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lonew0lf

Negative/Reverse Divergence

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Following on the great work done by aaa on the divergence indicator; I wanted to know if someone could potentially help in creating an indicator which shows negative or reverse divergence.

 

The attached indicator is a slight tweak from aaa's, and shows regular divergence only. The attached images show the negative divergence.

 

 

// StochRSI Divergence TrendLine
// Author: MARKPLEX
// http://markplex.com/tutorial4.php
// version: 1.0

// Author: aaa
// version: 2.0
// Date: 20091129
// added: 
// divergence on top +
// Line.Color.Top + Line.Color.Bot + Line.Size + Plot.Sto in inputs

//----------------------------------------------------
inputs:
//----------------------------------------------------


RSILength(9),
StochLength(18),
KLength(6),
DLength(3),
OverSold(20),
OverBought(80),
Length(20),
LeftStrength(3),
RightStrength(3),
Line.Color.Top(yellow),
Line.Color.Bot(white),
Line.Size(2),
Plot.stochrsi(1),
AlertOn.Off(1);

//---------------------------------------------------- 
variables:
//----------------------------------------------------

DToscK(0), 
DToscD(0),

oPivotPrice1(0),
oPivotBar1(0),
oPivotPrice2(0),
oPivotBar2(0),

oPivotPrice11(0),
oPivotBar11(0),
oPivotPrice12(0),
oPivotBar12(0);

value1 = FastKCustomEasy(RSI(C, RSILength),StochLength);
DToscK =  average(value1,KLength);
DToscD = average(DToscK,DLength);

Condition1 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition11 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition2 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

Condition12 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition1 and Condition2 // added condition2 = referecne future data
	AND L[oPivotBar2] >= L[oPivotBar1] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] < DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], L[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], L[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Line.Color.Bot );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "Divergence in Bottom" );
End;

If 
	Condition11 and Condition12 // added condition12  referecne future data
	AND H[oPivotBar12] <= H[oPivotBar11] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar12] > DToscK[oPivotBar11] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], H[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], H[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Line.Color.Top );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "Divergence in Top" );

End;

condition3 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition32 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition4 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

condition42 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition3 and condition4 
	AND L[oPivotBar2] >= L[oPivotBar1] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] < DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], DToscK[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], DToscK[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Line.Color.Bot );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
End;

If 
	Condition32 and Condition42
	AND H[oPivotBar12] <= H[oPivotBar11] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar12] > DToscK[oPivotBar11] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], DToscK[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], DToscK[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Line.Color.Top );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
End;

Plot1( DToscK, "stochrsi",      blue );
plot2( 20,    "oversold", white);
plot3(80, "overbought", white);

5aa7100ba58bd_audusdhiddendivergence.gif.bda952cf2c1cef24c8029a347981205e.gif

5aa7100baa5a4_esintradaydivergence.gif.e6076b6dba70ea993f64de0f9fd98dca.gif

hidden-bearish-divergence-blue.png.e923dda9cd66a08f700852c5adeaca77.png

hidden-bullish-divergence-blue.png.3daad3c8864fa0c08d6335b24e0e74a2.png

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Hi

 

Following on the great work done by aaa on the divergence indicator;

 

First of all thank you very much for the kind words,

 

but I've done nothing =

 

it is a 100% code from one of Martyn Whittaker' Xcellent 46 free tutorial

 

martyn.whittaker@markplex.com

 

***********

 

His site is a real gold mine 2 learn EL

 

http://markplex.com/tutorials.php

 

 

 
If 
[u]Condition1[/u] and 
[u]Condition2[/u] AND
L[oPivotBar2] [b][u]>=[/u][/b] L[oPivotBar1]  AND 
DToscK[oPivotBar2] [b][u]<[/u][/b] DToscK[oPivotBar1] 
then 
Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2],[b][u] L[oPivotBar2[/u][/b]], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], [u][b]L[oPivotBar1[/b][/u]]); 

 

 

Have U tried 2 "reverse" the code or anything else ?

 

When we post our personnal work ( even tho if it doesn't work ),

 

and if there is a solution,

 

they is always a kind coder 2 help us here.

 

rgds

Edited by aaa

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aaa - i initially tried the inverse but all that did was kick off errors. I finally got this one to work.

 

// StochRSI Divergence TrendLine
// Author: MARKPLEX
// http://markplex.com/tutorial4.php
// version: 1.0

// Author: aaa
// version: 2.0
// Date: 20091129
// added: 
// divergence on top +
// Line.Color.Top + Line.Color.Bot + Line.Size + Plot.Sto in inputs

//----------------------------------------------------
inputs:
//----------------------------------------------------


RSILength(9),
StochLength(18),
KLength(6),
DLength(3),
OverSold(20),
OverBought(80),
Length(20),
LeftStrength(3),
RightStrength(3),
Line.Color.Top(yellow),
Line.Color.Bot(white),
Line.Size(2),
Plot.stochrsi(1),
AlertOn.Off(1);

//---------------------------------------------------- 
variables:
//----------------------------------------------------

DToscK(0), 
DToscD(0),

oPivotPrice1(0),
oPivotBar1(0),
oPivotPrice2(0),
oPivotBar2(0),

oPivotPrice11(0),
oPivotBar11(0),
oPivotPrice12(0),
oPivotBar12(0);

value1 = FastKCustomEasy(RSI(C, RSILength),StochLength);
DToscK =  average(value1,KLength);
DToscD = average(DToscK,DLength);

Condition1 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition11 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition2 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

Condition12 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition1 and Condition2 // added condition2 = referecne future data
	AND L[oPivotBar1] >= L[oPivotBar2] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] > DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], L[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], L[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Line.Color.Bot );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "Hid Div Bottom" );
End;

If 
	Condition11 and Condition12 // added condition12  referecne future data
	AND H[oPivotBar11] <= H[oPivotBar12] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar11] > DToscK[oPivotBar12] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], H[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], H[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Line.Color.Top );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "Hid Div Top" );
End;

condition3 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition32 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition4 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

condition42 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition3 and condition4 
	AND L[oPivotBar1] >= L[oPivotBar2] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] > DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], DToscK[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], DToscK[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Line.Color.Bot );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
End;

If 
	Condition32 and Condition42
	AND H[oPivotBar11] <= H[oPivotBar12] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar11] > DToscK[oPivotBar12] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], DToscK[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], DToscK[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Line.Color.Top );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
End;

Plot1( DToscK, "stochrsi",      blue );
plot2( 20,    "oversold", white);
plot3(80, "overbought", white);

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Hi LoneWolf

 

The solution was hidden in my suggestion ( HeHeHe !!)

and U've made good homework

 

*****************

 

I will not post any more Div indic than Sto + Rsi + MACD

 

In fact I try 2 trade with the trend, not against it.

 

Below is the Martyn Whittaker' logic of divergence

Everybody can easily apply it 2 any kind of indicators in 3 steps

 

1 Copy the entire Divergence code 2 your new div TrendLine indicator

2 Put the code of your preferate indicator in My.Indicator variable

3 Add personnal ideas 2 suit your way of Trading

 

rgds

 

aaa

 

***********************

 

inputs:

MyIndicator.Length(30),

 

variables:

My.Indicator(0),

 

My.Indicator=RSI(Close,MyIndicator.Length);

 

Condition1=Pivot(

My.Indicator,Length,LeftStrength,RightStrength,1,-1,

oPivotPrice1,oPivotBar1)<>-1 AND

 

(oPivotBar1-RightStrength)=0;

 

Condition2=Pivot(

My.Indicator,,Length,LeftStrength,RightStrength,2,-1,

oPivotPrice2,oPivotBar2)<>-1;

 

If

Condition1AND

Condition2AND

L[oPivotBar2]>=L[oPivotBar1]AND

My.Indicator,[oPivotBar2]> My.Indicator,[oPivotBar1]then // Change the sign < divergence > hidden divergence

 

etc..

 

**************

Edited by aaa

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I agree with you on staying with the trend. That was my reason why having the hidden divergence was important since it shows a continuation of the trend.

 

I seem to be running into a new problem now, it appears that the indicator is firing off alerts late. In the attached picture for example (15 min chart). The positive divergence is completed at 1am est, however the alert doesn't trigger until 1:45am.

 

I looked at the code but can't seem to figure out what's causing the delay. Open to suggestions.

 


//----------------------------------------------------
inputs:
//----------------------------------------------------


RSILength(9),
StochLength(18),
KLength(6),
DLength(3),
OverSold(20),
OverBought(80),
Length(20),
LeftStrength(3),
RightStrength(3),
Div.Color.Down(yellow),
Div.Color.Up(white),
HD.Color.Down (red),
HD.Color.Up (green),
Line.Size(2),
Plot.stochrsi(1),
AlertOn.Off(1);

//---------------------------------------------------- 
variables:
//----------------------------------------------------

DToscK(0), 
DToscD(0),

oPivotPrice1(0),
oPivotBar1(0),
oPivotPrice2(0),
oPivotBar2(0),

oPivotPrice11(0),
oPivotBar11(0),
oPivotPrice12(0),
oPivotBar12(0);

value1 = FastKCustomEasy(RSI(C, RSILength),StochLength);
DToscK =  average(value1,KLength);
DToscD = average(DToscK,DLength);

Condition1 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition11 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition2 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

Condition12 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition1 and Condition2 // added condition2 = referecne future data
	AND L[oPivotBar1] >= L[oPivotBar2] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] > DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], L[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], L[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, HD.Color.up );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "HD Bottom" );
End;

	If 
	Condition1 and Condition2 // added condition2 = referecne future data
	AND L[oPivotBar2] >= L[oPivotBar1] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] < DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], L[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], L[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Div.Color.up );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "DIV Bottom" );
End;

If 
	Condition11 and Condition12 // added condition12  referecne future data
	AND H[oPivotBar11] <= H[oPivotBar12] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar11] > DToscK[oPivotBar12] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], H[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], H[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, HD.Color.down );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "HD Top" );
End;

	If 
	Condition11 and Condition12 // added condition12  referecne future data
	AND H[oPivotBar12] <= H[oPivotBar11] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar12] > DToscK[oPivotBar11] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], H[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], H[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Div.Color.down );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "DIV Top" );

End;


condition3 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition32 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition4 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

condition42 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition3 and condition4 
	AND L[oPivotBar1] >= L[oPivotBar2] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] > DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], DToscK[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], DToscK[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, HD.Color.up );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
End;

	If 
	Condition3 and condition4 
	AND L[oPivotBar2] >= L[oPivotBar1] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] < DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], DToscK[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], DToscK[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Div.Color.up );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
End;


If 
	Condition32 and Condition42
	AND H[oPivotBar11] <= H[oPivotBar12] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar11] > DToscK[oPivotBar12] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], DToscK[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], DToscK[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, HD.Color.down );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
End;

	If 
	Condition32 and Condition42
	AND H[oPivotBar12] <= H[oPivotBar11] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar12] > DToscK[oPivotBar11] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], DToscK[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], DToscK[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Div.Color.down );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
End;

Plot1( DToscK, "stochrsi",      blue );
plot2( 20,    "oversold", white);
plot3(80, "overbought", white);

5aa7100cde519_Diverror.jpg.a59e3484a14dfcc6ce4cbdd8d42b3eab.jpg

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It is "normal"

 

Unfortunately pivot is not a RT function

 

Suggestion

 

RightStrength(2),

 

try 2 put 2 and U'll have 2 wait 2 bars instead of 3

 

**************************

 

The PPivot function returns the value of a pivot point and the number of bars ago the pivot occurred.

 

RightStrength

 

Numeric

 

Sets the required number of bars on the right side of the pivot bar.

 

*************************************

 

aaa

 

*************************

 

PS I'm wondering how 2 trade if we have 2 wait 3 bars (45 mns delay in your resolution) 2 have a signal ?!

 

Same problem with Carter scalper

 

After Observing during a long time a market, we can visualy anticipate a divergence with prior signs

 

IMO it's interesting 2 put an order at The anticipated level at the opposite of the trend (A kangourou tail where traders changing position)

and after waiting 4 a div or any kind of other confirmation

or exit with a quick profit

 

If it works, it's like a lift rocket !

 

But it is risky Bcoz we can get killed many times B4 it works

 

And then

 

A traders enters after, when the divergence signal is confirmed

 

B There is a DT/DB and it was an 2 early entry

 

C Or the trend keep going and the stop is reached

 

Not easy

 

At the end it's a matter of observation and intuitive quick decision + strong stomach

 

********************************

 

On your graph we can C

 

a kangourou trail ( in fact 1 + 1 the second one killed the first one)

 

a lift rocket

 

DB with certainly a divergence

 

and then the trend changes at the broken line where there was certainly a lot of stop buy orders above

 

So what should we do after 1:00 AM ?

 

Take profit ?

 

Trust in the hidden div and hold our position ?

Edited by aaa

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I've been using the divergence as the first trigger followed by a trend change (ttm trend) as confirmation. I finally noticed on the higher time frames (hourly, daily) that the trigger was way to slow.

 

I use the 15min, 1hr, etc as a signal for the direction I want to trade in and use a 3 min chart for entry.

 

I'll try changing the right strength to 2, why not use 1?

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I'll try changing the right strength to 2, why not use 1?

 

Put 3 charts on the same screen

 

Put right strength to 1

 

Put right strength to 2

 

Put right strength to 3

 

in each screen

 

and choose the one which suits U best

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I was being fictitious on the rightstrenth of 1.

 

Is it possible to have the indicator plot the divergence line, even though you have to wait the 3 bars for confirmation.

 

For example, TTM Trend for example will paint the current bar the anticipated colour before the bar closes. Would that be possible for this indicator where it plots the potential divergence as its happening rather than after the fact?

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What is the Tradestation equivalent for TL_New ( I assume this is an array or variable for the new "reverse divergent" trendline to be plotted next... but is undefined and therefore unrecognized in TS.

 

snowbird

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What is the Tradestation equivalent for TL_New ( I assume this is an array or variable for the new "reverse divergent" trendline to be plotted next... but is undefined and therefore unrecognized in TS.

 

snowbird

 

press the [F1] key and see...

 

TL_NEW is available in recent releases of TradeStation, but not in the older version (eg. T2000).

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Would that be possible for this indicator where it plots the potential divergence as its happening rather than after the fact?

 

With pivot function, I'm afraid that not less than 1 bar on the right side of the pivot bar...

 

The Pivot function returns the value of a pivot point and the number of bars ago the pivot occurred.

 

RightStrength = Sets the required number of bars on the right side of the pivot bar.

 

********************************

 

But keep "optimistic", as TAMS wrote ;)

 

anything is POSSIBLE

 

if you can visualize it, quantify it, articulate it, you can code it.

Edited by aaa

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    • Date: 31st March 2025.   Trump Confirms Tariffs on All Countries, Sending Stocks Lower.   The NASDAQ continues to trade lower due to the US confirming the latest tariffs will be on all countries. In addition to this, bearish volatility also is largely due to the higher inflation data from Friday. The NASDAQ declines to its lowest price since September 11th 2024. Core PCE Price Index - Inflation Increases Again! The PCE Price Index read 2.5% aligning with expert forecasts not triggering any alarm bells. However, the Core PCE Price Index rose from 0.3% to 0.4% MoM and from 2.7% to 2.8% YoY, signalling growing inflationary pressure. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. The NASDAQ fell 2.60% due to the higher inflation reading which is known to pressure the stock market due to pressure on consumer demand and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently commented that tariffs could drive up inflation, though the long-term impact remains uncertain. She told journalists that a short-term spike is the most probable outcome but believes the current pause in monetary policy adjustments is appropriate given the prevailing uncertainties. Although, certain investment banks such as JP Morgan actually believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates. This is due to expectations that the economy will struggle under the new trade policy. For example, JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts but will quickly cut towards the end of 2025. Market Risk Appetite Takes a Hit! A big factor for the day is the drop in the risk appetite of investors. This can be seen from the VIX which is up almost 6%, Gold which is trading 1.30% higher and the Japanese Yen which is the day’s best performing currency. Most safe haven assets, bar the US Dollar, increase in value. It is also worth noting that all indices are decreasing in value during this morning's Asian session with the Nikkei225 and NASDAQ witnessing the strongest decline. Previously the stock market rose in value as investors heard rumours that tariffs would only be on certain countries. This bullish swing occurred between March 14th and 25th. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump indicated that the upcoming tariffs would apply to all countries, not just those with the largest trade imbalances with the US. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ continues to obtain indications that sellers control the price action. The price opens on a bearish price gap measuring 0.30% and trades below all Moving Averages on all timeframes. The NASDAQ also trades below the VWAP and almost 100% of the most influential components (stocks) are declining in value.     The next significant support level is at $18,313, and the resistance level stands at $20,367.95. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ falls to its lowest since September 2024 as the US confirms tariffs on all countries, adding to inflation concerns. Core PCE inflation rises to 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY, increasing the likelihood of prolonged high interest rates. Investor risk appetite drops as VIX jumps 6%, gold gains 1.3%, and safe-haven assets outperform. NASDAQ shows strong bearish momentum, trading below key technical levels with support at $18,313 and resistance at $20,367.95. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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