Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TheNegotiator

Will the Germans Really Bring Back the Deutsche Mark?

Should Germany leave the Euro?  

47 members have voted

  1. 1. Should Germany leave the Euro?

    • Yes, Germany should resurrect the Deutschemark!
      19
    • No way, if they leave the Euro will collapse!
      14
    • No idea.
      2
    • Yes, if they leave the Euro will collapse!
      6
    • If they leave the Euro, the German economy will collapse
      6


Recommended Posts

Today I read some interesting information about Credit Default Swaps.

As this thread is only visited by intellectuals, I will assume you all know what CDF's are.

Now because lending institutions agreed to a 50% haircut against Greece debt, there was no default.!!!

No insurance would be paid .No CDF's.

 

It appears that MF Global holds Greek bonds , but thats beside the point.

 

US lending institutions hold 87% of all CDF's .

So it looks like the US has been manipulating the Greek fiasco.

Germany and France are small fry in this .

It looks like US banks could bear the brunt

More money to be printed.

The US dollar must fall

regards

bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Germany is trying to impose to other EU countries it's own imperium. Sooner or later , people in the rest EU countries will resist on that . In this case it will be Germany that will go out of EU. Euro (and other currencies that the rest nations will bring back ) will go down, dollar will go up. This will give room to US to print money again to face it's own problems.The Deutsce Mark at the beginning, at least, it will go up and thus German products will become expensive.Germany will lose a big portion of the markets of ex EU markets.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

livernik I agree with you that basically Germany has too much power now(who would've thought eh?). The power they have is being used in the wrong way. They are indeed effectively trying to impose their own rules on these countries where it's not gonna work. It's kinda like when a big corporation buys a smaller but successful competitor, then imposes all it's own rules and practises on it. Surprise, surprise the company then becomes unprofitable.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
livernik I agree with you that basically Germany has too much power now(who would've thought eh?). The power they have is being used in the wrong way. They are indeed effectively trying to impose their own rules on these countries where it's not gonna work. It's kinda like when a big corporation buys a smaller but successful competitor, then imposes all it's own rules and practises on it. Surprise, surprise the company then becomes unprofitable.

 

I keep harping on this because my impression is that most are not quite getting it – Germany has conquered Europe. They are running into the same kinds of problems keeping an empire (together) that all other empires (past, present, and future) have…

 

The U.S. has also been conquered – from within. Denial phase is still extreme, including right here on this forum… Big lies are the most effective lies…

Comparing the mess in Europe to the coming tragedy in the U.S. – The European issues will ultimately look like a pimple …on a full blown ebola victim…

“…imposes all it's own rules and practises on it. Surprise, surprise the company then becomes unprofitable.” :(

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Dear zdo

Whats your solution to the USA problem?

Where are we in the business cycle?

You must reply before 15th Dec. Holidays.

No one liners.

And bear in mind both the Democrats and Republicans will be watching you .

kind regards

bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Dear zdo

Whats your solution to the USA problem?

Where are we in the business cycle?

You must reply before 15th Dec. Holidays.

No one liners.

And bear in mind both the Democrats and Republicans will be watching you .

kind regards

bobc

 

bobc,

:rofl:

 

Thanks for giving me some time on the ‘solution’… right now I prefer howling at the full moon…and from the looks of it, I’m not the only one lunating…

 

re “Where are we in the business cycle?”

That’s not really relevant at this point.

hot off the press

This is No Cyclical Recession

15 Statistics Which Prove That The U.S. Economy Is In Much Worse Shape Than Most Americans Think

 

PS re the OP

Game Over? Reuters Says Germany, France Exploring Idea Of Core Euro Zone, End Of Existing Structure | ZeroHedge

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/did-merkel-just-usher-deustche-mark

 

 

References:

are from lousy, unreliable news feeds of course

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

yes...is it the 3-5 year cycle or the 100-200 yr cycle

If we are just at the end of the biggest credit bubble in history that was ten years in the making culminating in a 25 yr equity bull mkt then we may have a long long way to fall.

Only historians will know later.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Thx for reminding us... I don't bang that drum often enough anymore Another part for consideration is who that money initially went to...
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.