Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Like I said, probably my fault, perhaps there are some basics that I am missing.You guys seem to be quite ahead on the curve. I would have to ask some pretty basic questions, and thought I save everyone some time if a document exists that clears that up...

a pic worths thousands words put up a pic with some lines on it, we can take it from there.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Alright.

 

Now, we are getting somewhere. You've narrowed things down to a binary choice.

 

Which Trough best represents the market fractals in terms of 'nesting'?

 

...

 

- Spydertrader

looking at a official doc I think this is the answer.

fractal3.thumb.png.50f7cbb836c7150e277cfb46a903a48a.png

Edited by nkhoi

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ok you were forewarned.. wanted to save you guys the trouble :) Like I said, it seems I am missing some basics....this is an older post from spyder.

 

a pic worths thousands words put up a pic with some lines on it, we can take it from there.

5aa710390738d_spyderschart.thumb.gif.367db82fe5a2b155b21b1aa2b57b4922.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

And this one too....you will now understand what I don't understand....

 

a pic worths thousands words put up a pic with some lines on it, we can take it from there.

5aa710390d8dc_pic2.gif.917852704dc042091d63692c1dc51884.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Ok you were forewarned.. wanted to save you guys the trouble :) Like I said, it seems I am missing some basics....this is an older post from spyder.

look left does 2B > R2R volume?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My try:

 

If your Gaussians show you R2R, where are you with respect to the order of events?

- You are at the top of an upchannel (or traverse). You have created a point 1 for a new downchannel, and that point one is the FTT of the old upchannel (or it bounced off the LTL of the old upchannel).

 

If your Gaussians show you R2R 2B, where are you with respect to the order of events?

- You have now created a point 2

 

If your Gaussians show you R2R 2B 2R, where are you with respect to the order of events (and what then do you want to see to tell you this order of events has ended)?

- you have now created a point 3... you now want to see increasing red volume for the next dominant traverse of the new down channel

 

??

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
No... I was just trying to find a clear summary on how to draw gaussians... I looked at that drill but do not think I could complete it if I do not know how to draw them correctly.

 

Vienna,that comment was directed to nkhoi who referred readers to the "refinement thread" (Iterative Refinement) but i believe meant Spydertrader's Jack Hershey Futures Trading Journal page 264 gaussian drill.hth

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If your Gaussians show you R2R, where are you with respect to the order of events?

- You are at the top of an upchannel (or traverse). You have created a point 1 for a new downchannel, and that point one is the FTT of the old upchannel (or it bounced off the LTL of the old upchannel).

 

Incorrect. R2R places you squarely at a Point Two

 

If your Gaussians show you R2R 2B, where are you with respect to the order of events?

- You have now created a point 2

 

Incorrect. The market has moved from Point Two through a non-dominant retrace and to the Point Three.

 

If your Gaussians show you R2R 2B 2R, where are you with respect to the order of events (and what then do you want to see to tell you this order of events has ended)?

- you have now created a point 3... you now want to see increasing red volume for the next dominant traverse of the new down channel??

 

Incorrect. The market has moved from the Point Three and has headed back toward the Left Trend Line (LTL). The time has arrived for you to locate an FTT on your trading fractal.

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Alright.

 

Now, we are getting somewhere. You've narrowed things down to a binary choice.

 

Which Trough best represents the market fractals in terms of 'nesting'?

 

You've drawn things one way (as did Nkhoi in an earlier post), but another possible way also exists.

 

My understanding is that the nesting choice depends on the layout of RTLs.

 

In my graphic you see the "fast" fractal B2B breaks out of the prior "fast" RTL *and* the prior "medium" RTL so the medium B2B trough is placed coincident with the fast B2B trough.

 

The alternative - placing the medium B2B trough at the fast fractal 2R - implies that all of the medium level black volume has been non-dominant. Since we saw a medium RTL break out this is not the case.

 

As always - I might be wrong :)

alternate.jpg.f5d084c64987a567ff9b4f002b0677b3.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
My understanding is that the nesting choice depends on the layout of RTLs.

 

Remember the goal of this exercise: Accuracy and Precision. In other words, we want to annotate correctly and consistantly - all day - every day we look at a chart.

 

You've arrived at an answer based on a 'context oriented' solution. In order to know whether your rationale for this context applies to all other contexts, one must then locate a scenario where you feel a different solution applies and test accordingly.

 

Keep in mind the possibility your mind may have merged several concepts together (such as Point One's always overlap, Point Three's occassionally overlap, but Point Two's never overlap) in an effort to arrive at a solution to an old problem. I'm merely suggesting a better way to know whether (or not) a solution represents the solution.

 

One must always allow the market to provide the answers.

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
O.K. look away from the charts again (for a moment).

 

Review this post.

 

 

Thanks for pointing me to that post. From the image in that post:

11927d1246813024-price-volume-relationship-b2b.jpg

 

I can see that for a single fractal case, B2B's through is located at the right trendline of previous down container just before it broke out with increasing volume. So for any fractal, am I correct by saying that B2B's trough is located at the last volume trough within previous container? This could happen at the first volume trough or 2nd volume trough of lower fractal, as long as it is within the previous container.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I can see that for a single fractal case, B2B's through is located at the right trendline of previous down container just before it broke out with increasing volume.

 

Such is the case for this specific example, but not necessarily all examples. One must strive to locate solutions which apply to all contexts, and not, apply solutions which work for a singular event.

 

So for any fractal, am I correct by saying that B2B's trough is located at the last volume trough within previous container?

 

Ever see Price shoot straight down (like a rocket) on super high increasing Volume directly after an FTT of an Up container? Does your solution work for such a scenario?

 

This could happen at the first volume trough or 2nd volume trough of lower fractal, as long as it is within the previous container.

 

The market (for whatever reason) might not provide a trough until well after Price crossed my previous right trend line (RTL). Now what do I do? :confused:

 

HTH.

 

- Spydertrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ever see Price shoot straight down (like a rocket) on super high increasing Volume directly after an FTT of an Up container? Does your solution work for such a scenario?

 

Thanks for pointing that out. You are right, I did not consider the possibility of price broke out with increasing volume of the previous container right after we have an FTT. This means that the volume dominance shift within one bar, so the non-dominance part of the volume should be seen within that BO bar.

 

In this case, if I apply the same logic, I will put the trough on that BO bar.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In this case, if I apply the same logic, I will put the trough on that BO bar.

 

Whatever conclusion you reach (based on a sufficient data set), make sure to test it against that which the market provides.

 

- Spydertrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Whatever conclusion you reach (based on a sufficient data set), make sure to test it against that which the market provides.

 

Thanks Spydertrader for this helpful guidance, and gucci for providing the initial question. I didn't think it was important to put the correct through before this discussion. I will review some charts to see if I can apply this hypothesis to the market consistently.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thanks Spydertrader for this helpful guidance, and gucci for providing the initial question. I didn't think it was important to put the correct through before this discussion. I will review some charts to see if I can apply this hypothesis to the market consistently.
"... So B2B means Black 2 Black and that is a description of the price and volume move from point 1 to point 2 of the parallelogram that forms the analytical container used for decision making to continually extract money from the markets. Point 1 is beginning of B @ a peak in volume. The volume reaches a trough at 2, the BO of the RTL. So the trader "reads" this as increasing price and decreasing volume. A more general term is used for price;from H1 (Hypothesis 1) the term is continuing. The trough of volume coincides with the BO of the RTL. Price is B as it goes frther outside the old trend to a point 2 where volume is increasing to its peak. ..."

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

  • Topics

  • Posts

    • DELL Dell Technologies stock, good day moving higher off the 90.99 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?DELL
    • MCK Mckesson stock, nice trend and continuation breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?MCK
    • lmfx just officially launched their own LMGX token, Im planning to grab a couple of hundred and maybe have the option to stake them. 
    • Date: 2nd April 2025.   Market on Edge: Tariff Announcement and Volatility Ahead!   The US economic and employment data continues to deteriorate with the job vacancies figures dropping to a 5-month low. In addition to this, the IMS Manufacturing PMI also fell below expectations. However, both the US Dollar and Gold declined simultaneously following the release of the two figures, an uncommon occurrence in the market. Traders expect a key factor to be today’s ‘liberation day’ where the US will impose tariffs on imports. USDJPY - Traders Await Tariff Confirmation! Traders looking to determine how the USDJPY will look today will find it difficult to determine until the US confirms its tariff plan. Today is the day when Trump previously stated he would finalize and announce his tariff plan. The administration has not yet released the policy, but investors expect it to be the most expansionary in a century. President Trump is due to speak at 20:00 GMT. On HFM's Calendar the speech is stated as "US Liberation Day Tariff Announcement". Currently, analysts are expecting Trump’s Tariff Plan to impose tariffs on the EU, chips and pharmaceuticals later today as well as reciprocal tariffs. Economists have a good idea of how these tariffs may take effect, but reciprocal tariffs are still unspecified. In addition to this, 25% tariffs on the car industry will start tomorrow. The tariffs on the foreign cars industry are a factor which will particularly impact Japan. Although, traders should note that this is what is expected and is not yet finalised. Last week, President Trump stated that he would implement retaliatory tariffs but allow exemptions for certain US trade partners. Treasury Secretary Mr Bessent and National Economic Council Director Mr Hassett suggested that the restrictions would primarily target 15 countries responsible for the bulk of the US trade deficit. However, yesterday, Trump contradicted these statements, asserting that additional duties would be imposed on any country that has implemented similar measures against US products. The day’s volatility will depend on which route the US administration takes. The harshness of the policy will influence both the Japanese Yen as well as the US Dollar.   USDJPY 5-Minute Chart   US Economic and Employment Data The JOLT Job Vacancies figure fell below expectations and is lower than the previous month’s figure. The JOLT Job Vacancies read 7.57 million whereas the average of the past 6 months is 7.78 million. The ISM Manufacturing Index also fell below the key level of 50.00 and was 5 points lower than what analysts were expecting. The data is negative for the US Dollar, particularly as the latest release applies more pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. However, this is unlikely to happen if the trade policy ignites higher and stickier inflation. In the Bank of Japan’s Governor's latest speech, Mr Ueda said that the tariffs are likely to trigger higher inflation. USDJPY Technical Analysis Currently, the Japanese Yen Index is the worst performing of the day while the US Dollar Index is more or less unchanged. However, this is something traders will continue to monitor as the EU session starts. In the 2-hour timeframe, the USDJPY is trading at the neutral level below the 75-bar EMA and 100-bar SMA. The RSI and MACD is also at the neutral level meaning traders should be open to price movements in either direction. On the smaller timeframes, such as the 5-minute timeframe, there is a slight bias towards a bullish outcome. However, this is only likely if the latest bearish swing does not drop below the 200-Bar SMA.     The key resistant level can be seen at 150.262 and the support level at 149.115. Breakout levels are at 149.988 and 149.674. Key Takeaway Points: Job vacancies hit a five-month low, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI missed expectations, adding pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate decisions. Traders await confirmation on Trump’s tariff policy, which is expected to impact the EU, chips, pharmaceuticals, and foreign car industries. The severity of the tariffs will influence both the JPY and the USD, with traders waiting for final policy details. The Japanese Yen Index is the worst index of the day while the US Dollar Index is unchanged. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • HLF Herbalife stock, watch for a bull flag breakout above 9.02 at https://stockconsultant.com/?HLF
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.