Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

a bit late on this one.

 

short 1399, target 1396

 

Failure to break supply line and trend is down for the moment so I want to get on board.

 

Update: +3

Edited by goodoboy

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Market has already priced in BB easing. Anything less than QE3 and we sell off. Especially after this bogus overnight rally.

 

Apparently there was some chat about ECB getting some more power or something too. I don't know whether we moved off that or not. As this guy points out, FOMC meeting is quite close so I don't know whether even if they are going to ease, whether it'd be indicated today. Remember there's a jobs report the preceding Friday to the meeting and if that were a good one, they may back off. Who know and does it really matter anyway :confused: lol.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Expanding the balance profile 8/3-8/30 shows a balance around a long-term volume development (highlighted on right-hand orange profile) with 'spikes' tested on either side. Also shows the VPOC to be 1400.00 exactly.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=30973&stc=1&d=1346416268

2012-08-31_3.thumb.jpg.65bbe8778fe952e7849db70245985462.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

How I tell whether to buy a breakout through the highs or fade the move.

 

The first chart shows the market pushing the highs of the overnight session (dashed dark red line) and the question is... GO WITH (buy) or FADE (short) this move. One other possibility is DO NOTHING. 3 choices.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=30975&stc=1&d=1346418386

 

Next chart shows large BUYERS Lifting the Offer and buying the breakout using a stop market entry (Cyan volume). This is a sign for me that large buyers are getting long here. Now my interest picks up.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=30976&stc=1&d=1346418386

 

Next chart shows a shallow pullback. This is an opportunity to get long with as stop below the prior swing low about 6 ticks below.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=30977&stc=1&d=1346418386

 

Next chart shows even more buyers aggressively buying here. This is confirmation that the move is correct and you should stay in for higher prices.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=30978&stc=1&d=1346418386

 

Next chart confirms the move further. Take profit or hold?

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=30979&stc=1&d=1346418386

 

 

Final part of this move is evident from the entire chart showing the large move up to within 1 tick of a prior high.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=30981&stc=1&d=1346419055

 

 

Take this trade and what does it provide Risk 6 ticks... Potential 39 ticks. 6:5 to 1

2012-08-31_0610_ES_MARKET_RALLY_AND_PULLBACK_-_BUY_YES_OR_NO.png.7108f1af22f633a964811998617f0d52.png

2012-08-31_0615_ES_MARKET_RALLY_AND_PULLBACK_-_BUY_YES_OR_NO_-BREAKOUT_ABOVE_HIGHS_SHOW_BUYERS_J.png.5003a9433729589ca8d640c68b534c9d.png

2012-08-31_0630_ES_MARKET_RALLY_AND_PULLBACK_-_BUY_YES_OR_NO_SMALL_PULLBACK_AND_MORE_BUYERS_ABOV.png.fae012ea9cd5ccdac3ffa70ec8a649c6.png

2012-08-31_0640_ES_MARKET_RALLY_AND_PULLBACK_-_BUY_YES_OR_NO_STILL_MORE_BUYERS_ABOVE_HIGHS.png.b63f992104faa76bfcae25052867088b.png

2012-08-31_0645_ES_MARKET_RALLY_AND_PULLBACK_-_BUY_YES_OR_NO_MARKET_HEADED_HIGHER_STRONGLY.png.03e4e08e5325885eac744aa120f9b3bd.png

2012-08-31_0830_ES_MARKET_RALLY_AND_PULLBACK_-_BUY_YES_OR_NO_HEADS_UP_TO_TEST_PRIOR_HIGH.thumb.png.58f0230425ad6549deb2349e3a84c633.png

2012-08-31_0916_ES_30M.thumb.png.64eb659e2f04e212e508f859d2fb6576.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I like a long around 1402, stop around 1398, target around 1406.50 for today...

 

Maybe that would be good, maybe it wouldn't. Although it's near the top of yesterday's RTH range, I would point out that we'd have moved well over 50% of the ETH range back. Considering the upwards pressure I would think something would have had to have changed and that would make me cautious of buying there. We'll see though, ach. :2c:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
What'll be with BB today then guys? Big move, threaten to move then back, or nada?

 

I just woke up to see market moving upwards, now its moving down.

 

short at 1407 target 1396, but this depends on what happens depending on all this BB talks. so trade management now.

 

price actions making lower highs for now.

Edited by goodoboy

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Maybe that would be good, maybe it wouldn't. Although it's near the top of yesterday's RTH range, I would point out that we'd have moved well over 50% of the ETH range back. Considering the upwards pressure I would think something would have had to have changed and that would make me cautious of buying there. We'll see though, ach. :2c:

 

well, just got long again around 1398.25... we'll see...

 

2 pt stop, 2 pt target

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This is what we did (excluding last move which just touched yesterday's vpoc):-

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=30982&stc=1&d=1346422156

 

We basically ping-ponged between those high vol areas which are also reflected on rob's charts from earlier. The last retrace on the chart corresponded to the rth mid, rth low vol, overnight vpoc. Was a good short in addition to the one at 1409.25.

2012-08-31_4.thumb.jpg.0ea31037ad3ca437d014a87c093b9b81.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

well, that's 2 trades in the ES... almost 5 points.

 

I hear what your saying, and the daily PA looked bearish... however, I figured after the run up around 1412 in the aftermarket session, and considering the moves in the euro and crude, etc... I just figured that a retracement back to yesterdays high would produce a big enough of a bounce for me to catch something on.

 

the 2nd trade, well, near the LOD yesterday, a likely lack of liquidity on the offer side, and a news catalyst creating a relative liquidity gap/kneejerk selloff by bernake talk, and I figured we had a perfect environment for a slight rebound back to yesterdays high around 1402.50, but, since I'm done, and want to be done...2 points was a pretty easy pick.

 

good trading

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Similar Content

    • By Quantower
      The main goal of this thread is to show what Power Trades is and how it works in different markets. We will show some patterns on the ES and NQ futures, as well as discuss possible improvements to this functionality.
      What is Power Trades?
      Ok, first we will consider what the Power Trades is and how it finds zones.
      Power Trades shows the zones with the execution of a large number of orders in a very short time, which will affect the price change with a high probability.
      Here are a few examples of how it looks like


      How it finds zones?
      There is a continuous process of placing, changing and executing orders in the market. All this affects the price change and the expectations of traders regarding the future price.
      When a large order appears at a certain level, the price is more likely to come to this order and it will be executed because the market is always looking for levels with liquidity. This already applies to the order flow and the mechanics of orders matching, so we will omit the principles on which the orders are matched.
      It is only important to understand that "abnormal events" occur in the market at certain times. Execution of a significant volume of orders in a very short time is one of such events.
      The Power Trades Scanner has several important settings that directly affect the results:

      Total Volume — the minimum value of the volume that should be traded during the specified time interval
      Time Interval, sec — the time over which the Total Volume should be traded
      Basis Volume Interval, sec — this parameter shows how much % took the traded volume in the total volume for the specified time.
      Zone Height, ticks — this parameter will show only those zones where the height is less than or equal to the specified value (in ticks).
      Level2 level count — the number of levels that are involved in the calculation of Imbalance and the Level 2 Ratio column in the table of results.
      Filter by Delta,% — the parameter will show zones that have a delta value greater than or equal to that specified in the setting. The value must be specified by the module, so the table will show both positive and negative delta values. We recommend paying attention to the zones with the delta above 50% (taking into account the specifics of each trading instrument).
      For example, let's set the Total Volume of 2000 contracts and Time Interval in 3 seconds on the E-mini SP500 futures. This means that the scan will be based on the available history and will show on the chart only those zones that have such a volume for the specified time.

      Additionally, it is worth to set a delta value to filter out the zones with one-side trades. The more delta value, the high probability that the price will reverse.

      So, as a starting point about this scanner, I think this information will be enough
    • By makuchaku
      Hi everyone,
      This is my maiden analysis using volume profile - so please don't hesitate to share your feedback.
      As per the attached analysis, I think that SPY is primed for a short - for many reasons
      - Multiple strong rejection of long positions exist at Resistance R1 and R2 : seems like sellers defending their positions
      - Very strong short volume seen at R2 : further signifying sellers who are ready at that level
      However, once the price reaches Support S1, there seems to be a strong buying sentiment which has rejected previous shorts. You can see trading ranges & pullbacks to S1 where buyers and sellers seem to agree on a price range, often leading to a buyer dominance.
      What do you think?

    • By TraderJoe
      Hey All,
      does anyone sell Volume Profile Indicator for NT8.
       
      Regards
  • Topics

  • Posts

    • NFLX Netflix stock, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?NFLX
    • SMCI Super Micro Computer stock watch, attempting to move higher off the 34.06 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?SMCI        
    • UPST Upstart stock watch, pull back to 68.15 gap support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?UPST  
    • Why not to simply connect you account to myfxbook which will collect all this data automatically for you? The process you described looks tedious and a bit obsolete but may work for you though.
    • The big breakthrough with AI right now is “natural language computing.”   Meaning, you can speak in natural language to a computer and it can go through huge data sets, make sense out of them, and speak back to you in natural language.   That alone is a huge breakthrough.   The next leg? AI agents. Where they don’t just speak back to you.   They take action. Here’s the definition I like best: an AI agent is an autonomous system that uses tools, memory, and context to accomplish goals that require multiple steps.   Everything from simple tasks (analyzing web traffic) to more complex goals (building executive briefings or optimizing websites).   They can:   > Reason across multiple steps.   >Use tools like a real assistant (Excel spreadsheets, budgeting apps, search engines, etc.)   > Remember things.   And AI agents are not islands. They talk to other agents.   They can collaborate. Specialized agents that excel at narrow tasks can communicate and amplify one another’s strengths—whether it’s reasoning, data processing, or real-time monitoring.   What it Looks Like You wake up one morning, drink your coffee, and tell your AI agent, “I need to save $500 a month.”   It gets to work.   First, it finds all your recurring subscriptions. Turns out you’re paying $8.99 for a streaming service you forgot you had.   It cancels it. Then it calls your internet provider, negotiates a lower bill, and saves you another $40. Finally, it finds you car insurance that’s $200 cheaper per year.   What used to take you hours—digging through statements, talking to customer service reps on hold for an hour, comparing plans—is done while you’re scrolling Twitter.   Another example: one agent tracks your home maintenance needs and gets information from a local weather-monitoring agent. Result: "Rain forecast next week - should we schedule gutter cleaning now?"   Another: an AI agent will plan your vacations (“Book me a week in Italy for under $2,000”), find the cheapest flights, and sort out hotels with a view.   It’ll remind you to pay bills, schedule doctor’s appointments, and track expenses so you’re not wondering where your paycheck went every month.   The old world gave you tools—Excel spreadsheets, search engines, budgeting apps. The new world gives you agents who do the work for you.   Don’t Get Too Scared (or Excited) Yet William Gibson famously said: "The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed."   AI agents will distribute it. For decades, the tools that billionaires and corporations used to get ahead—personal assistants, financial advisors, lawyers—were out of reach for regular people.   AI agents could change that.   BUT, remember…   We’re in inning one.   AI agents have a ways to go.   They’re imperfect. They mess up. They need more defenses to get ready for prime time.   To be sure, AI is powerful, but it’s not a miracle worker. It’s great at helping humans solve problems, but it’s not going to replace all jobs overnight.   Instead of fearing AI, think of it as a tool to A.] save you time on boring stuff and B.] amplify what you’re already good at. Right now is the BEST time to start experimenting. It’s also the best time to find investments that will “make AI work for you”. Author: Chris Campbell (AltucherConfidential)   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/     
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.