Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Predictor

Restore Confidence In Markets

Recommended Posts

I propose the following simple steps are urgently needed to restore confidence in the markets:

 

1. Insure all futures deposits up to 25k at 100%, 25k to a maximum at 85%

2. Require all futures FCM's to electronically report on segregated funds every 24 hours.

2. Require all posted quotes to be valid for at least 300 MS before being cancelled.

3. Ban all darkpools. Require all orders to take place on open market.

4. Remove regulation barring US citizens access to foreign futures exchanges.

5. Ban sub penny quoting.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2. Require all posted quotes to be valid for at least 300 MS before being cancelled.

 

Do markets need to slow down, or retail traders speed up?

 

Why is no company bulk-renting colocated server space, breaking it down, and sub-letting to retail traders? Is there no market for this? Do exchanges prohibit it?

 

BlueHorseshoe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I do not think the retail trader even plays a role in the markets. Of course, I may be wrong.. But the institutional trader isn't that fast either which is a good argument for the market to slow down.

 

The situation is that the HFT's have made it difficult for the institutions to do business in the open markets and so they've went to dark pools.

 

The idea is that by imposing some limitations on the HFTS and enforcing the institutions back into the market that we will have a fair and open market again.. Doesn't mean that traders won't lose but we'll be sure we know what the price is at any given time and that some aren't outright cheating the system.

----

 

I would also add additional rule to consider congress insiders in areas where they have non public information.

 

Do markets need to slow down, or retail traders speed up?

 

Why is no company bulk-renting colocated server space, breaking it down, and sub-letting to retail traders? Is there no market for this? Do exchanges prohibit it?

 

BlueHorseshoe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The situation is that the HFT's have made it difficult for the institutions to do business in the open markets and so they've went to dark pools.

 

The idea is that by imposing some limitations on the HFTS and enforcing the institutions back into the market that we will have a fair and open market again..

 

I think that this is only a fair argument in so far as one supposes that the markets exist to serve institutions moreso than they exist to serve HFTs. Where an insitution is acting on behalf of a producer/consumer who needs to hedge risk in the underlying, or where the institution represents mutual funds or, generally, the retirement assets of the typical citizen, then this may be true.

 

If the markets were regulated to benefit institutional trading, would this really be fair?

 

BlueHorseshoe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A few years ago in Australia we had a very famous tax minimisatio method called the Bottom of the Harbour Scheme - if you had a substantial income and were willing to participate in this scheme it made the payment of tax optional (a lot of people on substantial incomes jumped willingly on board).

More and more people participated in this tax scheme and thus the Government had to close it down and how - they backdated the legislation - people screamed (the backdated penalties for participating in this scheme were 150%) but this scheme threatened the whole fabric of the tax base of the country.

Why not do this when market manipulation etc. is discovered - i.e. just let it be known that the government is will backdate legislation and the legislation will include a severe penalty.

Simple.

Why not do it now.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I propose the following simple steps are urgently needed to restore confidence in the markets:

 

1. Insure all futures deposits up to 25k at 100%, 25k to a maximum at 85%

2. Require all futures FCM's to electronically report on segregated funds every 24 hours.

2. Require all posted quotes to be valid for at least 300 MS before being cancelled.

3. Ban all darkpools. Require all orders to take place on open market.

4. Remove regulation barring US citizens access to foreign futures exchanges.

5. Ban sub penny quoting.

 

1...why insure, why not actually make it safer by segregating it - all of it. Crooks love insurance - it means it still ok to steal it as someone else will cover it.

2....fraud will still occur - again making it safer, and not just the pretense of being checked.

2a....just have a level playing field, and dont allow quotes that would have been hit to be cancelled. If I understand it some HFT have the ability to pull out when they know they might get hit - I think a lot of this has to do with multiple exchanges etc - but requotes and speed to flush out buyers and sellers has occured before computers - no one has really explained adequately why this is new, or such an issue. Different order types for selected clients - a different story.

3....The dark pools were designed to get around the front runners and insiders - get rid of multiple exchanges, allow more transparency and make the exchanges non profit - that might throw something into the mix.

4...no comment - not US

5....see 2a - sub penny quoting is fine - if everyone can do it and the order types are fair for everyone.

 

:2c:- To restore confidence you need to ensure that the markets work in a fair and orderly manner for all participants (speed and location dont play a part here) and that criminals are prosecuted. To many firms (banks) are prosecuted and settle time and time again for what would be considered fraud, price rigging and corruption in any other industry......and yet why would we expect them to do anything else given they are encouraged to do so and then have no downside.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

>>1. Insure all futures deposits up to 25k at 100%, 25k to a maximum at 85%

 

1. Insure individual futures account deposits up to $250K, a maximum of $1M total for all accounts belong to one SSID/EIN. The program should work like the FDIC and not require depositors to go to court or deal with the delays associated with bankruptcy. [ Canadian customers of MF Global and PFGBest have a similar program and recovered their funds from the Canadian government within three days. ]

 

>>2. Require all posted quotes to be valid for at least 300 MS before being cancelled.

 

2. Restore the intent of the REG NMS National Best Bid or Offer (NBBO) by forcing some serialization of quotes and cancels from the same customer. What I mean is you have to wait for some exchange computer to see and "stamp" your quote before you can cancel it or submit another quote. The exchange computer implements some fairness round-robin algorithm that makes your quote visible and only then can you stuff the pipe with another order.

 

also...

 

Charge for excess quotes.

If the ratio of cancels to quotes exceeds 100:1 charge $0.02/quote for all quotes, else

if the ratio of cancels to quotes exceeds 25:1 charge $0.01/quote for the number of quotes over 1000.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think that too much insurance might drive up the costs too high which we don't want. Futures are highly leveraged and as such we don't too keep too much in the account. This would encourage brokers to offer better incentives to those who kept more in account. By not requiring 100% insurance then this still encourages traders to review their broker..

 

The other option is to enforce the segregated accounts at a structural level and require the NFA to hold the accounts. This option wouldn't require insurance and could still offer protection for client funds.

 

 

>>1. Insure all futures deposits up to 25k at 100%, 25k to a maximum at 85%

 

1. Insure individual futures account deposits up to $250K, a maximum of $1M total for all accounts belong to one SSID/EIN. The program should work like the FDIC and not require depositors to go to court or deal with the delays associated with bankruptcy. [ Canadian customers of MF Global and PFGBest have a similar program and recovered their funds from the Canadian government within three days. ]

 

>>2. Require all posted quotes to be valid for at least 300 MS before being cancelled.

 

2. Restore the intent of the REG NMS National Best Bid or Offer (NBBO) by forcing some serialization of quotes and cancels from the same customer. What I mean is you have to wait for some exchange computer to see and "stamp" your quote before you can cancel it or submit another quote. The exchange computer implements some fairness round-robin algorithm that makes your quote visible and only then can you stuff the pipe with another order.

 

also...

 

Charge for excess quotes.

If the ratio of cancels to quotes exceeds 100:1 charge $0.02/quote for all quotes, else

if the ratio of cancels to quotes exceeds 25:1 charge $0.01/quote for the number of quotes over 1000.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I think that too much insurance might drive up the costs too high which we don't want.

 

On the morning of July 9th 2012 I made a few trades in my PFGBest account. I tried to make another trade later in the day and it was rejected with an insufficient margin message. About 24 hours later I understood that my entire margin deposit at PFGBest had effectively vanished from the face of the earth. Maybe I'll see 20% recovery within 3 years time. Maybe more. Maybe less.

 

This past week I opened a new futures account and had to consent to about a dozen agreements, some of which were designed by the NFA, to warn me of the dangers of trading futures and protect the brokerage firm in the event I go bankrupt. No where in this paperwork did I see a disclaimer that the brokerage firm might mishandle my funds or that my margin deposit was at risk for reasons other than my own trading.

 

I enjoy futures but I can't justify the effort unless I trade a large enough account to hold multiple bond, crude, or gold contracts overnight. The stock market has the SIPC and that is where the bulk of my liquid business funds will stay while I see if the CFTC will fix the futures industry.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • CVNA Carvana stock, nice top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?CVNA
    • GDRX GoodRx stock, good day, watch for a bottom range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?GDRX
    • Date: 14th February 2025.   Can The NASDAQ Maintain Momentum at Key Resistance Level?     The price of the NASDAQ throughout the week rose more than 3.00% to bring the price back up to the instrument’s resistance level. However, while taking into consideration higher inflation, tariffs and the resistance level, could the index maintain momentum?   US Inflation Rises For a 4th Consecutive Month The US Consumer Price Index, or inflation, rose for a 4th consecutive month taking the rate even further away from the Federal Reserve’s target. Analysts were expecting the US inflation rate to remain unchanged at 2.9%. However, consumer inflation rose to 3.00%, the highest since July 2024, while Producer inflation rose to 3.5%. Higher inflation traditionally triggers lower sentiment towards the stock market as investors' risk appetite falls and they prefer the US Dollar. However, on this occasion bullish volatility rose. For this reason, some traders may be considering if the price is overbought in the short term.   Addressing these statistics, US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that the Fed has yet to achieve its goal of curbing inflation, adding further hawkish signals regarding the monetary policy. Other members of the FOMC also share this view. Today, Raphael Bostic, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, stated that the Fed is unlikely to implement interest rate cuts in the near future. This is due to ongoing economic uncertainty following the introduction of trade tariffs on imported goods and other policies from the Republican-led White House.   Most of the Federal Open Market Committee emphasizes additional time is needed to fully assess the situation. According to the Chicago Exchange FedWatch Tool, interest rate cuts may not start until September 2025.   What’s Driving The NASDAQ Higher? Earnings data this week has continued to support the NASDAQ. Early this morning Airbnb made public their quarterly earnings report whereby they beat both earnings per share and revenue expectations. The Earnings Per Share read 25% higher than expectations and Revenue was more than 2% higher. As a result, the stock rose more than 14%. Another company this week that made public positive earnings data is Cisco which rose by more than 2% on Thursday. Another positive factor continues to be the positive employment data. Even though the positive employment data can push back interest rate cuts, the stability in the short term continues to serve the interests of higher consumer demand. The US Unemployment Rate fell to 4.00% the lowest in 8 months. Lastly, investors are also increasing their exposure to the index due to sellers not being able to maintain control or momentum. Some economists also increase their confidence in economic growth if Trump can obtain a positive outcome from the Ukraine-Russia negotiations.   However, during Friday’s pre-US session trading, 80% of the most influential stocks are witnessing a decline. The NASDAQ itself is trading more or less unchanged. Therefore, the question again arises as to whether the NASDAQ can maintain momentum above this area.   NASDAQ - News and Technical analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ is largely witnessing mainly bullish indications on the 2-hour chart. However, the main concern for traders is the resistance level at $21,960. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price is mainly experiencing bearish signals as the price moves below the 200-period simple moving average.   The VIX, which is largely used as a risk indicator, is currently trading 0.75% higher which indicates a lower risk appetite. In addition to this, bond yields trade 6 points higher. If both the VIX and Bond yields rise further, further pressure may be witnessed for index traders.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • LUNR Intuitive Machines stock watch, attempting to move higher off 18.64 support, target 26 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?LUNR
    • CNXC Concentrix stock watch, pullback to 47.16 triple support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?CNXC
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.