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shooly76

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...You have to understand that most of the advice givers on this board and others are most likely hired by brokers to spread foolish advice that they know doesn't amount to s***. Either that or they are paid to pull the trigger on someone elses money and lose it for a living...

 

You serious...most here at Traderslaboratory that have given one piece of advice involving trading are being paid by brokers.

 

How much do you think most here at Traderslaboratory are being paid...hourly or salary ?

 

There any dental/medical benefits ?

 

:rofl:

Edited by wrbtrader

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littlefish,

 

That’s a priceless post.

First, I'm with wrbtrader. Where can I find a broker who will pay me to spread this foolish advice that they know doesn't amount to s***?

 

...A few alternatives to your insights...

re “why would it matter? Just add 0's.”

If only !!! Each person’s 0’s have a quantity threshold. It’s definitely uncomfortable and it’s not ‘fashionable’ advice, but each trader needs to find his or her own threshold as quickly as possible and then begin moving it. The really best way to move that threshold is to operate just beyond your current scale threshold…(and throw in a bit of ‘psychotherapy’ as needed.) ... more of it's definitely uncomfortable.

 

So, ( and I hate to be a thread buzz kill but have ya'll noticed shooley is most likely just just plain gone now or he didn’t find an introject object here or whatever - but for other readers in similar situations) I would suggest moving the whole ‘3000’ to Oanda and sizing appropriately, rather than just sitting on it…

 

On to “I've found perfect setups that work with supernatural accuracy for about a week or two and then become as useless as flipping a coin just long enough to destroy what they produced. Some of which have very sound reasoning behind them too.” … more priceless posting. In courses and on forums, all the incessant “follow the plan” advice is about being a ritual maker and follower. Instead, I think we need to learn to be ritual breakers instead of a ritual makers… Reminds me of some nonsense I started at http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/trading-psychology/10205-i-m-so-mutable-i-have.html

 

…while storing and maintaining those perfect setups at the ready like you would lay up a fine tool or instrument of course…

Edited by zdo

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littlefish,

 

That’s a priceless post.

First, I'm with wrbtrader. Where can I find a broker who will pay me to spread this foolish advice that they know doesn't amount to s***?

 

...A few alternatives to your insights...

re “why would it matter? Just add 0's.”

If only !!! Each person’s 0’s have a quantity threshold. It’s definitely uncomfortable and it’s not ‘fashionable’ advice, but each trader needs to find his or her own threshold as quickly as possible and then begin moving it. The really best way to move that threshold is to operate just beyond your current scale threshold…(and throw in a bit of ‘psychotherapy’ as needed.) ... more of it's definitely uncomfortable.

 

So, ( and I hate to be a thread buzz kill but have ya'll noticed shooley is most likely just just plain gone now or he didn’t find an introject object here or whatever - but for other readers in similar situations) I would suggest moving the whole ‘3000’ to Oanda and sizing appropriately, rather than just sitting on it…

 

On to “I've found perfect setups that work with supernatural accuracy for about a week or two and then become as useless as flipping a coin just long enough to destroy what they produced. Some of which have very sound reasoning behind them too.” … more priceless posting. In courses and on forums, all the incessant “follow the plan” advice is about being a ritual maker and follower. Instead, I think we need to learn to be ritual breakers instead of a ritual makers… Reminds me of some nonsense I started at http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/trading-psychology/10205-i-m-so-mutable-i-have.html

 

…while storing and maintaining those perfect setups at the ready like you would lay up a fine tool or instrument of course…

 

If you haven't found the perfect repeatable setup then you just haven't looked hard enough.

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If you haven't found the perfect repeatable setup then you just haven't looked hard enough.

 

the 'perfect repeatable setups' repeat until they don't - and then they do again :)

yes, even the 'perfect repeatable setups'

that even applies to the best 'perfect repeatable setups' in the whole wide world

the point was to keep them sharp and ready instead of discarding them when they have declines in applicability...

 

Linear ... non linear,

logical... non logical

 

whichever... no sense arguing...all the best to you

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the 'perfect repeatable setups' repeat until they don't - and then they do again :)

yes, even the 'perfect repeatable setups'

that even applies to the best 'perfect repeatable setups' in the whole wide world

the point was to keep them sharp and ready instead of discarding them when they have declines in applicability...

 

Linear ... non linear,

logical... non logical

 

whichever... no sense arguing...all the best to you

 

Not arguing at all, I am just saying you are wrong, we have decades of data to look back at, patterns that worked back then are still working now.

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Not arguing at all, I am just saying you are wrong, we have decades of data to look back at, patterns that worked back then are still working now.

 

"just saying you are wrong" is the essence of arguing :helloooo:

 

OK you be right and I'll be wrong.

It's settled for all to see and apply going forward.

All those patterns on those decades of data never had any dry runs... in fact, they never failed even one time

and btw a bonus - that proves they never will have any dry runs or even one single failure to perform

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"just saying you are wrong" is the essence of arguing :helloooo:

 

OK you be right and I'll be wrong.

It's settled for all to see and apply going forward.

All those patterns on those decades of data never had any dry runs... in fact, they never failed even one time

and btw a bonus - that proves they never will have any dry runs or even one single failure to perform

 

The thing is that I have done my 10,000 hours at this, Twice now in fact, and I have proved to myself and now plenty of other traders that without a shadow of doubt what I say is true.

 

It is fact, patterns worked then and they still do now.

Edited by xkr1962

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wow..thanks for the awesome replies! I have decided to rework strategy and sim trade for a few weeks..or until I feel comfortable going live again.

 

I have been thinking and looking at charts as much as possible fior set-ups. and I think one of my biggest problems is PATIENCE! I really need to just sit and watch for like 2-4 hours/night on avg. I wasnt doing this before..half the time I would spend 1/2 hr-1 hr and find something that I thought was a good set up but really didnt analyze properly and w patience.

 

here is a screen shot of last nights sim trade of 6E 10 min chart (I used 2 min and 60 min for guidance)...

5aa710ad24549_6E12-11(10Min)10_13_2011.thumb.jpg.faffe6790d6cd4b8779daadb77650f8f.jpg

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wow..thanks for the awesome replies! I have decided to rework strategy and sim trade for a few weeks..or until I feel comfortable going live again.

 

I have been thinking and looking at charts as much as possible fior set-ups. and I think one of my biggest problems is PATIENCE! I really need to just sit and watch for like 2-4 hours/night on avg. I wasnt doing this before..half the time I would spend 1/2 hr-1 hr and find something that I thought was a good set up but really didnt analyze properly and w patience.

 

here is a screen shot of last nights sim trade of 6E 10 min chart (I used 2 min and 60 min for guidance)...

 

That's great shooly, I'm glad you still soldiering on!

 

I can see what you did on the 10 min, did you base decision on the higher timeframes? If you did, please post those charts too for educational purposes if you can.

 

imo, if the htf agree with the long setup, I think you didn't get the best price by about 20 points for the long ... but thats what 10k + of hours will do for you :)

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I think price did go up like 9-10+ ticks after 10 tick target was hit.

 

Ive been mostly looking for reversals in my new strategy. once price closes above/below my trendline and EMA, I look for entry..but on the 10 min chart price must also break 3-4 hr high/low...there are other rules as well..but nothing set in stone yet...still working on it

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forgot to add note about patience...I started looking at chart around 9pm... potential long trade/reversal around 9:30pm EST. so I was watching this chart (and checking Traders Lab lol) for over 3 hrs..almost fell asleep a couple of times at computer..haha.

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The thing is that I have done my 10,000 hours at this, Twice now in fact, and I have proved to myself and now plenty of other traders that without a shadow of doubt what I say is true.

 

It is fact, patterns worked then and they still do now.

 

xkr1962, Everyone on the planet trades patterns. There is no away around that.

 

I'm guessing littlefish was discussing a class of emergent episodic duplications that do appear for a certain duration of time then recede into obscurity again. These emerge in all types of market conditions. They're bound to the larger context, of course, but it's not readily apparent.

 

Let me also guess - you're into 'trending type trading' ? And you were overlaying your context of trading with your proven public or proprietary patterns onto what is truly another world.

 

When the opportunity and challenge of trading these 'disappearing' patterns presents, a large subset of traders naturally and wisely settle on standing aside, "patience", etc. Another subset naturally does not settle. One way is not right and the other wrong. It would be disastrous for the whole population to try to capitalize on these transient patterns, but it is not wrong for traders with certain perceptual slants and proclivities to capitalize on them.

With, and only with, the correct understanding of context, trading them is as normal as trading more enduring patterns.

If you're not familiar with that, then maybe it's you who hasn't been looking hard enough. - razz ;)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

shooley it's about time you participated again :) ...looks like you got a bunch of traders pulling for you... all the best.

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xkr1962, Everyone on the planet trades patterns. There is no away around that.

 

I'm guessing littlefish was discussing a class of emergent episodic duplications that do appear for a certain duration of time then recede into obscurity again. These emerge in all types of market conditions. They're bound to the larger context, of course, but it's not readily apparent.

 

Let me also guess - you're into 'trending type trading' ? And you were overlaying your context of trading with your proven public or proprietary patterns onto what is truly another world.

 

When the opportunity and challenge of trading these 'disappearing' patterns presents, a large subset of traders naturally and wisely settle on standing aside, "patience", etc. Another subset naturally does not settle. One way is not right and the other wrong. It would be disastrous for the whole population to try to capitalize on these transient patterns, but it is not wrong for traders with certain perceptual slants and proclivities to capitalize on them.

With, and only with, the correct understanding of context, trading them is as normal as trading more enduring patterns.

If you're not familiar with that, then maybe it's you who hasn't been looking hard enough. - razz ;)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

shooley it's about time you participated again :) ...looks like you got a bunch of traders pulling for you... all the best.

 

Tough to understand what the hell you were trying to say TBH with you but if by "perceptual slants and proclivities" you meant an element of discretionary trading yes of course we will always have that to deal with.

 

But to me the fact that the lower timeframes work in exactly the same way as all the other timeframes we can therefore use the lower timeframes to judge when to get in and out of the trades on the higher timeframes.

 

Trends withing trends or patterns within patterns.

 

And rest assured I have looked hard enough and do know what I am talking about.

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This is a 2b reversal

 

2B_bot-275x270.gif

 

Here is a recent daily 2b on AUD

 

daily2b.gif

 

then an internal h4 2b that we can use to re-enter the daily pattern and use the daily target

 

h42b.gif

 

it is clearer on the h1 chart and you can also see we had an additional entry higher up, still targeting the level from the daily chart.

 

h12b.gif

 

patterns within patterns, teach yourself what to look for and then learn to trade them

 

here is the same thing from a year ago

 

daily chart below

 

daily2bayearago.gif

 

and h4 chart below

 

h42bayearago.gif

 

Keep it simple

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Tough to understand what the hell you were trying to say TBH with you but if by "perceptual slants and proclivities" you meant an element of discretionary trading yes of course we will always have that to deal with.

 

But to me the fact that the lower timeframes work in exactly the same way as all the other timeframes we can therefore use the lower timeframes to judge when to get in and out of the trades on the higher timeframes.

 

Trends withing trends or patterns within patterns.

 

And rest assured I have looked hard enough and do know what I am talking about.

 

I have come to the same conclusions. I actually watch the weekly, daily, 30 minute, 10 minute and 3 minute charts. By ONLY entering when they are all saying the same thing, I have been able to get my win loss ration to 80% wins, 20% losses. Often, I beat that by a good amount.

 

I have noticed that my average win is much smaller though. However, so are the losses and there are far fewer of them now.

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I have come to the same conclusions. I actually watch the weekly, daily, 30 minute, 10 minute and 3 minute charts. By ONLY entering when they are all saying the same thing, I have been able to get my win loss ration to 80% wins, 20% losses. Often, I beat that by a good amount.

 

I have noticed that my average win is much smaller though. However, so are the losses and there are far fewer of them now.

 

Well done, 8 of 10 winners is what I aim for, it can be done just stop listening to all the nay sayers and people that overcomplicate things.

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Well done, 8 of 10 winners is what I aim for, it can be done just stop listening to all the nay sayers and people that overcomplicate things.

 

Yeah, it's doable. The system I am reviewing now uses multiple time frames, and the relationship between the Bollinger Bands, and the 3 main moving averages to choose markets and time entries and exits.

 

By themselves, they don't really do much. However, when used together, thier relationship to each other makes all the difference in the world.

 

Once you understand the program, it's not even all that difficult.

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Yeah, it's doable. The system I am reviewing now uses multiple time frames, and the relationship between the Bollinger Bands, and the 3 main moving averages to choose markets and time entries and exits.

 

By themselves, they don't really do much. However, when used together, thier relationship to each other makes all the difference in the world.

 

Once you understand the program, it's not even all that difficult.

 

Dump all the indis and concentrate on bars and candles and you will move your progress into overdrive, I promise you.

 

The indis are a product of price, not the other way around.

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Dump all the indis and concentrate on bars and candles and you will move your progress into overdrive, I promise you.

 

The indis are a product of price, not the other way around.

 

I used to do that. I am doing much better with overlayed indicators.

 

The method I am reviewing uses price, through trend lines, areas of support and resistance, and well known patterns of congestion to choose the markets using the weekly and daily time frames initially. Then once the markets that are good have been identified, it over layes the Bollingerbands and Moving averages to make the final entrance and exit timing using the daily and intra day charts.

 

The reason this is significant is that the markets are ever flowing, ever changing environments. These indicators move and adapt with those changes giving a more accurate point of support and resistance than using naked price bars alone.

 

By adapting to this system, I have been able to almost eliminate any draw down for example. It allows me to time the market almost to the exact point that it's "Go time".

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I used to do that. I am doing much better with overlayed indicators.

 

The method I am reviewing uses price, through trend lines, areas of support and resistance, and well known patterns of congestion to choose the markets using the weekly and daily time frames initially. Then once the markets that are good have been identified, it over layes the Bollingerbands and Moving averages to make the final entrance and exit timing using the daily and intra day charts.

 

The reason this is significant is that the markets are ever flowing, ever changing environments. These indicators move and adapt with those changes giving a more accurate point of support and resistance than using naked price bars alone.

 

By adapting to this system, I have been able to almost eliminate any draw down for example. It allows me to time the market almost to the exact point that it's "Go time".

 

If it works for you and you are profitable keep doing it.

 

For novices who are still struggling I would definately stand by my advice to drop all indis, they are just a crutch and quite possibly an unnecessary distraction.

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If it works for you and you are profitable keep doing it.

 

For novices who are still struggling I would definately stand by my advice to drop all indis, they are just a crutch and quite possibly an unnecessary distraction.

 

One does need to learn this one phase at a time. If you don't understand basic price bar trading, you can't get the Bollinger band MA combo stuff. One method builds on the other.

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One does need to learn this one phase at a time. If you don't understand basic price bar trading, you can't get the Bollinger band MA combo stuff. One method builds on the other.

 

Yep agreed the problem is that people try to learn it all ass backwards, human nature I guess, do the easy most obvious things first, I made all the same mistakes myself.

 

All I try to do now is make people avoid the same expensive and time wasting mistakes I made.

 

No need.

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Yep agreed the problem is that people try to learn it all ass backwards, human nature I guess, do the easy most obvious things first, I made all the same mistakes myself.

 

All I try to do now is make people avoid the same expensive and time wasting mistakes I made.

 

No need.

 

I just trade. I enjoy talking the game, but I have no aspirations of teaching anyone anything.

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    • A custom Semi-Log Scale Oscillator indicator is now available for MT5 on Metaquotes website and directly in the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/114705 This indicator is an anchored semi-logarithmic scale oscillator. A logarithmic scale is widely used by professional data scientists to more accurately map information collected throughout a timeframe, in the same way that MT5 maps out price data. In fact, the underlying logic of this indicator was freely obtained from an overseas biotech scientist. A log-log chart displays logarithmic values on both the x (horizontal) and y (vertical) axes, which generally produces a straight line that points up, down, or remains flat. A straight line is not very useful for trading markets because such a straight line is so smoothed that actual price values that appear over time are very far away from the line study. In contrast, a semi-log chart is only logged on one axis--generally, the y axis. Such a semi-log chart is well suited for trading markets because the time (x) axis is preserved in its original form while at the same time, providing a graduated y scale where the distance between price increments progressively increases as price rises higher (and decreases as price falls lower). This allows us to establish a zero level for a low price, clearly view trends on straighter angles, and clearly observe amplified price spikes at high prices. Accordingly, this indicator employs a semi-log scale on the y axis only. This indicator is anchored because it allows you to specify a start time for calculation of price bars. The settings are as follows: Year.Month.Day Hour:Minute - defaults to 1970.01.01 00:01 - if left on default setting, the indicator automatically detects the earliest price bar in chart history--even where the year 1970 is not in history. Notes appear in the indicator settings window. Size of first pip step to log - defaults to 135 - this default is suitable for higher timeframes such a MN1 (monthly), while 5 is suitable for lower timeframes such as M1 (minute). Ultimately, optimal settings will depend on the timeframe that you attach the indicator to, the level of price volatility within that timeframe, and start time that you choose. Remember... The semi-log formula calculates from low to high, so your start time must always be a major swing low. Again, notes appear in the indicator settings window. The standard (built-in) MT5 indicators that can be applied to the "Previous indicator's data" can be applied to this indicator. Indicator lines (indicator buffers) can be called with iCustom in Expert Advisors created by Expert Advisor builder software or custom coded Expert Advisors. The log scale Open, High, Low, and Close prices are buffers: No empty values; and No repainting.
    • A custom Gann Candles indicator is now available for MT5 on the Metaquotes website and directly in the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/126398 This Gann Candles indicator incorporates a series of W.D. Gann's strategies into a single trading indicator. Gann was a legendary trader who lived from 1878 to 1955. He started out as a cotton farmer and started trading at age 24 in 1902. His strategies included geometry, astronomy, astrology, times cycles, and ancient math. Although Gann wrote several books, none of them contain all of his strategies so it takes years of studying to learn them. He was also a devout scholar of the Bible and the ancient Greek and Egyptian cultures, and he was a 33rd degree Freemason of the Scottish Rite. In an effort to simplify what I believe are the best of Gann's strategies, I reduced them into one indicator that simply colors your preexisting price bars when those strategies are in-sync versus out-of-sync. This greatly reduces potential chart clutter. Also, I reduced the number of input settings down to only two: FastFilter, and SlowFilter Both FastFilter and SlowFilter must be set to 5 or more, as noted in the Inputs tab upon attaching the indicator to your chart. Gann Candles works on regular time-based charts (M5, M15, M20, etc.) and custom charts (Renko, range bars, etc.). The indicator does not repaint. When using the default settings, blue candles form bullish price patterns, gray candles form flat (sideways) price patterns, and white candles form bearish price patterns. The simplest way to trade Gann Candles is to buy at the close of a blue candle and exit at the close of a gray candle, and then sell at the close of a white candle and exit at the close of a gray candle.
    • A custom Anchored VWAP with Standard Deviation Bands indicator for MT5 is now available on the Metaquotes website and directly through the MT5 platform. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/99389 The volume weighted average price indicator is a line study indicator that shows in the main chart window of MT5. The indicator monitors the typical price and then trading volume used to automatically push the indicator line toward heavily traded prices. These prices are where the most contracts (or lots) have been traded. Then those weighted prices are averaged over a look back period, and the indicator shows the line study at those pushed prices. The indicator in this post allows the trader to set the daily start time of that look back period. This indicator automatically shows 5 daily look back periods: the currently forming period, and the 4 previous days based on that same start time. For this reason, this indicator is intended for intraday trading only. The indicator automatically shows vertical daily start time separator lines for those days as well. Both typical prices and volumes are accumulated throughout the day, and processed throughout the day. Important update: v102 of this indicator allows you to anchor the start of the VWAP and bands to the most recent major high or low, even when that high or low appears in your chart several days ago. This is how institutional traders and liquidity providers often trade markets with the VWAP. This indicator also shows 6 standard deviation bands, similarly to the way that a Bollinger Bands indicator shows such bands. The trader is able to set 3 individual standard deviation multiplier values above the volume weighted average price line study, and 3 individual standard deviation multiplier values below the volume weighted average price line study. Higher multiplier values will generate rapidly expanding standard deviation bands because again, the indicator is cumulative. The following indicator parameters can be changed by the trader in the indicator Inputs tab: Volume Type [defaults to: Real volume] - Set to Tick volume for over-the-counter markets such as most forex markets. Real volume is an additional setting for centralized markets such as the United States Chicago Mercantile Exchange. VWAP Start Hour [defaults to: 07] - Set according to broker's or broker-dealer's MT5 server time in 24 hour format. For example, in the New York, United States time zone, 07 is approximately the London, United Kingdom business open hour. VWAP Start Minute [defaults to: 00] - Set according to broker's or broker-dealer's MT5 server time in 24 hour format. For example, 00 is on the hour with no delay of minutes within that hour. StdDev Multiplier 1 [defaults to: 1.618] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its nearest upper and lower bands. For example, 1.618 is a basic Fibonacci ratio. Some traders prefer 1.000 or 1.250 here. StdDev Multiplier 2 [defaults to: 3.236] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its middle upper and lower bands. For example, 3.236 is 1.618 (above) + 1.618. Some traders prefer 2.000 or 1.500 here. StdDev Multiplier 3 [defaults to: 4.854] - Set desired standard deviation distance between the volume weighted average price line study and its furthest upper and lower bands. For example, 4.854 is 1.618 (above) + 3.236 (above). Some traders prefer 3.000 or 2.000 here. VWAP Color [defaults to: Aqua] - Set desired VWAP line study color. This color automatically sets the color of the start time separators as well. SD1 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of nearest upper and lower standard deviation lines. SD2 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of middle upper and lower standard deviation lines. SD3 Color [defaults to: White] - Set desired color of furthest upper and lower standard deviation lines. Just to clarify, popular standard deviation bands settings are: 1.618, 3.236, and 4.854; or 1.000, 2.000, and 3.000; or 1.250, 1.500, and 2.000. Examples of usage *: In a ranging (sideways) market, enter a trade at the extremes of the standard deviation bands (SD3) and exit when price returns to the VWAP line study. Trade between SD1Pos and SD1 Neg, alternately buying and selling from one standard deviation line to the other. In a trending (rising or falling) market, enter a buy when a price bar opens above the VWAP line study, and exit at the nearest standard deviation band above (SD1Pos). Optionally, repeat the same trade but substitute SD1Pos for the VWAP, and SD2Pos for SD1. Reverse for sell; or Trade all lines (VWAP, SD1Pos, SD2Pos, and SD3Pos) in the same way. Again, reverse for sell. Indicator lines (indicator buffers) can be called with iCustom in Expert Advisors created by Expert Advisor builder software or custom coded Expert Advisors: No empty values; and No repainting.
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