when to hold them, know when to fold them, know when to walk away...... It is definitely the key of a good trader

[hermawati 10]

I don't think so...

Perhaps, in a day it could be reach 90%. And it's not consistently...

No any strategy that reach 90% consistently..

[zupcon 10]

  hermawati said:

I don't think so...

Perhaps, in a day it could be reach 90%. And it's not consistently...

No any strategy that reach 90% consistently..

 

Take profit 10 pips

Stop loss 90 pips

 

Thats should just about get you a 90% win rate

 

You'll lose money, but you'll have the 90% win rate

 

There are literally thousands of strategies out there with win rates in excess of 90%. Its not difficult to achieve at all

[Guest OILFXPRO]

  Jack Francisco said:

As described Title

I want a strategic win at least 90%

And are not an old thought And be simple and easy and uncomplicated

awaited your responses:helloooo:

 

open a brothel , good strategy . get mods in it

[MidKnight 12]

  zupcon said:

Take profit 10 pips

Stop loss 90 pips

 

Thats should just about get you a 90% win rate

 

You'll lose money, but you'll have the 90% win rate

 

There are literally thousands of strategies out there with win rates in excess of 90%. Its not difficult to achieve at all

 

Indeed its true - not hard at all. I have explored martingale grids that achieve over 98% wins but it only takes one strong move to wipe you out. To the original poster, %win isn't as important as one may think. Expectancy combined with frequency within your drawdown tolerances is where you should look IMHO.

 

With kind regards,

MK

[BlueHorseshoe 10]

  MidKnight said:

Indeed its true - not hard at all. I have explored martingale grids that achieve over 98% wins but it only takes one strong move to wipe you out. To the original poster, %win isn't as important as one may think. Expectancy combined with frequency within your drawdown tolerances is where you should look IMHO.

 

With kind regards,

MK

 

I suppose that in an ideal world, what you want to do is operate that strategy on a vast scale with insane leverage, banking your 98% gains along the way, and then have someone bail you out when the one strong adverse move comes along . . .

 

I'm pretty sure this approach has been used fairly recently, but I can't quite think where . . .

 

BlueHorseshoe

[MightyMouse 12]

These strategies are only survivable if you are too big to fail.

[MidKnight 12]

  BlueHorseshoe said:

I suppose that in an ideal world, what you want to do is operate that strategy on a vast scale with insane leverage, banking your 98% gains along the way, and then have someone bail you out when the one strong adverse move comes along . . .

 

I'm pretty sure this approach has been used fairly recently, but I can't quite think where . . .

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

That would be ideal, but in the real world I'd probably just run the system on something like zulutrade or myfxbook and solicit followers until the strategy blows up :haha:

 

But seriously...if people under leverage themselves you can just add to your positions forever and enjoy a 100% win strategy. However it will probably make less money than a real edge with a small initial risk using leverage in your positions. The original posters wants to be right and not rich.

 

With kind regards,

MK

[4EverMaAT 10]

  BlueHorseshoe said:

I suppose that in an ideal world, what you want to do is operate that strategy on a vast scale with insane leverage, banking your 98% gains along the way, and then have someone bail you out when the one strong adverse move comes along . . .

 

I'm pretty sure this approach has been used fairly recently, but I can't quite think where . . .

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

  MidKnight said:

That would be ideal, but in the real world I'd probably just run the system on something like zulutrade or myfxbook and solicit followers until the strategy blows up :haha:

 

But seriously...if people under leverage themselves you can just add to your positions forever and enjoy a 100% win strategy. However it will probably make less money than a real edge with a small initial risk using leverage in your positions. The original posters wants to be right and not rich.

 

With kind regards,

MK

 

The key to using cost averaging and 2x[+] martingale is to have reasonable limits to work within the equity stops and not over optimize the take profit. That is the only way for the speculator on the sell side to get in and out [and back in] timely. If you keep going for the big win on each tradecycle (basket), you will eventually hit stop on a larger trend; you can't have too many of those. Take the smaller [tiny] wins as the market retraces, but do so consistently.

 

  MightyMouse said:

These strategies are only survivable if you are too big to fail.

Those people are likely trading with too much risk.

It is rare that people who implement martingale use complete mechanical systems for the entry detection, entry and exits, which is indeed quite reckless. In addition, they are implementing it in an "all or nothing" approach. How can you be surprised if the "or nothing" comes up at some point?

Edited December 11, 2013 by 4EverMaAT

[gavind 11]

The risks are just too large here. If you can afford or at least ready to lose a certain huge amount. I would say go for it.