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lonew0lf

Negative/Reverse Divergence

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Following on the great work done by aaa on the divergence indicator; I wanted to know if someone could potentially help in creating an indicator which shows negative or reverse divergence.

 

The attached indicator is a slight tweak from aaa's, and shows regular divergence only. The attached images show the negative divergence.

 

 

// StochRSI Divergence TrendLine
// Author: MARKPLEX
// http://markplex.com/tutorial4.php
// version: 1.0

// Author: aaa
// version: 2.0
// Date: 20091129
// added: 
// divergence on top +
// Line.Color.Top + Line.Color.Bot + Line.Size + Plot.Sto in inputs

//----------------------------------------------------
inputs:
//----------------------------------------------------


RSILength(9),
StochLength(18),
KLength(6),
DLength(3),
OverSold(20),
OverBought(80),
Length(20),
LeftStrength(3),
RightStrength(3),
Line.Color.Top(yellow),
Line.Color.Bot(white),
Line.Size(2),
Plot.stochrsi(1),
AlertOn.Off(1);

//---------------------------------------------------- 
variables:
//----------------------------------------------------

DToscK(0), 
DToscD(0),

oPivotPrice1(0),
oPivotBar1(0),
oPivotPrice2(0),
oPivotBar2(0),

oPivotPrice11(0),
oPivotBar11(0),
oPivotPrice12(0),
oPivotBar12(0);

value1 = FastKCustomEasy(RSI(C, RSILength),StochLength);
DToscK =  average(value1,KLength);
DToscD = average(DToscK,DLength);

Condition1 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition11 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition2 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

Condition12 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition1 and Condition2 // added condition2 = referecne future data
	AND L[oPivotBar2] >= L[oPivotBar1] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] < DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], L[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], L[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Line.Color.Bot );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "Divergence in Bottom" );
End;

If 
	Condition11 and Condition12 // added condition12  referecne future data
	AND H[oPivotBar12] <= H[oPivotBar11] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar12] > DToscK[oPivotBar11] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], H[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], H[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Line.Color.Top );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "Divergence in Top" );

End;

condition3 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition32 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition4 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

condition42 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition3 and condition4 
	AND L[oPivotBar2] >= L[oPivotBar1] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] < DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], DToscK[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], DToscK[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Line.Color.Bot );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
End;

If 
	Condition32 and Condition42
	AND H[oPivotBar12] <= H[oPivotBar11] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar12] > DToscK[oPivotBar11] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], DToscK[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], DToscK[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Line.Color.Top );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
End;

Plot1( DToscK, "stochrsi",      blue );
plot2( 20,    "oversold", white);
plot3(80, "overbought", white);

5aa7100ba58bd_audusdhiddendivergence.gif.bda952cf2c1cef24c8029a347981205e.gif

5aa7100baa5a4_esintradaydivergence.gif.e6076b6dba70ea993f64de0f9fd98dca.gif

hidden-bearish-divergence-blue.png.e923dda9cd66a08f700852c5adeaca77.png

hidden-bullish-divergence-blue.png.3daad3c8864fa0c08d6335b24e0e74a2.png

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Hi

 

Following on the great work done by aaa on the divergence indicator;

 

First of all thank you very much for the kind words,

 

but I've done nothing =

 

it is a 100% code from one of Martyn Whittaker' Xcellent 46 free tutorial

 

martyn.whittaker@markplex.com

 

***********

 

His site is a real gold mine 2 learn EL

 

http://markplex.com/tutorials.php

 

 

 
If 
[u]Condition1[/u] and 
[u]Condition2[/u] AND
L[oPivotBar2] [b][u]>=[/u][/b] L[oPivotBar1]  AND 
DToscK[oPivotBar2] [b][u]<[/u][/b] DToscK[oPivotBar1] 
then 
Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2],[b][u] L[oPivotBar2[/u][/b]], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], [u][b]L[oPivotBar1[/b][/u]]); 

 

 

Have U tried 2 "reverse" the code or anything else ?

 

When we post our personnal work ( even tho if it doesn't work ),

 

and if there is a solution,

 

they is always a kind coder 2 help us here.

 

rgds

Edited by aaa

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aaa - i initially tried the inverse but all that did was kick off errors. I finally got this one to work.

 

// StochRSI Divergence TrendLine
// Author: MARKPLEX
// http://markplex.com/tutorial4.php
// version: 1.0

// Author: aaa
// version: 2.0
// Date: 20091129
// added: 
// divergence on top +
// Line.Color.Top + Line.Color.Bot + Line.Size + Plot.Sto in inputs

//----------------------------------------------------
inputs:
//----------------------------------------------------


RSILength(9),
StochLength(18),
KLength(6),
DLength(3),
OverSold(20),
OverBought(80),
Length(20),
LeftStrength(3),
RightStrength(3),
Line.Color.Top(yellow),
Line.Color.Bot(white),
Line.Size(2),
Plot.stochrsi(1),
AlertOn.Off(1);

//---------------------------------------------------- 
variables:
//----------------------------------------------------

DToscK(0), 
DToscD(0),

oPivotPrice1(0),
oPivotBar1(0),
oPivotPrice2(0),
oPivotBar2(0),

oPivotPrice11(0),
oPivotBar11(0),
oPivotPrice12(0),
oPivotBar12(0);

value1 = FastKCustomEasy(RSI(C, RSILength),StochLength);
DToscK =  average(value1,KLength);
DToscD = average(DToscK,DLength);

Condition1 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition11 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition2 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

Condition12 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition1 and Condition2 // added condition2 = referecne future data
	AND L[oPivotBar1] >= L[oPivotBar2] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] > DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], L[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], L[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Line.Color.Bot );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "Hid Div Bottom" );
End;

If 
	Condition11 and Condition12 // added condition12  referecne future data
	AND H[oPivotBar11] <= H[oPivotBar12] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar11] > DToscK[oPivotBar12] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], H[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], H[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Line.Color.Top );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "Hid Div Top" );
End;

condition3 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition32 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition4 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

condition42 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition3 and condition4 
	AND L[oPivotBar1] >= L[oPivotBar2] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] > DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], DToscK[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], DToscK[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Line.Color.Bot );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
End;

If 
	Condition32 and Condition42
	AND H[oPivotBar11] <= H[oPivotBar12] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar11] > DToscK[oPivotBar12] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], DToscK[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], DToscK[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Line.Color.Top );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
End;

Plot1( DToscK, "stochrsi",      blue );
plot2( 20,    "oversold", white);
plot3(80, "overbought", white);

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Hi LoneWolf

 

The solution was hidden in my suggestion ( HeHeHe !!)

and U've made good homework

 

*****************

 

I will not post any more Div indic than Sto + Rsi + MACD

 

In fact I try 2 trade with the trend, not against it.

 

Below is the Martyn Whittaker' logic of divergence

Everybody can easily apply it 2 any kind of indicators in 3 steps

 

1 Copy the entire Divergence code 2 your new div TrendLine indicator

2 Put the code of your preferate indicator in My.Indicator variable

3 Add personnal ideas 2 suit your way of Trading

 

rgds

 

aaa

 

***********************

 

inputs:

MyIndicator.Length(30),

 

variables:

My.Indicator(0),

 

My.Indicator=RSI(Close,MyIndicator.Length);

 

Condition1=Pivot(

My.Indicator,Length,LeftStrength,RightStrength,1,-1,

oPivotPrice1,oPivotBar1)<>-1 AND

 

(oPivotBar1-RightStrength)=0;

 

Condition2=Pivot(

My.Indicator,,Length,LeftStrength,RightStrength,2,-1,

oPivotPrice2,oPivotBar2)<>-1;

 

If

Condition1AND

Condition2AND

L[oPivotBar2]>=L[oPivotBar1]AND

My.Indicator,[oPivotBar2]> My.Indicator,[oPivotBar1]then // Change the sign < divergence > hidden divergence

 

etc..

 

**************

Edited by aaa

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I agree with you on staying with the trend. That was my reason why having the hidden divergence was important since it shows a continuation of the trend.

 

I seem to be running into a new problem now, it appears that the indicator is firing off alerts late. In the attached picture for example (15 min chart). The positive divergence is completed at 1am est, however the alert doesn't trigger until 1:45am.

 

I looked at the code but can't seem to figure out what's causing the delay. Open to suggestions.

 


//----------------------------------------------------
inputs:
//----------------------------------------------------


RSILength(9),
StochLength(18),
KLength(6),
DLength(3),
OverSold(20),
OverBought(80),
Length(20),
LeftStrength(3),
RightStrength(3),
Div.Color.Down(yellow),
Div.Color.Up(white),
HD.Color.Down (red),
HD.Color.Up (green),
Line.Size(2),
Plot.stochrsi(1),
AlertOn.Off(1);

//---------------------------------------------------- 
variables:
//----------------------------------------------------

DToscK(0), 
DToscD(0),

oPivotPrice1(0),
oPivotBar1(0),
oPivotPrice2(0),
oPivotBar2(0),

oPivotPrice11(0),
oPivotBar11(0),
oPivotPrice12(0),
oPivotBar12(0);

value1 = FastKCustomEasy(RSI(C, RSILength),StochLength);
DToscK =  average(value1,KLength);
DToscD = average(DToscK,DLength);

Condition1 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition11 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

Condition2 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

Condition12 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition1 and Condition2 // added condition2 = referecne future data
	AND L[oPivotBar1] >= L[oPivotBar2] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] > DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], L[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], L[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, HD.Color.up );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "HD Bottom" );
End;

	If 
	Condition1 and Condition2 // added condition2 = referecne future data
	AND L[oPivotBar2] >= L[oPivotBar1] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] < DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], L[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], L[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Div.Color.up );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "DIV Bottom" );
End;

If 
	Condition11 and Condition12 // added condition12  referecne future data
	AND H[oPivotBar11] <= H[oPivotBar12] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar11] > DToscK[oPivotBar12] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], H[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], H[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, HD.Color.down );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "HD Top" );
End;

	If 
	Condition11 and Condition12 // added condition12  referecne future data
	AND H[oPivotBar12] <= H[oPivotBar11] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar12] > DToscK[oPivotBar11] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], H[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], H[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Div.Color.down );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
		if AlertOn.Off <> 0 then
			Alert( "DIV Top" );

End;


condition3 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, -1, oPivotPrice1, oPivotBar1 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar1 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition32 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 1, 1, oPivotPrice11, oPivotBar11 ) <> -1 
	AND ( oPivotBar11 - RightStrength ) = 0 ;

condition4 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, -1, oPivotPrice2, oPivotBar2 ) <> -1;

condition42 = Pivot( DToscK, Length, LeftStrength, RightStrength, 2, 1, oPivotPrice12, oPivotBar12 ) <> -1;

If 
	Condition3 and condition4 
	AND L[oPivotBar1] >= L[oPivotBar2] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] > DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], DToscK[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], DToscK[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, HD.Color.up );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
End;

	If 
	Condition3 and condition4 
	AND L[oPivotBar2] >= L[oPivotBar1] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar2] < DToscK[oPivotBar1] then 
Begin
	Value2 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar2], T[oPivotBar2], DToscK[oPivotBar2], D[oPivotBar1], T[oPivotBar1], DToscK[oPivotBar1]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value2, Div.Color.up );
	TL_SetSize(  Value2, Line.Size  );
End;


If 
	Condition32 and Condition42
	AND H[oPivotBar11] <= H[oPivotBar12] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar11] > DToscK[oPivotBar12] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], DToscK[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], DToscK[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, HD.Color.down );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
End;

	If 
	Condition32 and Condition42
	AND H[oPivotBar12] <= H[oPivotBar11] 
	AND DToscK[oPivotBar12] > DToscK[oPivotBar11] then 
Begin
	Value12 = TL_New_SELF(D[oPivotBar12], T[oPivotBar12], DToscK[oPivotBar12], D[oPivotBar11], T[oPivotBar11], DToscK[oPivotBar11]); 
	TL_SetColor( Value12, Div.Color.down );
	TL_SetSize(  Value12, Line.Size  );
End;

Plot1( DToscK, "stochrsi",      blue );
plot2( 20,    "oversold", white);
plot3(80, "overbought", white);

5aa7100cde519_Diverror.jpg.a59e3484a14dfcc6ce4cbdd8d42b3eab.jpg

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It is "normal"

 

Unfortunately pivot is not a RT function

 

Suggestion

 

RightStrength(2),

 

try 2 put 2 and U'll have 2 wait 2 bars instead of 3

 

**************************

 

The PPivot function returns the value of a pivot point and the number of bars ago the pivot occurred.

 

RightStrength

 

Numeric

 

Sets the required number of bars on the right side of the pivot bar.

 

*************************************

 

aaa

 

*************************

 

PS I'm wondering how 2 trade if we have 2 wait 3 bars (45 mns delay in your resolution) 2 have a signal ?!

 

Same problem with Carter scalper

 

After Observing during a long time a market, we can visualy anticipate a divergence with prior signs

 

IMO it's interesting 2 put an order at The anticipated level at the opposite of the trend (A kangourou tail where traders changing position)

and after waiting 4 a div or any kind of other confirmation

or exit with a quick profit

 

If it works, it's like a lift rocket !

 

But it is risky Bcoz we can get killed many times B4 it works

 

And then

 

A traders enters after, when the divergence signal is confirmed

 

B There is a DT/DB and it was an 2 early entry

 

C Or the trend keep going and the stop is reached

 

Not easy

 

At the end it's a matter of observation and intuitive quick decision + strong stomach

 

********************************

 

On your graph we can C

 

a kangourou trail ( in fact 1 + 1 the second one killed the first one)

 

a lift rocket

 

DB with certainly a divergence

 

and then the trend changes at the broken line where there was certainly a lot of stop buy orders above

 

So what should we do after 1:00 AM ?

 

Take profit ?

 

Trust in the hidden div and hold our position ?

Edited by aaa

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I've been using the divergence as the first trigger followed by a trend change (ttm trend) as confirmation. I finally noticed on the higher time frames (hourly, daily) that the trigger was way to slow.

 

I use the 15min, 1hr, etc as a signal for the direction I want to trade in and use a 3 min chart for entry.

 

I'll try changing the right strength to 2, why not use 1?

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I'll try changing the right strength to 2, why not use 1?

 

Put 3 charts on the same screen

 

Put right strength to 1

 

Put right strength to 2

 

Put right strength to 3

 

in each screen

 

and choose the one which suits U best

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I was being fictitious on the rightstrenth of 1.

 

Is it possible to have the indicator plot the divergence line, even though you have to wait the 3 bars for confirmation.

 

For example, TTM Trend for example will paint the current bar the anticipated colour before the bar closes. Would that be possible for this indicator where it plots the potential divergence as its happening rather than after the fact?

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What is the Tradestation equivalent for TL_New ( I assume this is an array or variable for the new "reverse divergent" trendline to be plotted next... but is undefined and therefore unrecognized in TS.

 

snowbird

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What is the Tradestation equivalent for TL_New ( I assume this is an array or variable for the new "reverse divergent" trendline to be plotted next... but is undefined and therefore unrecognized in TS.

 

snowbird

 

press the [F1] key and see...

 

TL_NEW is available in recent releases of TradeStation, but not in the older version (eg. T2000).

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Would that be possible for this indicator where it plots the potential divergence as its happening rather than after the fact?

 

With pivot function, I'm afraid that not less than 1 bar on the right side of the pivot bar...

 

The Pivot function returns the value of a pivot point and the number of bars ago the pivot occurred.

 

RightStrength = Sets the required number of bars on the right side of the pivot bar.

 

********************************

 

But keep "optimistic", as TAMS wrote ;)

 

anything is POSSIBLE

 

if you can visualize it, quantify it, articulate it, you can code it.

Edited by aaa

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    • Date: 3rd April 2025.   Gold Prices Pull Back After Record High as Traders Eye Trump’s Tariffs.   Key Takeaways:   Gold prices retreated after hitting a record high of $3,167.57 per ounce due to profit-taking. President Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all US imports, escalating trade tensions. Gold remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Investors await US non-farm payroll data for further market direction. Fed rate cut bets and weaker US Treasury yields underpin gold’s bullish outlook. Gold Prices Retreat from Record Highs Amid Profit-Taking Gold prices saw a pullback on Thursday as traders opted to take profits following a historic surge. Spot gold declined 0.4% to $3,122.10 per ounce as of 0710 GMT, retreating from its fresh all-time high of $3,167.57. Meanwhile, US gold futures slipped 0.7% to $3,145.00 per ounce, reflecting broader market uncertainty over economic and geopolitical developments.   The recent rally was largely fueled by concerns over escalating trade tensions after President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping new import tariffs. The 10% baseline tariff on all goods entering the US further deepened the global trade conflict, intensifying investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, as traders locked in gains from the surge, prices saw a modest retracement.   Trump’s Tariffs and Their Market Implications On Wednesday, Trump introduced a sweeping tariff policy imposing a 10% baseline duty on all imports, with significantly higher tariffs on select nations. While this move was aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing, it sent shockwaves across global markets, fueling inflation concerns and heightening trade war fears.   Gold’s Role Amid Trade War Escalations Despite the widespread tariff measures, the White House clarified that reciprocal tariffs do not apply to gold, energy, and ‘certain minerals that are not available in the US’. This exemption suggests that central banks and institutional investors may continue favouring gold as a hedge against economic instability. One of the key factors supporting gold is the slowdown that these tariffs could cause in the US economy, which raises the likelihood of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Gold is currently in a pure momentum trade. Market participants are on the sidelines and until we see a significant shakeout, this momentum could persist.   Impact on the US Dollar and Bond Yields Gold prices typically move inversely to the US dollar, and the latest developments have pushed the dollar to its weakest level since October 2024. Market participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut, as the tariffs could weigh on economic growth.   Additionally, US Treasury yields have plummeted, reflecting growing recession fears. Lower bond yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it a more attractive investment.         Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Gold’s recent rally has pushed it into overbought territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70. This indicates a potential short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The immediate support level lies at $3,115, aligning with the Asian session low. A further decline could bring gold towards the $3,100 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong support zone. Below this, the $3,076–$3,057 region represents a critical weekly support range where buyers may re-enter the market. In the event of a more significant correction, $3,000 stands as a major psychological floor.   On the upside, gold faces immediate resistance at $3,149. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially leading to a retest of the record high at $3,167. If bullish momentum persists, the next target is the $3,200 psychological barrier, which could pave the way for further gains. Despite the recent pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, with dips likely to be viewed as buying opportunities.   Looking Ahead: Non-Farm Payrolls and Fed Policy Traders are closely monitoring Friday’s US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves. A weaker-than-expected jobs report may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut, further boosting gold prices.   Other key economic data releases, such as jobless claims and the ISM Services PMI, may also impact market sentiment in the short term. However, with rising geopolitical uncertainties, trade tensions, and a weakening US dollar, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains strong.   Conclusion: While short-term profit-taking may trigger minor corrections, gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish. As global trade tensions mount and the Federal Reserve leans toward a more accommodative stance, gold could see further gains in the months ahead.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Andria Pichidi HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • AMZN Amazon stock, nice buying at the 187.26 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMZN
    • DELL Dell Technologies stock, good day moving higher off the 90.99 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?DELL
    • MCK Mckesson stock, nice trend and continuation breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?MCK
    • lmfx just officially launched their own LMGX token, Im planning to grab a couple of hundred and maybe have the option to stake them. 
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