Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Mysticforex

What Are You Watching Today ?

Recommended Posts

I would like to get this thread going so we could let each other know what pairs we are watching.

 

We can't watch all the pairs all the time. Sometimes I am following a pair so closely I become myopic and miss opportunities elsewhere.

 

You can be as in depth as you like, post charts ( not mandatory ), or just give a buy or sell bias. We all know how to read charts so we can figure the rest out for ourselves.

 

I have been following the AUD/USD for several weeks now. Scalping up and down within a range, that lately has been edging lower recently.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

GBP/USD and AUD/USD --> sell on rallies preferred

AUD/CAD--> did not touch this pair yet but it seems like it is going to reach 1.0260

USD/THB--> anywhere near 30 is good for opening a long

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

03/20/12

 

Will be watching GBP/JPY for a slight correction to the 1.3090 area ( Weekly Pivot ).

Then, who knows? will re evaluate.

 

I will also be keeping an eye on Oblivions gbp/chf. I used to trade that pair a lot.

When it gets wound up like that it usually pops pretty good.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I like that... will add that to my "Watch List". Am also watching G/J and E/J.

 

don't forget to pay attention to time frames on the charts that I post.

30m-1h charts are just for short time trades..at least for me :roll eyes:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I would certainly like to see us press to and then through 1.30 on the euro before the end of the week. I am expecting new decade lows, but it's not something that I would expect to happen very soon. When we get below 1.3, having a short position from above 1.3 will be awesome trade location.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I would certainly like to see us press to and then through 1.30 on the euro before the end of the week. I am expecting new decade lows, but it's not something that I would expect to happen very soon. When we get below 1.3, having a short position from above 1.3 will be awesome trade location.

 

shorting aud/usd seems safer imo, pair may hit 1.0255, 1.0115 before eur/usd breaks 1.3..and once 1.3 is gone aud/usd will reach 0.9872 :roll eyes:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
shorting aud/usd seems safer imo, pair may hit 1.0255, 1.0115 before eur/usd breaks 1.3..and once 1.3 is gone aud/usd will reach 0.9872 :roll eyes:

 

Agree, Aud safer. I eventually see 9773....

I am not a Candlestick trader, however, I don't like the look of yesterdays daily candle.

Also, we rarely see a 200 - 300 pip move these days. It's more like 30 pips a day, then a slight retrace up. I have had shorts all the way from 108xx, but always exit with 30 - 50 pips.

A lot of them though, so it might almost equal out.

One of my weaknesses as a trader has been holding trades that carry a negative roll.

In general I think the less time you hold any position, the less "at risk" you are.

aud.thumb.gif.86740895fbf8899078a17b7d40353cbe.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In general I think the less time you hold any position, the less "at risk" you are.

 

You are right on the money. The flip side to that, though, is that you also limit your potential gain if you limit your risk.

 

You can't leave a position on overnight to catch the whole move if you want to trade with a large leveraged position like you would if you were trying to catch, say, a 30-50 pip move with a 10 pip stop. There is a great likelihood that you can wake up and your account is gone with that type of leverage on and it still will go in the right direction without you in it.

 

I have been short the euro since early March. I am really trying to get "positioned" which I have yet to accomplish, so my position is still small and would hurt only the most sensitive of individuals if it ended up getting stopped out (again). If I do get positioned, then I will add a lot more to the trade, but at that point, when the position is larger, the risk of loss will be nearly zero with the trade.

 

The comparison is this: Are you better off taking the 30-50 scalps for 300-500 usd gain risking 100USD each time, or would you have been better off you initially risking 100 usd on a smaller position and leveraging the gain as it moved in your favor? Scalping the move down, you can, perhaps, make/take money every day if things work out in your favor and you know what you are doing. If you were able to catch the whole move from 1.08ish down to 1.00ish, you can make anywhere from 8k to about 30k if you know what you are doing and things work out in your favor, starting out with the same 100USD potential risk.

 

There is really no right "answer" the above. It's all about style, stamina, temperament, greed, etc.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 18th December 2024.   UK Inflation Climbs: All Eyes on the Fed’s Next Move!   US Retail Sales increase by 0.7% in November surpassing expectations of +0.6%. The US Dollar Index rose in value on Tuesday after starting the day with a bearish price gap. This week the US Dollar Index trades sideways as traders await the Fed’s rate decision. The Federal Reserve will confirm their rate decision this evening with most experts expecting a 0.25% adjustment. The UK’s inflation rate increases from 2.3% to 2.6% meeting the market’s previous expectations. The GBP quickly increases in value against all currencies. Analysts expect the Bank of England to pause but expect at least 2 monetary policy members to vote for a rate cut. GBPUSD - Both The Fed and BoE Are Scheduled To Announce Their Interest Rate Decisions! The GBPUSD rose up to 0.40% in value on Tuesday before slightly retracing and closing the day with a 0.21% gain. The increase in value is primarily due to the UK’s employment data which shows signs of stability and salary growth. The Bank of England is concerned the growth in salaries will continue to provide support for inflation. As a result, the BoE will likely pause in today’s rate decision.     During this morning's Asian session, the GBP saw a sudden bullish spike after the UK made public its inflation rate. The UK’s inflation rate increased from 2.3% to 2.6% which is an 8 month high. The higher rate of inflation along with high salary growth is likely to prompt the Bank of England to keep the rate unchanged at tomorrow’s meeting and for the upcoming months thereafter. During this morning's Asian session, the GBP saw a sudden bullish spike after the UK made public its inflation rate. The UK’s inflation rate increased from 2.3% to 2.6% which is an 8 month high. The higher rate of inflation along with high salary growth is likely to prompt the Bank of England to keep the rate unchanged at tomorrow’s meeting and for the upcoming months thereafter. October's labor market data, which came in positive, continues to improve sentiment towards the Pound and UK. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, employment rose by 173,000 instead of the expected drop of 12,000. Average wages, both with and without bonuses, grew by 5.2%, beating forecasts of 4.6% and 5.0%, respectively. On Tuesday, the GBP rose in value against the US Dollar, Swiss Franc and the Euro, but fell in value against the JPY. During this morning’s Asian session, the GBP is increasing in value against all currencies except against the Euro. However, traders will monitor if the GBP is able to maintain momentum against the US Dollar. Bank of England Supporting The GBP! As inflation in the UK over the past 3 years rose to a level substantially higher than the US and the Eurozone, the Bank of England is aiming to cut interest rates at a slower pace. The UK’s inflation peak was at 11.1%, the US inflation peak was 2% lower and the EU 0.5% lower. As a result, the GBP is maintaining its value and has been supported by this factor over the past 2 days. All experts currently believe the Bank of England will keep its base rate at 4.75% and cut rates at a slower pace than the Federal Reserve. However, investors believe that of the 9 members within the Monetary Policy Committee, 2 will vote for a rate cut. If more than 2 vote to cut rates, the Pound may come under short term pressure. Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve is due to make a decision on the Federal Fund Rate. Currently, the market believes the FOMC will vote to adjust rates by 0.25%. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates there is a 95% chance of the Federal Reserve opting to cut to 4.25-4.50% and the slightly lower bond yields also indicate a cut. However, when taking into consideration the rise in consumer and producer inflation, resilient employment sector and yesterday’s strong retail sales data, the possibility of a pause remains. The US Retail Sales increased by 0.7% in November surpassing expectations of +0.6%. The increase was the strongest in 4 months, however, Core Retail Sales only rose by 0.2%. One of the main elements which traders will be monitoring is if the Fed will indicate 2 or 3 cuts. Currently, the market is pricing in another 2 rate cuts. If the Chairman, Mr Powell, indicates the central bank could cut up to 3 times, the US Dollar is likely to come under pressure. Some traders fear that the Fed may suggest a full pause in the easing cycle or a significant slowdown in 2025. This concern has arisen because of inflation and newly elected US President Donald Trump's trade tariff policies on imports. If traders sense this hawkish tone within the Chairman’s Press Conference this evening, the US Dollar could see significant gains. Particularly as this will trigger higher bond yields which are already trading close to 6 month highs. For further information on the Federal Reserve and Bank of England’s rate decision traders can join HFM’s Live Analysis on YouTube (Today at 12:00 GMT).         GBPUSD - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the GBPUSD maintains its slightly bullish bias as per yesterday’s market analysis article. However, even though the price has risen since yesterday, the GBPUSD has yet to hit the 1.27464 level mentioned earlier. The price movement will depend strongly on the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and the guidance they provide for the upcoming 1-2 quarters. If the GBPUSD is able to maintain bullish price movement and rise again back up to the day’s high (1.27264), the exchange rate may maintain its buy indications from Moving Averages, RSI and price action.       Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • CVNA Carvana stock, watch for a narrow range breakout, target 300-315 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?CVNA\
    • VSTM Verastem stock, nice trend with a pull back to the 4.63 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?VSTM
    • IGT International Game Technology stock, solid breakdown, from Stocks to Watch short at https://stockconsultant.com/?IGT
    • KVYO Klaviyo stock, nice close and breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?KVYO
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.