Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Anna-Maria

Week 48

Recommended Posts

You got your spies out buddy? ;) LOL.

 

LOL! We just had to follow the trail of Jimmy Choo's. LOL!

 

 

I'll leave all the debating to those who have the time to study it ;) December is the month to crank up the credit card a/c - the more $$'s which hit the a/c, the more Jimmy Choo's I can snaffle LOL.

 

Right on! I find it interesting to read what they have to say, but have learned the hard way that they know no more about what the market will do than the rest of us. I've observed that those who follow the herd through close price action observations will almost always be the most successful. Those who make wild speculations based on fundamentals alone will find the road rather bumpy.

 

Thanks for your comments. I'll throw a load of Jimmy Choo's your way in return. ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's not difficult to see why the Buck is getting slapped of late, given the heavy tone of the $ Index.

 

The trading nations of the Eurozone & Japan account for approx 65% of the weighting in this basket of FX activity, with Sterling adding around 12%...& the directional bias (particularly as it encounters key s&r levels) of the Index can add credance to your analysis when looking to weigh up continuation/reversal possibilities at key levels.

 

It's hotting up at a couple of these lower levels & the closing ticks will certainly be on the radar of the big swing players - especially as the Euro & Cable are nudging their current (prev) resistance barriers.

 

Yen is also on the trot, attacking the early Sept resistance zones around 115.80-116.

 

115.50 is the 38% zone of the early summer move from 109 to 120, & should that level give way, it opens up the Aug 4 lows @ 114.0

 

These levels offer some pretty decent opportunities into years end if the Index pops thru & backs further away from these near term supports.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=308&stc=1&d=1164307804

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=310&stc=1&d=1164308412

index1.gif.59d37fc3228bec2032dd204a935448c7.gif

index3.gif.3fb4603ac54cc7e5caeee8c8ae975fe8.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That's a cool entry torero :)

 

The 15m higher low & accompanying bar prints at the half prime sure speak the same language around your entry too, with good r/r.

 

I got today's S1 down below most of the y'days activity, further confirming the upside continuation potential thru the Tokyo action.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=311&stc=1&d=1164356238

gbp22.gif.33488bbae3123f35365fb4e4129d2f84.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thanks, tex, that means alot to me coming from a vet like yourself!

 

I try to keep the lowest timeframe at 15min, I feel anything below that is noise, but I could be wrong. I feel getting in at quiet area is best (even in pullbacks) so 15min is fairly reasonable frame don't you think?

 

I've been watching the triangle brewing and wasn't sure when it was going to pop but I figured London may push it higher seeing it only needs a little nudge with good volume to break it higher.

 

Not bad for a beginner eh?! :0) I'm hoping the beginner luck will stay!!! :D

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Triangle target reached and taking profits here just as it bounced from 9350. I guess Tokyo wants to close out the weekend with a bang. I'll take it. Have a nice holidays all and see ya monday! Thanks again tex!

 

NEWBIE-TRADER-GBPUSD-2006-11-20-LONG-EXIT-9336-triangle-target-reached.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Not bad for a beginner eh?! :0) I'm hoping the beginner luck will stay!!! :D

 

Ohhhh, I think your understanding & appreciation of price action is a few notches higher than a mere beginner!! ;)

 

Price action is price action is price action...no matter the candidate/instrument class. Like I said prev: Instrument familiarization is obviously key in determining progression, but if a trader has the raw ingredients in his bag, it's merely a case of concocting a new menu with the basic materials :)

 

I agree, the higher timeframes certainly offer a clearer view of the landscape. The lower frames, when used in tandem, are helpful in offering maybe a more precise trigger execution.

 

15m is a happy medium for sure, although I do on occasion drill down to the 5 to take a peek every now & then.

 

I guess everyone finds their own comfort zones according to the current layout etc. There's no right or wrong - just whatever works for you!

 

Nice trade to end the week with though huh? Good stuff!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I've been asked whether I refer to any of the other Fibs numbers apart from the favored 78.6, which has cropped up in a few graph examples used to illustrate my set-ups/triggers.

 

Sure, I use them as reference points. Not particularly as triggers or sole means of trade decisions, merely as additional aids to refer to. I like to see how price behaves on or around levels which harbour these % lines, especially if they rest at Big Figures or secondary round numbers (50's).

 

The "full set" are primarily plotted from the Larger Frames: Weekly/Daily & those levels transferred down to the 240/60m templates which form the basis of my entries, profit paring, compounding & exits.

 

Some folks like them, others dismiss them as mere coincidences - and I guess if you draw enough lines from the various high-low pressure points at the swing levels, you're bound to get some which "fit" :)

 

Which is why I prefer to plot the complete set from extreme levels via the larger timeframe references. Over the years, they've consistantly hit on enough zones of activity for me to at least consider these area's as valid markers on the technical landscape.

 

I'll generally only eyeball the 78.6 number on the smaller swing zones as it pressures that particular level, but the others sit on my focus frames (60/240m) from the larger levels to offer a secondary confirmer.

 

If price decides to go on a run, more often than not they'll stall or react to

one or more of the big Fib lines, as is the case with this current Franc trade.

 

Coincidence?? maybe - but I'm not too bothered either way. I'm not concerned with delving into the why's & wherefor's or wasting my energies on digging deep into the magic of the ratio's....they react often enough for me to observe them. Our folks & their colleagues have used them for years & they're still trading...that'll do for me!

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=312&stc=1&d=1164394793

swiss7.gif.ccdfef4016121b66b46ebcc0d0261df4.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Amazing! I think only a few people use 78.6 and 21.4. I was introduced to this # by my mentor and it was very exiciting to watch. But it's true, they don't mean anything unless price action treat it with respect. So it's there but no telling if price action will pay attention to it or not.

 

A correction is in order, I actually had expected the triangle pattern target at 9250 not 9350. I only set my stop loss when I stepped out for a while. So it was a positive surprise to find it was hitting 9350 and not 9250. I don't expect 2cents runs like this everyday in such a short time. So I'll take it as special christmas present.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Thx for reminding us... I don't bang that drum often enough anymore Another part for consideration is who that money initially went to...
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.