Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

nhallett

You've Got a Great Trading System. So Why Are You Losing?

Recommended Posts

You've done your homework. Countless hours of

seeking out the right guru (or piecing together

your own system). Weeks of monitoring your

guru's daily trade picks (or paper-trading and

back-testing your homemade system). You've done

it by the book. No seat of the pants trading

for you!

 

OK, now you're confident. It's time to put your

money where your homework is.

 

You've had your coffee and your first trade

signal is before you. Confidence high. Trade made.

First loss. Not a problem. You understood before

you started that successful traders both win and

lose and “losing is part of the overall winning”.

 

You've also heard more then once that “successful

traders don't win on every trade.” Moving on,

still confident. Next trade made. Another loss,

but this one hurt your pride a little because

you got stopped out early in the trade, and then

the market rebounded and would have hit your

profit target if you weren't stopped out.

 

You double check. Yep, you placed the stop where your

trading system told you to place it. You kind of

had a feeling that the early weakness in the market

was just profit-taking from the previous day's

trading, but you're trading a system and you must

stick to it. Wounded, but resilient.

 

After a good night's sleep and a few mouse clicks,

your new daily trades are in front of you. Hey,

this one looks good! It's a little bit more risk

than yesterday's trades had, but look at that profit

potential! With a smiling face, the trade is executed.

 

With a nice start to the trade, you're feeling good

and you've moved your stop to breakeven, just like

your system said. Surprise piece of news - market

reverses - blows through your stop - an “unexpected”

loss. Is something wrong with the system? Has the

overall market “personality” changed, affecting your

system to the Core, rendering all your back-testing

irrelevant? Your confidence turns to doubt.

 

You decide to “watch” the next trade… I mean, isn't

it wise to make sure the system gets back on track

before you “throw good money after bad?” Isn't that

what a conservative trader does? Trade watched.

It wins!

 

In your head, you beat yourself up a little because

you know that when you started your “live” trading,

you made an agreement with yourself to take the

first 10 trades “no matter what”… and here you

wimped-out and missed a big winner that would have

gotten you even.

 

What's happening?!!

 

What's happening is that you are out of control.

Your emotions are ruling your trading. The above

scenario plays out in every trader from time to

time.. newbee and veteran alike.

 

The winning trader senses what is happening and

nips it in the bud. The winning trader spend time

EVERY DAY, working on “the discipline of trading”.

Reads a chapter in his favorite psychological

trading book, scans the “ten commandments of

trading” that hangs on the wall over his/her desk,

listens to his/her mental training software for

futures traders… Something… Every Day… before

trading begins.

 

There are many more losing traders than winning

traders… and it's seldom about the trading system.

In my career, I've come across at least 50 systems

that I consider A+, yet I know for a fact that MOST

traders that have traded on these systems have lost.

Why? They were not in control of their emotions.

 

Are you?

 

 

My best,

 

Norman Hallett

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Spot on Norman, I've found that becoming a consistently profitable trader is so much more about your ability to detach yourself from the money and the emotions to trade 100% objectively, as apposed to focusing on the system. Great post.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Norm, let's have a chat about Quantum Mechanics and Masaru Emoto.
Jack - I had never heard of Masaru Emoto until now - thank you.

 

After Googling and reading, I was amazed at the similarity between his ethereal and unsubstantiated theories and those of the trading support group known as trading psychologists.

 

I won't write one of my famous long essays on this topic at this time.

 

But I would simply like to ask a couple of rhetorical questions to psychologists and those who purport to belong to the erudite "Traders Support Fraternity":

 

1) Where are the successful students with their testimonials ... real ones?

2) Where are the students' yachts?

 

Kind regards, and tirelessly in pursuit truth,

 

Ingot

 

PS - It might be that Psychologists belong in a group with Dermatologists.

 

Their clients' conditions:

1) Never get better;

2) Never get worse:

3) Never ring up in the middle of the night;

4) Always remain in need of therapy

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 31st March 2025.   Trump Confirms Tariffs on All Countries, Sending Stocks Lower.   The NASDAQ continues to trade lower due to the US confirming the latest tariffs will be on all countries. In addition to this, bearish volatility also is largely due to the higher inflation data from Friday. The NASDAQ declines to its lowest price since September 11th 2024. Core PCE Price Index - Inflation Increases Again! The PCE Price Index read 2.5% aligning with expert forecasts not triggering any alarm bells. However, the Core PCE Price Index rose from 0.3% to 0.4% MoM and from 2.7% to 2.8% YoY, signalling growing inflationary pressure. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. The NASDAQ fell 2.60% due to the higher inflation reading which is known to pressure the stock market due to pressure on consumer demand and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently commented that tariffs could drive up inflation, though the long-term impact remains uncertain. She told journalists that a short-term spike is the most probable outcome but believes the current pause in monetary policy adjustments is appropriate given the prevailing uncertainties. Although, certain investment banks such as JP Morgan actually believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates. This is due to expectations that the economy will struggle under the new trade policy. For example, JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts but will quickly cut towards the end of 2025. Market Risk Appetite Takes a Hit! A big factor for the day is the drop in the risk appetite of investors. This can be seen from the VIX which is up almost 6%, Gold which is trading 1.30% higher and the Japanese Yen which is the day’s best performing currency. Most safe haven assets, bar the US Dollar, increase in value. It is also worth noting that all indices are decreasing in value during this morning's Asian session with the Nikkei225 and NASDAQ witnessing the strongest decline. Previously the stock market rose in value as investors heard rumours that tariffs would only be on certain countries. This bullish swing occurred between March 14th and 25th. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump indicated that the upcoming tariffs would apply to all countries, not just those with the largest trade imbalances with the US. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ continues to obtain indications that sellers control the price action. The price opens on a bearish price gap measuring 0.30% and trades below all Moving Averages on all timeframes. The NASDAQ also trades below the VWAP and almost 100% of the most influential components (stocks) are declining in value.     The next significant support level is at $18,313, and the resistance level stands at $20,367.95. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ falls to its lowest since September 2024 as the US confirms tariffs on all countries, adding to inflation concerns. Core PCE inflation rises to 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY, increasing the likelihood of prolonged high interest rates. Investor risk appetite drops as VIX jumps 6%, gold gains 1.3%, and safe-haven assets outperform. NASDAQ shows strong bearish momentum, trading below key technical levels with support at $18,313 and resistance at $20,367.95. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • PM Philip Morris stock, top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?PM
    • EXC Exelon stock, nice range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?EXC
    • UTZ Utz Brands stock, watch for a bottom breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?UTZ
    • FL Foot Locker stock, nice breakdown follow through at https://stockconsultant.com/?FL
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.