Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Mysticforex

A Funny Thing Happened On My Way To The Forum

Recommended Posts

I have been trading Forex for over seven years now. The last five profitably ( though last year just barely ). In my travels I have met many others in the pursuit of success in Forex trading.

Most of whom were failing. From time to time I would take a failing trader under my wing and try to advise or coach them. Mentoring, or teaching does not come naturally to me. I found it very difficult. Sure, I could teach the rules of a method, a few of the tricks like trading Gaps etc. But I could never seem to get across what I think is the essence of trading. Self Disicipline and patience.

I once knew a trader that was in such a rush to make money I asked, did a Doctor just tell you that you only ave six months to live? The answer was no, but the idea went over his head.

 

Well to make a long story short ( I know, I know it's too late for that ), 2 nights ago while checking my Gmail a IM popped up from a trader I used to work with. We exchanged pleasantries and I finally got around to asking her if she were still trading, and how was it going?

 

She told me that she has been consistently profitable for the last 10 months ( I had not spoken to her since mid 2010 ). She still had not made back all the money she had lost

( about $600K when last we spoke ) but was making sure and steady progress.

Then I asked the Sixty Four Dollar question, what are you doing differently ?

She told me she was trading smaller lot sizes and being PATIENT. Only taking slap - you -in - the - face obvious setups.

 

It was great to hear from her and learn of her success. It also made me feel that all the work and sometimes feeling it was hopeless was worth it. Maybe I had a very very small effect on her.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I have been trading Forex for over seven years now. The last five profitably ( though last year just barely ). In my travels I have met many others in the pursuit of success in Forex trading.

Most of whom were failing. From time to time I would take a failing trader under my wing and try to advise or coach them. Mentoring, or teaching does not come naturally to me. I found it very difficult. Sure, I could teach the rules of a method, a few of the tricks like trading Gaps etc. But I could never seem to get across what I think is the essence of trading. Self Disicipline and patience.

I once knew a trader that was in such a rush to make money I asked, did a Doctor just tell you that you only ave six months to live? The answer was no, but the idea went over his head.

 

Well to make a long story short ( I know, I know it's too late for that ), 2 nights ago while checking my Gmail a IM popped up from a trader I used to work with. We exchanged pleasantries and I finally got around to asking her if she were still trading, and how was it going?

 

She told me that she has been consistently profitable for the last 10 months ( I had not spoken to her since mid 2010 ). She still had not made back all the money she had lost

( about $600K when last we spoke ) but was making sure and steady progress.

Then I asked the Sixty Four Dollar question, what are you doing differently ?

She told me she was trading smaller lot sizes and being PATIENT. Only taking slap - you -in - the - face obvious setups.

 

It was great to hear from her and learn of her success. It also made me feel that all the work and sometimes feeling it was hopeless was worth it. Maybe I had a very very small effect on her.

 

solid post man. it's funny, over this summer i've made some significant changes to my trading plan, the vast majority focusing around playing to my strenghts, and shielding myself from my weaknesses.

 

I used to have a daily routine. I'd do it every day. I have 3 catagories of trades I would look for every day, plus some stat arb, and the occassional more exotic or sophisticated trade if I had more time and was compelled to do so.

 

Over this summer, i've now totally thrown away that daily routine. I used to trade every day. Now I only trade when I feel like it. I used to have goals, and daily tasks to prepare, to develop, to research...etc. now I only have my trade review. I've greatly reduced structures and routines, as well as mental goals and "deadlines". I now only trade if I feel like it, and I only trade the setups I feel like trading. I essentially have replaced drive and focus with "new age-y vibes" and almost a lazzie faire attitude. some days, i almost flip a coin...heads I open the charts, tails i don't even bother.

 

funny thing, is my trading is slowly but very surely stablizing after a very rough 4th year of full time trading.

 

How is this possible? because i've been able to remove expectation from the equation. without expectation, i've found a more organic approach to the markets, only trading how i want, as i want, when i want, for the time i want. And this has had the elegant outcome of letting the markets convince me of an opportunity, rather than the other way around.

 

If I place an order, I want to. I believe in it. but most importantly, it's the orders I DIDN'T place on the previous days when I lacked the desire to act. I've found that desire to act is my own subconcious seeing a truly wonderful, not-to-be-missed trading opportunity. And the other times? well obviously, the market doesn't want me bad enough, because i don't see anything that catches my attention.

 

And I couldn't care less. And I've never felt more confident that the rest of the year may not be a good example of highly efficient, effective work on my part, but it will be a great example of how to let the trade come to you, rather than set a standard or process to work ones butt off to find the trade at a regular scheduled time and place.

 

THis is not to say I don't have specific rules. I do, fairly comprehensive ones.

 

I just don't even bother to play the game i don't feel like it. And this, in effect, has organically instilled a greater degree of discretion than I've had before.

 

after the hardest year of the last 4, I'm looking forward to the rest of the year, and 2013 :)

 

We all have our own ways to play the game the way we NEED to, in order to win. The hardest part is finding those needs within ourselves, and learning the best way to channel them to be compatable both with us, and the nature of the capital markets.

 

For myself, i'm finding greater patience and discipline by sleeping more, going on more walks, and looking for reasons NOT to "go to work".

 

this is a very interesting business, isn't it.

 

FTX

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

@FTX

 

"this is a very interesting business, isn't it."

 

 

Indeed it is. You summed things up nicely.

 

It's late, and I am just rambling a bit. I like to bitch and moan all the time and new govnt regs restricting my freedom, but I am one grateful and lucking dude.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 19th December 2024.   Federal Reserve Sparks NASDAQ’s Sharpest Selloff of 2024!   The NASDAQ fell more than 3.60% after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, but gave hawkish comments. The stock market saw its largest decline witnessed in 2024 so far, as investors opted to cash in profits and not risk in the short-medium term. What did Chairman Powell reveal, and how does it impact the NASDAQ? The NASDAQ Falls To December Lows After Fed Guidance! The NASDAQ and US stock market in general saw a considerable decline after the press conference of the Federal Reserve. The USA100 ended the day 3.60% lower and saw only 1 of its 100 stocks avoid a decline. Of the most influential stocks the worst performers were Tesla (-8.28%), Broadcom (-6.91%) and Amazon (-4.60%).     When monitoring the broader stock market, similar conditions are seen confirming the investor sentiment is significantly lower and not solely related to the tech industry. The worst performing sectors are the housing and banking sectors. However, investors should also note that the decline was partially due to a build-up of profits over the past months. As a result, investors could easily sell and reduce exposure to cash in profits and lower their risk appetite. Analysts note that despite the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, the Chairman provided a positive outlook. He highlighted optimism for the economy and the employment sector. Therefore, many analysts continue to believe that investors will buy the dip, even if it’s not imminent. A Hawkish Federal Reserve And Powell’s Guidance Even though traditional economics suggests a rate cut benefits the stock market, the market had already priced in the cut. As a result, the rate cut could no longer influence prices. Investors are now focusing on how the Federal Reserve plans to cut in 2025. This is what triggered the selloff and the decline. Investors were looking for indications of 3-4 rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025 and for the first cut to be in March. However, analysts advise that the forward guidance by the Chairman, Jerome Powell, clearly indicates 2 rate adjustments. In addition to this, analysts believe the Fed will now cut next in May 2025. The average expectation now is that the Federal Reserve will cut 0.25% on two occasions in 2025. The Fed also advised that it is too early to know the effect of tariffs and “when the path is uncertain, you go slower”. This added to the hawkish tone of the central bank. However, surveys indicate that 15% of analysts believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates at a faster pace. As a result, the US Dollar Index rose 1.25% and Bond Yields to a 7-month high. For investors, this makes other investment categories more attractive and stocks more expensive for foreign investors. However, the average decline the NASDAQ has seen before investors buy the dip is 13% ($19,320). This will also be a key level for investors if the NASDAQ continues to decline. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis Due to the bearish volatility, the price of the NASDAQ is trading below all major Moving Averages and Oscillators on the 2-Hour chart. After retracement the oscillators are no longer indicating an oversold price and continue to point to a bearish bias. Sell indications are likely to strengthen if the price declines below $21,222.60 in the short-term.       Key Takeaways: A hawkish Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% and indicates only 2 rate cuts in 2025! The stock market witnesses its worst day of 2024 due to the Fed’s hawkish forward guidance. Economists do not expect a rate cut before May 2025. Housing and bank stocks fell more than 4%. Investors are cashing in their gains and not looking to risk while the Fed is unlikely to cut again until May 2025. The US Dollar Index rises close to its highest level since November 2022. US Bond Yields also rise to their highest since May 2024. The NASDAQ’s average decline in 2024 before investors opt to purchase the dip is 13%. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • SNAP stock at 11.38 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?SNAP
    • DLTR Dollar Tree stock watch, pull back to 70.32 support area with bullish indicators, also watch DG at https://stockconsultant.com/?DLTR
    • AKBA Akebia Therapeutics stock, nice trend with pull back to 1.87 support area and bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?AKBA
    • CFLT Confluent stock watch, good trend with a pull back to 31.73 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?CFLT
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.