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Predictor

Learn How To Trade

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I know this isn't going to sit well with most -- especially the vendors here who like to attack me -- but one of the most important lessons I learned as a trader is that it is not possible to learn how to trade! This is why I don't claim to teach others how to trade. Something that can't be learned surely can't be taught!

 

One of the big breakthroughs I had in my performance was when I recognized that the effort in spent on learning how to trade was a mistake. In order to learn anything then it must be finite and it must be static. So, if we are to learn anything (completely) then it must be completely contained and never changing. If it changes or if we can't completely bound it (constrain) it then it is not possible to know it completely which is exactly what "learning to do something" implies.

 

Most professions are both unbounded and changing. There is no "learning how to program" either. It is not possible to learn how to program because if one truly learned how to program then it means (to me) that you can program anything in the world under any possible scenario. Nobody can do this! There are many specializations and new develops on a regular basis.

 

Let me give another example, it is not possible to, in general, "learn how to be a doctor". It only may appear that way. But, do you think the doctors of today would be able to practice medicine 200 years from now without additional training? Surely not...A good example can be found even today, I was reading some months ago that heart surgeons who had a decade of education and had expected to make 300k-500k per year were unable to find work because stints had replaced most of the work they would do. Many of these surgeons were going back to school to get additional education.

 

So, what does a trader who claims to have learned how to trade really mean? Really its not a objective measure but a measure ones own self confidence. A measure of how competent they feel and capable.

 

Let me back up and also say that I have produced materials on developing specific types of skills that have helped me. There are specific types of skills that one can develop, and that can take off years from the learning process.

 

The psychology that the average trader has, and promoted by average vendors, is so much different then the psychology that I believe the elite performer embraces. My psychology is one of a process. It is not a learned but a learning.

 

Instead of focusing the idea of "learning how to trade": focus on taking great opportunities. Focus on the process. Focus on listening to the market. Focus on building skills.

 

As well, there is no single way to trade. I trade in multiple paradigms, on multiple levels..

 

As I encouraged my students in my newsletter, focus on the opportunity.. focus on the process..

 

If I think about "learning how to trade", I draw a blank but I know how to find opportunity in the markets on a regular basis.

---

http://themarketpredictor.com

Edited by Predictor

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Markets can be characterized...that characterization is simply a model of how each market acts...once you have that, you can develop a plan to trade it...

 

A person who says it can't be taught is a person who A). Doesn't have the skills to teach it. or B.) Doesn't really know how to do it consistently

 

If we take the ES market for example, the characterization that works currently is based on the concept of balance and imbalance....simply put, balanced markets move in a range, while imbalanced markets trend....this happens on all time frames and once you know that you can trade responsively (long at the bottom of the range, short at the top) or initiatively (long or short as the market breaks out, and starts to trend)....

 

What can't be taught is basic aptitude....but the skills based on that simple analysis (above) can be learned if one has the talent, the basic intelligence and motivation to learn it....

 

Amazing isn't it that the gentleman takes multiple paragraphs to explain what he can't do.... while have just put it in writing here in a few words....

 

Good luck folks....lol

Edited by MadMarketScientist
off topic

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Generally speaking the folks I work with are good people....working hard and trying to stay employed...thats why they are sent to me...unlike you they are serious about this profession

 

and I leave the small comments to you as they seem to be your specialty...

 

Sincerely

Edited by steve46

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Generally speaking the folks I work with are good people....working hard and trying to stay employed...thats why they are sent to me...unlike you they are serious about this profession

 

and I leave the small comments to you as they seem to be your specialty...

 

 

hm, Your students are sent to you? …they’re not directly paying the bill ?… so you have to treat them with a certain level of courtesy and respect or those footing the bill won’t send or refer anyone else ever ? … The way you’re posting on TL lately smells of progressively intensified frustration ‘displacement’ to me …

 

Seems you’re left with a choice here – treat your vendor peers and members who voluntarily interact with you up here with a modicum of the same respect or continue to lose more and more of the credibility you previously established.

 

Put another way …

Vendor Vs Vendor is as inane as was Spy Vs Spy – but has none of the entertainment value of even Spy Vs Spy

Having no entertainment value, what do the attacks on fellow vendors provide?

…Maybe some educational value? Nope.

On balance, this torrent of sabotage, attacks, and put downs interferes with “learning how to trade” far more than it helps with “learning how to trade”...

 

... also, and briefly, from your posted reactions to Predictor's content in particular, I doubt you really get the perspectives from which he's coming at the challenges of trading...

 

…still trusting you are not really as small, angry, and mean as you’re appearing to be recently…

 

Yours - shrinking together and making TL and all who participate smaller too,

 

:missy:

 

zdo

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One of the experiences I had that led to this thinking, actually came from another performance field, computer programming. I started programming at an early age, learned many programming languages, many ways of structuring programs -- first structured programming and later object orientation. Yet, technology changed over the years. The skills that I started with, programming in assembly language were replaced with programming in C/C++ whereas today I use even higher level languages.

 

I was rather good at this from an early age.. not that I didn't struggle a lot too-- after about a decade of experience I tried to figure out what exactly I had learned. It was hard to really put my finger on. As best I could tell, I had mainly gained a sense of confidence that I could solve the problems that I needed too. Not that I "knew everything" but that I could go and learn it. Of course, now it is easier with the internet to get answers to problems.

 

I also knew other programmers over the years. Some had more experience then I did but couldn't do as much. I recognized that most people learn for about 1-2 years and then they just rely on what they already know. I notice that some of these people are very good at "taking shortcuts" which is productive but doesn't really allow them to develop further.

 

One of the subscribers to my newsletter (no longer published) was always concerned if he were doing things the RIGHT way. He was thinking too much. I realized that when I over thought trading that it produced additional stress and anxiety that made it difficult for me to perform at my best.

 

I encouraged him, as I do myself, to take it 1 day at a time: focusing on the process.. focusing on developing the read... and the opportunity..

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hm, Your students are sent to you? …they’re not directly paying the bill ?… so you have to treat them with a certain level of courtesy and respect or those footing the bill won’t send or refer anyone else ever ? … The way you’re posting on TL lately smells of progressively intensified frustration ‘displacement’ to me …

 

Seems you’re left with a choice here – treat your vendor peers and members who voluntarily interact with you up here with a modicum of the same respect or continue to lose more and more of the credibility you previously established.

 

Put another way …

Vendor Vs Vendor is as inane as was Spy Vs Spy – but has none of the entertainment value of even Spy Vs Spy

Having no entertainment value, what do the attacks on fellow vendors provide?

…Maybe some educational value? Nope.

On balance, this torrent of sabotage, attacks, and put downs interferes with “learning how to trade” far more than it helps with “learning how to trade”...

 

... also, and briefly, from your posted reactions to Predictor's content in particular, I doubt you really get the perspectives from which he's coming at the challenges of trading...

 

…still trusting you are not really as small, angry, and mean as you’re appearing to be recently…

 

Yours - shrinking together and making TL and all who participate smaller too,

 

:missy:

 

zdo

 

You aren't paying attention...I will go over it slowly

 

My "students" (I call them clients) don't pay the bill, they don't pay directly or indirectly....the institution that employs them pays....and that institution is willing to pay my fee, because A) after traders work with me they make more money and B.) it is cheaper than going out and looking for replacements....

 

I treat "my clients" with respect because unlike the folks here, they always pay attention, they THINK carefully about the subjects at hand....they ask thoughtful questions, and they work hard (because their jobs are on the line)....

 

By the way, I have already proven myself here...over a period of years....I have published a lot of free information that seems to have been useful to struggling traders....you....and a few others who seem to be upset...not so much.....in fact not at all....clearly you are "takers" rather than "givers"....If I am wrong point me to something that you have authored that has gotten a significant number of page views....Credibility?.....I am sure you can imagine where you can put your comments about credibility....

 

Lovely to have spoken with you once again...

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Predictor - I am fast becoming a fan of yours, partly because of your ability to ignore the pomposity of ego-centric detractors while holding true to the topic ... and partly because the lateral thinking with which you approach the topic is causing me to follow suite.

 

Thanks for your innovation. I am certain you are developing an appreciative following.

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I treat "my clients" with respect because unlike the folks here, they always pay attention, they THINK carefully about the subjects at hand....they ask thoughtful questions, and they work hard (because their jobs are on the line)....

.

 

Obvious question Steve and I think this is actually not off topic as we are talking about learning to trade and hence the link with teaching, and this is not meant to question your or anyones ability to trade, or teach or their knowledge.....

 

If folks here are such poor students, and you treat them with disrespect compared to your paying clients, and your clients actually pay (or some representative from them does)....why do you continue to stay and disrespect people here at TL who might not have the experience of your 'professional' clients.

Surely as a free internet discussion site for many new day traders you would understand the level of knowledge here might be less than elsewhere. (For others it is rather higher)

 

I dont think I need to further any other suggestions of what this might mean, but it does beg the question Steve of - Why are you here if this is what you really think?

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I know this isn't going to sit well with most -- especially the vendors here who like to attack me -- but one of the most important lessons I learned as a trader is that it is not possible to learn how to trade! This is why I don't claim to teach others how to trade. Something that can't be learned surely can't be taught!

 

One of the big breakthroughs I had in my performance was when I recognized that the effort in spent on learning how to trade was a mistake. In order to learn anything then it must be finite and it must be static. So, if we are to learn anything (completely) then it must be completely contained and never changing. If it changes or if we can't completely bound it (constrain) it then it is not possible to know it completely which is exactly what "learning to do something" implies.

 

Most professions are both unbounded and changing. There is no "learning how to program" either. It is not possible to learn how to program because if one truly learned how to program then it means (to me) that you can program anything in the world under any possible scenario. Nobody can do this! There are many specializations and new develops on a regular basis.

 

Let me give another example, it is not possible to, in general, "learn how to be a doctor". It only may appear that way. But, do you think the doctors of today would be able to practice medicine 200 years from now without additional training? Surely not...A good example can be found even today, I was reading some months ago that heart surgeons who had a decade of education and had expected to make 300k-500k per year were unable to find work because stints had replaced most of the work they would do. Many of these surgeons were going back to school to get additional education.

 

So, what does a trader who claims to have learned how to trade really mean? Really its not a objective measure but a measure ones own self confidence. A measure of how competent they feel and capable.

 

Let me back up and also say that I have produced materials on developing specific types of skills that have helped me. There are specific types of skills that one can develop, and that can take off years from the learning process.

 

The psychology that the average trader has, and promoted by average vendors, is so much different then the psychology that I believe the elite performer embraces. My psychology is one of a process. It is not a learned but a learning.

 

Instead of focusing the idea of "learning how to trade": focus on taking great opportunities. Focus on the process. Focus on listening to the market. Focus on building skills.

 

As well, there is no single way to trade. I trade in multiple paradigms, on multiple levels..

 

As I encouraged my students in my newsletter, focus on the opportunity.. focus on the process..

 

If I think about "learning how to trade", I draw a blank but I know how to find opportunity in the markets on a regular basis.

---

 

It might be a good idea for you to define what you think trading is. It will prove futile for anyone to focus or listen if he doesn't not know what he is seeking.

In my opinion if one has to learn how to trade before he comes to the markets, he won't stand a chance. Other talented traders will fleece him while he tweeks his way to extinction. You can't find the opportunity in the long run if you do not know how to trade.

 

Also, would you please dampen some of the sales tactics. It feels like you are offering a 90 day free trial to a secret weight loss or exercise program.

 

"Let me back up and also say that I have produced materials on developing specific types of skills that have helped me. There are specific types of skills that one can develop, and that can take off years from the learning process. "

 

"Let me back up and also say that I have produced materials on developing specific types of exercise skills that have helped me. There are specific types of exercise skills that one can develop, and that can take off inches from your waist line in a matter of days."

 

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It might be a good idea for you to define what you think trading is. It will prove futile for anyone to focus or listen if he doesn't not know what he is seeking.

In my opinion if one has to learn how to trade before he comes to the markets, he won't stand a chance. Other talented traders will fleece him while he tweeks his way to extinction. You can't find the opportunity in the long run if you do not know how to trade.

 

Also, would you please dampen some of the sales tactics. It feels like you are offering a 90 day free trial to a secret weight loss or exercise program.

 

"Let me back up and also say that I have produced materials on developing specific types of skills that have helped me. There are specific types of skills that one can develop, and that can take off years from the learning process. "

 

"Let me back up and also say that I have produced materials on developing specific types of exercise skills that have helped me. There are specific types of exercise skills that one can develop, and that can take off inches from your waist line in a matter of days."

 

 

Nice to see some common sense appearing on the horizon

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Obvious question Steve and I think this is actually not off topic as we are talking about learning to trade and hence the link with teaching, and this is not meant to question your or anyones ability to trade, or teach or their knowledge.....

 

If folks here are such poor students, and you treat them with disrespect compared to your paying clients, and your clients actually pay (or some representative from them does)....why do you continue to stay and disrespect people here at TL who might not have the experience of your 'professional' clients.

Surely as a free internet discussion site for many new day traders you would understand the level of knowledge here might be less than elsewhere. (For others it is rather higher)

 

I dont think I need to further any other suggestions of what this might mean, but it does beg the question Steve of - Why are you here if this is what you really think?

 

A decent question (for a change)

 

What I have found to be true (unfortunately) is that those who benefitted most from my comments were those who were members but did not post, or did not post very much....

 

I taught two (2) small classes of retail traders. It was the only time I have every taught retail traders....4 people in each class.....and only one of them posted here.....when I asked them why, they suggested to me that the level of discourse at Traderslaboratory was (and here they used a variety of discriptive terms) "unpleasant" "rude" "idiotic" "moronic" ".......I could go on, but that was the gist....

 

Thanks for the question

Edited by steve46

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I taught two (2) small classes of retail traders....

 

Hi Steve46 (fourty-six),

 

I really admire the way you write!

 

At first I wasn't sure what you meant by 'two' and was really confused . . . but then you were kind enough to put the number in brackets afterwards, and suddenly a lightbulb went on in my stupid head!

 

TL would be a much worse place of there weren't articulate people like you around to explain things for the slower folks like myself . . .

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

ps. I (myself: the first person) hope you don't mind if I adopt this same stylistic technique in my own writing? (question mark)

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A decent question (for a change)

 

What I have found to be true (unfortunately) is that those who benefitted most from my comments were those who were members but did not post, or did not post very much....

 

I taught two (2) small classes of retail traders. It was the only time I have every taught retail traders....4 people in each class.....and only one of them posted here.....when I asked them why, they suggested to me that the level of discourse at Traderslaboratory was (and here they used a variety of discriptive terms) "unpleasant" "rude" "idiotic" "moronic" ".......I could go on, but that was the gist....

 

Thanks for the question

 

yes but why are you here if this is what you really think? Why not just post in a thread such as the ES where you contribute positively......

because with comments such as "A decent question (for a change)" you are clearly only contributing to the level of discourse you seem against.......

 

To me it does not make sense for you to be here unless you enjoy it, enjoy reading it, enjoy participating in it. You are not getting paid, you think people here are morons and seem happy to be open about it (I mean that is just your personality which is fine).

 

(I for one enjoy it all immensely and find most people pleasant even if we dont agree)

 

I am just fascinated as why you would bother Steve - you can clearly trade and teach people - so why as such would you put yourself through the diatribe you think you find here.

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A decent question (?) as usual (:))

 

The original poster suggested in a clumsy multi-paragraph sales pitch...that he couldn't teach trading but incidentally he has these services that he can offer....for a price

 

I suggested in response that trading can indeed be taught....further... here is what works....markets are either consolidating or trending, so you trade responsively short at the top, long at the bottom of each range....and if you are lucky one of those times, price will break out with you on board...and the advantage is you don't have to pay anyone to teach you.....YOU CAN TEACH YOURSELF.....are you getting this yet...?

Edited by MadMarketScientist
no personal attacks please - thanks

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Steve46 - I think most of us got the "clumsy sales pitch", your style of trading, (thanks by the way), and the lessons in being adults, we get your humour and that you have a grumpy personality ......

 

the part I dont get and maybe its just me -

As a teacher and a trader with the skills you have - why participate in something and with others that you clearly hold such contempt with, when you say you dont with your other students?

 

We could speculate but that might be a whole other thread in itself, and before we head down the slippery slope that is that........

I mean if you just don't like folks here, or they are a little slow, or maybe they just don't understand your sensitive side then fine, ......but why punish yourself?

 

It seems like a trader who repeats his mistakes when he is learning to trade.

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Steve46 - I think most of us got the "clumsy sales pitch", your style of trading, (thanks by the way), and the lessons in being adults, we get your humour and that you have a grumpy personality ......

 

the part I dont get and maybe its just me -

As a teacher and a trader with the skills you have - why participate in something and with others that you clearly hold such contempt with, when you say you dont with your other students?

 

We could speculate but that might be a whole other thread in itself, and before we head down the slippery slope that is that........

I mean if you just don't like folks here, or they are a little slow, or maybe they just don't understand your sensitive side then fine, ......but why punish yourself?

 

It seems like a trader who repeats his mistakes when he is learning to trade.

 

 

Here is a quote from my previous post (#19)

 

for those whose short term memory may be compromised.....

 

"What I have found to be true (unfortunately) is that those who benefitted most from my comments were those who were members but did not post, or did not post very much...."

 

Okay so I think I have suffered patiently through all your many attempts to be witty.....and frankly now I am bored......

Edited by MadMarketScientist
no personal attacks please - thanks

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"What I have found to be true (unfortunately) is that those who benefitted most from my comments were those who were members but did not post, or did not post very much...."

 

so Q: why put yourself through the moronic diatribe here, why punish yourself here when you have so much contempt for us.....

A: the silent few.

 

Fair enough.

it all makes sense now -thanks Steve - and sorry for me being a little short on memory....

 

Despite your contempt for the rest of us it is done for the silent few.....

 

not sure why but it kinda reminds me of Dr.Charles Montague

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-u1jtxkgEdQ]Division of correction - YouTube[/ame]

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... If I am wrong point me to something that you have authored that has gotten a significant number of page views....Credibility?...

 

A large number of views or thanks or likes on one of my posts always tells me I’ve gotten away from my intention on TL. My posts are not targeted to the large, general audience – but to the one particular trader out there who might need it in the moment. Most days I only find a few minutes to skim a few posts and maybe compose something that questions the paradigms of the “profession” (your term) from way out on the tails where seeking ‘credibility’ would be ludicrous..

 

I have already proven myself here...over a period of years....I have published a lot of free information that seems to have been useful to struggling traders....

That’s just it Steve46, the content about trading you have authored IS high quality and credible. I’m only finding “wrong” with your content about your peers and the way you are treating other people… It’s basically just a matter of at least trying when it comes to being able to disagree (or even warn or rescue them from some stoopid vendor like Predictor, etc) without being disagreeable. I’m taking the time and energy to respond because I’m still trusting you are not really as small, angry, and mean as you’re appearing to be recently…

 

and re:

clients…unlike you they are serious about this profession

I can’t speak for all traders, but the traders I admire ( myself included ;) ) do not want to be in the "profession".

'Professional' has at its roots jumping through a bunch of governmental and cultural hoops so that one can have an exclusive specialized license (to exploit)… personally if I were to go professional, it would not be as a professional trader … been there, done that - IB, CTA, CPO, managing private funds (... and even did a short stint interspersed in there as a training “vendor” (as we call them in here :) ).

Much like the complications that arise when lead substitutes in cellular receptor sites for zinc, etc, I find that ‘professionalism’ naturally needs to be flushed and chelated out - so that plain old fashioned Perseverance, etc. can do its job

… and that’s some Learn How To Trade from yet another perspective from the one Predictor is talking about.

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Here is a quote from my previous post (#19)

 

Hi Steve46 (fourty-six),

 

I love how you have started to reference yourself in your own post - can I ask where the inspiration for this came from?

 

It's like some kind of postmodern feedback loop of recurrent, self-congratulatory pomp - AWESOME!

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

ps. I hope you don't mind if I start doing this too?

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My sentiments totally echo those of BlueHorseshoe's previous post:

 

Hi Steve46 (fourty-six),

 

I love how you have started to reference yourself in your own post - can I ask where the inspiration for this came from?

 

It's like some kind of postmodern feedback loop of recurrent, self-congratulatory pomp - AWESOME!

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

ps. I hope you don't mind if I start doing this too?

 

BlueHorseshoe

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This is one of the most ridiculous posts I've ever read. And that is saying a lot.

 

Trading is hard, and it isn't right for everyone. However, the fact that we cannot know something completely or perfectly doesn't mean that we can't learn to do it or learn some part of it in which we can be effective. Any complex art, science or similar human endeavor is going to be larger than the capacity of any one person to know it all. That does not mean that a person, through diligent application of effort and maybe some natural skill, cannot become a master at it, even though it might take years or a lifetime.

 

I believe that, if someone wants to learn to trade, he needs to get to know himself -- his skills, available time, strengths and weaknesses -- the market he wishes to trade, the broker he is using, the software he is using, and then practice one or two basic setups hundreds of times, until he can execute them perfectly each time and can show a consistent positive expectancy. He doesn't have to know every indicator, every market, every theory and nuance; to claim that he "can't learn" something simply because it is complex or changing is complete nonsense.

 

Consider jiujitsu. There are thousands of techniques, and it is constantly evolving. The best players, though, aren't necessarily those who know thousands of moves, but who have mastered the basic principles and can execute a few effective moves with proper timing, confidence and efficiency. Getting there takes years of practice, hundreds or thousands of repetitions, and a lot of mistakes were made along the way. It isn't easy, and only one in a thousand can do it.

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i really don't get why you guys are flaming each other.

this discussion altogether seems unproductive.

 

there are fundamental aspects of trading that can definitely be taught, no question about that (conscious, analytic mind function).

also, there are components that heavily depend on your personality and experience (subconscious, abstract mind function).

 

the people that want to be traders and mostly fail are over-analytic "left-brained" mindset weighted. they learn what can be taught and still suck, because its not enough.

 

so if someone says trading can not be taught, i say he is right, because the probably more tough components can not be taught. they have to be experienced.

if another guy says trading CAN be taught, i say he is right too, because some analytic components and approaches how you can work on your mindset can definitely be taught.

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In order to come up with a more beneficial answer or solution it's sometimes helpful to ask a better question. Semantics aside I think rather than ask "can one learn to trade" a more appropriate question would be...

 

"Can one learn to trade profitably"?

 

I believe trading is a learned skill and one certainly can learn to trade profitably. Then a trader can continue to educate themselves (either self teaching or being mentored), be adaptable, improve their psychological skills such as mastering discipline and "hopefully" become more profitable over time.

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    • Date: 1st April 2025.   Will Gold’s Rally Hold Strong as New Trade Tariffs Take Effect Tomorrow?   Gold continues to increase in value for a sixth consecutive day and is trading more than 17% higher in 2025. Amid fear of higher inflation, a recession and the tariffs war escalating investors continue to invest into Gold pushing demand higher. The trade policy from April 2nd onwards continues to be a key factor for the whole market. Can Gold maintain its upward trend? Trade Policy From Tomorrow Onwards Starting as soon as tomorrow, a 25% tariff will be imposed on all passenger cars imported into the United States. While this White House policy is anticipated to negatively affect European industrial performance, it will also lead to higher transportation and maintenance costs for everyday American taxpayers. The negative impact expected on both the EU and US is one of the reasons investors continue to buy Gold. Additionally, last month, President Donald Trump announced reciprocal sanctions against any trade partners that impose import restrictions on US goods. Furthermore, tariffs on products from Canada and the EU could increase even more if they attempt to coordinate a response. Overall, investors continue to worry that new trade barriers will prompt retaliatory measures, particularly from China, the Eurozone, and Japan. Any retaliation is likely to escalate the trade conflict and prompt another reaction from the US. Experts at Goldman Sachs and other investment banks warn that this will lead to rising inflation and unemployment. They also caution that it could effectively halt economic growth in the US.   XAUUSD 1-Hour Chart   The Weakness In The US Dollar Another factor which is allowing the price of XAUUSD to increase in value is the US Dollar which has been unable to maintain any bullish momentum. Despite last week’s Core PCE Price Index rising to its highest level since February 2024, the US Dollar has been unable to see any significant rise in value. Due to the US Dollar and Gold's inverse correlation, the price of Gold is benefiting from the Dollar weakness. Investors worry that new trade barriers will prompt retaliatory measures from China, the Eurozone, and Japan, potentially escalating the conflict. Experts at The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. believe that such actions by the US administration will drive rising inflation and unemployment while effectively halting economic growth in the country. Can Gold Maintain Momentum? When it comes to technical analysis, the price of Gold is not trading at a price where oscillators are indicating the instrument is overbought. The Relative Strength Index currently trades at 68.88, outside of the overbought area, since Gold’s price fell 0.65% during this morning’s session. However, even with this decline, the price still remains 0.40% higher than the day’s open price. In terms of fundamental analysis, there continues to be plenty of factors indicating the price could continue to rise. However, the price movement of the week will also partially depend on the employment data from the US. The US is due to release the JOLTS Job Vacancies for February this afternoon, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change tomorrow, and the NFP Change and Unemployment Rate on Friday. If all data reads higher than expectations, investors may look to sell to lock in profits at the high price. Key Takeaway Points: Gold’s Rally Continues – Up 17% in 2025 as investors seek safety from inflation, recession fears, and trade tensions. Trade War Impact – New US tariffs and potential retaliation from China, the EU, and Japan drive uncertainty, boosting Gold demand. Weak US Dollar – The Dollar’s struggle supports Gold’s rise due to their inverse correlation. Gold’s Outlook – Uptrend may continue, but US jobs data could trigger profit-taking. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 31st March 2025.   Trump Confirms Tariffs on All Countries, Sending Stocks Lower.   The NASDAQ continues to trade lower due to the US confirming the latest tariffs will be on all countries. In addition to this, bearish volatility also is largely due to the higher inflation data from Friday. The NASDAQ declines to its lowest price since September 11th 2024. Core PCE Price Index - Inflation Increases Again! The PCE Price Index read 2.5% aligning with expert forecasts not triggering any alarm bells. However, the Core PCE Price Index rose from 0.3% to 0.4% MoM and from 2.7% to 2.8% YoY, signalling growing inflationary pressure. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. The NASDAQ fell 2.60% due to the higher inflation reading which is known to pressure the stock market due to pressure on consumer demand and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently commented that tariffs could drive up inflation, though the long-term impact remains uncertain. She told journalists that a short-term spike is the most probable outcome but believes the current pause in monetary policy adjustments is appropriate given the prevailing uncertainties. Although, certain investment banks such as JP Morgan actually believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates. This is due to expectations that the economy will struggle under the new trade policy. For example, JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts but will quickly cut towards the end of 2025. Market Risk Appetite Takes a Hit! A big factor for the day is the drop in the risk appetite of investors. This can be seen from the VIX which is up almost 6%, Gold which is trading 1.30% higher and the Japanese Yen which is the day’s best performing currency. Most safe haven assets, bar the US Dollar, increase in value. It is also worth noting that all indices are decreasing in value during this morning's Asian session with the Nikkei225 and NASDAQ witnessing the strongest decline. Previously the stock market rose in value as investors heard rumours that tariffs would only be on certain countries. This bullish swing occurred between March 14th and 25th. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump indicated that the upcoming tariffs would apply to all countries, not just those with the largest trade imbalances with the US. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ continues to obtain indications that sellers control the price action. The price opens on a bearish price gap measuring 0.30% and trades below all Moving Averages on all timeframes. The NASDAQ also trades below the VWAP and almost 100% of the most influential components (stocks) are declining in value.     The next significant support level is at $18,313, and the resistance level stands at $20,367.95. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ falls to its lowest since September 2024 as the US confirms tariffs on all countries, adding to inflation concerns. Core PCE inflation rises to 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY, increasing the likelihood of prolonged high interest rates. Investor risk appetite drops as VIX jumps 6%, gold gains 1.3%, and safe-haven assets outperform. NASDAQ shows strong bearish momentum, trading below key technical levels with support at $18,313 and resistance at $20,367.95. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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