ForexTechnical Analysis

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of CHF/JPY 06.13.2012

 

The CHF/JPY was stopped during its descending trend when it reached to the old ascending trend’s line on 1st of June. The bottom prices of this currency pair formed on 2008 and 2010. Right now, in the weekly time frame the price reacted to the ascending trend line very well and leaded the price to the upper parts of the chart. Also, the Stoch indicator is in the saturation sell area. Therefore, there is a good possibility of ascending of the price. The drawn green line in the chart is another supportive line which along with the ascending trend’s line played the role of a supportive level.

 

The price was stopped and formed a candle pattern of Shooting Star, when the price continued its ascend and reached the descending trend’s line, and issued a good warning for the buyers about formation of a top price and ascending trend. This descending trend has prevented the fall of the price for 6 times and played an important role. Considering the possibility of ascend and its potential in the weekly time frame, the price should break the descending tend line and pass it.

 

Written by the technical team of FxGlory Brokerage

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of AUD/USD 06.15.2012

 

In our previous technical analysis about AUD/USD on 06.05.2012, we predicted the warning of ascend of the price by considering the technical signs. The price was reached to the resistance Andrew’s Pitchfork pattern in its ascending trend, and therefore the price had a little descend. But, it passes this pattern because of the longing of the buy and locating in the saturation area of sell. Right now, the price is closed above the average of the last 5 days in the daily time frame. We cannot see a strong reason of the descending of the price.

 

Hypothetically, if the price continues its ascending trend, the most important resistance level will be the drawn descending trend’s line consists of A and C point and it is also the next target of resistance level. Right now, this currency pair is in the ascending trend. Considering the potential of ascend in the weekly time frame (right now, a bottom price is formed in the time frame and the Stoch indicator confirm this ascend) this potential is increasing.

 

 

FxGlory Broker

2012.06.15

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of gold on 06.18.2012

 

As we predicted by the technical signs in the charton 05.28.2012 that there was the possibility of ascend of the price and increase of the price, we see this ascend in the chart. the price started its ascend from the third bottom price of supportive level ( determined with the green color) and right now the price reached to the resistance level and descending trend’s line and stopped there. This resistance line has prevented the increase of the price twice and now is doing it for the third time. (By a close reviewing, we will understand that the main reason of this stop on 15th of May was a shorter descending line which consists of 2 top prices of 1st of May and 6th of June)

 

If the daily candle of today were closed in ascending trend, we would be considered as a broken line. But, if the daily candle were closed in a descending trend and under the line, there would form a top price on the line. Right now, the blue and green supportive levels are the most supportive level which prevent the fall of the price. On the other hand, the red and black lines are important resistance levels.If the price breaks the initial descending trend’s lines, we can expect the ascend of the price from the red descending trend’s line.

 

 

FxGlory Broker

2012.06.18

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of USD/CHF 06.19.2012

 

The USD/CHF currency pair after its ascending trend and registering the 0.97691 was stopped and started its fall. Right now, the price formed its descending channel pattern during its fall. You can see this pattern in the 4h time frame.

 

Right now, the price is stooped by reaching the descending trend’s line and formed a top price. It necessary to mention that, this resistance line has prevented ascend of the price twice. The Stoch indicator is in the saturation buy area and issued the warning of the formation of top price and the falling of the price. until, this formed top price is not broken, we can expect the descend of the price and decrease of the price in the USD/CHF chart.

 

 

FxGlory Broker

2012.06.19

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of AUDUSD 06.21.2012

 

We predicted the possibility of an ascending movement and locating in the determined target in our previous analysis on 06.15.2012. Right now, the price reached a very important resistance level, which is a transitive kind, and is stopped there and had a weak falling. The price is in saturation sell area in the daily time frame and also the Stoch indicator confirms this situation. Therefore, there is the possibility of forming top price and a fall in the price, however, the direction of the movement is not the same with the weekly time frame and therefore, the accuracy of this prediction is not confirmed.

 

The price is closed under the average of the moving of 5 days and right now is reached to the ascending line. This line plays the role of a supporting level for the price. The price should break this line to be able to continue its descending movement. This line is not an ideal supporting line by considering the steep slope of the ascending trend and the potential of a fall in the daily time frame. We expected the descend of the price and reform of the price by considering the daily time frame. Until the formed tip price is not broken, we cannot expect more reform in the price.

 

AUDUSD,Daily

AUDUSD,H4

 

FxGlory

2012.06.21

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of CHF/JPY 06.22.2012

 

As we predicted the possibility of the price and stop of the falling of the price on 06.13.2012, now you can see in the chart that the price has ascended. The price could not continue its ascending trend after recording the 84.597 and the Shooting Star candle pattern is formed in the daily time frame. In order to continue its ascending trend, the price should break this pattern and also it should pass the upper edge of the ascending channel in the 4h time frame.

 

The nearest supporting level for the price is 83.547 level and in the next level is the ascending trend line of the ascending channel which can prevent more ascend of the price. The Shooting Star cadle pattern is located on the descending trend’s line in the daily time frame and therefore issued the falling signal. If the daily candle did not close above the Shooting Star candle pattern, there would be the possibility of the descend from the third point of descending trend’s line.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.06.22

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of USD/JPY on 06.25.2012

 

The USD/JPY will ascend to the 79.773 after breaking the descending trend’s line in the daily time frame. And then again start its falling, however, finally, it will create a bottom price and ascend after facing the descending trend’s line which has the supportive role after breaking. Right now, as we mentioned before, by considering the weekly time frame the potential of an ascend is strengthen.

 

In the 4h time frame, after reaching the resistance level, the price is not able to ascend more and therefore, a top price is formed in these areas. Right now, the price is in the saturation buy situation, and RSI indicator confirms this idea too and issued the warning of the top price for falling of the price. Until the formed top price (determined by red color) is not broken, we can expect the decreasing of the price.

 

FxGlory

2012.06.25

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of Gold on 26.06.2012

 

Right now, the chart of gold has shown a fragile fall because of created top price of 1588.31 and we can notice the intention of descending movement in the 4h time frame by considering the top price, however, this idea is not valuable by considering the daily time frame and we can expect the break of the price. Now, the gold is located in the area of the supportive and resistance levels which prevents the increasing and decreasing of the price twice.

 

We have drawn these lines in the below picture. Considering the daily time frame, (ascending of the price from the fourth point of the ascending line and the ascending cycle of Stoch indicator) and the possible start of the ascending cycle of the price until when the blue ascending trend line is stable, we can expect the reaching and ascending of the price to the resistance line.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.06.26

[FXGLORY 10]

EUR/USD ascending or descending

 

The EUR/USD will stop the descending trend and start to ascend from 1 of Jun after its strong fall. This ascending and reformation of the price will continue to the 1.27418 (the price will be reformed for about 38.2) and finally will stop and start falling at the resistance level of 38.2 Fibonacci. As you can see in the below picture, Right now, the price has formed a candle with a long bottom shadow after reaching the supportive level.

 

This candle is the sign of defeat of the seller in order to get reach a lower price comparing to the May’s. The RSI indicator and the price are in the divergence mode and they issued the warning of a bottom price and ascend of the price. we can expect the ascend of the price until the formed bottom price is not broken. If the supportive level broke, the price would descend and reach the supportive level of 1st of June.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.06.27

[FXGLORY 10]

The currency pair of EUR/JPY will ascend to 101.609 and then will stop there after breaking and passing the descending trend line. The resistance level of 38.2 of Fibonacci is the reason of the stop of the price in that level. When the price breaks this descending trend and will back toward this line.

 

When the price reached there, it will stop there (supportive level) and ascend again which is a good opportunity (for buying and entrance to the ascending trend) for using this transformative line. Right now, this EUR/JPY has formed a bottom price in some areas of supportive level. Also, in the daily time frame, some candles with small bodies are formed on 26th and 27th which is the sign of buyers’ wait for lower price. Until when the formed bottom price of 98.773 is kept, we can expect ascend of the price in the chart.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.06.29

[FXGLORY 10]

EUR/USD ascending or descending

 

As we mentioned about the possibility of ascend of the price in our previous technical analysis on 06.27.2012, you can notice that the price has ascended. In a long term period and range we expected ascending and increasing of the price by considering the monthly and weekly time frame. In the monthly time frame the price returned to the higher areas of the chart by touching a supporting line which belongs to 2008. Because this supporting line was successful in increasing the price in 2010, thus, there is the possibility of a successful ascending from this supportive line again.

 

In the weekly time frame, the price is located in the blue line of supporting line which was formed from the bottom price. Generally, the price is going to reach to the red supportive line and also the Stoch indicator is in the ascending cycle and therefore we can expect ascend of the price.

 

Right now, the price has fallen from the 1.26915 top price (due to the strong and quick ascend, the falling was predictable). Now, the price is between the supportive and resistance lines, as you can see in the below picture, in the 1h timeframe. To continue its ascend; the price should break the red resistance line. Until when the green supportive area is untouched and safe, we can expect ascend of the price and reaching the 1.26915 top price in the first phase.

 

FxGlory

2012.07.03

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of EUR/AUD on 07.05.2012

 

The EUR/AUD is in a descending situation and we do not see any sign of reformation and return of the price. Right now, the price is located in the lowest level of itself in the past 20 years. This level belongs to the 07.02.2012. Right now, the price is trying to the green supportive level to reform itself and then start its ascending movement, but because of the pressure of the selling and powerful descending trend, this try has not been successful yet. Right now, the rice is located in the saturation area of sell. In case of keeping the supportive areas, we can expect the reform of the price.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.07.05

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of NZDUSD

 

The NZDUSD currency pair ascended from the 0.74570 bottom price and it is stopped after recording the 0.80742 level and reaching the descending trend line and resistance levels. Right now, two important resistance levels are preventing ascending of the price. These two levels are:

1. Transformative level, which consists of two bottom price, and is playing the role of resistance level.
    
   
2. Descending trend line which is consists of two top prices. in case of falling of the price the current top price will form the third point of the descending trend line in the daily time frame.
   

The price is located in the saturation sell area and the RSI indicator confirms this state. Also by considering the recent peaks of the price chart and divergence indicator, we notice that they are issuing the warning of the changing in the trend of the market.If the descending candle were closed today, we can hope more ascend of the price. Generally, if the current peak of the price is safe, we can expect more descend of the price and its reform in this chart.

 

FxGlory

2012.07.06

[FXGLORY 10]

Gold between the Supportive and resistance lines

 

Right now, the gold is located between the important supportive and resistance areas. These levels had leaded the price to the ascending and descending trends several times. Right now, as you can see in the below picture, the price started its falling and it has been stopped after reaching the descending trend’s line on 3rd of July. After reaching, the price formed the third point of the descending trend and during its return the price has been stopped by reaching the blue supportive lien. Right now, the formed bottom price is stable and the buyers hope for ascending of the price, reaching and passing the descending trend’s line.

 

 

 

FxGlory

2012.07.11

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of GBP/CHF 07.12.2012

 

Right now, the ascending trend of GBP/CHF currency pair has been stopped and it is not able to reach the higher prices. The price has recorded the 1.52538 level during its ascending trend. The shape of candle is closed like Doji Pattern because of the movement of the price in last day. This candle issues the warning of the formation of atop price. this pattern is located on the red line of resistance trend which consists of two resistance points which right now is preventing the ascend of the price.

 

Also, the Stoch indicator is located in the saturation buy are and show the potential of falling of the price.

 

An ideal harmonic pattern AB=CD

 

In the daily time frame we can find the harmonic pattern of AB=CD in an ideal situation which has the ratios of 61.8=161.8 and right now, is issuing the warning of falling of the price. By the way, until when the formed peak of the price is maintained, we can expect the falling and reform of the price.

 

FxGlory

2012.07.12

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of USD/CHF dated 20.09.2012

 

USD/CHF currency pair in its descending trend from the top price of 0.99704 to the ascending trend line (fourth point of ascending trend line) has been stopped from more descends and made the bottom price of 0.92384 The formation of candles with small body in 17 ,18 and19th shows the Market indecision for ascending or descending that generally is the failure of the sellers for reaching to the lower price.

 

As it is drawn in the picture below , the price is on the supportive edge of the descending channel that was simultaneously with the formation of the third point on ascending trend line, and this is not an ideal mode for returning from supportive edge of Channel but there is the possibility of ascend and the price reformation. RSA indicator is in saturation sell area and shows the possibility of the formation of the bottom price to ascend and increase of the price during the next days in daily time frame. Generally until the supportive level of 0.92384 is preserved, there is the possibility of the price reformation.

 

 

 

FxGlory

2012.09.20

[FXGLORY 10]

Gold: more ascend or price reformation?

 

In daily time frame of Gold, as it is obvious in the picture below, it recorded the bottom price in 16.05.2012 and confirming of it in 23rd and 30th of the same month and finally ascends. The price in its ascending trend recorded the level of 1786.85 and reached to the descending trend line which is made of two resistance point and finally stops. (The formation of third point of descending trend line)

 

With the formation of the six daily candle on this trending line and not starting of descending and downfall in chart, the strength of the buyers and non-cash transactions of their buy and finally they hope to the higher price. From the formed candles we can point to Shooting Star and Hanging Man Pattern which both of them warns about the formation of top price and descend. But the important point is here that the descending of next candle which is not observable yet.

 

Stoch indicator is in saturation sell area in daily and weekly time frame and shows the possibility of descend during the next days. Also with the recent movement of this indicator is in divergence mode in price chart which warns about ascending. Generally until the top price of 1786.85 is preserved, there is the possibility of the price reformation in this chart. The first sign of more ascend is the closing of ascending candle in this range.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.09.24

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of EUR/USD dated 25.09.2012

 

EUR/USD currency pair during ascending from 25.07.2012, could record the price level of 1.31708. As it is obvious in the picture below, the drawn ascending channel is the guide for traders during top and bottom prices. In 11.09.2012 with the revert of the price and reaching to the resistance line of channel , the property of the resistance line will change and convert to the supportive line and cause ascending of the price.

 

Right now the price reached to this supportive line and stopped from more descends and recorded the bottom price of 1.28846. Stoch indicator is in saturation sell area and shows the possibility of ascend during the next candles. The first important sign and confirm of ascending mode is preserving of the created bottom price on supportive line and closing of ascending candle on resistance level of 1.29525 in 4 hours time frame.

 

 

Fxglory

2012.09.25

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of GBP/CHF dated 27.09.2012

 

GBP/CHF with creating the bottom price of 1.49893 and recording of it by the next candles provided a situation for ascending. From the top price of 1.54656 to the bottom price of 1.49893, AB=CD harmonic pattern with ideal ratios of 76.4 and 127.2 is observable, which is one of the reasons for recent ascend. Right now the price reached to the descending trend line that is made of three peak prices.

 

As it is obvious in the picture below, the formation of upper long shadows in ascending candles shows the cautious of the buyers and notice of traders to this descending trend line. Right now the price is testing it. The first sign of ascend in this currency pair is closing of ascending candles in daily time frame. According to the closing of candles in last week time frame, there is the possibility of the breakage of this trend line. stoch indicator is in saturation sell area and shows the possibility of ascend by the next cycle. Generally until the top price on the descending trend line is preserved (fourth point), there is the possibility of descending of the price during next days.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.09.27

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of USD/CHF dated 28.09.2012

 

As it was mentioned in previous technical analysis of USD/CHF dated 20.09.2012, according to the formed signs of that chart, there was the potential of ascending in price which finally the price ascends. The price during its ascend could record the resistance level of 194163 and right now is the important resistance level. The descending channel is drawn by the close points of candles.

 

The top price is made under the conversion level (from support to resistance), and this conversion level is an important obstacle for ascending of price that prevented from the increase of the price twice. Stoch indicator is in the saturation sell area in daily time frame and shows descend of the price according to the next cycle, but it is not valid because of not being in the same direction of weekly time frame. Generally until the top price of 0.94163 is preserved, there is a potential of descend in this currency pair in daily time frame.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.09.20

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of EUR/GBP dated 01.10.2012

 

EUR/GBP by making the top price of 0.81149 and closing the descending candle in the next day recorded it. As it was mentioned in previous technical analysis of this currency pair dated 18.09.2012, from this resistant level there can be downfall of the price. Right now the price by reaching to the ascending trend line (the formation of the third point of ascending trend line) has been stopped from more ascend. The third point on this ascending trend line is recorded on the level of 0.79230.

 

As it is drawn in the picture below, in addition to the ascending trend line, there is other supportive line in this region. This line is made of three resistance points and after breaking of their level, it is converted to the supportive line, and show the possibility of formation of the bottom price in this region. The formation of candle patterns of Hammer and Inverted Hammer on ascending trend line and the alternate line shows the failure of the sellers for reaching to the lower price and the possibility of the formation of the bottom price for ascending of the price. Stoch indicator shows the possibility of ascend according to the next cycle during the next days. Generally according to the formed signs in the chart of EUR/GBP, until the bottom price of 0.79230 is preserved, there is the possibility of ascend in this currency pair.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.10.01

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of GBP/CHF dated 02.10.2012

 

GBP/CHF by making the bottom price of 1.49902 and fixing of it by the next candles, created the situation for ascending. From the top price of 1.54656 till the bottom price of 1.49902, there is the harmonic pattern of AB=CD with the ideal ratios of 76.4 and 127.2 which is one of the reasons for recent ascending of this currency pair.

 

The price reached to the descending trend line which is made of four peak prices. Stoch indicator in daily time frame confirms the top price (the fourth point on descending trend line) in the chart. In daily time frame until the fourth point is preserved on this trend line, the price has the potential to descend during the next days. In 4H time frame the price made the fourth point on ascending trend line. Indicator shows ascending trend of the next candles in this time frame, but because of not being in the same direction of daily time frame it is not so valid. Generally breaking of ascending trend line is the first warning for more descend in this chart.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.10.02

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of AUD/USD dated 03.10.2012

 

In the previous technical analysis of this currency pair dated 17.09.2012, according to the technical signs there was the possibility of descending of price which finally happened. The price by reaching to the descending trend line has been stopped from more ascend and made the Shooting Star candle pattern and this shows the first warning for descending of the price.

 

The price in it descending trend eliminated the ascending trend line, which is drawn with two supportive bottoms in the picture below, with descending powerful candle, and this shows power of buyers. The price in its recent downfall, tried to reach to the supportive levels which are drawn in the picture below. According to the condition of this currency pair, there is no clear reason for ascend. There is formation of recursive candle patterns or one ascending candle in daily chart which is the least acceptable sign for price reformation.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.10.03

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of EUR/USD dated 04.10.2012

 

EUR/USD during the recent ascend goes further from the bottom price of 1.20389 to the 1.31712 level, and with the formation of the Evening star candle pattern in 14th and 18th days , there is an important warning for descend and price formation which finally happened . The price by reaching to the conversion line during it’s descend has been stopped and made the bottom price on this line.

 

This conversion line is made of four resistance peak and after breaking converted to a supportive line which affects the price. In monthly intervals of this currency pair, according to the formed signs, there is the potential for ascending of the price during the next months. Stoch indicator in daily time frame warns the possibility of ascending of the price according to the next cycle. Generally until the formed supportive bottom is on the level of 1.28021, the price has the potential of ascending till the level of 1.29690 and 1.31000 in the second stage.

 

FxGlory

2012.10.04

[FXGLORY 10]

Technical analysis of AUD/JPY dated 05.10.2012

 

AUD/JPY during descend from the top price of 83.076, by reaching to the ascending trend line has been stopped. As it is obvious in the picture below, the price in daily time frame is surrounded by ascending and descending trend line and that effect on the price. The price has made the bottom price on ascending trend line (fourth point) which with the formation of Hammer candlestick pattern, this bottom price is confirmed.

 

And the formation of the long lower shadow on ascending trend line indicates the failure of the sellers for reaching to the lower price. Stoch indicator in daily time frame is in saturation sell area (and also in divergence mode with the price) warns the possibility of ascending of the price according to the next cycle during the next days. In 4H time frame of this currency pair, the price by reaching to the descending trend line has been stopped and has made the top price on the level of 80.635 and Stoch indicators confirms this matter and shows the possibility of decrease and descend of the price. The first warning for increase and ascend of price is the formation of a bottom price in 4H time frame and the most important warning is , breaking of the descending trend line and closing of ascending candles on this line.

 

 

FxGlory

2012.10.05