Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

gassah

Statistics

Recommended Posts

Dear Rob,

 

The second chart has the second exception. If a swing in the direction of the higher time frame line is followed by acceptance back beyond the top or bottom 1/8th of the prior swing extreme, then the swing is counted as corrective, even though it's in the direction of the trend. Swing CD is corrective.

 

Is there any reason why the type of B-C in the second chart is not mentioned:question:

 

And in the 3rd attachment is AA-BB impulsive? There's a large retracement and it is part of a 5d range.

 

I have edited the 3rd attachment to include more labels. Are BB-C, C-D and D-E corrective:question:

 

This question is related to Ray's description about R0 subnormal on page 19 of the NOT book. Ray said:

For example, in a 5-day up-move, the 18-day impulse move will be below mean and the 5-day impulse move will be less than average. (A 5-day impulse move usually comprises more than one 5-day impulse move.) In Figure 1.17, we have a 5-day impulse move commencing October 10,2002 and ending on December 2,2002. After the 5-day line turned down, we find that the impulse move is below average. Were there any moves that indicated this may be so before the 5-day turned down? The first 5-day move -- from October 10, 2002 to October 28, 2002 -- is mean. However, the two succeeding 5-day moves are below average, giving us a clue that the 5-day impulse move will also be below average.

 

There is repeated mentions of 5-day which confuses me. Are the underlined words meant to be 18-day instead:question:

 

Thanks for your time.

Swings3.thumb.png.74dde14e1417d4d65b4ab3166fcfde41.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi,

 

 

Is there any reason why the type of B-C in the second chart is not mentioned:question:

 

BB-C isn't mentioned because there isn't anything special about it. It's just a normal correction. I used the chart you posted.

 

Are BB-C, C-D and D-E corrective:question:

 

Yes.

 

 

This question is related to Ray's description about R0 subnormal on page 19 of the NOT book. Ray said:

For example, in a 5-day up-move, the 18-day impulse move will be below mean and the 5-day impulse move will be less than average. (A 5-day impulse move usually comprises more than one 5-day impulse move.) In Figure 1.17, we have a 5-day impulse move commencing October 10,2002 and ending on December 2,2002. After the 5-day line turned down, we find that the impulse move is below average. Were there any moves that indicated this may be so before the 5-day turned down? The first 5-day move -- from October 10, 2002 to October 28, 2002 -- is mean. However, the two succeeding 5-day moves are below average, giving us a clue that the 5-day impulse move will also be below average.

 

There is repeated mentions of 5-day which confuses me. Are the underlined words meant to be 18-day instead:question:

 

I'll have to take a look at the book tonight.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Dear Rob,

 

BB-C isn't mentioned because there isn't anything special about it. It's just a normal correction. I used the chart you posted.

 

I'm referring to the chart attached in this post. Is B-C a corrective?

 

 

I'll have to take a look at the book tonight.

 

Thanks! :)

Swings2.thumb.png.4352b90cdb5f217ba10d7c8299691715.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

This question is related to Ray's description about R0 subnormal on page 19 of the NOT book. Ray said:

 

For example, in an 18-day up-move, the 18-day impulse move will be below mean and the 5-day impulse moves will be less than average. (An 18-day impulse move is usually comprised of more than one 5-day impulse move). In Figure 1.17, we have an 18-day impulse move commencing October 10, 2002 and ending on December 2, 2002. After the 5-d line turned down, we find that the impulse move is below average. Were there any moves that indicated this may be so before the 5-d turned down? The first 5-d move -- from October 10, 2002 to October 28, 2002 -- is mean. However, the two succeeding 5-day moves are below average, giving us a clue that the 5-day impulse move will also be below average.

 

 

I also find the R0 section difficult to decipher and Ray has acknowledged it is the worst written part of the book. I wish he'd come out with another edition. I've edited the quote to something I think makes more sense.

 

Here's some more infomation taken from one of his webinars:

 

R0 CONDITIONS

 

(Assume a new uptrend)

 

1. Takes place usually as a Wave 2; if it takes place after the trend has been an existence for some time. then it is a 50-50 bet it will be a failed move and hence a CIT; or the correction signals that the impulse to follow will be the ultimate high of this time frame.

2. Wave 1 is below normal (i.e. less than mean -1/2)

3. Wave 2 is a deep correction greater than 67% retracement of Wave 1.

4. Wave 3 breaks above high of Wave 1 (may or may not form a WPC).

5. Wave 4 is a deep correction greater than 67% retracement of Wave 3. Sometimes this marks the end of the R0. If not

6. Wave 5 breaks above Wave-3 high (may or may not form a WPC).

7. Wave 6 usually corrects 40% to 60% of Wave 5.

8. When R0 completes the corrective structure we should see strong legs up.

9. The breakout above wave 5 high is usually a Wide Range Breakout Bar.

10. A 6-wave R0 is an exception to my rules to trade responsively. I will take a WRB breakout without a WPC.

11. If a 6-wave up R0 fails expect strong downside continuation.

 

In addition:

 

The strength of an impulse move is related to its correction - from weakest to strongest impulse move: Single line, 3 wave zig-zag, Sideways, Running, Irregular, R0.

5aa70f7f3ec55_r0r1.jpg.bdc0d3fb62c9e0a425f5c1cd3370a947.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.