Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

zdo

FX EuroSwooning

Recommended Posts

I’m not like a TRO “rat” who can just specialize in trading just one direction for an instrument, but I do have long periods of time where I simply ignore signals from one direction… in this case, for a long time just ignored long signals in EUR. But since returning from vacation, I just realized I have started taking some longs with increasing frequency. (mostly short intraday holding period but based on intermediate time frame potential(s) )

 

Since May 2011, I have been posting bearish bs when I projected EUR was going to break lower. (see http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/market-analysis/9749-fx-eurotrash.html) At this point I’m far from switching to ‘bullish’ or even less bearish… but

1) a smattering of 'technicals' are starting to show some persistence that a good ‘rally’ has some potential…(albeit feasibly from much lower levels )

2) Also some ‘ordinary’ fx flow reasons continue to levitate it and bring it back up when it falls.

3) ...

 

Not saying the odds don’t still favor short trades at all, but I wanted to get a little equivalent place established for long side projections …

 

Also not saying at all that the EUR as a currency will ‘survive’… in fact I blve it is already finished … but we are all still in denial ‘for as long as it takes’… the idea of collectivism still rules the world for now…

 

:cool:

...bringing you the world's only marco analysis

...thanks to TL which is the only venue on the planet for marco analysis ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

What does the following mean:

 

1) a smattering of 'technicals' are starting to show some persistence that a good ‘rally’ has some potential…(albeit feasibly from much lower levels )

 

It reads like you are saying the market has some rally potential but it might be from lower levels which sounds like it could go up but it could go down. That info doesn't help much.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I am of the bearish EURUSD type......however,

just poked my head in, and for me (and what works for me....;)) using rough numbers.

 

recent little consolidation at 1.2174 -90......sharp rally to 1.2210

abc retracement (trend resumption).back to 1.2185, then a rally back over the B point....at 1.2205

 

Possible long opp from an oversold (I hate that word)......

 

buy around 1.2200 - ---- stop 1.2180 ---- a reasonable possibility for some upside.....especially with a move back about 1.2215 :2c:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

I just had a laugh about that, there was a guy on TV talking about it - his view....

 

Italy wont have any problems unless they keep coming back to the market and wanting to raise more money, and the other rating agencies keep downgrading them.....

 

Q; WTF sort of expert advice is that -????.....

A....the sort that gets you into all sort of trouble in the long run.

 

:2c: - no one has learnt a thing yet with attitudes like that, and the focus seems to be on what is China going to do to in terms of stimulus! Maybe they should join the EUR?

 

Update - EURUSD - climbing the wall of worry overnight......might have a spike up, but in my mind never a good sign.....needs a proper consolidation......wait and watch and sell rallies.....at this point....quick jobbing day today

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
It reads like you are saying the market has some rally potential but it might be from lower levels which sounds like it could go up but it could go down. That info doesn't help much.

 

No good or helpful “info” was attempted. It’s just a thread to post bullish bs about the EUR when I ‘project’ a move or run across an interesting tidbit that seems on topic. Regardless of bullish or bearish, EUR continues to be ugly, fiat trash. It may lose the race to the bottom via DNF… by wrecking and tearing all to pieces.

 

So…To rephrase “1) a smattering of 'technicals' are starting to show some persistence that a good ‘rally’ has some potential…(albeit feasibly from much lower levels )”

Another way to say it is - Yet EUR continues to find relative utility… and to find “support” at both marco and mirco levels.

 

Please don’t hold me to a high standard when it comes to mkt calls and opinions. I could bust my butt and not produce high quality posting… my “info” posts are not sufficiently timely… and worse – they are not produced consistently. Past a certain trading activity level, I forget or defer forums - so far too many would get skipped… and if all of them don’t get posted, in effect/principle all of them are “info [ that ] doesn’t help much”. ie to attain ‘good info’ level would require that I post anything and everything consistently and in consistent ‘format’

 

…so I rarely ever even try with posts about trading methods, edges, and techniques… and I am too ADHD sparodic to really contribute quality in the daily ES, etc . Generally, I have to confine my posts to thoughts and opinions about personal performance and to challenging some of the truisms, trading rules, and some of the silly psychological paradigms that prevail...

 

As SUIYA said - “quick jobbing day today” … Lifting high % of EUR longs from last night as we speak...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

... just curious - I inferred a definition but just to be sure, could someone 'translate' the word "jobbing" from english-english to american-english. Many thx.

 

 

... sunday night...

 

Ya'll have a great weekend.

 

zdo

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
... just curious - I inferred a definition but just to be sure, could someone 'translate' the word "jobbing" from english-english to american-english. Many

 

jobbing = scalping.

 

Lots of smaller trades looking for shorter term speculative moves.

as opposed to position trading whereby the timeframe might be slightly longer term (even if its only 30mins- 30 days).

 

Personally when i would say its a jobbing day it means - directionless, and hence dont fall in love with a position - take a profit and look for the next small move as it is likely to a f..n choppy day that will frustrate you otherwise......

it was a term we used to use in Australia....Not sure where the name came from but i found this....loved the wrestling term - maybe thats why jobbing is a crap job IMHO.

 

http://onlineslangdictionary.com/meaning-definition-of/jobber

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
jobbing = scalping.

 

Lots of smaller trades looking for shorter term speculative moves.

as opposed to position trading whereby the timeframe might be slightly longer term (even if its only 30mins- 30 days).

 

Personally when i would say its a jobbing day it means - directionless, and hence dont fall in love with a position - take a profit and look for the next small move as it is likely to a f..n choppy day that will frustrate you otherwise......

it was a term we used to use in Australia....Not sure where the name came from but i found this....loved the wrestling term - maybe thats why jobbing is a crap job IMHO.

 

What does jobber mean? - jobber Definition - Meaning of jobber | The Online Slang Dictionary

 

I have to thank you for the vernacular orgy you provide from time to time. I am enriched.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I have to thank you for the vernacular orgy you provide from time to time. I am enriched.

 

we always say in Australia we learn two languages....English and Australian.

 

if i did not watch what i said half the time you would think i had gone troppo.

 

Australian slang dictionary

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I just had a laugh about that, there was a guy on TV talking about it - his view....

 

Italy wont have any problems unless they keep coming back to the market and wanting to raise more money, and the other rating agencies keep downgrading them.....

 

Q; WTF sort of expert advice is that -????.....

A....the sort that gets you into all sort of trouble in the long run.

 

:2c: - no one has learnt a thing yet with attitudes like that, and the focus seems to be on what is China going to do to in terms of stimulus! Maybe they should join the EUR?

 

Update - EURUSD - climbing the wall of worry overnight......might have a spike up, but in my mind never a good sign.....needs a proper consolidation......wait and watch and sell rallies.....at this point....quick jobbing day today

 

there are times that these types of comments-markets' ignorance to such events tell more than indicators...

seems like usd bears will be back in action...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

EUR/USD hit 1.2150 after:

ECB's Ewald Nowotny said "there are arguments in favor of giving Europe’s rescue fund a banking license, reviving the debate on bolstering its firepower as leaders face the prospect of a full-scale Spanish bailout."

 

good luck with that...if ESM ever becomes functional and Merkel quits politics :rofl:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
EUR/USD hit 1.2150 after:

ECB's Ewald Nowotny said "there are arguments in favor of giving Europe’s rescue fund a banking license, reviving the debate on bolstering its firepower as leaders face the prospect of a full-scale Spanish bailout."

 

good luck with that...if ESM ever becomes functional and Merkel quits politics :rofl:

 

This is a bullish thread. Don't be bringing none of your bearish bs up in here ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I am bullish !!! Draghi the savior of the euro is my hero :cool:

 

have to admit that I am happy to see the bulls are back in action...else the trading range was getting too tight ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yup, I also think that EUR is going to correct some of recent losses in the week(s) ahead. EU authorities rhetoric was quite surprising to the upside - except for good old Bundesbank that called the aforementioned 'savior of the euro' a 'plunderer of the nest eggs of citizens' :haha:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • UHS Universal Health Services stock, nice rally off the 197 support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?UHS
    • SGMO Sangamo Therapeutics stock, good start off 2 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?SGMO
    • AAPL Apple stock, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?AAPL    
    • Date: 26th November 2024. Trump’s tariff threats boosted Dollar; Peso, Loonie, Gold & Oil Lower. The Trump trade picked up steam as investors cheered his pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent. Beliefs he will be a steadying voice in the administration’s fiscal measures, while still following President-elect Trump’s tariff and tax commitments, underpinned. Asia & European Sessions:   Trump threatened on Monday to impose sweeping new tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico on his first day as US President to crack down on illegal immigration and drugs. He would impose a 25% tax on all products entering the country from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China as one of his first acts as president of the US. Bessent’s 3-3-3 plan aims to cut the deficit to 3% of GDP, boost growth to 3%, and increase oil production to 3 mln barrels. Treasury yields dove in a curve flattener, extending their drops through the session, on expectations inflation will decelerate. A strong 2-year auction also supported. The Dow led the charge, climbing 0.99% to 44,736, a new record peak as the rally broadens. The S&P500 climbed to 6020, a session peak, but finished with a 0.3% gain to 5987. The NASDAQ closed 0.27% higher. Today, stock markets in Europe are posting broad losses, with the DAX down -0.6%, the FTSE 100 0.4%, after a largely weaker close across Asia. ECB: Lane suggests ECB must be open-minded on speed of rate cuts. The ECB’s Chief Economist said in a speech on Monday evening that “remaining open-minded about the speed and scale of adjustments is in fact a valuable strategy across various environments, as different situations may necessitate distinct approaches.” This careful, step-by-step strategy enables us to observe the responses of the economy to our decisions and continuously refine our understanding of their impacts.” The comments leave the door open to a 50 bp move in December, but also tie in with our expectation that the central bank will deliver a 25 bp while tweaking the forward guidance and commit to additional moves. Financial Markets Performance: The USDIndex hit a session high of 107.50 and is currently lower at 106.85. Mexican peso and Canadian dollar slumped as the dollar is being viewed as a haven after the comments of President-elect Donald Trump on tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. USDCAD spiked to 1.4177 and USDMXN rallied to 20.74. Oil and Gold lost ground, in part on cooling geopolitical risks, and on Trump trades. Oil dropped -3.03% to $69.09 per barrel, in part on the Trump trade and on talk of a potential cease fire between Israel and Hezbollah. Similarly, gold fell -3.26% to $2605 per ounce. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, nice trend with a pull back to 8.79 support area, bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?RYAM
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.