Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

I thought this might be a fun sequence to bring up for discussion. I have it on "good authority" that this snippet represents a Traverse. For context, this is a non-dominant traverse of a down channel. We have a complete skinny cycle up to 1105, then a down tape followed by an up tape. Would you have seen it as such? Why or why not?

 

Even if my skinny tapes would be correct and still assuming that I would have done it the same way in real time, I would still have struggled (and still do) because I wouldn't have been able to read volume (gaussians).

 

In theory IF the skinny tapes would be correct then the only thing left to do would be to simply draw the same lines that I used for the tapes down there in the volume pane. Correct?

 

Thanks jbarny!

5aa71069d4b31_jbarnynogaussians.png.b3229a443222cb2b027a6afb7abfa1c8.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I use volume spikes at the morning time zones of 10:00, 10:30. 11:00, 11:30

12:00 and 12:30 to indicate market reversals.

 

See the image below.

 

Trade Well,

 

BigAl

5aa71069dc15a_04072011YMM1copy.jpg.535bc3e03720302d1357ba4086fb2b73.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Even if my skinny tapes would be correct and still assuming that I would have done it the same way in real time, I would still have struggled (and still do) because I wouldn't have been able to read volume (gaussians).

 

In theory IF the skinny tapes would be correct then the only thing left to do would be to simply draw the same lines that I used for the tapes down there in the volume pane. Correct?

 

Thanks jbarny!

 

I thought this might be interesting to see how folks would annotate the skinny gaussians up to 1105. Particularly following the recent discussion of when/where to draw a nondom gaussian. It appears that while some look for a legitimate down container, other's might draw their nondom gaussian to a sym pennant formation, etc. Should the requirements for a nondom container be the same on every fractal? Or are they different for the skinny (fastest) fractal which we monitor?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
For the fractal you're working on, starting with the 10 cases, the first container you can draw is extended and fanned up through bar 9.

 

Everything so far has been contained by the RTL, fanning all the way. There is a question on the pennant but it doesn't cause a down container for this fractal.

 

 

I understand what you mean and would agree with you and gucci here.

 

What about the OB? It's decreasing volume so I'd be suspicious. As with the pennant waiting for another bar can help. You have 2 preliminary lines drawn with the OB for a possible down container.

 

Your "preliminary lines" comment could bring down my reasoning for creating a new slower fractal when I have bar 10 and the gaussians that I drew.

 

Are you saying that even though I can/should draw two lines in opposite directions whenever I have an OB I still need to have the next bar after the OB to see which of the two lines is still valid and which of the two I can eliminate. In that case I would never have had a down tape and therefore I'm still in the same fractal.

 

On the other hand some people could now say: "....look at the YM... look at finer tools... look at the 1 minute chart... etc." There we could probably see that the move from bar 9 to the low of the OB was a non-dom followed by a dom move to the top of the OB. Well... in this example I'm not using any of those finer tools (yet).

 

Please draw in the point 2 to point 3 non-dominant container that's annotated here.

What bar is point 2 and what bar is point 3?

 

If I would only look at volume (that's what I did in that example) then pt2 would be at that second volume peak (bar 7) and pt 3 at that volume through of bar 10.

 

However if I would now try to use price only then pt2 would be the top of bar 9 and pt 3 the low of bar 10. That is because I would use the down lines between bar 9 and bar 10 as the down tape that I was looking for and the up lines between bar 9 and 10 as the new up tape that would have to come next. But as I said above what I did might not be valid and therefore I'm still in the same container (same fractal) that started with bar 0.

 

If I'm still in the same container(fractal) then what must come next is a down tap followed by an up tape. We would then have the next slower fractal and would then be looking for the FTT of that slower fractal. Everybody agrees?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I thought this might be a fun sequence to bring up for discussion. I have it on "good authority" that this snippet represents a Traverse. For context, this is a non-dominant traverse of a down channel. We have a complete skinny cycle up to 1105, then a down tape followed by an up tape. Would you have seen it as such? Why or why not?
It depends on the principles you use to draw your tapes, e.g. if you look how the price moved inside the bars. Volume leads price.

060309-.png.03202064be74b374c549bbdea9860f73.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I thought this might be a fun sequence to bring up for discussion. I have it on "good authority" that this snippet represents a Traverse. For context, this is a non-dominant traverse of a down channel. We have a complete skinny cycle up to 1105, then a down tape followed by an up tape. Would you have seen it as such? Why or why not?

 

Did your "good authority" also mention that the snippet may represent a lateral(thanks to cnms2 for posting chart with sym lateral highlited) traverse? The sym lateral created a non-dom boundary on bar 6 and every time the bulls tried to breakout of the lateral they failed.Bar 19 not only failed to breakout of the skinny up container's rtl but also bounced off the bottom of the sym lateral.Pace dropped off which many times leads to the sequences "stretching out"(faster fractals become visible).Maybe friday's(4-8-11) chart starting with bar 11 may be interesting to discuss.hth

130247316445.thumb.png.a1970231235854c8c633f018f32a6609.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Did your "good authority" also mention that the snippet may represent a lateral(thanks to cnms2 for posting chart with sym lateral highlited) traverse? The sym lateral created a non-dom boundary on bar 6 and every time the bulls tried to breakout of the lateral they failed.Bar 19 not only failed to breakout of the skinny up container's rtl but also bounced off the bottom of the sym lateral.Pace dropped off which many times leads to the sequences "stretching out"(faster fractals become visible).Maybe friday's(4-8-11) chart starting with bar 11 may be interesting to discuss.hth

 

Well, my good authority was Spydertrader and his detailed analysis did not include this as a lateral. Hope that helps.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I thought this might be interesting to see how folks would annotate the skinny gaussians up to 1105. Particularly following the recent discussion of when/where to draw a nondom gaussian. It appears that while some look for a legitimate down container, other's might draw their nondom gaussian to a sym pennant formation, etc. Should the requirements for a nondom container be the same on every fractal? Or are they different for the skinny (fastest) fractal which we monitor?

 

There was a brief mention (Vegas Expo?) about not drawing a trough to the 2nd bar of a pennant, but that may have been context specific and would take a long time to find - project for another time. That wasn't considered for Frenchfry's example but thought it was worth mentioning.

 

Interesting chart to bring up BTW. We've already seen a couple ways to annotate to the end, one being to 11:30 and the other 11:45. It's been done both ways on similar charts. And since 11:45 is an OB thought Frenchfry might appreciate this next chart.

 

Attached is a train wreck of a chart that was revised many times, several of us worked together on this one and we had some guidance from Spydertrader. That does not mean in any way that it's correctly annotated and there are no gaussians on the chart. They were done on paper - have to do your own. Thought it might be helpful to pass it along so it could torment a whole new group. In this version the OB at 15:15 finished the up traverse. It's a tough one to see that and fit it in to a particular rule set or view on containers. A bit different from the OB on jbarnby's chart. If it gives anyone fits blame him for bringing it up. :D

 

Are you saying that even though I can/should draw two lines in opposite directions whenever I have an OB I still need to have the next bar after the OB to see which of the two lines is still valid and which of the two I can eliminate. In that case I would never have had a down tape and therefore I'm still in the same fractal.

 

On the other hand some people could now say: "....look at the YM... look at finer tools... look at the 1 minute chart... etc." There we could probably see that the move from bar 9 to the low of the OB was a non-dom followed by a dom move to the top of the OB. Well... in this example I'm not using any of those finer tools (yet).

 

If I would only look at volume (that's what I did in that example) then pt2 would be at that second volume peak (bar 7) and pt 3 at that volume through of bar 10.

 

The OB returns to the dominant direction, it's not changing dominance or continuing the non-dom move (no increasing volume) - just an observation. So another bar would be helpful in this particular case. While there is nothing wrong with putting both sets of lines in, there was a discussion on ET about taping to an OB. Though that example doesn't apply here (in case you wanted to look it up).

 

An OB may have a b2b or r2r within it, and probably a 2x here if you go fine enough, but in this specific situation it's probably not anything to worry about.

 

As far as looking at the YM or finer tools, usually if you have to do that it's not on a fractal you need to be concerned about. That's if you're sticking to the 5min only for trading. This speaks directly to issues people have with fractal jumping and trying to make a traverse or channel out of couple sub-sub tape level moves. Of course it's helpful at times to help see things, and in certain cases it may be necessary to see something that has bearing on the 5 min, but those are very rare cases.

 

If you have it down on the 5 min then by all means run wild with the YM, keeping in mind you may need to use other fine tools at that level. Not that anyone has to stick with any particular level.

5aa7106a09e6b_04-28-09Revisedagain.thumb.jpg.ea310024148e7f91fb39015588deeed5.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Is this a recent chart?

 

thanks

 

I thought this might be a fun sequence to bring up for discussion. I have it on "good authority" that this snippet represents a Traverse. For context, this is a non-dominant traverse of a down channel. We have a complete skinny cycle up to 1105, then a down tape followed by an up tape. Would you have seen it as such? Why or why not?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Ahhh yes - I remember this day very well!! I recall working on this for weeks! Here is a blank version for those who need it.

 

Do you have prior day's chart? The Lime Green Long Traverse in Ezzy's annotated chart looks like a Long Channel and then fanned.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Please draw in the point 2 to point 3 non-dominant container that's annotated here.

 

 

 

So all you have in terms of the sequences (judging from the provided snippet) is B2B. Try to draw the non-dominant 2R tape there.

 

 

I quoted Ezzy and Gucci here but I am throwing this out for anyone who would like to comment.

 

It seems that the lack of a non-dom container in Frenchfry's example helps to determine what the example cannot be. There is no non-dom tape, so the X2X continues.

 

How can this be applied to the attached? This example is a dom Traverse of a down Channel (pt3>end of the Channel) according to Spyder.

 

What is different in P/V in this example so that there is no need for a non-dom container?

 

There are no annotations for ease of drawing if anyone is willing.

 

Thanks

Trav1.thumb.png.232966c6f40f8972bb1a01450d748e24.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I thought this might be a fun sequence to bring up for discussion. I have it on "good authority" that this snippet represents a Traverse. For context, this is a non-dominant traverse of a down channel. We have a complete skinny cycle up to 1105, then a down tape followed by an up tape. Would you have seen it as such? Why or why not?

 

This seems like a nice opening to ask a question I have concerning dominance.

 

The cycle of a Traverse is non-dom>dom(x2x) / non-dom(2y) / dom(2x). So for this chart we have a tape that takes care of non-dom>dom of the Traverse up through 11:05.

 

But where is the dominance?

 

I have always understood (probably incorrectly) that dominance concerns both Price and Volume. In this chart I do not see any dominance happening up through 11:05 so how can the non-dom>dom portion of a Traverse be satisfied?

 

I know (heh) that a Traverse requires dominance in the 2x (post pt3) portion of the cycle in order to complete. Am I incorrect that dominance is also required in the x2x (pt1>pt2) portion of the cycle?

 

Chart reposted with a little diagram from Spyder (at least I think it was from him).

 

Thanks!

0603092.thumb.JPG.42bb04576ddf1a4fe9ea80d4d9dc9018.JPG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
It seems that the lack of a non-dom container in Frenchfry's example helps to determine what the example cannot be. There is no non-dom tape, so the X2X continues.

 

How can this be applied to the attached? This example is a dom Traverse of a down Channel (pt3>end of the Channel) according to Spyder.

 

What is different in P/V in this example so that there is no need for a non-dom container?

 

There are no annotations for ease of drawing if anyone is willing.

 

Thanks

 

It is extremely difficult to give any answers of value unless there is a fully annotated chart. There is no context, no pace levels, time of day, lines from the previous traverse, etc. The answer will depend on context, and how you define a traverse. Otherwise what is appropriate here may not work in other areas.

 

Did Spydertrader actually say that leg was a traverse?

If it is in fact a traverse, was there any extraordinary context or event?

How did the prior traverse form? There was a drill about that in this thread.

 

This seems like a nice opening to ask a question I have concerning dominance.

 

The cycle of a Traverse is non-dom>dom(x2x) / non-dom(2y) / dom(2x). So for this chart we have a tape that takes care of non-dom>dom of the Traverse up through 11:05.

 

But where is the dominance?

 

I have always understood (probably incorrectly) that dominance concerns both Price and Volume. In this chart I do not see any dominance happening up through 11:05 so how can the non-dom>dom portion of a Traverse be satisfied?

 

If there wasn't any dominance then how would you have a traverse?

 

Do you see it on any of the legs?

Could there be a context issue?

Could there be another indicator of dominance other than what you're looking for?

Maybe a fully annotated chart would help?

 

At one time Spydertrader kept saying "forget what you know" when someone got stuck. Maybe it's applicable here? Don't know, just throwing that out in case something from the past is preventing you from seeing it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If I'm not mistaken, Breakeven's snippet is the last leg of the channel from 10/14/10. I'm sure he'll correct me if i'm wrong.

Edited by jbarnby

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I quoted Ezzy and Gucci here but I am throwing this out for anyone who would like to comment.

 

It seems that the lack of a non-dom container in Frenchfry's example helps to determine what the example cannot be. There is no non-dom tape, so the X2X continues.

 

How can this be applied to the attached? This example is a dom Traverse of a down Channel (pt3>end of the Channel) according to Spyder.

 

What is different in P/V in this example so that there is no need for a non-dom container?

 

There are no annotations for ease of drawing if anyone is willing.

 

Thanks

Just drawing the tapes.

5aa7106c1a6c0_breakevenTrav1tapes.thumb.png.349003f79ca6b9b4aa3e13cfa20beaa9.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
This seems like a nice opening to ask a question I have concerning dominance.

 

....

Chart reposted with a little diagram from Spyder (at least I think it was from him).

 

Thanks!

 

same.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
This seems like a nice opening to ask a question I have concerning dominance.

 

The cycle of a Traverse is non-dom>dom(x2x) / non-dom(2y) / dom(2x). So for this chart we have a tape that takes care of non-dom>dom of the Traverse up through 11:05.

 

But where is the dominance?

 

I have always understood (probably incorrectly) that dominance concerns both Price and Volume. In this chart I do not see any dominance happening up through 11:05 so how can the non-dom>dom portion of a Traverse be satisfied?

 

I know (heh) that a Traverse requires dominance in the 2x (post pt3) portion of the cycle in order to complete. Am I incorrect that dominance is also required in the x2x (pt1>pt2) portion of the cycle?

 

Chart reposted with a little diagram from Spyder (at least I think it was from him).

 

Thanks!

B2B2R2B, or digging in: (b2b2r2b)2R2B.

5aa7106c1f872_060309b2b2r2b.png.fb875512a8ebf60bdbcedb1111879c8d.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • I'm pretty sure that a Russian resident would say that recessions are real today. Their prime interest rate is 21%, their corporate military contractors are threatening to file bankruptcy, and sticks of butter are kept under lock and key in their grocery stores because shoplifters are stealing it in bulk so they can resell it on the black market. A downturn is cyclical until it turns into a collapse. I really don't think anyone will be buying-into this mess.😬
    • Well said. This principle is highly analogous to trading. Any human can easily click buy or sell when they "feel" that price is about to go up or down. The problem with feeling, commonly referred to as "instinctive" trading, is that it cannot be quantified. And because it cannot be quantified, it cannot be empirically tested. Instinctive trading has the lowest barrier to entry and therefore returns the lowest reward. As this is true for most things in life, this comes as no surprise. Unfortunately, the lowest barrier to entry is attractive to new traders for obvious reasons. This actually applied to me decades ago.🤭   It's only human nature to seek the highest amount of reward in exchange for the lowest amount of work. In fact, I often say that there is massive gray area between efficiency and laziness. Fortunately, losing for a living inspired me to investigate the work of Wall Street quants who refer to us as "fishfood" or "cannonfodder." Although I knew that we as retail traders cannot exploit execution rebates or queues like quants do, I learned that we can engage in automated scalp, swing, and trend trading. The thermonuclear caveat here, is that I had no idea how to write code (or program) trading algorithms. So I gravitated toward interface-based algorithm builders that required no coding knowledge (see human nature, aforementioned). In retrospect, I should never have traded code written by builder software because it's buggy and inefficient. However, my paid subscription to the builder software allowed me to view the underlying source code of the generated trading algo--which was written in MQL language. Due to a lack of customization in the builder software, I inevitably found myself editing the code. This led me to coding research which, in turn, led me to abandoning the builder software and coding custom algo's from scratch. Fast forward to the present, I can now code several trading strategies per day across 2 different platforms. Considering how inefficient manual backtesting is, coding is a huge advantage. When a new trading concept hits me, I can write the algo, backtest it, and optimize it within an hour or so--across multiple exchanges and symbols, and cycle through hundreds of different settings for each input. And then I get pages upon pages of performance metrics with the best settings pre-highlighted. Having said all of this, I am by no means an advanced programmer. IMHO, advanced programmers write API gateways, construct their own custom trading platforms, use high end computers with field programmable gateway array chips, and set up shop in close proximity to the exchanges. In any event, a considerable amount of work is required just to get toward the top of the "fishfood"/"cannonfodder" pool. Another advantage of coding is that it forces me to write trade entry and exit conditions (triggers) in black & white, thereby causing me to think microscopically about my precise trade trigger conditions. For example, I have to decide whether the algo should track the slope, angle, and level of each bar price and indicator to be used. Typing a hard number like 50 degrees of angle into code is a lot different than merely looking at a chart myself and saying, that's close enough.  Code doesn't acknowledge "maybe" nor "feelings." Either the math (code) works (is profitable) or doesn't work (is a loser). It doesn't get angry, sad, nor overly optimistic. And it can trade virtually 24 hours per day, 5 days per week. If you learn to code, you'll eventually reach a point where coding an algo that trades as you intended provides its own sense of accomplishment. Soon after, making money in the market merely becomes a side effect of your new job--coding. This is how I compete, at least for now, in this wide world of trading. I highly recommend it.  
    • VRA Vera Bradley stock watch, pull back to 5.08 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?VRA
    • MU Micron stock watch, pull back to 102.83 gap support area with high trade quality at https://stockconsultant.com/?MU
    • ACLX Arcellx stock watch, trending at 84.6 support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?ACLX
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.