Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Bloomburger

Questions About Bonds and Reinvestment Risk

Recommended Posts

I'm having trouble understanding this concept.

 

 

Say you have two different bonds to chose from. One is a zero coupon bond and another one is a standard coupon bond. For the sake of this question, disregard tenor (maturity).

 

Now considering what Bernanke said yesterday, (that the Fed will be doing their best to keep the interest rate as low as possible), what is the better choice?

 

I am told the answer is obvious, but I can't see it..

 

 

If the Fed is trying to keep interest rates as close to 0 as possible wouldn't there be very little reinvestment risk?

 

 

I must be misunderstanding the difference between zero coupon bonds and regular bonds. So here is what I currently believe they each mean. If I am misunderstanding one of these terms, than that is probably why I am not getting the answer.

 

 

Zero coupon bonds, well, don't pay coupons, or interest. At maturity you are repaid the price of the bonds plus some interest you would have accumulated if it were a coupon bond.

 

EX: Pay $100 for a zero coupon bond. After 1 year, at maturity, you are paid $105.

 

My understanding of a regular coupon bond is again best described in an example.

 

EX: Say interest rates are 5%. You buy coupon bond for $100. You are paid $5 after the first 6 months, this is your coupon payment. The $5 that you received after the first 6 months is reinvested (?I am confused on this, what does this mean? Re invested into what?) and receives the same interest rate as the current market. So lets say 6 months after purchasing your bond the IR is now 20%. So your $5 gets an interest rate of 20% for the next 6 months until maturity. 12 months after you have purchased your bond and it has hit maturity you are paid back your initial investment of $100 + $6 = $106. This 6$ because the coupon (interest) payment received 20% interest over the 6 months since you received it.

 

 

 

Is this correct? Are coupon bonds priced the same as regular fixed coupon bonds? Just paid in a different way?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
bumpasdddddddddddddddddddddd

 

 

A better example is lets say you have a bond with a 5 year YTM, that is priced at lets say 2 percent interest (rr) with a 6 percent coupon rate and a 1000 face value. The PV of said Bond is = 1188.5 meaning it is selling at a premium

 

Same bond with no coupon rate has a PV of 905.73

 

 

So in other words a bond with a coupon rate will trade at a higher rate. Also to your question of re-investment it means that in an ideal world your coupon would have to return the same amount as the interest rate on the bond.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
A better example is lets say you have a bond with a 5 year YTM, that is priced at lets say 2 percent interest (rr) with a 6 percent coupon rate and a 1000 face value. The PV of said Bond is = 1188.5 meaning it is selling at a premium

 

Same bond with no coupon rate has a PV of 905.73

 

 

So in other words a bond with a coupon rate will trade at a higher rate. Also to your question of re-investment it means that in an ideal world your coupon would have to return the same amount as the interest rate on the bond.

 

I'm still not understanding the first part. What exactly does it mean for the bond to have 2 percent interest with a 6 percent coupon rate?

How did you get the number 1188.5?

 

And how did you get the number 905.73 for a bond with no coupon?

 

Thanks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I'm still not understanding the first part. What exactly does it mean for the bond to have 2 percent interest with a 6 percent coupon rate?

How did you get the number 1188.5?

 

And how did you get the number 905.73 for a bond with no coupon?

 

Thanks

 

 

 

The quoted interest rate (discount rate or intrinsic value) is how you find whether or not the bond is selling at a premium or discount to par, while the coupon rate is the payment you receive per period specified by the particular bond. Bond Value = PV of Coupons + PV of par (face)

 

The return on a zero coupon bond comes from the appreciation in its price rather than the payments received per period.

 

Also recall that the Yield to Maturity only holds constant if you are able to re-invest the coupon payments at the YTM rate, (discount rate that equates fv cash flows to current price)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • KDLY Kindly MD stock watch, pullback to 1.7 support area with high trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?KDLY
    • PLTR Palantir Technologies stock, watch for a local breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?PLTR
    • Date: 6th March 2025.   The Euro is on The Rise But Is the Currency Overbought?     The Euro rose more than 4% over four days making it the currency’s best performance since COVID lockdowns. The upward price movement is primarily driven by the European bond market which saw its worst day since the 1990s. However, investors are now evaluating whether the Euro is overbought.   Why Is the Euro Increasing in Value? The Euro's rise is driven by the EU's new ‘re-arm’ plans, announced by the European Commission President. This is in response to the US suspending military aid to Ukraine. Analysts believe increased military spending will strengthen the Euro in the short term, but its impact may fade, especially if the Ukraine-Russia conflict ends. The US is looking to achieve this by halting aid and no longer sharing military intelligence.     In addition, the German Bond fell and witnessed their worst day in almost 30 years. As a result the higher bond yields also continue to support the Euro. Currently, the Euro Index is trading 0.09% higher and is only witnessing a decline against the Japanese Yen. However, the price movement of the Euro will also depend on the European Central Bank and potential Trump Tariffs. Economists remain convinced that Trump's tariff threats are serious and will be imposed on the EU. Just last week, he announced that Washington will impose 25% tariffs on Europe-made ‘cars and all other things’. On April 2nd, Washington plans to introduce another round of ‘reciprocal’ tariffs, adding to those already in effect. Germany remains particularly vulnerable, as a large portion of its industry relies on exports to the US. This can potentially have a negative effect on the Euro and the European stock market.   Is the European Central Bank a Risk for the Euro? The European Central Bank is due to announce its rate decision this afternoon and conduct a press conference thereafter. The ECB may potentially aim to calm the market after German Bonds took a hit. If the ECB remains dovish and also reassures the market of the Eurozone’s fiscal and monetary policy, the Euro can retrace in the short term. Analysts currently advise today’s ECB meeting will most likely be the most interesting in years and the most unpredictable. Markets are expecting a rate of 2.65% from the ECB. Analysts at Morgan Stanley believe the ECB will maintain its "dovish" stance in March and April to support the economy, especially as inflation slowed to 2.4% in February from 2.5% the previous month, nearing the 2.0% target. If the ECB advice rates are likely to continue falling in 2025, the Euro will struggle to maintain bullish momentum.   EURUSD - Technical Analysis and Indicators The EURUSD is still witnessing indications of bullish price movement on the 2-hour chart and fundamentals also support the upward price movement. However, simultaneously, the price is obtaining indications the currency is overbought in the short to medium term. The EURUSD is trading above the overbought level on the RSI and is obtaining a divergence signal on most timeframes.       Therefore, the possibility of the price being overbought and retracing remains, but the price action will depend on the ECB. Until the ECB’s rate decision and press conference, the average price at 1.08000 will be key as it has been so far today.   Key Takeaway Points: The Euro surged over 4% in four days, its best performance since COVID lockdowns, driven by European bond market turmoil. The EU’s ‘re-arm’ plans and rising German bond yields boost the Euro, but US tariffs and ECB decisions may impact its trend. The ECB’s upcoming rate decision and monetary policy stance could shape short-term price movements, with a dovish approach expected. Despite strong fundamentals, RSI overbought levels and divergence signals suggest a possible retracement, depending on the ECB. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • PDYN Palladyne AI stock, great day off the gap support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?PDYN
    • MRNA Moderna stock, nice day with a rally off the lower 30.6 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?MRNA
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.