Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TheNegotiator

How Did You Find Your Style And/or Market?

Recommended Posts

So when we first start to trade we are told to find a market and a method which "suit" our personalities. First off, how do you do this with no prior experience of trading or guidance from someone who does? But if you have a sound methodology does it really matter anyway? Does the personality aspect of finding a method and market have more to do with the current market phase of an individual product rather than the product itself? Are you a great trend trader or do you prefer bracketing markets?

 

My question is therefore, have you found your method/product? If you have, how did it happen? Through careful planning and understanding of your particular needs or by sheer chance? If you haven't, what are the dead ends you have been down searching for an answer?

 

Or, do you disagree with the sentiment entirely and believe that you should be able to use any method in any market if you are good enough?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I personally had some guidance in that I began trading at a prop firm. I was lucky enough to have found some success in the products I traded although they never felt quite right. I knew that I was always going to want to understand what was going on technically and why the market was trading in the way it did. I was able to experiment with small size in various different products until I found one which I felt more comfortable with. That happened to be the ES. Many traders I realise, get sucked into trading a big and liquid market with low margins and high hopes. That was not where I came from. I just got it(well not always!!). I'm not sure how I personally would have chosen a market if I'd started as a retail trader.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi Negotiator. I started with ES, learning on my own, then a prop firm, that prop. firm never added anything to my knowledge. BUt anyways.

 

CUrrently I am looking at YM to see if i can get better tick value.

 

PS: which method do you use and which prop firm did you go to. If it can be commented

 

Thanks

 

Dan

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I started with equities and found that I was not very good at it...by chance I was introduced to Dr. Ari Kiev. He suggested some simple things that have worked well for me...First he suggested that I build on what I know best (I am an Engineer by training)...So I started to look at Energy, and Oil Services...He also suggested that I specialize or concentrate my efforts in one area. In his opinion if you become an expert at some element of business or technology, you may find that people will pay for your expertise, or that you can parlay that expertise into a better job or make money by learning to apply that expertise to trading. I stayed with Energy and Oil Services for almost 10 years before branching out to other things.

 

As for my approach, again I had no real idea of what to do...like most I tried all the obvious avenues and to no avail...again Dr. Kiev suggested "you know some of the best traders I know use Market and Volume Profile".... He introduced me to a couple of gentlemen at a brokerage firm called Gelderman and for the first time I saw people using Market Profile and Volume Profile consistently. After that I began investigating the idea of identifying areas of Supply and Demand on standard candlestick charts. About a year later it occurred to me that if I were to combine the two approaches the result might be a more accurate initial entry for my trades. I have been using the concept of "confluence" successfully for quite a while now...the idea being that if you have multiple signals occuring at or near the same price, you have a bigger audience of traders willing to take action at that price.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I wanted to manage my own retirement account. I signed up for the Motley Fool newsletters and got onto their website. I learned that there were retail brokers and trading platforms that I never even knew existed. I transferred my retirement account from one broker to another, looking for a better trading platform. I started reading about candlestick patterns, and all the other stuff that is easily found on the internet. I searched the internet for what seems like hundreds of hours, trying to find out information about trading. All of seemed like garbage. I probably spent at least a year of full time work just finding out very basic information about trading.

 

I spent months learning how to operate a trading platform, and going through indicator after indicator. Nothing seemed to really give me what I wanted. It all seemed like a very confused and convoluted mess that had no real basis in telling me why the market does what it does.

 

I had spent a lot of time trying to figure out how I could gain an advantage trading stocks. I looked into news services, and tried reading earnings reports. I even broke down all the parts of an earnings report into it's accounting categories, and wrote a program that would calculate what the relative impact of all the different variables would be. But monitoring many different stocks, reading earnings reports, monitoring news and trying to make sense of why the market was doing what it was doing seemed like a game that just could not be won. (At least for short term trading, which is what I wanted to do)

 

I figured out that trading penny stocks was a highly leveraged way to make a lot of money very fast. I bought a penny stock, made some money very quickly, and what seemed like very easily, and thought it was going to be easy. I decided that I could trade for a living, having absolutely no idea what it really took to make money trading. I didn't know the failure rate, or anything about the market. I wouldn't learn that until well after I was deep into wanting to trade for a living.

 

After going down quite a few paths, I decided that I couldn't really trust anyone else to give me a trading edge and that I'd have to figure it out myself. I had a little bit of programing experience, so thought I'd customize some studies. I joined a programing group, and was disappointed with the group and the lack of good answers. I found an answer myself, and posted it. As I learned things I posted what I had learned. I started answering questions if I knew the answer. As it turned out, I became one of the biggest contributors to that programing group. Through that group I met a couple of people. They gave me some very basic information about trading, and told me about the futures market.

 

I felt like there had to be something that other people knew that I just didn't know. I thought, "Somebody is making money, so there must be a way to know what the market was going to do." I tried looking at correlations between what volume was doing, and what price was doing. I programed studies and looked for trends and patterns. Nothing seemed to give me an "edge". There were patterns that worked, but they only seemed to work 50% of the time. Nothing seemed to give me more than a flip of the coin would give me.

 

Every once in a while, I'd watch a free webinar or seminar, trying to pick up something, anything that would give me some valuable information. Then I somehow found out about market internals. I noticed that the SP emini seemed to follow the NYSE Advancers minus the NYSE Decliners very closely. So I started analyzing that data every way I could.

 

Right now I use the NYSE TICK, NYSE Advancers, and the NYSE Decliners as the basis for my trading strategy. I've spent a lot of time documenting all my observations. I have word documents and even a database of all my observations. Today I spent time saving screen shots of different trading "set-ups" that I need to print out, and put into my trading notebook. Then I'll go through them, study them and memorize all the trade set-ups.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • NFLX Netflix stock watch, local support and resistance areas at 838.12 and 880.5 at https://stockconsultant.com/?NFLX
    • Date: 8th April 2025.   Markets Rebound Cautiously as US-China Tariff Tensions Deepen     Global markets staged a tentative recovery on Tuesday following a wave of volatility sparked by escalating trade tensions between the United States and China. The Asia-Pacific region showed signs of stability after a chaotic start to the week—though some pockets remained under pressure. Taiwan’s Taiex dropped 4.4%, dragged lower by losses in tech heavyweight TSMC. The world’s largest chipmaker fell another 4% on Tuesday and has now slumped 13.5% since April 2, when US President Donald Trump first unveiled what he called ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs.   However, broader sentiment across the region turned more positive, with several markets rebounding sharply after Monday’s dramatic sell-offs. Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged over 6% in early trading, rebounding from an 18-month low. South Korea’s Kospi rose marginally, and Australia’s ASX 200 gained 1.9%, driven by strength in mining stocks. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 1.6%, though still far from recovering from Monday’s 13.2% crash—its worst day since the 1997 Asian financial crisis. China’s Shanghai Composite added 0.9%.   In Europe, DAX and FTSE 100 are up more than 1% in opening trade. EU Commission President von der Leyen repeated yesterday that the EU had offered reciprocal zero tariffs on manufactured goods previously and continues to stand by that offer. Others are also trying again to talk to Trump to get some sort of agreement that limits the impact.   Much of the rally appeared to be driven by dip-buying, as well as hopes that the intensifying trade war could still be defused through negotiations.   China Strikes Back: ‘We Will Fight to the End’   Tensions reached a boiling point after Trump threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on all Chinese imports unless Beijing rolled back its retaliatory measures by April 8. ‘If China does not withdraw its 34% increase above their already long-term trading abuses by tomorrow... the United States will impose additional tariffs on China of 50%,’ Trump declared on social media.   If implemented, the new tariffs would bring total US duties on Chinese goods to a staggering 124%, factoring in the existing 20%, the 34% recently announced, and the proposed 50%.   In response, China’s Ministry of Commerce issued a stern warning, stating: ‘The US threat to escalate tariffs is a mistake on top of a mistake... If the US insists on its own way, China will fight to the end.’ The ministry also called for equal and respectful dialogue, though signs of compromise on either side remain scarce.   Beijing acted quickly to contain a market fallout. State funds intervened to support equities, and the People’s Bank of China set the yuan fixing at its weakest level since September 2023 to boost export competitiveness. Additionally, five-year interest rate swaps in China fell to their lowest levels since 2020, indicating potential for further monetary easing.   Trump Talks Tough on EU Too   Trump’s hardline approach extended beyond China. Speaking at a press conference, he rejected the European Union’s offer to eliminate tariffs on cars and industrial goods, accusing the bloc of ‘being very bad to us.’ He insisted that Europe would need to source its energy from the US, claiming the US could ‘knock off $350 billion in one week.’   The EU, meanwhile, backed away from a proposed 50% retaliatory tariff on American whiskey, opting instead for 25% duties on selected US goods in response to Trump’s steel and aluminium tariffs.     Volatile Wall Street Adds to the Drama   Wall Street experienced wild swings on Monday as investors processed the rapidly evolving trade conflict. The S&P 500 briefly fell 4.7% before rebounding 3.4%, nearly erasing its losses in what could have been its biggest one-day jump in years—if it had held. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank by as much as 1,700 points early in the day but later climbed nearly 900 points before closing 349 points lower, down 0.9%. The Nasdaq ended up 0.1%.   The brief rally was fueled by a false rumour that Trump was considering a 90-day pause on tariffs—rumours that the White House quickly labelled ‘fake news.’ The market's sharp reaction underscored how desperate investors are for any sign that tensions might ease.   Oil Markets in Focus: Goldman Sachs Revises Forecasts   Crude prices also reflected the uncertainty, with US crude briefly dipping below $60 per barrel for the first time since 2021. As of early Tuesday, Brent crude was trading at $64.72, while WTI hovered around $61.26.   Goldman Sachs, in a note dated April 7, lowered its average price forecasts for Brent and WTI through 2025 and 2026, citing mounting recession risks and the potential for higher-than-expected supply from OPEC+.       Under a base-case scenario where the US avoids a recession and tariffs are reduced significantly before the April 9 implementation date, Goldman sees Brent at $62 per barrel and WTI at $58 by December 2025. These figures fall further to $55 and $51, respectively, by the end of 2026. This outlook also assumes moderate output increases from eight OPEC+ countries, with incremental boosts of 130,000–140,000 barrels per day in June and July.   However, should the US slip into a typical recession and OPEC production aligns with the bank’s baseline assumptions, Brent could retreat to $58 by the end of this year and to $50 by December 2026.   In a more bearish scenario involving a global GDP slowdown and no change to OPEC+ output levels, Brent prices might fall to $54 by year-end and $45 by late 2026. The most extreme projection—based on a simultaneous economic downturn and a full reversal of OPEC+ production cuts—would see Brent plunge to below $40 per barrel by the end of 2026.   Goldman noted that oil prices could outperform forecasts significantly if there was a dramatic shift in tariff policy and a surprise in global demand recovery.   Cautious Optimism, But Warnings Persist   With both Washington and Beijing showing no signs of backing down, markets are likely to remain volatile in the days ahead. Investors now turn their attention to upcoming trade meetings and policy decisions, hoping for clarity in what has become one of the most unpredictable trading environments in recent years.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Andria Pichidi HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • CVNA Carvana stock watch, rebound to 166.56 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?CVNA
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.