Contrarian Trading with Price Action

[Nial Fuller 10]

Forex markets are inherently contrarian. This means that they are regressive and have a natural tendency to pull back to the mean price. This is a big reason why so many beginning traders lose all their trading money and give up. The fact is that most of the time when it feels safe to enter the market it is probably not. When a move in the market is greatly extended in one direction and looks like it will keep going this is usually the exact time it is about to fall back and correct itself. This extension also happens to be the time most beginning traders tend to enter the market. It often takes months or years of losing money before traders learn that they have to wait patiently for the market to contract before entering, and many traders give up before they finally realize this truth.

 

Most indicator based trading systems simply do not work in strongly trending markets. They will give you a sell signal long after a market has started correcting back down and the correction is almost over. Sometimes they give you a sell signal at the very time the correction is over and you should be looking to get long again, or vice versa. If you know how to tell based off pure price movement when a market is exhausted or when it is ready to break out then you have the keys to building a highly profitable and consistent trading method.

 

Price action analysis is the best technique for learning to profit from the forex market. There are usually tell-tale signs a market is ready to correct or the trend is ready to resume that are readily apparent through the analysis of price action. All you really need to know are a few simple patterns and basic chart support, resistance, and trend lines and you have enough information to put together a profitable trading method. Some people try to program indicators and even develop new ones because they mistakenly believe if they put more math and study into their trading technique they will be further ahead of other traders. This simply is false. While you do need some sort of education in technical analysis and price action, it doesn’t need to be complicated or involve programming expert advisers and other fancy non-sense.

 

Once you develop a keen eye for price action setups you will be able to tell if it’s unsafe to enter a trend or that the trend is ready to resume. It’s all right there on the chart, you just need to be shown the way by someone who has walked in your shoes and made it down the path to trading success. Price action can be a great aid to developing your discipline in the market and shaping a relevant market perspective. If you are just starting out and this is one of the first trading articles you have read than I strongly urge you to check out an education in price action. Go to YouTube and type in “forex price action” or “forex price action strategies” and see if you like what you find; there are many good free sources of price action information on the internet. Price action analysis has been the key to my success in the markets and I hope it will be the key to yours.

 

Nial Fuller is an expert on price action forex trading strategies, you can visit his website at Learn To Trade The Market