Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Taking another scalp long here at 85.75, for 2 points, then a reverse short at 87.75 -- let's see if Mr. Market agrees or if I close this .... As N said, we may get rotation to 84.50, and then up...

 

OK, got the 2, short 87.75, but I'd like to see a quick rejection of 88 here.. if it keeps pushing I will simply bail.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I think they are in reach but I'd like to see some downside rotation to get some more late shorts in but structure is friendly to upside right now for those stops... :2c:

 

Out at 87.50...now I wait to see how higher we go before rotation time. It's nice to watch from the sidelines for a little bit...breathing easier now. :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
OK, got the 2, short 87.75, but I'd like to see a quick rejection of 88 here.. if it keeps pushing I will simply bail.

 

Maybe the wrong move, but bailing for a tick here at 87.50 ... luck of the draw here IMO.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Maybe the wrong move, but bailing for a tick here at 87.50 ... luck of the draw here IMO.

 

I think you did good... YOu know what I am looking for... but of course your timeframe is different than mine - so you did good... IMHO...

 

We got Bernanke coming up to @ 11:45cst..

 

BTW, that was a reasonable spot for a short 88.00

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just rotation around balance right now...

 

This is an example of what we were talking about before, N talking about being in tune with the market's ebbs and flows, and the importance of a good win or two... had I been frustrated because I missed lots of opportunities early, I would have been more likely to stubbornly hold onto this short which did not react the way I wanted it to initially. But because I am well in the green, there's no pressure to force anything. I would have been stopped out here at 88.75 or so, for an unnecessary 1 point loss.

 

When I look at the chart, 91 seems more likely to be reached unless we can quickly close back down below 88 and see some selling strength. The longer we hang up here, the more sellers will wait until 91 to reshort this IMO.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

For the moment I think we are done with the downside other than some possible rotation...

 

we have that low @ 91.75 nearby & some GBX singles and DbleDist...not sure how relevant but I do note them on chart...

 

If we go Neutral then I will be looking to trade outside in... not my favorite but .. got to work with what the market offers - right :confused:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If you were going to sell, where would YOU do it? ...

 

I'd like to see test of 92.00 to clean out the stops + we have GBX DbleDist around 93.00and test the bottom of the 1-2-3.

 

But ... I hope to either see it rotate down first or they take it up & clean house & then I'd short... this is nomans land to me ... you aggressive guys could scalp these rotations but it is diddling in the middle...

 

85 - 86 ish downside for paper or upside first... either way you can look where the stops are on both sides as the target for your rotations... then either exit/scale or initiate a positon going the other way if that is your view... :2c:

 

Of course the structure is dynamic so anything goes... when we get there.

 

Just FYI: 85.25 is a little low vol notch..not sure if it is relevant but ...

Edited by roztom

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I am looking @ the moment based on how it behaves to Buy around 85.25 ish or Sell 91.00 - 92.00 .. Of course they are just numbers not sure if any of them matter.. or if the setup will be there when/if we get there..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If they do not sell strongly at 91, I can see a possible case for selling 92, but I'd be a bit worried that we'd retest the balance low at 94s first, so it's a little bit of a scary short for me at 92. Also depends on time of day...

 

I'm actually looking to buy at the moment.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Got head faked on the 87.50 still with it..have order resting at 85.25 to average down...I don't recommend this to anyone.. And am holding .. if we start up here then HOd is possible plus 92.00 ish... 94.00 a reach imho Dunno:confused:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The 87.50s to 88.50s have become the local mode of this distribution, both today and including post Fed trading; it's the largest south of 95s and north of 68s.

 

Much lower here and we start to negate the buying tail created this morning... I need to see some real volume and positive buying reaction before I buy here.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
The 87.50s to 88.50s have become the local mode of this distribution, both today and including post Fed trading; it's the largest south of 95s and north of 68s.

 

Much lower here and we start to negate the buying tail created this morning... I need to see some real volume and positive buying reaction before I buy here.

 

Yep... this is a fulcrum point here..looking 85.25 ..that is the area I should have waited for muchbetter location... Helmet on..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Yep... this is a fulcrum point here..looking 85.25 ..that is the area I should have waited for muchbetter location... Helmet on..

 

If I see a reaction and real buyers at 85s here I will buy, but the further we go the less the buying tail means, thus the lower potentially, to 77-80, we may go...

 

edit 3:05pm -- so at this point, the market MUST show me buyers. So far, it's just test lower, test lower, no real volume to indicate size is here. I fear for the longs they may be waiting to buy the low, or even lower. When I see some real volume, I'll know there is real support. At this time of day this is important to me; this kind of volume at lunch means something different than it does at 3pm IMO.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If I see a reaction and real buyers at 85s here I will buy, but the further we go the less the buying tail means, thus the lower potentially, to 77-80, we may go...

 

edit 3:05pm -- so at this point, the market MUST show me buyers. So far, it's just test lower, test lower, no real volume to indicate size is here. I fear for the longs they may be waiting to buy the low, or even lower. When I see some real volume, I'll know there is real support. At this time of day this is important to me; this kind of volume at lunch means something different than it does at 3pm IMO.

 

Right on.. I dropped 2 pts per contact... all ok...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

looking to sell around 86 depending... this does not look like what a low should look like IMO ... further drop to new lows IMO

 

edit: 3:38pm, not short yet, maybe 87.50, depends on volume

Edited by joshdance

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
looking to sell around 86 depending... this does not look like what a low should look like IMO ... further drop to new lows IMO

 

edit: 3:38pm, not short yet, maybe 87.50, depends on volume

 

finally shorted, 87.75, but may be on the wrong side now -- will see

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
looking to sell around 86 depending... this does not look like what a low should look like IMO ... further drop to new lows IMO

 

edit: 3:38pm, not short yet, maybe 87.50, depends on volume

 

Short 87.50 short leash

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
finally shorted, 87.75, but may be on the wrong side now -- will see

 

out for -1 point ... WTF is with this close?

 

edit: re-shorting 88.25 .. hopefully this is not a stupid idea.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
out for -1 point ... WTF is with this close?

 

edit: re-shorting 88.25 .. hopefully this is not a stupid idea.

 

Closed this final one 87.25 .... pretty stupid at the end here really... I was in sync with the market all the way until the last 40 minutes.... I did NOT see that buying coming..... I hate getting pissed off, but when the market makes NO sense to me that's how I get. All day it made sense. Now we get tens out thousands bought at 87s, and then bids hold like crazy in 87s? wtf man.... geez

 

There was NO buying on the way down to 83, and it didn't even test a tick below the low... surprising that whoever's buying here is confident that this will be some kind of strong double bottom...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Closed this final one 87.25 .... pretty stupid at the end here really... I was in sync with the market all the way until the last 40 minutes.... I did NOT see that buying coming..... I hate getting pissed off, but when the market makes NO sense to me that's how I get. All day it made sense. Now we get tens out thousands bought at 87s, and then bids hold like crazy in 87s? wtf man.... geez

 

There was NO buying on the way down to 83, and it didn't even test a tick below the low... surprising that whoever's buying here is confident that this will be some kind of strong double bottom...

 

Yep...same here... GRRRR... :doh:

 

Tomorrow is another day = ==

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

After considering this last part of the day, I was obviously upset, but it could have been worse. There were worse places to short there, and just happy I didn't mess up really big. At least I can say this: I went with my premise and I am not upset at all that I missed the long, because I was not expecting it to play out that way at all. Time for a few hours sleep, and back at it in the morning!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Don't have a great deal of time here, but looking at the posts, I wanted to suggest a couple of things...

 

As I have mentioned a couple of times, this is a news driven market....and we had quite a bit of negative news over the last several days...if you looked at a 15 minute chart, one thing that becomes evident is the way that Asia and Europe have reacted during the Globex session...from my point of view it seems obvious that we could expect some follow through during the US session...frankly I always bet on continuation of the most recent primary trend

 

With regard to today's last hour, there are several good reasons to anticipate buying, but for the technical traders, one easy way to understand is to use basic statistics....long story short you simply construct volatility bands based on the previous close....For today, the 2nd standard deviation from that close occurred at (you guessed it) 1382.50...for those who understand basic stats the 2nd standard deviation should include the majority of price action intraday...in other words 1382.50 is the place where you might expect a reversal.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Similar Content

    • By Quantower
      The main goal of this thread is to show what Power Trades is and how it works in different markets. We will show some patterns on the ES and NQ futures, as well as discuss possible improvements to this functionality.
      What is Power Trades?
      Ok, first we will consider what the Power Trades is and how it finds zones.
      Power Trades shows the zones with the execution of a large number of orders in a very short time, which will affect the price change with a high probability.
      Here are a few examples of how it looks like


      How it finds zones?
      There is a continuous process of placing, changing and executing orders in the market. All this affects the price change and the expectations of traders regarding the future price.
      When a large order appears at a certain level, the price is more likely to come to this order and it will be executed because the market is always looking for levels with liquidity. This already applies to the order flow and the mechanics of orders matching, so we will omit the principles on which the orders are matched.
      It is only important to understand that "abnormal events" occur in the market at certain times. Execution of a significant volume of orders in a very short time is one of such events.
      The Power Trades Scanner has several important settings that directly affect the results:

      Total Volume — the minimum value of the volume that should be traded during the specified time interval
      Time Interval, sec — the time over which the Total Volume should be traded
      Basis Volume Interval, sec — this parameter shows how much % took the traded volume in the total volume for the specified time.
      Zone Height, ticks — this parameter will show only those zones where the height is less than or equal to the specified value (in ticks).
      Level2 level count — the number of levels that are involved in the calculation of Imbalance and the Level 2 Ratio column in the table of results.
      Filter by Delta,% — the parameter will show zones that have a delta value greater than or equal to that specified in the setting. The value must be specified by the module, so the table will show both positive and negative delta values. We recommend paying attention to the zones with the delta above 50% (taking into account the specifics of each trading instrument).
      For example, let's set the Total Volume of 2000 contracts and Time Interval in 3 seconds on the E-mini SP500 futures. This means that the scan will be based on the available history and will show on the chart only those zones that have such a volume for the specified time.

      Additionally, it is worth to set a delta value to filter out the zones with one-side trades. The more delta value, the high probability that the price will reverse.

      So, as a starting point about this scanner, I think this information will be enough
    • By makuchaku
      Hi everyone,
      This is my maiden analysis using volume profile - so please don't hesitate to share your feedback.
      As per the attached analysis, I think that SPY is primed for a short - for many reasons
      - Multiple strong rejection of long positions exist at Resistance R1 and R2 : seems like sellers defending their positions
      - Very strong short volume seen at R2 : further signifying sellers who are ready at that level
      However, once the price reaches Support S1, there seems to be a strong buying sentiment which has rejected previous shorts. You can see trading ranges & pullbacks to S1 where buyers and sellers seem to agree on a price range, often leading to a buyer dominance.
      What do you think?

    • By TraderJoe
      Hey All,
      does anyone sell Volume Profile Indicator for NT8.
       
      Regards
  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 22nd November 2024.   BTC flirts with $100K, Stocks higher, Eurozone PMI signals recession risk.   Asia & European Sessions:   Geopolitical risks are back in the spotlight on fears of escalation in the Ukraine-Russia after Russia reportedly used a new ICBM to retaliate against Ukraine’s use of US and UK made missiles to attack inside Russia. The markets continue to assess the election results as President-elect Trump fills in his cabinet choices, with the key Treasury Secretary spot still open. The Fed’s rate path continues to be debated with a -25 bp December cut seen as 50-50. Earnings season is coming to an end after mixed reports, though AI remains a major driver. Profit taking and rebalancing into year-end are adding to gyrations too. Wall Street rallied, led by the Dow’s 1.06% broadbased pop. The S&P500 advanced 0.53% and the NASDAQ inched up 0.03%. Asian stocks rose after  Nvidia’s rally. Nikkei added 1% to 38,415.32 after the Tokyo inflation data slowed to 2.3% in October from 2.5% in the prior month, reaching its lowest level since January. The rally was also supported by chip-related stocks tracked Nvidia. Overnight-indexed swaps indicate that it’s certain the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut its policy rate by 50 basis points on Nov. 27, with a 22% chance of a 75 basis points reduction. European stocks futures climbed even though German Q3 GDP growth revised down to 0.1% q/q from the 0.2% q/q reported initially. Cryptocurrency market has gained approximately $1 trillion since Trump’s victory in the Nov. 5 election. Recent announcement for the SEC boosted cryptos. Chair Gary Gensler will step down on January 20, the day Trump is set to be inaugurated. Gensler has pushed for more protections for crypto investors. MicroStrategy Inc.’s plans to accelerate purchases of the token, and the debut of options on US Bitcoin ETFs also support this rally. Trump’s transition team has begun discussions on the possibility of creating a new White House position focused on digital asset policy.     Financial Markets Performance: The US Dollar recovered overnight and closed at 107.00. Bitcoin currently at 99,300,  flirting with a run toward the 100,000 level. The EURUSD drifts below 1.05, the GBPUSD dips to June’s bottom at 1.2570, while USDJPY rebounded to 154.94. The AUDNZD spiked to 2-year highs amid speculation the RBNZ will cut the official cash rate by more than 50 bps next week. Oil surged 2.12% to $70.46. Gold spiked to 2,697 after escalation alerts between Russia and Ukraine. Heightened geopolitical tensions drove investors toward safe-haven assets. Gold has surged by 30% this year. Haven demand balanced out the pressure from a strong USD following mixed US labor data. Silver rose 0.9% to 31.38, while palladium increased by 0.9% to 1,040.85 per ounce. Platinum remained unchanged. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • A few trending stocks at support BAM MNKD RBBN at https://stockconsultant.com/?MNKD
    • BMBL Bumble stock watch, pull back to 7.94 support area with high trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?BMBL
    • LUMN Lumen Technologies stock watch, pull back to 7.43 support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?LUMN
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.