Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

dsalas

Spread Betting a Scam

Recommended Posts

Something is very clear throughout this thread: people think that spread-betting firms are 'taking the other side of their trades'. This isn't true. A spread-betting firm takes the same trade as you in the underlying market***. This is hedging, and is how they lock in their profit from the spread - taking the other side of your bet wouldn't be - it would be gambling.

 

Here are two simple examples:

 

1) You buy at 100 and pay a 3 pip spread.

2) The spread betting firm buys at 100 and pays a 1 pip spread.

3) The market rallies and you exit at 110.

4) The spread betting firm also exits at 110.

5) The spread betting firm uses their 10 pip profit to pay you your 10 pip profit, leaving them with a 2 pip profit from the spread.

 

1) You buy at 100 and pay a 3 pip spread.

2) The spread betting firm buys at 100 and pays a 1 pip spread.

3) The market sells off and you exit at 90.

4) The spread betting firm also exits at 90.

5) The spread betting firm has a 10 pip loss, but this is covered by the 10 pip loss from your account, leaving them with a 2 pip profit from the spread.

 

They are hedging to lock in numerous small, secure profits from the spread. It is this steady stream of guaranteed (while ever they have customers) profits that has made them wealthy and successful, not gambling against you.

 

Spread-betting companies don't care whether you win or lose - they get their money either way - just like a normal broker who gets their commission regardless.

 

*** A spreadbetting firm doesn't actually take the same trade as you. They don't look at individual positions and hedge them because the SB position size is at the discretion of the customer, whereas the contract size for the underlying market is fixed by the exchange.

 

Spreadbetting firms simply have a risk management desk that looks at net exposure across all their customer's accounts (I know this for a fact; I have sat at that desk).

 

Hope that's helpful.

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

I have a couple of clients in the UK who do spread betting. I'm still a bit foggy on the details but it sounds fundamentally different from the bucket shops in the Forex.

 

Sounds as if the SB firms have a nest on the ground...win when they win and win when they lose!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I have a couple of clients in the UK who do spread betting. I'm still a bit foggy on the details but it sounds fundamentally different from the bucket shops in the Forex.

 

Sounds as if the SB firms have a nest on the ground...win when they win and win when they lose!

 

Hi Roger

 

Spread Betting has pros and cons, like anything else.

 

If you want to advise your customers without needing to know the ins and outs, then I would steer them away from spreadbetting for daytrading - there are simple mathematical reasons why they are unlikely to overcome their execution costs, regardless of how good your tuition is. For longer term trading, spreadbetting is perfectly viable, though still carries similar risks to DMA forms of derivative trading like futures.

 

Finally, because of how the spread affects trade entry (and assuming you train traders using futures), your students need to know to factor in the SB spread when emulating your positions (ie if you enter with a ten tick stop in the YM, and they're trading via a spreadbetting firm quoting a two tick spread, their stop loss needs to be 12 and their target needs to be 8, in order for their position to reflect yours accurately).

 

Hope that's helpful,

 

BlueHorseshoe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

thanks for your posts bluehorseshoe, very useful information. when trading shares as opposed to indices, they also charge a trading fee on top of the spread which can affect your ability to get in and out of trades with a quick profit.

 

they can be used to hedge a trade too, if you have, or purchase actual stocks, it can be useful to short a percentage via spreadbetting.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
thanks for your posts bluehorseshoe, very useful information. when trading shares as opposed to indices, they also charge a trading fee on top of the spread which can affect your ability to get in and out of trades with a quick profit.

 

they can be used to hedge a trade too, if you have, or purchase actual stocks, it can be useful to short a percentage via spreadbetting.

 

Hi Banksy,

 

Glad you found the posts useful.

 

I've never traded stocks or spread-bet them, but I am aware that the pricing structure is a little more complicated (I think they adjust price quotes for dividends and things, don't they?). I believe the fee structure (spread) is based on the liquidity of the underlying market which, for exotic instruments and thinly traded stocks may be low. This reflects the difficulties they may encounter in mimicing your position in the underlying.

 

Though I have seen absolutely no firm evidence for this, I have been told that a number of smaller UK hedge funds use spread-betting. As I can't imagine that this is their primary method of trading (it would hardly be credible for a hedge fund), then I think that they maybe use spreadbetting as a means to hedge positions, as you suggest.

 

BlueHorseshoe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Though I have seen absolutely no firm evidence for this, I have been told that a number of smaller UK hedge funds use spread-betting. As I can't imagine that this is their primary method of trading (it would hardly be credible for a hedge fund), then I think that they maybe use spreadbetting as a means to hedge positions, as you suggest.

 

As a hedge fund if you want leverage and shorting abilities you generally require a prime broker of sorts, and a lot of the larger prime brokers dont even look at you unless you have X millions. If you are required to replicate a portfolio approach then maybe a spread better is necessary when you are starting up and dont have the cash. (it does seem an expensive way to do things - however "everything is negotiable")

I cannot imagine you could not do most things through a normal broker like Interactive brokers without the spread costs, and sticking within normal leverage amounts....however as I understand it pretty much every trade in the UK stocks is a spread bet/swap trade anyway due to stamp duty. (not my area of expertise so would need to investigate further.)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
As a hedge fund if you want leverage and shorting abilities you generally require a prime broker of sorts, and a lot of the larger prime brokers dont even look at you unless you have X millions. If you are required to replicate a portfolio approach then maybe a spread better is necessary when you are starting up and dont have the cash. (it does seem an expensive way to do things - however "everything is negotiable")

I cannot imagine you could not do most things through a normal broker like Interactive brokers without the spread costs, and sticking within normal leverage amounts....however as I understand it pretty much every trade in the UK stocks is a spread bet/swap trade anyway due to stamp duty. (not my area of expertise so would need to investigate further.)

 

The person who told me this stated that they (the SB firm) were 'only allowed to deal with small funds'. I asked what counted as 'small', and was told 'up to ten million'.

 

Of course, this was someone in institutional sales who told me this, so it could of course be complete nonsense designed to assert the credibility of the firm.

 

BlueHorseshoe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 21st November 2024. Gold Regains Momentum as NVIDIA Delivers a Revenue Surge! NVIDIA beat earnings expectations, and nearly doubled revenue on an annual basis. NVIDIA stocks dip slightly despite strong earnings and a strong forecast for the current quarter. Analysts expect market participants to purchase the dip. The Japanese Yen wins back some ground as Bank of Japan Governor indicates the regulator will be willing to hike to support the FX market. Gold, Silver and other Metals all rise due to predictions of high retail and institutional demand and geopolitical tensions remaining high. NASDAQ – NVIDIA Surpasses Earnings Expectations! The NASDAQ took a sudden dip on Wednesday measuring 1.50%, however, investors quickly took the opportunity to purchase at the lower price as most indicators fell to give an oversold indication. As a result, the NASDAQ ended the day only slightly lower than the open price, but downward momentum remains this morning. The downward momentum is partially due to geopolitical tensions which are on the rise. Yesterday, Ukraine fired UK-made missiles into Russia and fired US-made the day before. There are also reports and speculations that Russia has sent ICB Missiles into Ukraine for the first time. However, reports are not confirmed, and there are signs of certain stocks recovering. Currently, there is no economic data which is driving the lack of demand, therefore investors are mainly concentrating on NVIDIA earnings. NVIDIA beat earnings expectations by 8.50% and revenue by 5.90%. Investors were particularly impressed by the significantly higher revenue which has almost doubled annually. In addition to this, the forecast given for the current quarter came in relatively strong. Lastly, the CEO, Jenson Huang, said to Bloomberg that demand exceeds supply but the company is setting in place measures to boost supply in order to meet the high level of demand. Taking into consideration the strong earnings, positive tone and upbeat forecasts for the coming quarter, many may wonder, “why is the stock declining 2.50% during this morning’s Asian session?”. This is partially due to the lower risk appetite, but also due to certain forecast expectations for NVIDIA not being met. The average NVIDIA forecast expectations from Wall Street firms was $37.1 billion, which NVIDIA comfortably surpassed. However, certain firms had expectations as high as $41 billion. Based on these higher expectations, the company underachieved and could trigger a lack of demand from this sector of Wall Street. Though many analysts continue to expect shareholders to purchase the lower price as long as the stock market will remain favorable.   EURJPY – BOJ To Consider Hike! The EURJPY declines for a second consecutive day, particularly gaining bearish momentum after this morning’s Bank of Japan press conference. The main takeaway from the press conference was that the Governor told journalists that the BOJ was willing to hike interest rates in the upcoming months but decisions will be made meeting by meeting. The Bank of Japan’s decision to raise interest rates in July was influenced in part by the weak Yen, which had driven up import costs and inflation. At the Europlace Financial Forum in Tokyo, Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized that exchange-rate fluctuations are a key consideration in shaping economic and inflation forecasts. He noted that the central bank carefully examines what is driving these currency changes when assessing their impact. The EURJPY now trades below the 75-Bar Exponential Moving Average and below the 50.00 on the RSI. In addition to this, the exchange rate continues to form lower swing lows while the Euro underperforms against most currencies. These indications point towards a potential downward price movement.   Gold – Geopolitical Tensions Send Gold on a Bullish Path! Gold has increased in value for a fourth consecutive day, driven largely by geopolitical tensions. Additionally, the absence of significant US economic news has left markets uncertain about the Federal Reserve’s next move. Gold is currently witnessing an active buy signal from most momentum-based indicators due to the strong bullish momentum. For example, traders are able to see the price trading above the Bollinger Band, within a bullish moving average crossover and significantly high on most oscilators. However, investors should note as the price increases, the asset can become overbought and this may trigger a retracement, a correction or sideways price movement. In terms of geopolitical tensions, hopes for a Middle East ceasefire are being tempered by Russia’s revision of its nuclear doctrine, which aims to strengthen its borders after the US-approved long-range strikes from Ukraine reached deep into Russian territory. Meanwhile, Donald Trump’s re-election has yet to significantly influence the conflict, though markets remain optimistic about potential positive developments following his January 20 inauguration. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.  
    • AMD Advanced Micro Devices stock with local support and resistance at 131.19, 138.37, and 146.97 at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMD
    • MD Pediatrix Medical stock watrch, good trend, pull back to 14.42 support area with good trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?MD
    • WGS GeneDx stock watch, pull back to 70.29 gap support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?WGS
    • Date: 20th November 2024. Market Rebounds as Putin Signals Readiness for Peace Talks; Focus Shifts to NVIDIA! US Stocks drop to a 2-week low after Ukraine fired US-made missiles into Russia, but rebound in the US session. Putin updates nuclear doctrine, allowing Russia to strike Ukraine if it uses weapons from nuclear-armed nations. Walmart again beat earnings expectations pushing the stock 3.00% higher. Earnings Per Share beat expectations by 8.00%. The Japanese Yen loses momentum and corrects back to previous lows. The US Dollar maintains strong bullish momentum. UK Inflation Rate rises from 1.7% to 2.3% supporting the GBP despite budget concerns continuing. NVIDIA is set to release their quarterly earnings report after market close. NVIDIA stock has risen more than 5.00% indicating the market expects a beat. NASDAQ – All Eyes On NVIDIA Earnings Report! The NASDAQ ended Tuesday 0.71% higher despite coming under significant pressure during the Asian and European session. The NASDAQ fell 1.20% during the day’s first two sessions due to geopolitical tensions triggering a much lower risk appetite. This is due to the US as well as other countries agreeing to allow Ukraine to strike Russia with foreign made weapons. Ukraine quickly took advantage of this by firing ATACMS into Russia. Russia responded by changing their nuclear weapon use doctrine. Here we can see why the global stock market fell rapidly. However, why did the market recover during the US session? During the US session, the risk appetite and confidence of the market improved as the White House confirmed nothing changes with Russia changing their Nuclear Weapons Doctrine. In addition to this, President Putin also said that he would be willing to start peace talks with President Elect Trump. Lastly, the market also took the opportunity to purchase the lower price since NVIDIA’s earnings report is imminent and Walmart already beat their earnings expectations. Walmart is not a component of the NASDAQ, but has improved the sentiment towards the US stock market. NVIDIA, which is on the NASDAQ, is set to release their quarterly earnings report after market close. NVIDIA stock rose 4.89% yesterday and a further 0.47% this morning indicating the market expects a beat. Analysts expect the company’s Earnings Per Share to rise from $0.68 to $0.75 and revenue from $30.04 billion to $33.14 billion. As no US economic data is set to be made public throughout the day, investors are solely concentrating on geopolitical tensions and earnings. The price of the NASDAQ rose above the 75-bar exponential moving average on the 2-hour chart for the first time since 14th. Traders will be monitoring whether the index will be able to maintain momentum above this level and if the price may also rise above the 100-bar SMA. Traders will be waiting for the NASDAQ to regain bullish momentum and if so will act accordingly. Buy signals are likely to rise if the price increases above $20,764.30 and intensifies above $20,777.93. GBPUSD – UK Inflation Rises Above Expectations! The price of the GBPUSD increased in value taking the exchange rate to a 1-week high, but concerns remain according to analysts. The exchange rate is trading 0.30% higher after the UK made public their latest inflation rate. The UK inflation rate rose from 1.7% to 2.3% which is higher than previous expectations and considerably higher than the previous month. The GBP is currently the best performing currency with the Pound index trading 0.21% higher. However, the second best performing is the US Dollar Index which is trading 0.14% higher. Therefore, investors need to be cautious that a retrace or correction is still possible while the US Dollar Index remains high. Currently the Pound is coming under pressure from the Autumn Budget and from farming strikes which are continuing. However, comments from the Bank of England could support the currency. The BoE warns that planned National Insurance hikes in the Labour budget may drive up prices, slow wage growth, and reduce hiring. Significant inflation could force prolonged tight monetary policy. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.