Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

I hope this works out for you, and I'm not saying anything to cause you to change your mind, just putting my view out there.

 

The attached chart shows a multi-day picture. Essentially, we are at support from last night, and a move down may be imminent, but it's a place where buyers may well be interested. I don't think the move down we saw at the close is the type of move that will have immediate continuation. I would expect 85 to be in play before way lower. Of course, I'm risking nothing in saying that, so I'm not a buyer here, but I rarely do overnight anyway.

 

 

Understood. Thanks for your view. I too think that 85 is possible. I have a wide stop on this one and a smaller position size than usual (half of it).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't see why you guys are so bearish. Standard TA shows a strong uptrend with nothing especially not overseas news bringing it down. In my opinion once again same as Tuesday, if tomorrow we don't see any surprising numbers regarding the reports we should continue the uptrend. There may be the usual morning sell off or gap fill but overall tomorrow should be a great day to long the supports!

 

Nikko

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
* * *

 

I had a tough time...spun like a top... * * *

 

 

Hi roztom, next time play this it might help with the spinning. Especially the finger wag at 0:28.

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJv5qLsLYoo]Dead or Alive - You Spin Me Round (Like a Record) - YouTube[/ame]

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If anyone was interested (or in any doubt about current influence of spain), here are this morning's spanish auction results:

 

Sold EUR 2.541Bl (exp EUR 1.5-2.5 Bl) 2014&2022 Bonds

 

2014 - 3.3 bid to cover ratio, 3.463% yield

2022 - 2.4 bid to cover ratio, 5.743% yield

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=28615&stc=1&d=1334825487

2012-04-19.thumb.jpg.14bd125c0b2f63be5e1363964217cd36.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks to me we may have finished with the HUGE "P" pattern over the last couple of days. I have broken down the "P" into what I follow - the smaller auctions on a 15 minute TPO profile.

As I write it appears that we may be going into a new step one down very shortly.

I have a couple of snaps of longer term that I will post below.

 

2012-04-19_0649 - slick60's library

 

Good luck traders

 

slick60

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
here you go slick, a skinnier version of your composite ;) I just resized it, maybe that's not what you're looking for.

 

 

Hey Josh

Thanks for the elongated look at the current auction. I use a larger screen resolution for my aging vision and still could not get it to look like this on my vertical 22" monitor. You must be into the 1600's resolution I suspect OR how do you do that?

 

slick

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Looks to me we may have finished with the HUGE "P" pattern over the last couple of days. I have broken down the "P" into what I follow - the smaller auctions on a 15 minute TPO profile.

As I write it appears that we may be going into a new step one down very shortly.

I have a couple of snaps of longer term that I will post below.

 

2012-04-19_0649 - slick60's library

 

Good luck traders

 

slick60

 

Hi Slick,

 

I do not understand your charts, but I like your conclusion... :)

 

Do you have a target in mind for the step one down?

 

Regards,

karo

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hey Josh

Thanks for the elongated look at the current auction. I use a larger screen resolution for my aging vision and still could not get it to look like this on my vertical 22" monitor. You must be into the 1600's resolution I suspect OR how do you do that?

 

slick

 

Viewsonic's VA2703 27-Inch Full HD 1080p Widescreen LCD Monitor (Black): Amazon.ca: Electronics

 

Pretty cheap 27 inch monitor for you there slick- or you could just find yourself a 32 inch tv. Always felt that a 32 incher on the desk was a bit ott though!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi Slick,

 

I do not understand your charts, but I like your conclusion... :)

 

Do you have a target in mind for the step one down?

 

Regards,

karo

 

karoshiman

I do not have a target on this move yet but I will add this snap

(interrupted by wife getting up!)

 

http://content.screencast.com/users/slick60/folders/Jing/media/d28ea529-8b10-4481-8b0b-861160e26211/2012-04-19_0743.png

 

slick

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

 

I do not have a target on this move yet but I will add this snap

 

 

I'm looking for the 65-ish area as a first target but think that much lower prices are possible.

 

But I was scared by the strong up move during ETH session.

 

 

 

(interrupted by wife getting up!)

 

 

 

lol :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

One really has to interpret what part of the "bull...." move this is.

I am going to show below three snaps. PLEASE DO NOT LAUGH OR SCOFF IF YOU DO NOT UNDERSTAND- haha.

I have studied Elliott Wave for many many moons and there is logic in it. This may not be the thread where to display this but this is where I am at present. If anyone understands EW in this thread they will not dismiss it. It will frustrate with the continual morphing into changing patterns and empty your wallet if you attempt to trade solely from it. I do however find it useful. After all how can there be any credibility to Elliott Wave when the long reigning self appointed master of EW {Robert Prechter} and his boys in Atlanta have been continually wrong about pattern recognition for so many years? Do they care? It is all about THE MONEY!

Snaps - no price, purely an EW pattern shown. Then look at bars or line chart close of day.

It is a nice fibo relationship within the structure. Putting this together with the larger composite profile picture and some delta cycle counting I can see a corrective move at present and then continuation into mid to end of Dec this year. Yesterday I said Sept-Oct. I correct that here.

There is a lot of information on these charts and will not be understood by all if any who look at them. They may appear as a messy mass of numbers but they are all meaningful. The blue and red numbers that appear are Delta Phenomenon / Market Matrix cycle highs and lows that appear. The numbers are on average when that point will appear. There are a few rules to know to fully understand how they may occur.

March 6, 2009 started a save the world BS move with taxpayer money and is going to continue (like a marriage) until death do us part. There is no way out. The world is bankrupt and refuses to file chapter 11 in MHO.

Great to be here. Let's make some money!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

slick60

5aa710eeb1269_3.EW2012move.thumb.png.16cfb8601530f5a0994ebd1133871110.png

5aa710eeb9893_3.1.EW2012move.thumb.png.29b372e10fbf17e2555164fb3fbe3cdb.png

5aa710eec1835_3.2.EW2012move.thumb.png.79b7467db2553b7f61d0ab20479c2705.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Today, we are closer to opex, we have philly fed and earnings. The market so far overnight has demonstrated that it could have rejected higher or it could have rejected lower or both. Indeed, it is not uncommon that one neutral day is follow by another. There is currently some newsflow on french ratings amongst other things and there's a also a chance the Spanish auction results were over-reacted to - on both sides. Who really knows. But when the market tightens like it did yesterday, you know there's likely to be a decent move fairly soon. In this case imho, this could be up or it could be down. If someone says it will be up and another says it will be down, clearly someone will be right though. I prefer to prepare for all possibilities as usually when we think we "know" what the market will do either A- we screw up execution or B- get married to that direction. Anyway, here's a chart for anyone interested :)

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=28620&stc=1&d=1334837984

2012-04-19_2.thumb.jpg.f45d8a0dc72c75e4b7f2ebae37829341.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If anyone was interested (or in any doubt about current influence of spain), here are this morning's spanish auction results:

 

Sold EUR 2.541Bl (exp EUR 1.5-2.5 Bl) 2014&2022 Bonds

 

2014 - 3.3 bid to cover ratio, 3.463% yield

2022 - 2.4 bid to cover ratio, 5.743% yield

 

Very much so interested, thanks for posting -- where did you get the results, just a MW/bloomberg type or a different source?

 

At least the yield is staying below 6 and dropping this week.

5aa710eecf202_4-19-20128-23-20AM.png.9ac6a6f41e49d5d2dc7bd9439d18e575.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Very much so interested, thanks for posting -- where did you get the results, just a MW/bloomberg type or a different source?

 

At least the yield is staying below 6 and dropping this week.

 

Squawk but also zerohedge had it pretty quickly:-

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/spanish-auction-fail-10y-yield-highest-5-months

Edited by TheNegotiator

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hey Josh

Thanks for the elongated look at the current auction. I use a larger screen resolution for my aging vision and still could not get it to look like this on my vertical 22" monitor. You must be into the 1600's resolution I suspect OR how do you do that?

 

slick

 

No way my friend, I'm 1920x1200 x 3 here (all 24"s) :)

 

I just used gimp (any app will do) to resize the x dimension, nothing fancy. I use IRT, not NT for charting so I can set it manually.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looking at the 4 hr chart fibo retracements I see the 1365.75 level as a .786 retrace may be in play today. That coupled with the HVN as shown on the Negotiator's charts give me something to watch for. We may see a reversal at that point to a higher high - the 92-94.00 level mentioned in this thread before down.

Will let price and time do the talking.

 

slick60

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
No way my friend, I'm 1920x1200 x 3 here (all 24"s) :)

 

I just used gimp (any app will do) to resize the x dimension, nothing fancy. I use IRT, not NT for charting so I can set it manually.

 

I knew there was something Hi-Tech about you Josh. Thanks. To be able to afford those luxuries you surely must be making some greenbacks. Would you or have you shared what you key off of for trades? I noticed yesterday the ins and outs but was preoccupied with other unpleasant matters for the day.

 

slick

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Geez, I think glasses may be cheaper

 

slick

 

$240 for a 27" monitor... doesn't get much cheaper than that. My guess is with a monitor that cheap that it won't be very good for your eyes. I went for the $190 for 22" route, and it went back to the store in 30 minutes. If a 24" doesn't cost more than $300, it's probably not very good, just my opinion of course.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
$240 for a 27" monitor... doesn't get much cheaper than that. My guess is with a monitor that cheap that it won't be very good for your eyes. I went for the $190 for 22" route, and it went back to the store in 30 minutes. If a 24" doesn't cost more than $300, it's probably not very good, just my opinion of course.

 

Dell IPS LEDs are the business but come at a premium.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I knew there was something Hi-Tech about you Josh. Thanks. To be able to afford those luxuries you surely must be making some greenbacks. Would you or have you shared what you key off of for trades? I noticed yesterday the ins and outs but was preoccupied with other unpleasant matters for the day.

 

slick

 

I'm just a millionaire by inheritance, what can I say?? :rofl:

 

I usually try to explain my basis for trades in general, and I'll try to do that if I post any trades today. Basically, yesterday was a range kind of day, to be expected, so I just worked off of the edges as much as possible.

 

N and others here are much better and generally more consistent than me, better to get info from them!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Similar Content

    • By Quantower
      The main goal of this thread is to show what Power Trades is and how it works in different markets. We will show some patterns on the ES and NQ futures, as well as discuss possible improvements to this functionality.
      What is Power Trades?
      Ok, first we will consider what the Power Trades is and how it finds zones.
      Power Trades shows the zones with the execution of a large number of orders in a very short time, which will affect the price change with a high probability.
      Here are a few examples of how it looks like


      How it finds zones?
      There is a continuous process of placing, changing and executing orders in the market. All this affects the price change and the expectations of traders regarding the future price.
      When a large order appears at a certain level, the price is more likely to come to this order and it will be executed because the market is always looking for levels with liquidity. This already applies to the order flow and the mechanics of orders matching, so we will omit the principles on which the orders are matched.
      It is only important to understand that "abnormal events" occur in the market at certain times. Execution of a significant volume of orders in a very short time is one of such events.
      The Power Trades Scanner has several important settings that directly affect the results:

      Total Volume — the minimum value of the volume that should be traded during the specified time interval
      Time Interval, sec — the time over which the Total Volume should be traded
      Basis Volume Interval, sec — this parameter shows how much % took the traded volume in the total volume for the specified time.
      Zone Height, ticks — this parameter will show only those zones where the height is less than or equal to the specified value (in ticks).
      Level2 level count — the number of levels that are involved in the calculation of Imbalance and the Level 2 Ratio column in the table of results.
      Filter by Delta,% — the parameter will show zones that have a delta value greater than or equal to that specified in the setting. The value must be specified by the module, so the table will show both positive and negative delta values. We recommend paying attention to the zones with the delta above 50% (taking into account the specifics of each trading instrument).
      For example, let's set the Total Volume of 2000 contracts and Time Interval in 3 seconds on the E-mini SP500 futures. This means that the scan will be based on the available history and will show on the chart only those zones that have such a volume for the specified time.

      Additionally, it is worth to set a delta value to filter out the zones with one-side trades. The more delta value, the high probability that the price will reverse.

      So, as a starting point about this scanner, I think this information will be enough
    • By makuchaku
      Hi everyone,
      This is my maiden analysis using volume profile - so please don't hesitate to share your feedback.
      As per the attached analysis, I think that SPY is primed for a short - for many reasons
      - Multiple strong rejection of long positions exist at Resistance R1 and R2 : seems like sellers defending their positions
      - Very strong short volume seen at R2 : further signifying sellers who are ready at that level
      However, once the price reaches Support S1, there seems to be a strong buying sentiment which has rejected previous shorts. You can see trading ranges & pullbacks to S1 where buyers and sellers seem to agree on a price range, often leading to a buyer dominance.
      What do you think?

    • By TraderJoe
      Hey All,
      does anyone sell Volume Profile Indicator for NT8.
       
      Regards
  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 22nd November 2024.   BTC flirts with $100K, Stocks higher, Eurozone PMI signals recession risk.   Asia & European Sessions:   Geopolitical risks are back in the spotlight on fears of escalation in the Ukraine-Russia after Russia reportedly used a new ICBM to retaliate against Ukraine’s use of US and UK made missiles to attack inside Russia. The markets continue to assess the election results as President-elect Trump fills in his cabinet choices, with the key Treasury Secretary spot still open. The Fed’s rate path continues to be debated with a -25 bp December cut seen as 50-50. Earnings season is coming to an end after mixed reports, though AI remains a major driver. Profit taking and rebalancing into year-end are adding to gyrations too. Wall Street rallied, led by the Dow’s 1.06% broadbased pop. The S&P500 advanced 0.53% and the NASDAQ inched up 0.03%. Asian stocks rose after  Nvidia’s rally. Nikkei added 1% to 38,415.32 after the Tokyo inflation data slowed to 2.3% in October from 2.5% in the prior month, reaching its lowest level since January. The rally was also supported by chip-related stocks tracked Nvidia. Overnight-indexed swaps indicate that it’s certain the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut its policy rate by 50 basis points on Nov. 27, with a 22% chance of a 75 basis points reduction. European stocks futures climbed even though German Q3 GDP growth revised down to 0.1% q/q from the 0.2% q/q reported initially. Cryptocurrency market has gained approximately $1 trillion since Trump’s victory in the Nov. 5 election. Recent announcement for the SEC boosted cryptos. Chair Gary Gensler will step down on January 20, the day Trump is set to be inaugurated. Gensler has pushed for more protections for crypto investors. MicroStrategy Inc.’s plans to accelerate purchases of the token, and the debut of options on US Bitcoin ETFs also support this rally. Trump’s transition team has begun discussions on the possibility of creating a new White House position focused on digital asset policy.     Financial Markets Performance: The US Dollar recovered overnight and closed at 107.00. Bitcoin currently at 99,300,  flirting with a run toward the 100,000 level. The EURUSD drifts below 1.05, the GBPUSD dips to June’s bottom at 1.2570, while USDJPY rebounded to 154.94. The AUDNZD spiked to 2-year highs amid speculation the RBNZ will cut the official cash rate by more than 50 bps next week. Oil surged 2.12% to $70.46. Gold spiked to 2,697 after escalation alerts between Russia and Ukraine. Heightened geopolitical tensions drove investors toward safe-haven assets. Gold has surged by 30% this year. Haven demand balanced out the pressure from a strong USD following mixed US labor data. Silver rose 0.9% to 31.38, while palladium increased by 0.9% to 1,040.85 per ounce. Platinum remained unchanged. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • A few trending stocks at support BAM MNKD RBBN at https://stockconsultant.com/?MNKD
    • BMBL Bumble stock watch, pull back to 7.94 support area with high trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?BMBL
    • LUMN Lumen Technologies stock watch, pull back to 7.43 support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?LUMN
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.