Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

I marked three different areas on my chart today that threw me off real time. The first was in the 10:35-10:40 area. By 10:30 I thought the tape fractal had completed. 10:30, was what I believed at the time was the beginning of B2B. Looking back several bars afterwards it was easy to correct the mistake but real time, not picking the right PT3 on the Traverse or FTT on the Tape does not yield positive results.

 

Then the other area, which continues to be challenging is knowing when the VEs will end, along with the final FTT. Real Time, I believed bar 10:55 was the FTT. There were two VEs before it, volume had peaked several times, lower each time. By bar 11:00 volume began to decrease, SYM formed, and it appeared the tape fractal and traverse fractal were at a close. Was drawing in R2 at the time expecting a shift. Then, to my surprise 11:05, has increasing price and volume, heavy volume PRV. I see it getting close to the green bookmark, breaking upwards out of the SYM. At that point I thought I was wrong, and that another VE could possibly form. Does anyone know any clues that would have alerted me that 11:55 was not a FTT on that bar? By bar 11:05, where there any clues telling us that the move was at an end intra bar?

 

Also 13:05 to 13:25. Real time the build up of bars appear to create B2B on the FF tape level, which typically builds to the Tape once the prior channel has been broken. Here after what appears to be B2B, the 2R breaks back into the prior channel continuing the earlier trend. How does one handle this real time? Do you have to wait till 13:25 to reach with a reverse, or is there an earlier indicator of this failed break out?

 

I annotated a little differently that area (on your chart).

11-28-2012ESfulldaymoreannotations.jpg.0788e2a0981b74213336fceefe3ce19d.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Please post chart. Thanks

I don't use the standard annotations circulated in this thread, so posting my charts as they are would raise too many questions, maybe even confuse some readers.

 

I post only when I have something that I believe might be of use to another poster, something that doesn't cause an argument.

 

If you don't want me to comment on one of your posts, just add a note about this, or please ignore my posts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I don't use the standard annotations circulated in this thread, so posting my charts as they are would raise too many questions, maybe even confuse some readers.

 

I post only when I have something that I believe might be of use to another poster, something that doesn't cause an argument.

 

If you don't want me to comment on one of your posts, just add a note about this, or please ignore my posts.

 

The more you post the better. I am sure I speak for many.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Also 13:05 to 13:25. Real time the build up of bars appear to create B2B on the FF tape level, which typically builds to the Tape once the prior channel has been broken. Here after what appears to be B2B, the 2R breaks back into the prior channel continuing the earlier trend. How does one handle this real time? Do you have to wait till 13:25 to reach with a reverse, or is there an earlier indicator of this failed break out?

 

Hi Monkman, because the market FBO of the down RTL and closed below it, we fan the RTL. We clone a new LTL to the new actual pt2 (not geometrical pt2). When you fan a RTL you cut the previous RTL/LTL. Had you done this, you would have noticed the market again attempted to BO of the new fanned RTL with the FTP on decreasing volume. As Jack says, the second bar of the formation ( this case is a case e formation) is NOT "processed". The next bar (case j...stitch down) attempted again to BO of the RTL but reversed (creating a huge case j trapping a lot of bulls). So annotation wise, the market kept failing to BO of the RTL, so you keep fanning the RTL. hth

5aa7118673b15_fanchart.thumb.png.7c9c6192c74af067ca34a8d8c71d9ca1.png

Edited by Frontrunner

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Per Jack Hershey:

 

All inside formations have the same rules. The first bar is always processed. the second or sunsequence bar(s) is NOT processed if smaller in volume than the first. If NOT, then it is processed.

 

For out side bars, they count as two bars in a trends sequence. THe first value is done as usual. The second value is simple: it is the NEXT value in the trend sequence.

 

How does this apply to the situation highlighted in blue, and violet?

 

In the blue region, the first bar breaks out of the previous channel. Here we have what appears to be a B2B shift on the Tape fractal. The second bar forms a SYM. Then Long Stich, with several flaws following. Now, does the above quote only refer to two bar FF formations or does it also refer to laterals as well? As you can see I labeled the volume one way on the Tape level, then found that a complete cycle had formed within this lateral. Each of these bars were less than the first, so had they not been process as part of a cycle in the gaussian formation then it appears I would have missed an entire Tape. Then towards the end of the high lighted blue region, we see a break out from the lateral, and the last price leg of the Tape in the sky blue channel. Its volume bar is also less than the first. Had this not been processed it seems that it would have caused several issues.

 

With the Violet region a similar situation happen. B2B shift on the Tape fractal, SYM beginning the shift. By the third bar, at lateral forms, marked in light blue. Each bar after the SYM, is lower than the first. After the red ftt bar, had we not processed any of the volume bars lower than the start of the SYM, it appears we would have missed the B2B.

 

Am I missing something here? Could we expand on Jack's instructions with further detail, and possible examples?

 

11-29-2012ESnotes.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Attached are two documents with 2 bar internal formations but add either decreasing or increasing volume on the second bar.Here is the drill.Using Jack's "process" or "not process" rule for internal formations annotate the attached internals.One of the increasing volume internals should prove interesting to annotate on each document.

5aa71186e3f27_internalswithblackvolume.PNG.1855e8e471d53a90935ec8f74c273ad7.PNG

5aa71186ea771_internalswithredvolume.PNG.b7bee4b72cdbb5f7d4b4a845194161f7.PNG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Next we'll combine a pair of 2 bar internal formations (requiring three bars) with different combinations of volume.Here is the drill..Depending on the "processing" or "not processing" of the second bar of each 2 bar internal formation annotate the three bars.We'll start with a ftp and add a second 2 bar internal formation.

5aa71186f1777_ftpsymlatformwithvolume.PNG.f4ff2ecd29a21c0e4160fe7c424e4873.PNG

5aa71187043c0_ftpfbplatformwithvolume.PNG.f20cfe3089f90788d41f4e7ee71ed2c8.PNG

5aa711870a1c0_ftpftplatformwithvolume.PNG.6788fc6c7a4593308f4a563a9d151771.PNG

5aa711870fec1_ftpehlatformwithvolume.PNG.06536f1811c3b13663473791ba842d17.PNG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Fbp and add a second 2 bar internal formation(requiring three bars) with different volume combinations.Same drill.Annotate the three bars using jack's processing or not processing.

5aa7118715d3a_fbpsymlatformwithvolume.PNG.00c4c0ed539891ca6a95d218c6a5f00a.PNG

5aa711871c2f0_fbpfbplatformwithvolume.PNG.b4b0b3c9cd981d13983ebcb8b59830f7.PNG

5aa7118721eff_fbpftplatformwithvolume.PNG.a803cc657aa3c2faffbdb302ad9710e5.PNG

5aa7118728f3e_fbpehlatformwithvolume.PNG.41b709f1118fe06983313fc2c181fe63.PNG

Edited by patrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sym pennant and add a second 2 bar internal formation (requiring three bars) with different volume combinations.Same drill.Annotate the three bars using jack's processing or not processing.

5aa711872e9fe_symsymlatformwithvolume.PNG.f84061cfa8b68df010329f6723a7c56c.PNG

5aa7118739455_symftplatformwithvolume.PNG.c480ecf037a0e92898a653fa285481b6.PNG

5aa711873ff0e_symfbplatformwithvolume.PNG.9e2df8eb6fc4eb80202d8a57a2a8e13e.PNG

5aa71187471cf_symehlatformwithvolume.PNG.58d43733ae034acd6e023138ec6343d2.PNG

Edited by patrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Eh and add a second 2 bar internal formation (requiring three bars) with different volume combinations.Same drill.Annotate the three bars using jack's processing or not processing

5aa711874d537_ehsymlatformwithvolume.PNG.1096e4b3f7fd3405589e981e418b9eaa.PNG

5aa71187537bb_ehftplatformwithvolume.PNG.849daaa3777438b3c4878158330cb544.PNG

5aa7118759383_ehfbplatformwithvolume.PNG.6b16085ce2cdfdf82069fe0ad5e57a66.PNG

5aa711875f620_ehehlatformwithvolume.PNG.6cbad328bcca19bcae9603b35413bea2.PNG

Edited by patrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I recommend following Jack's posts, and ask him precise questions.

 

He posted this chart today:

 

 

 

 

attachment.php?s=&postid=3696148

 

Jack is way beyond my intellect. I find him very difficult to understand. Spyders charts are more legible and I can follow the fractals.

 

As far as I am aware Jack trades two bar tapes.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Jack is way beyond my intellect. I find him very difficult to understand. Spyders charts are more legible and I can follow the fractals.

 

As far as I am aware Jack trades two bar tapes.

I highlighted the FTT trades on the blowup of the RTH portion of the chart.

5aa7118919c40_302q9heannotatedFTTtrades.jpg.cd5a53c2963c7562ae263c33fd37b873.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I recommend following Jack's posts, and ask him precise questions.

 

He posted this chart today:

 

 

 

 

attachment.php?s=&postid=3696148

 

Getting an error with that link. Could you re post a direct link, I believe the one that was listed is a search link.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A small word of warning if you try this to get this to work.

 

If you are going to learn this, and I don't say you shouldn't: It's going to be a bumpy ride. Don't be blinded by the possible rewards. I don't say it cannot be done. Actually I'm convinced it can be done. I've been trying to get it for 5 years, with no results whatsoever. And be sure I am not the only alone that went that road. The ones that did get it I can count on one hand.

 

This being said: I wish everyone that undertakes this journey to have tremendous success!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here is my take on the day.

 

A re occurring question I keep asking myself is how to identify whether a RTL break should be fanned out or annotated for the formation of R2R. For example, 11:40, where we have the first break of the purple Tape on increasing volume from 11:30 to 11:40. During that bar, how do you know in the future that it will be fanned out rather than annotated for R2R? Are there any signals that suggest this failed break out beforehand? Do you have to wait for confirmation by next bar?

 

I have pointed out another example of what appears to be similar occurrences in other charts. In the 14:35-15:00, I have this labeled as decreasing black. Following PAtraders drills and Cmns2's general processing example, I have began to pay closer attention to the 2 and 3 bar combinations on how I annotate them.

 

Bar 1, 14:35, process

Bar 2, 14:40, not processed

Bar 3, 14:45, process (increasing volume, can't be b2b since Tape fractal is still on the R2R 2B phase)

Bar 4, 14:50, process (increasing volume, same as previous bar, breaks green bookmark, violates what I believe to be the brown PT3 of the Traverse, and goes back into prior channel, WTF?)(This is also in a R2R 2B trend which adds further confusion because a PT3 of a channel is not suppose to be higher than the PT1, P1 - 13:40, P2 - 14:50 ?)

Bar 5, 14:55, not processed

Bar 6, 15:00, processed (increasing volume, bar closes above green bookmark, tape fractal guassians show that we are operating in a R2R 2B trend, but price shows that its going back into the previous channel continuing the B2B 2R 2B trend, which one is right did I make a previous annotation mistake?)

Bar 7-8, not processed (price appears to be going back into brown Traverse channel)

Bar 9, processed (increasing red, possible R2R 2B (2R) part of brown traverses's tape.

 

So say you were trading this, and 13:40 was the PT3 of the traverse. Jack says that you should exit when price gets close to the green bookmark. Had you do that here, and in some of the other examples that were posted, you would have made a wash. Then you would have completely missed out of what seems to be the 2R move of the tape and traverse for tomorrow unless you entered back in at what may or may not be as good of a price point. For those of you that are trading this how would you have approach this situation? What about the annotations?

12-7-2012ESfulldayhighlights.thumb.png.782abce423cfbf979d0f84b20faca313.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • HLF Herbalife stock, watch for a bull flag breakout above 9.02 at https://stockconsultant.com/?HLF
    • Date: 1st April 2025.   Will Gold’s Rally Hold Strong as New Trade Tariffs Take Effect Tomorrow?   Gold continues to increase in value for a sixth consecutive day and is trading more than 17% higher in 2025. Amid fear of higher inflation, a recession and the tariffs war escalating investors continue to invest into Gold pushing demand higher. The trade policy from April 2nd onwards continues to be a key factor for the whole market. Can Gold maintain its upward trend? Trade Policy From Tomorrow Onwards Starting as soon as tomorrow, a 25% tariff will be imposed on all passenger cars imported into the United States. While this White House policy is anticipated to negatively affect European industrial performance, it will also lead to higher transportation and maintenance costs for everyday American taxpayers. The negative impact expected on both the EU and US is one of the reasons investors continue to buy Gold. Additionally, last month, President Donald Trump announced reciprocal sanctions against any trade partners that impose import restrictions on US goods. Furthermore, tariffs on products from Canada and the EU could increase even more if they attempt to coordinate a response. Overall, investors continue to worry that new trade barriers will prompt retaliatory measures, particularly from China, the Eurozone, and Japan. Any retaliation is likely to escalate the trade conflict and prompt another reaction from the US. Experts at Goldman Sachs and other investment banks warn that this will lead to rising inflation and unemployment. They also caution that it could effectively halt economic growth in the US.   XAUUSD 1-Hour Chart   The Weakness In The US Dollar Another factor which is allowing the price of XAUUSD to increase in value is the US Dollar which has been unable to maintain any bullish momentum. Despite last week’s Core PCE Price Index rising to its highest level since February 2024, the US Dollar has been unable to see any significant rise in value. Due to the US Dollar and Gold's inverse correlation, the price of Gold is benefiting from the Dollar weakness. Investors worry that new trade barriers will prompt retaliatory measures from China, the Eurozone, and Japan, potentially escalating the conflict. Experts at The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. believe that such actions by the US administration will drive rising inflation and unemployment while effectively halting economic growth in the country. Can Gold Maintain Momentum? When it comes to technical analysis, the price of Gold is not trading at a price where oscillators are indicating the instrument is overbought. The Relative Strength Index currently trades at 68.88, outside of the overbought area, since Gold’s price fell 0.65% during this morning’s session. However, even with this decline, the price still remains 0.40% higher than the day’s open price. In terms of fundamental analysis, there continues to be plenty of factors indicating the price could continue to rise. However, the price movement of the week will also partially depend on the employment data from the US. The US is due to release the JOLTS Job Vacancies for February this afternoon, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change tomorrow, and the NFP Change and Unemployment Rate on Friday. If all data reads higher than expectations, investors may look to sell to lock in profits at the high price. Key Takeaway Points: Gold’s Rally Continues – Up 17% in 2025 as investors seek safety from inflation, recession fears, and trade tensions. Trade War Impact – New US tariffs and potential retaliation from China, the EU, and Japan drive uncertainty, boosting Gold demand. Weak US Dollar – The Dollar’s struggle supports Gold’s rise due to their inverse correlation. Gold’s Outlook – Uptrend may continue, but US jobs data could trigger profit-taking. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 31st March 2025.   Trump Confirms Tariffs on All Countries, Sending Stocks Lower.   The NASDAQ continues to trade lower due to the US confirming the latest tariffs will be on all countries. In addition to this, bearish volatility also is largely due to the higher inflation data from Friday. The NASDAQ declines to its lowest price since September 11th 2024. Core PCE Price Index - Inflation Increases Again! The PCE Price Index read 2.5% aligning with expert forecasts not triggering any alarm bells. However, the Core PCE Price Index rose from 0.3% to 0.4% MoM and from 2.7% to 2.8% YoY, signalling growing inflationary pressure. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. The NASDAQ fell 2.60% due to the higher inflation reading which is known to pressure the stock market due to pressure on consumer demand and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently commented that tariffs could drive up inflation, though the long-term impact remains uncertain. She told journalists that a short-term spike is the most probable outcome but believes the current pause in monetary policy adjustments is appropriate given the prevailing uncertainties. Although, certain investment banks such as JP Morgan actually believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates. This is due to expectations that the economy will struggle under the new trade policy. For example, JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts but will quickly cut towards the end of 2025. Market Risk Appetite Takes a Hit! A big factor for the day is the drop in the risk appetite of investors. This can be seen from the VIX which is up almost 6%, Gold which is trading 1.30% higher and the Japanese Yen which is the day’s best performing currency. Most safe haven assets, bar the US Dollar, increase in value. It is also worth noting that all indices are decreasing in value during this morning's Asian session with the Nikkei225 and NASDAQ witnessing the strongest decline. Previously the stock market rose in value as investors heard rumours that tariffs would only be on certain countries. This bullish swing occurred between March 14th and 25th. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump indicated that the upcoming tariffs would apply to all countries, not just those with the largest trade imbalances with the US. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ continues to obtain indications that sellers control the price action. The price opens on a bearish price gap measuring 0.30% and trades below all Moving Averages on all timeframes. The NASDAQ also trades below the VWAP and almost 100% of the most influential components (stocks) are declining in value.     The next significant support level is at $18,313, and the resistance level stands at $20,367.95. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ falls to its lowest since September 2024 as the US confirms tariffs on all countries, adding to inflation concerns. Core PCE inflation rises to 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY, increasing the likelihood of prolonged high interest rates. Investor risk appetite drops as VIX jumps 6%, gold gains 1.3%, and safe-haven assets outperform. NASDAQ shows strong bearish momentum, trading below key technical levels with support at $18,313 and resistance at $20,367.95. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • PM Philip Morris stock, top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?PM
    • EXC Exelon stock, nice range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?EXC
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.