Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

MadMarketScientist

Round TWO - Predict the Market Close Contest - Win $$$

Recommended Posts

The end of the month looms large for those still wishing to enter a guess as to where oh where might the market be by year end. You risk nothing other than an incorrect guess and the otential reward is $1000. Now I know some of you don't even have 1K left in your trading accounts ... so why not do a little revenge trading right here and try to get it back via the TL Contest?

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm with you on that. I think people get afraid to maybe put themselves out there but really, nobody is judging you -- we all know it's an educated guess. So put in your best educated guess and let it ride. Nobody will think any differently of you in the morning :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Here is my guess for the quarterly, March 31, 2011 Guess the Close:

 

SPX: 1313.25

INDU: 12036.24

COMPX: 2862.51

 

My guess for the 2011 Year End Guess the Close will be in by January 31, 2011.

 

Here is my guess for the year end:

 

SPX: 1576.09

INDU: 14424.65

COMPX: 3319.40

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
We just finished version 1.0 of this contest and we'll have three lucky winners of Amazon Gift Cards (top value: $500!) -- predicting the year end closes of the INDU, SPX and COMPX.

 

So let's do it again. Starting right now predict the closing prices of the Down Jones (INDU), S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq Composite (COMPX) at the end of the first quarter -- March, 31st 2011.

 

You simply reply to this thread with your predictions and if you feel like it tells us about the tea leaves or psychic powers you used to come up with your numbers, or maybe actual financial analysis (guess).....

 

This is Contest #1.

 

The Contest #2 for the ultimate Market Grand Wizard is to predict the exact same indices closing prices -- but this time at December 31st, 2011. End of the year.

 

You can enter one or both - just clarify in your forum reply which your numbers are for. Quarter end or year end.

 

How about prizes you say?

 

Contest #1 - Quarterly Close

First Prize: $250 Amazon.com Gift Card

Second Prize: $100 Amazon.com Gift Card

Third Prize: $50 Amazon.com Gift Card

 

Contest #2 - Yearly Close

First Prize: $1,000 Amazon.com Gift Card

 

This one it's all about being #1 -- so it's one mega grand prize.

 

There are a few catches.

 

Catch #1: We must have at least 30 entries for the quarterly contest. So get your TL buddies or other trading friends to post their submissions here. We have to have at least 30 and the contest is a go. And, the deadline to submit for the quarterly contest is Tuesday, January 11th.

 

Catch #2: For the Annual contest we need at least 50 entries -- and those are due no later than January 31st.

 

Catch #3: The winner will be determined by the suggestions of fell TL member Blowfish, by taking the closing price in each index, calculating the difference between your prediction and the close and then adding those up. The person with the lowest number(s) wins it. This way you are rewarded for being accurate across the board.

 

 

Whomever is the closest when we add all three of these market indices closing prices will be crowned the TradersLaboratory.com Market Prediction Champion (TLMPC!!!)

 

You can only enter one time per person and there are no "Editing" of your post allowed (nice try.) However, seek out your trading friends and have them enter and then demand a percentage when they win as your finder's fee. Remember we need enough entrants for us to just give away all that dough.

 

Ready, set, predict!

 

MMS

 

First prize is a Cadillac Eldorado. Second prize is a set of steak knives. Third prize you're fired.

 

Glenn Gary Glen Ross

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The end-of-quarter close is in...

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=24043&d=1301655070

 

I wonder who won! I know it wasn't me.

 

I'm not sure if there were ever enough contestants for a prize, but it's still fun to see who won and how close people came.

 

If I get time over the weekend, and no one has done it yet, I might try to figure it out...

5aa7106663f75_3-31-2011Close.JPG.0c8a2349c42070c2123d29c234956363.JPG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This was done quickly, so no guarantees, but I get:

 

First Place: TradeRunner

Second Place: StevenSJC

Third Place: thalestrader

 

I've attached my spreadsheet if anyone wants to see it. I think I calculated the winners according to the rules of the competition, but I could have messed up...

 

The names are in order from earliest entry-date to latest, so as you can see, whether you count the people who entered after the original deadline or not, it doesn't affect the winners.

 

Cory

TLComp.xls

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
This was done quickly, so no guarantees, but I get:

 

First Place: TradeRunner

Second Place: StevenSJC

Third Place: thalestrader

 

I've attached my spreadsheet if anyone wants to see it. I think I calculated the winners according to the rules of the competition, but I could have messed up...

 

The names are in order from earliest entry-date to latest, so as you can see, whether you count the people who entered after the original deadline or not, it doesn't affect the winners.

 

Cory

 

Cool - what do I win or will I have to make do with the satisfaction of beating thales? ;)

 

(Thanks for calculating this Cory)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • UHS Universal Health Services stock, nice rally off the 197 support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?UHS
    • SGMO Sangamo Therapeutics stock, good start off 2 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?SGMO
    • AAPL Apple stock, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?AAPL    
    • Date: 26th November 2024. Trump’s tariff threats boosted Dollar; Peso, Loonie, Gold & Oil Lower. The Trump trade picked up steam as investors cheered his pick for Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent. Beliefs he will be a steadying voice in the administration’s fiscal measures, while still following President-elect Trump’s tariff and tax commitments, underpinned. Asia & European Sessions:   Trump threatened on Monday to impose sweeping new tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico on his first day as US President to crack down on illegal immigration and drugs. He would impose a 25% tax on all products entering the country from Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% tariff on goods from China as one of his first acts as president of the US. Bessent’s 3-3-3 plan aims to cut the deficit to 3% of GDP, boost growth to 3%, and increase oil production to 3 mln barrels. Treasury yields dove in a curve flattener, extending their drops through the session, on expectations inflation will decelerate. A strong 2-year auction also supported. The Dow led the charge, climbing 0.99% to 44,736, a new record peak as the rally broadens. The S&P500 climbed to 6020, a session peak, but finished with a 0.3% gain to 5987. The NASDAQ closed 0.27% higher. Today, stock markets in Europe are posting broad losses, with the DAX down -0.6%, the FTSE 100 0.4%, after a largely weaker close across Asia. ECB: Lane suggests ECB must be open-minded on speed of rate cuts. The ECB’s Chief Economist said in a speech on Monday evening that “remaining open-minded about the speed and scale of adjustments is in fact a valuable strategy across various environments, as different situations may necessitate distinct approaches.” This careful, step-by-step strategy enables us to observe the responses of the economy to our decisions and continuously refine our understanding of their impacts.” The comments leave the door open to a 50 bp move in December, but also tie in with our expectation that the central bank will deliver a 25 bp while tweaking the forward guidance and commit to additional moves. Financial Markets Performance: The USDIndex hit a session high of 107.50 and is currently lower at 106.85. Mexican peso and Canadian dollar slumped as the dollar is being viewed as a haven after the comments of President-elect Donald Trump on tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. USDCAD spiked to 1.4177 and USDMXN rallied to 20.74. Oil and Gold lost ground, in part on cooling geopolitical risks, and on Trump trades. Oil dropped -3.03% to $69.09 per barrel, in part on the Trump trade and on talk of a potential cease fire between Israel and Hezbollah. Similarly, gold fell -3.26% to $2605 per ounce. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials stock, nice trend with a pull back to 8.79 support area, bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?RYAM
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.