Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

steveshutts

Week 7

Recommended Posts

There's no particular set opening/closing time Steve. It's unofficially recognized as 7.30-8.00am EST. You won't be too far out if you use that as a guide.

 

It's certainly wise to hang fire until NY begins stirring yes. Especially if London spikes the price up/down & it begins to fade out into slop.

 

It can be very trappy if a data shunt spins price away from it's original bias, as happened this morning.

 

Unless a noticeable trigger sets up on your radar, I find it more productive to sit tight & wait. No use in taking on excessive risk?

 

If I miss a price because it occurs during the late London clack, then so be it. It's not like prices aren't gonna set-up again in the near term is it.

 

I want to trigger when the volumes & activity are condusive to movement/momentum. I don't consider the post Retail Sales level to be either, do you?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  texxas said:

 

If I miss a price because it occurs during the late London clack, then so be it. It's not like prices aren't gonna set-up again in the near term is it.

 

I want to trigger when the volumes & activity are condusive to movement/momentum. I don't consider the post Retail Sales level to be either, do you?

 

This is true, i will wait and see if we get a kick away from this zone. Let price show the direction first.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Early trigger for a post data lift back towards the range top Steve?

 

Pushing off the PP & 50% of the short range level from last weeks high (9732) to Tuesdays low (1.94).

 

9620-25 needs to confirm the upkick, if so should be good to trot.

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=795&stc=1&d=1171549400

gbp88.gif.b74e415185831af2ad534d4ca9cf527f.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

sorry guys, had to go out. Thanks for the ongoing tuition Anna, just like to point out that it really does help.

 

So, Anna, did you close your position on those neutral 5 min bars or do you just stand fast until your stop is hit?

Also, i noticed you waited a little on the 1 min pullback signal. Do you do this to avoid false entry triggers? A case of being a little safer to let price run a few pips to show it means business?

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=797&stc=1&d=1171552879

15022007_chart5.gif.97e2a2e50eb3926ea741f61002845ea7.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  steveshutts said:
did you close your position on those neutral 5 min bars or do you just stand fast until your stop is hit?

 

Also, i noticed you waited a little on the 1 min pullback signal. Do you do this to avoid false entry triggers? A case of being a little safer to let price run a few pips to show it means business?

 

No, I took the full -20 hit (9570) on this occasion. The level & break, with corresponding 1st line target were fair, so I decided to allow it a little more room/time to manouvre. It just faded & died - shit happens :)

 

Yeah, the option was there to either pare off at those 5m doji's & haul up the stops and/or clip it at b/e etc, but I wanted to test out potential for it to trot + the 1st target was a decent +50 run up the ladder & I felt it justified standing my ground. Didn't work on this occasion, but no harm done. As long as the r/r is balanced, it's a fair deal.

 

Regards the later entry? Again, I just wanted to check the appetite on the post data reaction. But you could have sliced 10-20 pips either side of that trade had you wished, which you've already alluded to ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

1.94 represents an important hold for Cable Bulls if another assault on the yearly highs is to play out. For the time being anyway, 9400 keeps the 07 higher low shape intact. Last weeks highs (c1.9730) is proving a tricky stumbling block for the Bulls, & price bounced off the 78.6 lower high zone this week on disappointing data.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=800&stc=1&d=1171571989

 

If we take the 1.94 low & project up to today’s high, the 78.6 again zooms in as an important line, protecting the recent activity around last weeks low area @ 9460, an important secondary support & higher low zone off the larger map.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=801&stc=1&d=1171572028

 

 

If this drop back to 1.94 & todays hold above the 61.8% of this smaller swing are genuine Bull demand tests, then prices will face strong opposition on any attempts to hurdle the mainline resistance zones of 9720 (the 61.8) & 9805 (78.6) of the larger, more recent primary swing points.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=802&stc=1&d=1171572028

 

 

The confirmation as to whether 07’s recent highs are a critical top will in some way be dependant on Euro’s ability to re-take the stiff dual resistance zone of 3250 (the 78.6) & 1.3300.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=803&stc=1&d=1171572028

gbp90.gif.ba176c10e7afde795757f52b7dbe266a.gif

gbp91.gif.5d34558f72f6c391bcac3577ffdf2380.gif

gbp92.gif.c12148e9ce99741c33730c3e611007bb.gif

eu73.gif.6593213e9a5567bfd9d004f8be4ca15f.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.