Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

robynvd

what to do tommorow

Recommended Posts

Hi

Last week the EUR/USD and GDP/USD where are there highst point since I start trading. The USD/JPY standing low.

What must i do monday .... must i wait to buy ore sell.

 

Greetings

Robyn

Belgium

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You must do whatever your strat or trading plans tell you to do when you arrive at the screen Monday morning.

 

If you switch on tomorrow morning, observe the price action & still have to ask yourself that question, then it's apparent you don't possess any kind of plan or template for observing your chosen market?

 

You don't of course have to do anything tomorrow!

 

There are 3 positions when trading: Long, Short & Flat.

 

If nothing's setting up - then do nothing.

 

Wait until the market signals you in via your strategy for a specific event.

 

Sometimes the best position to take is no position at all ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

What to do tomorrow? I wish I knew for sure, but I don't. From the reading I've done the dollar my drop further, and it may drop a lot further. So I'd guess someone will try to make it an orderly decline which might cause it to go up...... In other words trying to anticipate what the dollar will do will do might be an act of frustration. I trade gold stocks and they usually move against the dollar. I loaded up on Friday and we will see how it works out. Most think the dollar will go down and the market has a nasty habit of making fools out of the most. But I'm playing a weaker dollar for now. This is pretty much in line with what most are saying about the dollar,

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/25/business/worldbusiness/25dollar.html

Good luck to everyone.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi

Last week the EUR/USD and GDP/USD where are there highst point since I start trading. The USD/JPY standing low.

What must i do monday .... must i wait to buy ore sell.

 

Greetings

Robyn

Belgium

 

Hi Robyn,

 

Here's my analysis for the EC (Euro), FWIW. Note that I trade the CME Currency and not Forex. The EC finally broke out of a long, 7-month trading range (see chart). Anyone that bought before the breakout is now in the black, so I expect the upper bracket limit around 1.2950 to be strong support. The EC formed new price highs and a new oscillator high, which together indicates a new momentum high. One principle that I follow is that momentum precedes price, so I expect higher highs on the EC. That means I will have a long bias on the EC, and would not plan on going short unless the EC re-enters the bracket (i.e., a false breakout). On Friday, the EC broke out of its trading range and started to rotate, forming a small balance area and gaining acceptance at the new higher prices (see second chart). My trade strategy would be to go long around the POC at 1.3100, if the EC opens above the POC, or around the lower bracket limit at 1.3070. I would also go long if the EC trades above the balance area that formed on Friday around 1.3130. If the EC starts to penetrate the single prints, I would monitor market internals for weakness (e.g. a divergence) to position a long trade. However, if my stop is too far away from my entry according to my risk parameters, I would let the trade go. There is no way of telling where within the single prints the EC may stop and reverse. What I do not want to see is the EC retrace all of the single prints, because that would be at least short-term bearish. Anyway, this is my trading model. Hope this helps.

EC.thumb.GIF.1d926df1797c2de618314f2a0fe2a9f7.GIF

ES-MP.thumb.GIF.0ee1d26a643f2610ca98e8895ea3a4ab.GIF

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The EC gapped up 75 ticks/pips and then closed the gap around 4am EST, stopping at Friday's POC around 1.3100 (see chart). This level remains a key reference point since it contains Friday's POC and single prints/low volume from today's trading. Today's POC/high volume node and the upper bracket limit around 1.3175 are also reference points for the next trading sessions. My bias is still to the long side for the EC.

EC.GIF.203b60af3fc7d954589984f459c035c5.GIF

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The Euro (EC) broke out of a long trading range on 11/22 and has been trending with shorter-term balance areas forming with higher value (see chart). Notice how balance and imbalance occurs on all timeframes. When in an uptrend, as the EC is currently in, I choose to only trade breakouts (long trades only) from the small balance areas that form. Also note what a trend looks like in a Market Profile graphic, i.e. nodes forming at higher levels as the market trends with single prints/low volume areas forming from range extension. These high volume nodes and low volume areas provide excellent support levels in trending markets. The traders job now is to be alert for the end of the trend. For now, the EC is trending and I still have a long bias. The second chart shows the trading range from where the EC broke out. Notice that momentum is starting to slow a bit in the EC, but I'm still expecting higher highs. One thing I'm trying to improve in my currency trading is holding for longer periods while the trend is intact as opposed to closing trades at the end of a day or two.

EC.thumb.GIF.24dc2e17fb37c1a75f917aa1acd32fd7.GIF

EC-Daily.thumb.GIF.2bba6ab3cdd65a7f463bd7472d3b5e4a.GIF

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • INO Inovio Pharmaceuticals stock, holding strong, watch for a bottom breakout above 2.36 at https://stockconsultant.com/?INO
    • Date: 21st February 2025.   European PMI Disappoint, Weighing on Euro Before German Elections   The Euro is the first currency to witness the volatility on this month’s PMI reports. The French, German and British PMI data have resulted in the Euro being the worst-performing currency of the European Session so far. However, will the Euro continue to decline throughout the day? European Purchasing Managers’ Indexes The French Purchasing Managers Index was the first European index to be made public. The release resulted in the Euro instantly declining 0.24%. The main concern from the French data was the Services PMI which fell from 48.2 to 44.5. Previously the market was expecting the data to remain more or less unchanged. The weak data triggered the decline which came to a halt after Germany’s PMI was released.     The German Manufacturing PMI read 0.5 points higher than previous expectations and the Services PMI was 0.2 points lower. The data from Germany was a relief for Euro investors and the price rose 0.12% higher. However, traders should note that the price of the EURUSD continues to remain 0.20% lower than yesterday’s close. The price of the EURUSD will now depend on the PMI data from the US. The value of the US Dollar will depend on its PMI release this afternoon and the Consumer Sentiment Index. Analysts expect both the US Services and Manufacturing PMI data to remain above the 50.00 level in the expansion zone. German Elections 2 Days Away Germany is set to hold a general election this Sunday, February 23rd, following the collapse of the coalition of social democrats, liberals, and greens. Given the country's highly proportional electoral system, German polls provide a strong indication of potential government formations post-election. The main concern for Germany is the AFD party who are Far-Right Nationalists. Currently, ahead in the polls are CDU (centre-right), and AFD (far right), followed by the SPD (centre-left). Traders should note that the results of the elections are likely to trigger strong volatility on Monday, but also influence volatility today. Economists may become further concerned if the far-right gains power for the first time due to uncertainty. If the government, similar to France, is unable to form a coalition, this would also be a concern for the Eurozone. Furthermore, the Euro this week is also under pressure from comments from members of the European Central Bank. ECB Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said to journalists that officials need not slow interest rate cuts, as January's 2.5% inflation is still expected to reach the 2.0% target this year. He also advised the European economy is weaker than previously expected. EURUSD - Technical Analysis and Indicators The EURUSD is trading above the 75-bar Exponential Moving Average and 100-bar Simple Moving Average on the 2-hour chart. However, the price is moving away from the key resistance level at 1.05058 indicating the price is losing momentum. The short-term volatility is indicating the price is retracing downwards. On the 5-minute timeframe, the price is trading below the 200-bar SMA and is also forming clear lower lows and highs. Simultaneously, the US Dollar Index is trading above the 200-bar SMA on the 5-minute chart confirming no current conflicts. Currently, the US Dollar is the best-performing currency of the day attempting to regain losses from the past 2 weeks. Watch today’s Live Analysis Session for more signals as they develop!   Key Takeaway Points: Weak French Services PMI triggered an initial Euro decline, but German PMI provide a slight relief. However, EURUSD remains lower than yesterday’s close. The Euro’s direction now depends on the US PMI reports, with analysts expecting US data to stay in expansion territory. Sunday's German election could drive volatility, especially if the far-right AFD gains power or if coalition formation proves difficult. ECB official Fabio Panetta suggested no need to slow rate cuts, citing weaker-than-expected economic performance and expected inflation decline. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • BE Bloom Energy stock, watch for a range breakout, target 34 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?BE
    • APLD Applied Digital stock. nice rally, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?APLD
    • UAL United Airlines stock, watch for a narrow range breakout, target 122 area at https://stockconsultant.com/?UAL
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.