Stocks Model

[Do Or Die 10]

Beginners can post here any list of stocks for which they want overview. Members who have contributed openly in the forum can give suggestions.

[Do Or Die 10]

I can suggest for mid-term trading, my relevant threads are:

Concepts in Technical Analysis.
Relative Strength - Internal
Relative Strength
Basic Sector Rotation Using ETFs
Trading Journals- Some Information And Downloads
Introduction to Understanding Volatility

[Do Or Die 10]

Question like these will fit well in this thread

 

I Think I Made a Rookie Mistake....Help?

 

Am I Doing This Right?

 

Seasonality and Reversals Off of Ytd Lows

[cash123 10]

An August update re: Seasonality and reversals off of ytd lows:

 

As this project developes in it's rudimentry form, i am looking for improving upon

it's profit and loss results.My basic parameters are:

 

1 Liquid traders having retrenched 40% from their last 90 day highs and near their ytd low

2. Separate into 3 groups: 0-99, 1.00-1.99, 2.00-3.99

3. Define reversal as 2 upticking sessions(higher closing price) confirmed in the third day

by either opening or at sometime during that seesion trading through the second days

close.

4. A trade is 1.5% of account

5. Stop loss set immediately 10% under entry.

6 .Half of position open sell 25% above entry

 

My 0-.99 list:

 

ANO in .63 current .63

ASTI .72/.98

CHLN .99/1.03

CYCC .81/.83

DSTI .30/.30

NBY .86/.92

NTWK .89/.93

GRO .77/1.10

 

there were 6 positions stopped out.

 

My 1.00-1.99 positions are:

 

BIOD 1.15/1.22

BZH 1.63/1.98

CHINA 1.30/1.33

COMV 1.72/2.29

CSUN 1.23/1.33

CLWR 1.72/2.81

CPST 1.20/1.20

FCEL 1.16/1.23

FREE 1.21/1.18

DRL 1.50/1.59

EGLE 1.87/1.97

GU 1.88/1.71

HW 1.91/2.18

HILL 1.69/1.83

MOVE 1.52/1.67

NLST 1.42/1.73

SYNM 1.12/1.20

SMSI 1.87/1.88

SOMX 1.00/.98

SPIR 1.50/2.11

SATC 1.09/1.15

SNSS 1.40/1.50

 

There were 7 stopped out positions

 

The list for 2.00-3.99

 

AVNR 2.73/3.00

BTN 3.65/3.95

CMFO 2.12/2.31

CCRT 2.63/3.08

CRDC 2.42/2.37

CMFO 2.12/2.31

FLOW 2.63/2.83

DLGC 3.10/3.11

FCH 2.75/2.75

FVE 3.35/3.19

FBN 2.63/2.70

JRJC 2.80/2.85

KIPS 2.30/3.08

QTWW 3.05/3.23

RDNT 2.63/2.71

ZA 2.77/2.87

 

There were 3 stopped out positions.

 

The recent volatility has me wondering about original stops and whether they should be

increased. Also, should they be different within the sub groups.

 

From July's candidates there were some staggering upside moves quickly

ABAT, IRE, KNDI, NFEC, SCEI, VALV, GBE, GRO, CCRT, NEWN, USBI

 

Capturing these high flyers with trailing stop profit orders ensured a tidy profit overall.

It seems reasonable that off of ytd lows there will be more of the same notwithstanding

a meltdown.I've noticed that the larger the retracement the better the results,so that is

another filter to maybe recalibrate.

 

This work in progress has some features I'm sure are flawed and I would like others

with a greater understanding to comment on the pros if there are any and the cons which which I'm sure there are many :-)

 

New positions made today;

 

DYAX 1.42

EDAP 2.30

LLEN 3.45

PM .26

SPMD 2.24

TSPT 2.84I

 

I must say I enjoy getting long near the bottom with a HINT of a possible reversal.

[cash123 10]

GU got stopped out

 

New positions entered

 

AMCF 1.40

BBND 1.43

CHRS 3.06

GMR .40

JASO 3.79

ZN 2.92

 

yesterday's PM should read PMI

Edited August 31, 2011 by cash123

[Do Or Die 10]

When I first saw you post about penny stocks I though that its usual gambling in which beginners are tempted.

 

But I must admit the model is impressive. I never really traded in penny stocks and its good to read your posts.

[cash123 10]

August's closing numbers;

 

0-.99

ANO .63 / .68......+7.9%

ASTI .72 / .94......+30%

CHLN .99 / 1.01 ...+2.0%

CYCC .81 / .84 ....+3.7%

DSTI .30 / .29 ....-3.3%

GMR .40 / .40......0%

PMI .26 / .26......0%

NBY .86 / .91......+5.8%

NTWK .89 / .90......+1.1%

GRO .77 / 1.21.....+57.1%

 

6 positions stopped out

 

1.00-1.99

AMCF 1.40 / 1.55....+10.7%

BBND 1.43 / 1.43........0%

BIOD 1.15 / 1.24......+7.8%

BZR 1.63 / 2.11......+29.4%

CHINA 1.30 / 1.32.....+1.5%

COMV 1.72 / 2.43.....+41.2%

CSUN 1.23 / 1.22..... -.08%

CLWR 1.72 / 3.21.....+86.6%

CPST 1.20 / 1.20........0%

FCEL 1.16 / 1.18.....+1.7%

FREE 1.21 / 1.23......+1.6%

DYAX 1.42 / 1.49......+4.9%

DRL 1.50 / 1.63.....+8.6%

EGLE 1.87 / 1.94......+3.7%

HW 1.91 / 2.15......+12.5%

HILL 1.69 / 1.76......+4.1%

MOVE 1.52 / 1.81.....+19.0%

NLST 1.42 / 1.80.....+26.7%

SYNM 1.12 / 1.20......+7.1%

SMSI 1.87 / 1.89......+1.0%

SOMX 1.00 / 1.00........ 0%

SPIR 1.50 / 2.30......+53.3%

SATC 1.09 / 1.33......+22.0%

SNSS 1.40 / 1.55.....+10.7%

 

there were 8 stopped out

 

2.00-3.99

 

AVNR 2.73 / 2.85......+6.9%

BTN 3.65 / 3.86......+5.7%

CMFO 2.12 / 2.20.......+3.7%

CCRT 2.63 / 3.20.......+21.6%

CHRS 3.04 / 3.17........+4.2%

CRDC 2.42 / 2.28........-5.7%

FLOW 2.63 / 2.55........-3.0%

DLGC 3.10 / 2.79.........-10% stopped out

EDAP 2.30 / 2.21.........-3.9%

FCH 2.75 / 3.43........+24.7%

FVE 3.35 / 3.25.........-2.9%

FBN 2.63 / 2.81.........+6.8%

JASO 3.79 / 3.67.........-3.1%

JRJC 2.80 / 2.78.........-.07%

KIPS 2.30 / 3.20.........+39.1%

LLEN 3.45 / 3.50.........+1.4%

QTWW 3.05 / 3.31.........+8.5%

SPMD 2.24 / 2.12.........-5.3%

TSPT 2.84 / 3.24..........+14%

RDNT 2.63 / 3.00..........+14.0%

ZA 2.77 / 3.01..........+8.6%

ZN 2.92 / 2.82..........-3.4%

 

there were 4 stopped out positions including DLGC

 

The sub group 0-.99 was by far the worst performers with 6 of 16 being stopped out.

They will be eliminated henceforth.

 

the middle group 1.00 - 1.99 had 8 out of 32 stopped out...that's doable

The last group was the most promising 2.00-3.99 had only 4 of 25 stopped out.

 

Since the stopped out positions represent a loss of .15% of the account

a few high flyers managed with trailing stops should suffice.Once the +25%

threshold has been met the trailing stops are placed 10% under that days close.

 

Positions entered today start Septembers list

 

ANX 1.08

CNTF 2.68

EEE 1.13

EXM 2.02

ECTY 2.20

MCOX 1.95

NFEC 1.12

NEWN 2.26

SCEI 1.53

VALV 2.13

Edited September 1, 2011 by cash123

[Do Or Die 10]

Time to short AAPL? anyone else tracking this stock?

[MadMarketScientist 11]

Time to short AAPL? anyone else tracking this stock?

 

I've been trading AAPL for some time ... I'm not in it right now simply because of the entire equity environment ... but after the next shakeout - I will be back LONG. While I am waiting, however, I've sold some naked puts against the stock at 10% below current prices. That is a strategy of mine for any stock I am long term bullish on but waiting for prices to come down.

 

Why would you short? Because of macro issues or because you think AAPL has had its run?

 

thx

MMS

[Do Or Die 10]

Actually I meant in the short term.

 

AAPL was outperforming market since last month or so... and Technology sector as a whole on up days. This relationship has changed; the markets apparently bounced this week from important 'trough', but this stock does not shows bull enthusiasm. I do not particularly like a stock opening significantly up but closing in red

 

 

On daily charts, it closely resembles a classic exhaustion, ending with wide range bar.

 

I also do not like the media attention the stock has been getting lately, everyone wants to own it.

[Do Or Die 10]

... I've sold some naked puts against the stock at 10% below current prices.

Must be in profit... 360s for the stock look quite possible as well.

Updated chart

[MadMarketScientist 11]

Must be in profit... 360s for the stock look quite possible as well

 

sold Nov 350 put ... I don't think AAPL will get there ... but you never know. Nonetheless, I will be happy to buy AAPL at 350

 

MMS

[Tams 20]

sold Nov 350 put ... I don't think AAPL will get there ... but you never know. Nonetheless, I will be happy to buy AAPL at 350

 

MMS

 

I like that idea.

That's how Buffet accumulate most of his holdings.

[Do Or Die 10]

AAPL bounced back from 360s hysterically upto 420...

 

AAPL's rally on daily charts is over. Until there is significant rally (100+ points) in SnP itself, it will not see new highs.

[Tams 20]

AAPL bounced back from 360s hysterically upto 420...

 

AAPL's rally on daily charts is over. Until there is significant rally (100+ points) in SnP itself, it will not see new highs.

 

is that a prediction? or verbal diarrhea?

[Do Or Die 10]

Hahaha...

 

Verbal Diarrhea

 

influence of reading another chat board where people were giving their opinions.

 

To get back to the stock, its RS has peaked out.

[MadMarketScientist 11]

AAPL is an interesting stock these days with Steve gone. I'm still in my put position and will most likely sell another just like it come expiration. But its not 'a sure thing' as it used to be.

 

thx

MMS