Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TinGull

Today's action...where might it lead?

Recommended Posts

Today's action was kind of slow, then mediocre...then slow....

 

Looking at the profile and its auction rotations, what can we see? At first glance, we have a "b" shaped profile. Long liquidations you may ask? Well...could be. BUT, notice the A, B and C periods...we drove down sharply from the open, never to return, and churned a bit until the D period came. At that point, the lows of A/B/C were taken out, and even E took out the low of D. This was some new short blood in the market today! Longer time frame investors are driving prices lower.

 

Also, looking at a daily chart of the YM you can see that yesterdays little pullback was on lighter volume than the two down days surrounding it.

 

So...Where do we go? Market's will go where they want, but knowing the other time frame investor is not seeing the value in the market at the highs it's been at, we can start to think we may be in for some more selling next week.

 

Happy trading!

YM_MP.thumb.jpg.de2178cbcaa006135fc1c6ae9fbe0db8.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Nice chart Tin. I wasnt around today but just took a peek at that MP chart. Very interesting to see price rejection at 12531. I remember on Thursday we saw a late afternoon rally just to see price rejection around 580 and a push back towards 550 level. With this information today (rejection at 531) we are seeing serious seller domination.

 

Another 100+ range day. Very interesting. I think for day traders, we will be seeing alot more trend days to the downside from now on. Just my humble opinion.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi TinGull, I've been enjoying reading your MP analysis! Hope you keep it up.

 

Although I don't trade the YM, I thought I'd post the longer-term support/resistance levels in the YM to go with TinGull's analysis. High volume nodes and low volume areas both serve as support/resistance but for different reasons. The chart below is a composite profile of the YM from Oct. 12th until today's trading. The red lines are high volume areas and the yellow lines are low volume areas (note that these are areas/regions and not single prices). High volume nodes should slow down price giving the trader an opportunity to monitor price action and enter/exit a trade. Price action around low volume areas should be more swift - bouncing off of a low volume area or trading through it. If price is accepted in a low volume area (i.e., overlapping TPOs), the market might try to fill in this area surrounded by HVNs. There are well-defined key reference areas above and below the closing price of the YM. Additional reference points can be identified from the market structure (i.e., the daily profiles form the last few days). We'll see if enough selling comes into the YM to break below the support area right beneath it.

YM-LongTerm.thumb.GIF.77a25cdc124f22970a6c58f4eb9c8b35.GIF

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thanks ant, and I definitely will be keeping it up :)

 

And yes, if we can break through that area...here we come 300! Aren't bearish times more exciting than those bull days of yesteryear?

 

Thanks for the volume profile, definitely appreciate it!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thanks ant, and I definitely will be keeping it up :)

 

And yes, if we can break through that area...here we come 300! Aren't bearish times more exciting than those bull days of yesteryear?

 

Thanks for the volume profile, definitely appreciate it!

 

fear is more fun to trade than greed:cool:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ant,

The composite profiles that you show - what MP program allows for you to do this within Trade Station. I have been looking to be able to combine these - I trade more of the ES than YM and would like some insight on this rendition of the volume composites.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Ant,

The composite profiles that you show - what MP program allows for you to do this within Trade Station. I have been looking to be able to combine these - I trade more of the ES than YM and would like some insight on this rendition of the volume composites.

 

rickv, see PM.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bam. MP led the way again. Having some more selling take place this morning, and by the looks of it, we'll keep around here or head a bit lower. Possible to the 375ish area based on recent range activity.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 22nd November 2024.   BTC flirts with $100K, Stocks higher, Eurozone PMI signals recession risk.   Asia & European Sessions:   Geopolitical risks are back in the spotlight on fears of escalation in the Ukraine-Russia after Russia reportedly used a new ICBM to retaliate against Ukraine’s use of US and UK made missiles to attack inside Russia. The markets continue to assess the election results as President-elect Trump fills in his cabinet choices, with the key Treasury Secretary spot still open. The Fed’s rate path continues to be debated with a -25 bp December cut seen as 50-50. Earnings season is coming to an end after mixed reports, though AI remains a major driver. Profit taking and rebalancing into year-end are adding to gyrations too. Wall Street rallied, led by the Dow’s 1.06% broadbased pop. The S&P500 advanced 0.53% and the NASDAQ inched up 0.03%. Asian stocks rose after  Nvidia’s rally. Nikkei added 1% to 38,415.32 after the Tokyo inflation data slowed to 2.3% in October from 2.5% in the prior month, reaching its lowest level since January. The rally was also supported by chip-related stocks tracked Nvidia. Overnight-indexed swaps indicate that it’s certain the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut its policy rate by 50 basis points on Nov. 27, with a 22% chance of a 75 basis points reduction. European stocks futures climbed even though German Q3 GDP growth revised down to 0.1% q/q from the 0.2% q/q reported initially. Cryptocurrency market has gained approximately $1 trillion since Trump’s victory in the Nov. 5 election. Recent announcement for the SEC boosted cryptos. Chair Gary Gensler will step down on January 20, the day Trump is set to be inaugurated. Gensler has pushed for more protections for crypto investors. MicroStrategy Inc.’s plans to accelerate purchases of the token, and the debut of options on US Bitcoin ETFs also support this rally. Trump’s transition team has begun discussions on the possibility of creating a new White House position focused on digital asset policy.     Financial Markets Performance: The US Dollar recovered overnight and closed at 107.00. Bitcoin currently at 99,300,  flirting with a run toward the 100,000 level. The EURUSD drifts below 1.05, the GBPUSD dips to June’s bottom at 1.2570, while USDJPY rebounded to 154.94. The AUDNZD spiked to 2-year highs amid speculation the RBNZ will cut the official cash rate by more than 50 bps next week. Oil surged 2.12% to $70.46. Gold spiked to 2,697 after escalation alerts between Russia and Ukraine. Heightened geopolitical tensions drove investors toward safe-haven assets. Gold has surged by 30% this year. Haven demand balanced out the pressure from a strong USD following mixed US labor data. Silver rose 0.9% to 31.38, while palladium increased by 0.9% to 1,040.85 per ounce. Platinum remained unchanged. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • A few trending stocks at support BAM MNKD RBBN at https://stockconsultant.com/?MNKD
    • BMBL Bumble stock watch, pull back to 7.94 support area with high trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?BMBL
    • LUMN Lumen Technologies stock watch, pull back to 7.43 support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?LUMN
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.