Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

thalestrader

The Race

Recommended Posts

Regretfully, I have decided to withdraw from The Race. My trading results are my responsibility, but so are my decisions concerning the environment I trade in, and I do feel as if my participation in The Race was causing me to focus more on dollar results, participants' standings in The Race, etc. rather than on good, systematic trading.

 

I wish the very best trading to all who continue in The Race. I really would like to see someone achieve this competition's stated goal!

 

Best regards,

FX Cowboy

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
With most racers crashing or being sideswiped... I think the Race has demonstrated that goals must be believable... and that psychology trumps system.

 

I think for a competition like this to be legitimate, there would need to be some sort of criteria/screening process for participants.

 

I think if there were some rule that only wildly successful traders, with stratospheric performance track records and at least $10+ million net worths (from trading) could participate, the competition would be a lot different.

 

I don't mean to offend anyone...I don't know anyone here's story, really...but I was just thinking about this because if a lot of people like me got on here and gave this a shot...people who haven't even made a $1 mil before in their lives (yet ;))...it's not really a fair representation of what's possible/acheivable by top traders.

 

:2c:

 

PS: I wish sicktrader would step up his level of participation...he claims to have done this before multiple times!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

When I first saw this thread, I knew with 100% certainty that no one would succeed because I've tried it before and learned that it was impossible/couldn't be done...by anyone.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
When I first saw this thread, I knew with 100% certainty that no one would succeed because I've tried it before and learned that it was impossible/couldn't be done...by anyone.

 

just because you have tried it and failed,

then it is impossible/couldn't be done... by anyone.

 

Brilliant !

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
just because you have tried it and failed,

then it is impossible/couldn't be done... by anyone.

 

Brilliant !

 

Just to be clear...I was being sarcastic/mocking the naysayers. ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
When I first saw this thread, I knew with 100% certainty that no one would succeed because I've tried it before and learned that it was impossible/couldn't be done...by anyone.

 

It is very hard to do, but you are 1000% wrong when you say it cannot be done.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I think the thread exposed the bark from the bite.

 

If this thread started with 1000 traders with +-$2000 accounts and each took trades opposite to the next guy, and stayed in the trade until one of their accounts was drained to zero, the the feat of a trader reaching $1 million would be achieved in approx. 10 trades or less. There would be only one trader who achieves the goal. But, the goal would be achieved with absolute certainty.

 

The only unknown would be who that winning trader would be.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
When I first saw this thread, I knew with 100% certainty that no one would succeed because I've tried it before and learned that it was impossible/couldn't be done...by anyone.

 

I think it's kind of funny/interesting that the sarcasm wasn't detected in my post...

 

There are so many bitter losers roaming these forums (more at ET) that really DO have the attitude of my post, that when I say something as negative/ridiculous/extreme as a I did, it is assumed that I'm serious rather than sarcastic!!! :rofl:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

While I enjoyed watching the race from the sidelines, as I said at the beginning - this goal was very unrealistic on such small trading accounts. IMO it was not in the spirit of trading but a casino if you wanted to possibly reach the target.

 

It's disappointing that many just kinda disappeared or had other business interests to attend to. Some of you guys hate when I say this, but I think it does stress to be careful who you take advice from as well on forums. If they are trading part-time or as a hobby, that's a little different than someone who does this for a living.

 

:2c:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Brownsfan, I am curious.

Would it have been any different if it were just "The Race" instead of "The Race to the Million" ?

 

I mean, if all were just to do the best trading they could over a specific time period ... not trying to reach the million, but just competing with, inspiring and holding each other accountable for discipline.

 

What if The Race had winners in various categories, like Sharpe Ratio, Overall Equity Curve, Best Comeback from Drawdown, Most Disciplined, etc.

 

:confused:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
While I enjoyed watching the race from the sidelines, as I said at the beginning - this goal was very unrealistic on such small trading accounts. IMO it was not in the spirit of trading but a casino if you wanted to possibly reach the target.

 

I don't know why there's suddenly a glut of posts in the past tense. Did I miss the post where the race ended? That would be a shame.

 

Secondly, from the inaugural post:

 

It is admittedly an extremely difficult task. None of us has need to hear from anyone just how difficult it is. I would ask that spectators refrain from the usual warnings, cautions, insults, etc. and so on to which threads such as this typically give rise

 

Can we not respect this request? I would not expect the results of a competition like this to reflect anyone's normal trading, so all of this talk in recent posts about "ugly truths" is really out of place. You don't turn $3k into $1003k by being conservative. You don't do it in the same way you turn $20k into $25k to grind out a living. Obviously not! So why is it even worth discussing? One could argue that if you don't blow up at least once you are doing it wrong :haha:

 

People that enter the race without understanding that will get a lesson more valuable than the $3k they put at risk, so there's really no way to lose, except by being a naysaying bystander.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Brownsfan, I am curious.

Would it have been any different if it were just "The Race" instead of "The Race to the Million" ?

 

I mean, if all were just to do the best trading they could over a specific time period ... not trying to reach the million, but just competing with, inspiring and holding each other accountable for discipline.

 

What if The Race had winners in various categories, like Sharpe Ratio, Overall Equity Curve, Best Comeback from Drawdown, Most Disciplined, etc.

 

:confused:

 

That's what the P/L thread is for. You can post what you want, no pressures to meet a random objective, etc.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The race is fun, its highly likely (but not impossible) to achieve the end goal, and will attract people with more bark than bite, will attract all the naysayers.....blah blah

 

I think it has been mentioned before, and the racers that have dropped out have pretty much given the reason why they are dropping out....

 

Focus.

 

I could not enter a race such as this as it sidetracks my focus and would cause me to deviate from my plans and second guess them. A few of the drop outs seemed to imply this happened to them.

 

While its great and I applaud the idea and the participants - possibly a race to a SIM based $1 million from $3000 might mean that it can still be shown its possible, without the worry about the focus deviating from the actual focus to make money on whatever amount you are actually trading. It could be by invite only to stop every tom dick and harry (and people can still choose to use real money if they like)

 

Call me old fashioned but such a small difference might make it more possible. Off course the money is not real, but the lessons will be. There are not many people who can make money trading as it is, and even fewer who can turn 3000 into 1m

:2c:

(ps this is not sarcastic, critical of anyone, or anything else....just a suggestion)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If this thread started with 1000 traders with +-$2000 accounts and each took trades opposite to the next guy, and stayed in the trade until one of their accounts was drained to zero, the the feat of a trader reaching $1 million would be achieved in approx. 10 trades or less. There would be only one trader who achieves the goal. But, the goal would be achieved with absolute certainty.

 

The only unknown would be who that winning trader would be.

 

In theory you may be right - but in practice my point is: NO ONE will do it because they will not have the gumption to stick to the rules. Especially when they are up 6 big figures ... Ouch wouldn't want to see the drawdown.

 

My experience with trading suggests that I do well when I am in the right frame of mind to just trade my rules and be okay with what the results are. When I am nervous or try to "predict" ... forgedaboudit.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
..... possibly a race to a SIM based $1 million from $3000 might mean that it can still be shown its possible, ....

 

SIM race would be okay ONLY IF you could have realistic entries and exits. Butmost or all SIM actually allows you to gain the bid-ask spread which is a huge benefit. When I am practicing a setup I either ONLY use market orders for SIM or only enter/exit after my price has been exceeded by 1 tick.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I don't know why there's suddenly a glut of posts in the past tense. Did I miss the post where the race ended?

 

well... to have a race you need more than 1 competitor. Most of the guys/gals have dropped out and the others are not trading as they are busy in their normal lives.

 

I for one, hope that it gets going again

Edited by bakrob99

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It certainly looks as though the field has dwindled considerably over the last week. From what I see, it would seem that only Attila is still actively in the running.

 

Hey Sicko! Where did you go? I figured if anyone would keep to the course it would be you!

 

I intended to run the entire twenty weeks, but other demands have been placed upon me that were not at all anticipated and which I still find quite surprising. For a long time, it was my normal life to trade from September through May, and then be involved during my business's strong season from May through September. Then I made other arrangements during 2006-7 which removed me from my day to day responsibilities to the company. A perfect storm of slow economy, low staffing levels, and, now, an unforseen and sudden flurry of new demand has once again brought me into the day to day. We are so busy that I am in fact working the entire day today, Saturday, something which I haven't done in years! But you do what is demanded of you when the demand is there.

 

At any rate, I am still considering funding a small stock account in order to resume my participation at a minimal level. I am thinking, however, that given the leverage restrictions of stocks and options, that a 3K max is not workable. Does anyone have any objections to allowing a larger max for a non-futures, non-forex, non-insane leveraged, plain vanilla equities and equity options account? I figure I would start it at 5K, but would like the option of bringing it up to 25K.

 

Anyway, for anyone who still is in The Race, send me a PM with closing equity. I will be out tomorrow and then on the road much of next week, so the next update will likely be a summary of this past week's activity and next week's as well.

 

Happy Father's Day to the dads among us!

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 22nd January 2025.   Netflix Earnings Surge Driving the NASDAQ to Monthly Highs!   The NASDAQ increases in value for a fourth consecutive day, gaining momentum after Netflix stocks rise more than 15%. Earnings reports are gaining speed for the technology sector, but why has Netflix stocks seen such a high and sudden rise in demand? Netflix Stocks Increase 15% Supporting the NASDAQ! Netflix stocks have been one of the best-performing stocks within the NASDAQ, rising more than 79% in 12 months. However, even for Netflix, a 15% rise in less than 24 hours is considered substantial. The quarterly earnings report was made public by Netflix after the market closed on Tuesday. The earnings report confirmed the following: Netflix beat their earnings per share expectations - $4.27 reported vs $4.21 expectations. Netflix’s revenue surpasses the previous quarter - $10.25 billion this quarter vs $9.82 billion in the previous quarter. The online streaming company confirms projects to expand into live sport and event streaming will proceed. In addition to this, the company’s forward guidance for 2025 remains positive. Netflix is the 10th most influential company for the NASDAQ meaning the positive earnings data and bullish price movement supports the overall price of the NASDAQ. In addition to this, the positive earnings improve the sentiment towards the entire US technology sector. Investors will now turn their attention to the quarterly earnings report for Intuitive Surgical. Intuitive Surgical stocks on Tuesday rose 1.94%. How is the Economy And Politics Affecting the NASDAQ?     The US stock market is witnessing an upward correction after struggling in the last weeks of 2024. The bullish price movement is a result of a sharp decline in bond yields, the new US administration and earnings season. Investors remain relieved that bond yields have fallen back down from the 5.00% level. If bond yields continue to decline further, particularly below 4.50%, the move would be deemed as positive for the US stock market. President Trump took office on Monday and so far the pro-US rhetoric from the President, Vice President and Secretary of State continues to support the stock market. So far, the main concern is how upcoming tariffs can negatively affect inflation and growth. However, some economists advise tariffs will become the “norm” and may have a lesser effect compared to 2018. However, this is something traders will continue to evaluate and monitor. The VIX this morning fell 0.83% lower and trades more than 5.70% lower over a 7-days. The lower VIX indicates a higher risk appetite towards the stock market. If the VIX continues to decline a strong buy indication may materialize. On the most influential stocks for the NASDAQ, 82% rose in value on Tuesday. However, Apple stocks, the most impactful stock, fell 3.19% due to poor sell data. If Apple stocks continue to decline, the NASDAQ’s upward trend may come under strain. In the meantime, investors over the next week will continue to monitor upcoming earnings reports. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis The price of the index is trading significantly higher than all Moving Averages on a 2-hour timeframe and relatively high on oscillators. These factors indicate that buyers are controlling the order book. However, price action also confirms the latest impulse wave measures 3.43% which is normally the point at which the index retraces. This is something that investors may also consider. The retracement potentially also may be triggered by Netflix buyers quickly selling to cash in profit after the sudden 15% bullish surge. If a retracement does indeed form, price action and the 75-period EMA indicates that the pullback may drop as low as $21,391.30.     Key Takeaways: The NASDAQ increases in value for a fourth consecutive day, but price action signals a possible retracement before continuing its bullish trend. Netflix stocks increase more than 15% due to strong earnings data. Netflix beat earnings and revenue expectations by 1.39% and confirmed projects to add live sports streaming to its platforms. The VIX trades more than 5.70% lower over a 7-days and US Bond Yields remain at recent lows. On the most influential stocks for the NASDAQ, 82% rose in value on Tuesday. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • DASH DoorDash stock, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?DASH
    • SYF Synchrony Financial stock with a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?SYF
    • RKLB Rocket Labstock, big rally off support and breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?RKLB
    • RDW Redwire stock, what a launch off the 14.16 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?RDW
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.