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By HFblogNews · Posted
Date: 18th March 2025. Will Gold Continue Its Bullish Trend or Is Buying Too Risky? The price momentum of Gold will partially depend on this week’s Central Banks guidance on their monetary policy. So far, the price of Gold has risen in value due to expectations of further interest rate cuts in 2025 and recession fears. Additionally, significantly higher demand from retail investors has contributed to its upward momentum. Will Gold Maintain Momentum? In the last quarter of 2024, economists and investment banks such as Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan set a prediction that Gold will reach $3,000. The $3,000 target set by US institutions has been a key talking point. This video from early December is a key example. So far in 2025 alone, the price of Gold has risen 13.60% and more than 31% over the past 12 months. So far, the price momentum does not show signs of slowing nor is the bullish momentum triggering indications that the price is overbought. Overbought indications can be triggered through the RSI, divergence or price rejection patterns. Neither of these are currently forming. However, traders should stay vigilant, as the sharp price increase may encourage investors to capitalize on profits by selling at higher levels. XAUUSD 2-Hour Chart The Impact of This Week’s Central Banks and the Federal Reserve Meetings on Gold This week the market and Gold traders are paying close attention to the Central Bank Meetings around the globe. Particularly, traders are focusing on the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan and Swiss National Bank. One of the key reasons Gold is increasing in demand is due to the uncertainty of Trump’s trade policies, recession fears and also interest rate cuts. Nonetheless, this week the heads of the above-mentioned central banks will comment on interest rates in the foreseeable future, the state of the economy and their views on the new trade policy. If the Fed's comments on the economy remain positive and a hawkish stance is taken on rates, Gold can witness short-term pressure. Short-term pressure could trigger the instrument to form a retracement. A retracement based on the 75-period Moving Average and 100-period SMA could fall between $2,941.60 and $2,961.75. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index Meanwhile, Gold may also face pressure from the European Commission's large-scale rearmament plans, enhancing the region's investment appeal. The fiscal policy’s expansionary appeal could ignite economic growth and a lesser need for the ECB to cut its rates. Investors are also closely monitoring the German parliament's vote on a proposed €500 billion special fund aimed at infrastructure and defence projects. The higher investor sentiment can also be seen via the European stock market. The German DAX has risen 4.20% over the past week, the Euro Stoxx 50 3.00% and the IBEX by 3.06%. Therefore, the central bank’s comments on the monetary policy and the resilience of the economy can be vital for Gold. Lastly, President Trump and President Putin are also scheduled to speak later this afternoon regarding Ukraine. If the talks bear fruit the market’s higher market sentiment may also pressure Gold. XAUUSD - Technical Analysis The price action of the XAUUSD will depend on this week’s events and the US Dollar Index. Currently, the US Dollar Index is trading 0.08% higher but not high enough to pressure Gold. The VIX, a well-known risk indicator, is trading 1.10% lower which is also indicating an improved appetite so far. The latest UFTC report shows that real-money-backed bullish positions total 215.627K, compared to 33.467K for bearish positions. Over the past week, buyers reduced their contracts by 1.429K, while sellers cut theirs by 1.016K, signalling the continuation of the current trend. The asset also remains above the VWAP and with positive cumulative delta statistics. On the 2-hour chart, the price remains in the bullish zone of the RSI and the MACD. In addition to this, the price is currently trading 1.85% higher than the 75-period EMA which also indicates buyers are controlling the market. On the 3-minute timeframe, the price swings continue to form mainly higher highs and lows, as well as trade above the 200-period SMA. By evaluating this data and indications, the price keeps its bullish bias. However, if the price falls below $3,009.80, indications in the short term may change. Key Takeaway Points: Gold’s Momentum: Gold has surged 13.6% in 2025, driven by interest rate cut expectations, recession fears, and strong retail demand. Central Banks’ Impact: This week’s Fed, BoJ, BoE, and SNB meetings could influence Gold, especially if a hawkish stance is taken. Particularly, if the central banks also predict a resilient economy. Technical Strength: Gold remains in a bullish trend with no overbought signals, but traders should watch for potential retracements. Geopolitical Factors: European rearmament plans and Trump-Putin talks may impact Gold’s demand and market sentiment. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
The democratic party is now purposefully controlled by an extremely radical 10% of the membership... So ... “follow the money” - above the surface you’ll find all the distorted screamers and ‘woke’ corporate fascists , near the surface disturbed technocratic ‘billionaires’, and in the depths you’ll find the CCP ... which is voraciously buying as many politicians as possible... Gave In Newsom is prime example... he will now temporarily move to the center or wherever the CCP tells him to move, but make no mistake he’s itching to resume his failed extreme policies.. more and more governmental capture of capital, etc etc - all of which serve nothing but damage to an aging republic... just sayin' -
By Stocks4life · Posted
AMD Advanced Micro Devices stock watch, attempting to move higher off the 97.42 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMD -
By HFblogNews · Posted
Date: 17th March 2025. A Key Week For Central Bank: Bank Of Japan and JPY In Focus! The market finds itself in a week full of central bank decisions which is likely to create plenty of volatility. This includes the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. Analysts expect all central banks to keep their interest rates unchanged except for the Swiss National Bank. Of the related currencies the best performing in 2025 so far remains the Japanese Yen. CHFJPY - Can This Week’s Events Shift Momentum Back in Favor of the JPY? The Japanese Yen has been the best performing currency of 2025 due to higher inflation, national salary increases and historic interest rate hikes. However, the currency has come under pressure from economic data weaker than previous expectations. On Monday 17th, the JPY continued to struggle. Nonetheless, most economists believe the trend remains intact and the price of the JPY remains higher than the average price of 2025 so far. A Reuters poll of top economists suggests core inflation may ease as government energy subsidies resume. However, the overall upward trend is expected to persist, allowing the Bank of Japan to maintain its tightening stance. Preliminary estimates indicate the core consumer price index will rise by 2.9%, down from 3.2%. Even with an inflation rate of 2.9%, the central bank will have the space to manoeuvre. The Japanese Yen's bullish trend has paused for now. However, buyers are awaiting comments from the Bank of Japan Governor that could reignite momentum. Japanese government bond yields show mixed signals as the Bank of Japan gears up for its next key monetary policy decision amid global uncertainties. If the BoJ continues to signal further rate hikes for the upcoming months, the JPY is likely to rise further. Swiss National Bank This morning the Swiss Franc is witnessing neither positive nor negative price movement. Most economists believe the Swiss National Bank will take another decision to cut interest rates even though there is little room left for maneuver. Most economists believe the SNB will cut 0.25% with few individuals opting for a 50 basis point cut to 0.00%. Switzerland aims to cut rates further due to low inflation, which is nearly 0.00%. According to economists, if prices do not pick up, the country may be at risk of deflation. In addition to this, Switzerland’s Gross Domestic Product growth rate has fallen to 0.2%, the lowest since 2023. If the SNB cuts more than 0.25% or indicates that the policy rate will fall to 0.00%, the CHFJPY potentially can continue to fall. For the CHFJPY, the two central bank decisions will be the key price drivers as neither economy is due to release any major economic data. Trump and President Putin's scheduled phone call tomorrow could drive market volatility, particularly impacting the safe-haven Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen. Key Takeaway Points: Key rate decisions from the Fed, BoJ, BoE, and SNB are expected, with analysts predicting no changes except for a likely rate cut from the Swiss National Bank. The Japanese Yen has led currency performance in 2025 but is facing pressure from weaker economic data. However, analysts expect the trend to remain intact. The SNB is expected to cut rates by 0.25% due to low inflation and slow GDP growth, which could weaken the CHF further. The BoJ’s rate outlook and a scheduled Trump-Putin phone call could increase volatility, especially for safe-haven currencies. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
By Stocks4life · Posted
MP Materials stock, big top of range breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?MP
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