Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

thalestrader

Reading Charts in Real Time

Recommended Posts

6B(GBPUSD) - here is the one I'm stalking: Sell stop at 1.6110, stop loss will be about 30 ticks, with a profit target at 159.80.

 

I do not like holding through the Globex close/re-open without a big fat cushion. We'll se if this thing gives me anything approaching comfortable between now and the close (presumeing that it even stays profitable).

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

5aa70f9f59ce3_2010-01-116B2.thumb.jpg.e69b52cb8b9109bf1d64c34fc94e8ed1.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I was very tempted by this. I had my order in for the longest time, but I just pulled it. I don't know if I have the patience for that. ;) Maybe if it were earlier in the day, but I have a feeling that trade would take hours...might not even hit PT until Tokyo!

 

I wouldn't expect it to hit PT for some time, but I would have liked for it to be about halfway there by now. This is one advantage spot has over futures. There have been times where I have been in a futures trade, Globex closes, the market moves against me, and by the time I can get out, my loss if larger than I would have liked to have to take. SPot keeps right on going, so had you been short, and the market reacted against you, your broker would let you out. It is nice when price moves quickly and you hit for 100-200 ticks in 60 minutes or less, but most of the time when I hit for a whole handle or more it takes 8-40 hours, not 8-40 minutes.

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If it is OK with the thread, I am trading an experiment very lightly in a small oanda account of which I wouldn't mind posting real-time in this thread. The purpose for me is to evaluate if I am excessively micro-managing my trades. I'll be posting 60m or 240m charts because that is really where the trade idea comes from, even though I am entering on the 5m chart.

 

I haven't fully figured out my trade management with a style like this, but it won't just be set a stop and targets then walk away - stuff happens after entry and I do think it needs to be monitored in some way, but not excessively like I have been doing. My recent holiday study did reveal that a significant number of my general trade ideas were good, but it was my excessive micro-management that was hurting the bottom line.

 

This is generally S/R trading along with a trend component based on how I evaluate trend. There are times where I will go against my definition of trend, but in general I do not. I'm looking to take 1/2 of the position off at what I consider a significant 60m S/R area, then another 1/4 off at what I consider a significant 240m S/R area - possibly even the entire position. It will sort of depend on the context - is the market generally swinging or is it generally trending? That sort of thing.

 

Trades in general will last 1-2 days and I'll be doing this on GU.

 

I'm currently long (despite my trend read as being down) since early yesterday so will not be posting anything until a new idea comes to me.

 

With kind regards,

MK

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If it is OK with the thread, I am trading an experiment very lightly in a small oanda account of which I wouldn't mind posting real-time in this thread

 

You're always welcome here, MK, and I for one am looking forward to your posts!

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6B(GBPUSD) - here is the one I'm stalking: Sell stop at 1.6110, stop loss will be about 30 ticks, with a profit target at 1.5980.

 

Hi Folks,

 

At this point, 6B has managed to just less than half of the 130 tick PT decline. Hardly impulsive, but at least it has the direction right, for now ...

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=17591&stc=1&d=1263262889

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=17592&stc=1&d=1263262889

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

5aa70f9f773d6_2010-01-116BLookingfor140ticks1.thumb.jpg.e66eb438a327a27a25b27b93f76ebee1.jpg

5aa70f9f7cba1_2010-01-116B3.thumb.jpg.14826627aaf8f1e7eda4c8917c304525.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

GU long only made it to PT1 before sinking back and taking the balance out at be.

 

I did expect a better move from that 240min support but will let pa guide me at all times.

Kinda disappointed that PT2 was not even threathened...

 

Cheers,

eNQ

5aa70f9f95c33_12JanGUlong-exit.thumb.png.39452311c744d5d47a21f3113a08fc2e.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Right now I am eyeing this long setup on EU.

 

EDIT:

It is quite clear to me that this entry is one swing too late, I will still manage this according to my plan - just making the observation.

 

GU has dropped into the previous support area again and a 123 setup could develop for longs again.

 

Cheers,

eNQ

5aa70f9f9de27_12JanEUlongsetup.thumb.png.8732b4627396e16bd3448cd05a3fb596.png

Edited by fxThunder
typo

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Right now I am eyeing this long setup on EU.

 

 

I take your setup and buy that pullback ... long 1.45060 ... stop 1.4487 .... your target :)

 

(why? because you already have a 123 break and I'd prefer to buy this pullback as I don't believe in breakeven stops ... we shall see mr Thales :))

 

.

.

.

.

 

LOL. That'll teach me ... stopped out.

Edited by Kiwi
Stopped Out :(

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I take your setup and buy that pullback ... long 1.45060 ... stop 1.4487 .... your target :)

 

(why? because you already have a 123 break and I'd prefer to buy this pullback as I don't believe in breakeven stops ... we shall see mr Thales :))

 

.

.

.

.

 

LOL. That'll teach me ... stopped out.

 

Hi Kiwi,

 

I am actually annoyed at myself that I got suckered into attempting a late long again.

 

I do hope I have learnt my lesson now...

 

Cheers,

eNQ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
We've noted the 134.30 - 134.50 level on the EURJPY has a posible rally target/resistance level.

 

Hi Folks,

 

Current look at the EURJPY ses a decline from anticipated resistance to what is the first possible support level. Of course, price reaching support is not in and of itself a signal to do anything other than to pay attention, and watch for evidence of a reversal or a break and continuation of the immediate down trend.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=17603&stc=1&d=1263302471

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=17604&stc=1&d=1263302471

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=17605&stc=1&d=1263302471

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=17606&stc=1&d=1263302733

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

5aa70f9fcb0c6_2010-01-11EURJPY3.thumb.jpg.d0a2a1bfb4da76942e6133c0da894323.jpg

5aa70f9fcfe80_2010-01-11EURJPYDaily1.thumb.jpg.b0f686a9284b1d21a35ff67371d63ba8.jpg

5aa70f9fd7501_2010-01-12EURJPYS-R1.thumb.jpg.1904b1eddfb79552098b71f5cc2e0b2a.jpg

5aa70f9fdc6f3_2010-01-12EURJPYS-R2.thumb.jpg.2f228de8c7eee035a96a976bc3c67456.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

At this point, 6B has managed to just less than half of the 130 tick PT decline. Hardly impulsive, but at least it has the direction right, for now ...

 

... and at that point, that was the bottom tick of that decline. I guess in hindsight, that was the perfect place to book profits.

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I am actually annoyed at myself that I got suckered into attempting a late long again.

 

I do hope I have learnt my lesson now...

 

There is always the next trade. But I too fight the urge (and not always successfully) to stand down when I miss the most favorable entry. You can always look at the bigger picture, and see if a late entry is still justified, but you must be carefule 1) not to "see" a reason to enter late just because that is what you want to see, and 2) you must use a stop that corresponds to the scale of swing on which you are entering, and not the small swing that you missed - that will be a killer.

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
...2) you must use a stop that corresponds to the scale of swing on which you are entering, and not the small swing that you missed - that will be a killer.

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

 

Hi Thales,

 

My understanding of your comment is that my stop was too small? Is that correct?

 

Cheers,

eNQ

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Current view of the EURUSD - price is coiling (a chop zone within a chop zone) and going no where fast. Typically, price going nowhere fast is a prelude to price going somewhere fast.

But not much to do but wait for it to decide which way it is going to try first.

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

5aa70f9fe18ad_2010-01-12EURUSDChopinaChop1.thumb.jpg.fbb49616bb9c34242fdc7096c50643d4.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi Thales,

 

My understanding of your comment is that my stop was too small? Is that correct?

 

Cheers,

eNQ

 

No, not necessarily, as you were still trading off the same scale of swings. I was refering to a case where you miss an entry on a 15 minute chart, and then you pull up say a 60 minute or 240 minute and you se a larger swing opportunity in the same direction, and you use a 15 minute pivot as a stop, bu tthat pivot level is not a visible pivot on the swing level you are actually trading - does that ake sense?

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
No, not necessarily, as you were still trading off the same scale of swings. I was refering to a case where you miss an entry on a 15 minute chart, and then you pull up say a 60 minute or 240 minute and you se a larger swing opportunity in the same direction, and you use a 15 minute pivot as a stop, bu tthat pivot level is not a visible pivot on the swing level you are actually trading - does that ake sense?

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

 

Yes it does make sense - thanks for the clarification..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Current look at the USDJPY daily and 240 minute. That uptrend has been fairly steep, so a pullback is not surprising. The decline has reached a level at which one might anticipate support. We need to wait and see whther this is merely a pullback or the makings of a reversal. Neither a rally nor a break would surprise me. This downdraft has been decently impulsive, however, so a break might be more likely.

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

5aa70f9fe5e48_2010-01-12USDJPY1.thumb.jpg.5383280ec9ac03392391320ae668a928.jpg

5aa70f9feac9a_2010-01-12USDJPY2.thumb.jpg.00a8c3222cffe110c0a6d05a048cf512.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 25th November 2024. New Secretary Cheers Markets; Trump Trade Eased. Asia & European Sessions:   Equities and Treasuries rise, as markets view Donald Trump’s choice of Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary as a stabilizing decision for the US economy and markets. Bessent: Head of macro hedge fund Key Square Group, supports Trump’s tax and tariff policies but gradually. He is expected to focus on economic and market stability rather than political gains. His nomination alleviates concerns over protectionist policies that could escalate inflation, trade tensions, and market volatility. Asian stocks rose, driven by gains in Japan, South Korea, and Australia. Chinese equities fail to follow regional trends, presenting investors’ continued disappointment by the lack of strong fiscal measures to boost the economy. The PBOC keeps policy loan rates unchanged after the September cut. US futures also see slight increases. 10-year Treasury yields fall by 5 basis points to 4.35%. Nvidia dropped 3.2%, affected by its high valuation and influence on broader market trends. Intuit fell 5.7% after a disappointing earnings forecast. Meta Platforms declined 0.7% following the Supreme Court’s decision to allow a class action lawsuit over the Cambridge Analytica scandal. Key events this week: Japan’s CPI, as the BOJ signals a possible policy change at December’s meeting. RBNZ expected to cut its key rate on Wednesday. CPI & GDP from Europe will be released. Traders will focus on the Fed’s November meeting minutes, along with consumer confidence and personal consumption expenditure data, to assess potential rate cuts next year. Financial Markets Performance: The US Dollar declines as US Treasuries climb. Bitcoin recovers from a weekend drop, hovering around 98,000, having more than doubled in value this year. Analysts suggest consolidation around the 100,000 level before any potential breakthrough. EURUSD recovers slightly to 1.0463 from 1.0320 lows. Oil prices drop after the largest weekly increase in nearly two months, with ongoing geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East. UKOIL fell below $75 a barrel, while USOILis at $70.35. Iran announced plans to boost its nuclear fuel-making capacity after being censured by the UN, increasing the potential for sanctions under Trump’s administration. Israel’s ambassador to the US indicated a potential cease-fire deal with Hezbollah, which could ease concerns about Middle Eastern oil production, a region supplying about a third of the world’s oil. Russia’s war in Ukraine escalated with longer-range missile use, raising concerns about potential disruptions to crude flows. Citigroup and JPMorgan predict that OPEC may delay a planned increase in production for the third time during their meeting this weekend. Gold falls to $2667.45 after its largest rise in 20 months last week.Swaps traders see a less-than-even chance the central bank will cut rates next month. Higher borrowing costs tend to weigh on gold, as it doesn’t pay interest. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • SNAP stock, big day off support at https://stockconsultant.com/?SNAP
    • SBUX Starbucks stock, nice breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?SBUX
    • INTC Intel stock settling at 24.25 double support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?INTC
    • CORZ Core Scientific stock, strong close, watch for a top of range breakout above 18.32 at https://stockconsultant.com/?CORZ
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.