Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TheNegotiator

Delta Volume in Intraday Trading

Recommended Posts

Unicorn, it's a 5333 volume chart.

 

I am a little confused by your post. :confused: What you are showing is hidden divergence, as opposed to regular divergence. There is a higher low in price, and a lower low in the delta momentum. This can be a sign of continuation in a trend move. However, there really wasn't a trend established yet. If you are trying to demonstrate regular divergence to demonstrate a turning point, this would be seen by lower lows in price in a down move combined with higher lows in the delta divergence, implying a possible trend reversal.

 

What I believe your chart post illustrates, in hindsight, is more sellers getting trapped at or near the lows, contributing to a more powerful subsequent upmove.

 

Regards,

PT

 

You may view it this way. However, to me the big guys don't tend to do their business at market. They buy weakness and sell strength. So if the volume delta cumulative or not is showing more activity in one direction and yet price is moving in another, it certainly gets my attention. Especially when it occurs in an area where I am expecting interest to increase. I think there was enough of a trend there. But I am really not too bothered by trend being present as such or not. The market has been moving one way and trading activity was TRENDING down at that point. I'd also like to say that I have never really liked regular divergence as you describe as a reversal signal. To me, it says for example in a move down, a further price move has occurred and required LESS selling volume to trade and so buyers are relenting. Yes that could mean a capitulation move or that the dynamic is shifting, but often you do see more of a price move before trend changes.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thank you for your reply Negotiator. I find regular divergence to be a very accurate indicator, when taken in the proper context at the right areas on a chart. Most indicators are lagging, however divergence uniquely tends to be a leading indicator.

 

Cumulative delta computation and display will vary, depending on where you choose to start your count of delta from.

 

What you are trying to describe in your post above is sellers getting trapped, adding fuel to a reversal. It is always advantageous to have trapped traders fueling your reversal position move, when you can identify it.

 

Your use of the term divergence is not a standard usage, and therefore confusing. I am glad that you have found something that works for you.

Regards,

PT

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I see from a post that you use 5333 volume. My CQG chart is identical to yours but it looks like there could be small differences in the positive or negative size of the deltas created but not anything worthy of note. Must be a good feed that you have.

 

I display delta as a positive or negative histogram centred on zero. My display was exactly as expected on both the up and down moves but with the positive delta being so small on the upswing, I am not surprised that a chart created form the run of positives and negatives would give weight to the second negative set and push the chart lower. I would find that counter-intuitive because the divergence is reverse logic. Different strokes for different folks:)

 

I am surprised that you think that the big guys do not use market orders. IMO they use them all the time. I remember years ago when the e-mini was in its infancy that a regular complaint was that the big guys were blocking activity by placing a few thousand lots on the bid\ask and leaving them. Little guys can batter away at the order book from now until eternity and they will never get movement because the only way to flip a bid\ask pair is to strip out all at say the ask and leave enough to soak up any market selling against the bid. Only dealers who can hit with thousands in a clip can do that and in my book anybody who can hit with a couple of thousand plus is a big guy. There are times when the big guys are not playing and that is when prices flip\flop between two\three ticks.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

When I said market orders, I did mean orders that are filled immediately at best price and not limit orders. The guys who stacked up several thousand on the bid/ask as you described were using limit orders. Unless I missed your point?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The thread on structural reference got me thinking about delta again and some of the ways in which I use it and others use it. At important structural reference points, imo delta readings have more significance, large or small. So does anyone use any particular tools or indicators to filter out or highlight delta around either automatic or user defined prices? It's certainly not an essential thing and simple price alerts can be set up.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 21st February 2025.   European PMI Disappoint, Weighing on Euro Before German Elections   The Euro is the first currency to witness the volatility on this month’s PMI reports. The French, German and British PMI data have resulted in the Euro being the worst-performing currency of the European Session so far. However, will the Euro continue to decline throughout the day? European Purchasing Managers’ Indexes The French Purchasing Managers Index was the first European index to be made public. The release resulted in the Euro instantly declining 0.24%. The main concern from the French data was the Services PMI which fell from 48.2 to 44.5. Previously the market was expecting the data to remain more or less unchanged. The weak data triggered the decline which came to a halt after Germany’s PMI was released.     The German Manufacturing PMI read 0.5 points higher than previous expectations and the Services PMI was 0.2 points lower. The data from Germany was a relief for Euro investors and the price rose 0.12% higher. However, traders should note that the price of the EURUSD continues to remain 0.20% lower than yesterday’s close. The price of the EURUSD will now depend on the PMI data from the US. The value of the US Dollar will depend on its PMI release this afternoon and the Consumer Sentiment Index. Analysts expect both the US Services and Manufacturing PMI data to remain above the 50.00 level in the expansion zone. German Elections 2 Days Away Germany is set to hold a general election this Sunday, February 23rd, following the collapse of the coalition of social democrats, liberals, and greens. Given the country's highly proportional electoral system, German polls provide a strong indication of potential government formations post-election. The main concern for Germany is the AFD party who are Far-Right Nationalists. Currently, ahead in the polls are CDU (centre-right), and AFD (far right), followed by the SPD (centre-left). Traders should note that the results of the elections are likely to trigger strong volatility on Monday, but also influence volatility today. Economists may become further concerned if the far-right gains power for the first time due to uncertainty. If the government, similar to France, is unable to form a coalition, this would also be a concern for the Eurozone. Furthermore, the Euro this week is also under pressure from comments from members of the European Central Bank. ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said to journalists that officials need not slow interest rate cuts, as January's 2.5% inflation is still expected to reach the 2.0% target this year. He also advised the European economy is weaker than previously expected. EURUSD - Technical Analysis and Indicators The EURUSD is trading above the 75-bar Exponential Moving Average and 100-bar Simple Moving Average on the 2-hour chart. However, the price is moving away from the key resistance level at 1.05058 indicating the price is losing momentum. The short-term volatility is indicating the price is retracing downwards. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price is trading below the 200-bar SMA and is also forming clear lower lows and highs. Simultaneously, the US Dollar Index is trading above the 200-bar SMA on the 5-minute chart confirming no current conflicts. Currently, the US Dollar is the best-performing currency of the day attempting to regain losses from the past 2 weeks. Watch today’s Live Analysis Session for more signals as they develop!   Key Takeaway Points: Weak French Services PMI triggered an initial Euro decline, but German PMI provide a slight relief. However, EURUSD remains lower than yesterday’s close. The Euro’s direction now depends on the US PMI reports, with analysts expecting US data to stay in expansion territory. Sunday's German election could drive volatility, especially if the far-right AFD gains power or if coalition formation proves difficult. ECB official Fabio Panetta suggested no need to slow rate cuts, citing weaker-than-expected economic performance and expected inflation decline. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • BE Bloom Energy stock, watch for a range breakout, target 34 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?BE
    • APLD Applied Digital stock. nice rally, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?APLD
    • UAL United Airlines stock, watch for a narrow range breakout, target 122 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?UAL
    • WBD Warner Bros Discovery stock, watch for a range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?WBD
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.