Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

mohsinqureshii

Gold Bullish or Bearish

Recommended Posts

Some more Bearish news...

 

Weaker Gold Prices Expected Next Week Say Survey Participants

 

Gold prices are expected to fall next week, say a majority of participants in the weekly Kitco News Gold Survey, as a stronger dollar and an outlook for eventually higher interest rates weigh on values.

 

Out of 37 participants, 24 responded this week. Of those, five see higher prices, 18 see lower prices and one sees prices trading sideways. Market participants include bullion dealers, investment banks, futures traders and technical-chart analysts.

Last week, survey participants were slightly bearish. As of 11:30 a.m. EDT, Comex December gold was down about $37 for the week.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  Patuca said:
why? Why? Oh why? Why

 

When even Barclays is bearish then i am just a minor trader..

 

Barclays Lowers Gold Price Forecast

Wednesday September 17

 

Barclays on Wednesday lowered its price forecast for gold, citing “an increasingly bearish macro backdrop developing for gold,”.

 

“Rising rates and a significantly stronger dollar present headwinds, which are set to overwhelm any seasonal strength in physical demand this year,” the bank said.

 

Barclays lowered their fourth-quarter average gold price forecast to $1,220 an ounce. They now expect prices to average $1,270 an ounce in 2014. Their 2015 forecast calls for an average gold price of $1,180.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  Ammeo said:
When even Barclays is bearish then i am just a minor trader..

 

Barclays Lowers Gold Price Forecast

Wednesday September 17

 

Barclays on Wednesday lowered its price forecast for gold, citing “an increasingly bearish macro backdrop developing for gold,”.

 

“Rising rates and a significantly stronger dollar present headwinds, which are set to overwhelm any seasonal strength in physical demand this year,” the bank said.

 

Barclays lowered their fourth-quarter average gold price forecast to $1,220 an ounce. They now expect prices to average $1,270 an ounce in 2014. Their 2015 forecast calls for an average gold price of $1,180.

 

Barclays is always late to the party.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Weaker Gold Prices Forecast By Majority Of Survey Participants

 

A majority of participants in the weekly Kitco News Gold Survey said they see weaker prices next week for the yellow metal, as U.S. dollar strength and expectations of rising interest rates continue to weigh on values.

 

Out of 37 participants, 24 responded this week. Of those, seven see higher prices, 13 see lower prices and four see prices trading sideways or are neutral. Market participants include bullion dealers, investment banks, futures traders and technical-chart analysts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

May be gold is heading 1190 next week the way the current scenario is,if 1190 doesn't hold 1147 is inevitable.after 6 years dollar hitting high after high,this is a great bubble created by the central banks to eat investors money.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  Ammeo said:

... Of those, seven see higher prices.... Market participants include bullion dealers, investment banks, futures traders and technical-chart analysts.

 

Patuca you are not alone. Take comfort in the fact that you are in the minority. The majority is usually wrong.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

More Bearish news...

 

Survey Participants Forecast Lower Gold Prices For Next Week

 

A majority of participants forecast lower gold prices next week in the Kitco News Gold Survey as dollar strength and bearish technical-chart formations weigh on the metal.

 

Out of 37 participants, 20 responded this week. Of those, four see higher prices, 12 see lower prices and four see prices trading sideways or are neutral. Market participants include bullion dealers, investment banks, futures traders and technical-chart analysts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If China doesnt want the Gold then no one in the world wants the Gold..:D

 

Commerzbank: 2014 Chinese Gold Imports 'To Fall Well Short' Of Last Year'

Friday September 26

 

Chinese gold imports from Hong Kong remain subdued, says Commerzbank. Analysts cite data from Hong Kong’s Census and Statistics Department showing China imported only 27.5 metric tons of gold on a net basis from the former British crown colony in August. “This puts net imports only slightly above the previous month’s low level, which constituted the lowest figure since June 2011,” Commerzbank says. “Chinese net gold imports from Hong Kong have totaled 497 tons since the beginning of the year, 33% down on the corresponding period last year. Chinese gold demand looks set to fall well short of last year’s total even if it picks up in the next few months. The weak gold demand in China is one key reason for the slump in the gold price over recent months.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Survey Participants Remain Bearish On The Gold Price Outlook

 

A majority of participants in the Kitco News weekly gold survey remain bearish on prices for the metal next week, continuing to say the strength of the dollar weighs on gold.

 

Out of 37 participants, 26 responded this week. Of those, seven see higher prices, 16 see lower prices and three see prices trading sideways or are neutral. Market participants include bullion dealers, investment banks, futures traders and technical-chart analysts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

INTL FCStone Sees Gold Testing $1,180/Oz During October

 

INTL FCStone looks for gold to test the 2013 double-bottom of around $1,180 an ounce sometime during October. Prices fell during September on a number of factors, the firm says. “Most importantly, the surging dollar hit gold hard, as did the still-buoyant U.S. equity markets,” the firm says in its monthly commodities outlook. “Although we did get two rather serious equity corrections this week and last, the selling did not result in much of a rally for gold. Secondly, the Fed will now likely be the ‘first mover’ in raising rates -- just as other central banks are easing -- and this is also weighing on gold by strengthening the dollar even more. Third, although there are a host of hotspots all over the world, these are not doing much for gold, as they are not generating economic dislocationsthat would be normally be bullish for the precious metal.”

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Predictions

... One of the major dangers of prediction is that the ego gets involved and the analyst finds it difficult to admit he/she may be wrong, even in the presence of considerable evidence to the contrary. Being wrong in our predictions is something that few of us can tolerate very well! This is especially true when we have made public forecasts and have used considerable persuasion to get others to believe in our predictions. It is always just a matter of “you wait and see – I’ll be right soon enough”

 

W. Clay Allen, CFA

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Survey Participants Have Split Views On Gold Price Direction Next Week

 

Views on where gold prices will go next week are split in the weekly Kitco News Gold Survey, with only a nominal number of survey participants seeing higher prices.

 

Out of 37 participants, 23 responded this week. Of those, 10 see higher prices, nine see lower prices and four see prices trading sideways or are neutral. Market participants include bullion dealers, investment banks, futures traders and technical-chart analysts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Gold has bounced almost precisely off major support around the 1180 level in a move that tentatively forms a triple-bottom pattern in conjunction with the metal's two previous 1180-area lows in late June and late December of 2013.

Anyone think it'll go up from this triple bottom? to me it seems it will..

gold.thumb.jpg.07b07523eb181a381351e176ddf633e9.jpg

Edited by Ammeo

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Thx for reminding us... I don't bang that drum often enough anymore Another part for consideration is who that money initially went to...
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.