Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Actually, he was. He wrote the Day Trader's Bible, which is posted to the Introduction, as well as including a tape-reading segment to his course.

 

I've never read it, just had the course , and all the graphs have no open on the daily ranges, because ( i thought ) he was teaching for the intermediate term. But one learns something new every day :)

erie

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

By "course", I'm referring to his original course. The tape reading segment is called The Richard D Wyckoff Method of Trading in Stocks [no "and Investing"]: A Course of Instruction in Tape Reading and Active Trading and comes to 97p. It may not have been provided to you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
By "course", I'm referring to his original course. The tape reading segment is called The Richard D Wyckoff Method of Trading in Stocks [no "and Investing"]: A Course of Instruction in Tape Reading and Active Trading and comes to 97p. It may not have been provided to you.

 

I think you're right , it wasn't provided to me......hmmm. Doesn't really matter to me though , now I know something new, thanks.

erie

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Getting back to the "open" notch, I've reviewed his original course with this in mind, and I note that he refers to opening prices repeatedly, particularly with regard to figure charts. He further says that one can include them on vertical charts (what we call "bar" charts) "if desired".

 

I never thought much about this (actually, I never thought about it at all) until sulong asked the question. So, apparently, W thought the open was important enough to mention and include in his evaluation, but not enough to mark on the vertical chart. There may be an answer in there somewhere, but it's 400p. Let's see, to whom shall I assign this project? :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1919, according to the original, FWIW...

 

And for completeness sake's, since this is the Wyckoff forum, you might want to download the .pdf of the original (since it is available) and archive it accordingly.

 

-fs

 

Though it's not particularly important, except for the fact that a book written in 1919 is still under copyright, the following is the copyright page from the book to which you've linked:

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=6509&stc=1&d=1211126020

 

As for uploading the pdf, TL for some reason won't accept it. I'll try again later.

Image1.gif.12999c8e3255e8e9d4b7c1b291b768fa.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Getting back to the "open" notch, I've reviewed his original course with this in mind, and I note that he refers to opening prices repeatedly, particularly with regard to figure charts. He further says that one can include them on vertical charts (what we call "bar" charts) "if desired".

 

I never thought much about this (actually, I never thought about it at all) until sulong asked the question. So, apparently, W thought the open was important enough to mention and include in his evaluation, but not enough to mark on the vertical chart. There may be an answer in there somewhere, but it's 400p. Let's see, to whom shall I assign this project? :)

 

Thanks for looking into the “open” thingy for me db.

 

My original thought on it was similar to Erie's – maybe geared towards investors. But as I learned more about W, I realized that he was pretty consistent with his day trading reference, which seemed to contradict the investors assumption.

 

The reason that the range and close only thing caught my eye to begin with, is that under my current restraints of only having the EOD information on US based markets to go on to come up with some sort of entry and exit tactics, I thought there might have been some sort of message in there I was missing.

 

Again, thanks to all who responded to my question.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I posted this Friday before the open to show what I was looking at from a macro viewpoint.

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=6510&stc=1&d=1211129972

 

 

However, I did not post what I was looking at from a "micro" viewpoint (the circled portion, above), so that is provided here. Since today is Sunday, this is of course what I'll be looking at tomorrow morning (I'm going to wait to box in Friday's activity until I see whether it becomes nothing more than a V reversal or it fills in and becomes a trading range).

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=6511&stc=1&d=1211129986

 

In terms of Wyckoff, what all this illustrates are the trading ranges (the shaded rectangles, similar the the MP "Value Area"), the support and resistance that they provide (whether at the extremes or throughout the trading zone), the midpoints of these ranges (which represent the "equilibrium" level which price seeks -- similar to the MP "POC" -- and which help gauge strength or weakness when price either breaches or doesn't breach these levels), the levels at which demand and supply enter the equation (blue=demand, pink=supply), and the overall "stride", or trend. Hinges are also plotted when they occur.

Image3.gif.1bc5a52c1421fbffe98159872bd4afa9.gif

Image2.gif.8d783fac3431b8b67cca6c4f6ef0b42f.gif

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest forsearch

attachment.php?attachmentid=6509&stc=1&d=1211126020

.

 

Doh! :crap: Guess I need those reading glasses after all! :rofl:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The forest:

 

6300d1210220403-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image1.gif

 

6301d1210220522-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image2.gif

 

6302d1210220522-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3.gif

 

Wyckoff stresses that, in addition to trend and whatever channels may be formed by apparent consistency in the intrusion of demand and supply, one must also look to previous areas of support and resistance, which is what we're doing now. Wednesday (5/14) there was an upthrust in the Nasdaq and the Dow. There was also an upthrust of sorts in the SPX, but there've been so many over the past few weeks that they are forming their own base .

 

Whatever these thrusts mean in and of themselves does not matter as much as where they are occurring, i.e., against important, previous support. Therefore, both intraday and EOD traders would do well to concentrate on how price behaves at this particular juncture.

 

As to why these upthrusts didn't make good shorts today, it may help to set aside overhead resistance for the moment and look at the trend, or "stride".

 

Note here that even though the YM and ES are struggling, they are also each coming off their respective demand lines. And while they have been unable to maintain their strength since mid-April, they nonetheless remain in uptrends in this interval.

 

6424d1210900714-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3.gif

 

6425d1210900724-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image4.gif

 

 

.

As for the NQ, note that its demand line has altered its course.

 

.

6426d1210900724-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image5.gif

 

Keep in mind that resistance is not a line but a zone. And that the herd is always right. Except at turning points.

 

.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Managing a Trend Day:

 

Once one has taken the short (you have, of course, taken the short), there's no need to do anything else other than wait for a test of support, unless of course the short is stopped out, but, again, that is not the subject here. Volume can be ignored because without any sort of test, it's irrelevant (as Bearbull explained so well earlier). Once the first "counter-wave" has completed itself, a supply line can be drawn:

 

6314d1210278514-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image2.gif

 

When price resumes its decline, volume rises on the downmoves, but even when the first level of potential support is reached, the volume doesn't even approach climactic. In the meantime, the supply line can be extended:

 

6315d1210279121-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3.gif

 

Price eventually breaks the supply line, but there's nothing remarkable about the volume, and price doesn't come anywhere near approaching the previous swing high, much less breaking it:

 

6316d1210279852-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3a.gif

 

Price then resumes its decline and volume becomes climactic. However, even though price breaks the newly-extended supply line, it does not break the previous swing high. Nor is price anywhere near the next potential support level of 1970. All of this constitutes continued weakness.

 

6317d1210280233-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3b.gif

 

Price continues its decline and volume is again "climactic". Even more so. But, again, price doesn't even come near the supply line, much less the previous swing point:

 

6318d1210280999-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3c.gif

 

Price now reaches the next potential support level at 1970. Since the angle of decline is greater, an additional, more form-fitting supply line is drawn. Volume is again "climactic" and the "test" is on lighter volume, a seeming classic buy signal given that all of this is taking place at potential support.

 

However, even though price breaks this new supply line, it breaches the previous, minor swing high by only a couple of ticks, and there's no "bullish push". The experienced Wyckoff trader takes note of all of this and exits his long, if he had taken it at all.

 

6319d1210281741-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3d.gif

 

Now we approach the next potential support level, the midpoint of the upmove on the 1st, and the trader begins paying attention to volume again.

 

Here the angle of decline increases again and a new supply line is drawn (the experienced trader knows that as these angles become more acute, the probability of their being broken increases), but even though volume becomes increasingly "climactic", price doesn't break the supply line, much less reach the previous swing high. A new element is a general increase in volume throughout.

 

6320d1210282392-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3e.gif

 

We now get to the next level of potential support, and volume is again "climactic". But even though price breaks the newest supply line, it does not reach the previous swing high, nor does it break the prior supply line. The effort becomes a new -- though not higher -- swing high and the previous supply line is extended. Price continues its decline.

 

6321d1210282921-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3f.gif

 

Now to the next level of potential support, and we're running out of time. Price hits 1950, again on "climactic" volume, breaks the supply line and breaches the previous swing high. This attempt fails, but, this time, price makes a higher low, tries again, and holds above the previous swing high.

 

6322d1210283522-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image3g.gif

 

Whether a trader goes long at the test of 1950, at the break of the supply line, at the breach of the previous swing high, at the higher low, at the second breach of the previous swing high, or anywhere else inbetween is not Wyckoff's problem. It's up to the trader to decide based on his sensitivity to and analysis of market forces, on his risk tolerance, and on his skill.

 

In any case, this is how we begin the following day.

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

As one might expect after a trend day, particularly one worth so many points and which represented a substantial failure on the part of bulls, Thursday would not be and was not about drama.

 

But assuming that one had no bias toward the day, he would note first that the market was going to open (the red vertical bar) at or about the midpoint of the 5/1 upmove (1962). This, in and of itself, would be of secondary importance or less. The fact that that midpoint was on the same level as the low of the day on 5/6 might help to account for the level at which Thursday opens, but, again, it’s not all that important. What is more important is that price does not retest 1950 and ricochet off 1962, nor does it punch through 1962, test that, then rocket higher. Rather it just sits there, for an hour and a half, on moderately high but unremarkable and relatively featureless volume. Therefore, unless the trader wants to manufacture a trade, there’s really nothing to do unless and until support is tested on the one hand, or the nearest resistance at the midpoint of the previous day’s downmove (1978) is tested on the other.

 

The trader, after all, must remember that the proper entry here was at or near 1950 the previous day. Whether he took the entry or not is irrelevant. The market doesn’t care whether he took it or not. It only knows where he should have taken it. If he didn’t take it, he has to keep in mind that any other entry is second-best, if not third or worse. If he has a strategy for pyramiding, this may be the time to implement it. If he doesn’t, his choices are limited: wait and gauge the relative strengths of the bulls and bears or go ahead and buy with a very wide stop.

 

6324d1210310015-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image4.gif

 

Whether or not one buys the higher low that occurs between 1045 and 1100, one can now draw a demand line underneath that low, beginning with the previous day’s low. Note that this is a demand line, not a trend line. It tracks those levels at which demand enters the market and stops or turns price. Therefore, whether 17 hours’ worth of time bars are included or not is irrelevant. One can use P&F or, as here, he can use CVBs. Since only two “points” are needed, the line can be extended toward the EOD.

 

6325d1210310404-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image4a.gif

 

Once this line is plotted, it can be copied and another, parallel line placed at what has so far been the swing high. This is also extended toward the EOD so that the trader can monitor the behavior of price if and when it approaches this line.

 

6326d1210310404-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image4b.gif

 

Shortly after 1100, price does approach, then push through, this line, becoming “overbought” by virtue of having pushed through the line. A few minutes later, it pushes further to the midpoint of Wednesday’s downmove. If the trader were long, should he exit here? Should he go short? That depends on the trader. But this is where the bears gain the upper hand and turn price back, not out of the blue, but at the confluence of these two important levels (compare the time chart to the CVB chart).

 

6327d1210310468-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image4c.gif

 

Thereafter, price reverses at 1966, though there’s no way of knowing that it will, and volume does not provide a clue until price hits this level a second time, after lunch. Whether one closes his short and goes long here depends on how confident he is that support is to be found in this area. But the point of this is not to find trading opportunities per se; it is rather to gauge the relative strength of bulls and bears. So far, the bulls are in control as shown by the higher lows.

 

Price thereafter makes a higher high, again “overbought”, followed by a higher low. If one is going to trade this, volume does provide clues at turning points, but a central and perhaps more important concern is just how far bulls can push price. If it cannot reach the previous day’s midpoint, this suggests weakness. On the other hand, if it can get past the midpoint, this suggests strength, either of which carries implications for the following day’s trading. This second higher high at 1400 does push past the midpoint, suggesting strength. And it appears to make a higher low a half hour later.

 

However, price now drops below the demand line and is unable to push back through it for more than a couple of points for more than a few minutes. This represents a change in the dynamic between bulls and bears which, again, is the point of plotting these lines and monitoring the relationship of price to them and to the support represented by the previous day’s low and the resistance represented by the midpoint of the previous day’s downmove. Again, one can trade this and, yes, one can make money with it. But, according to Wyckoff, the likelihood of doing so is enhanced by being sensitive to this push and pull between demand and supply and being able to place all of it in the right context. Otherwise, one is more likely to be making random trades, i.e., gambling.

 

Here, again, the supply line is drawn first, then a parallel line is plotted underneath to track demand.

 

6328d1210310737-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image4d.gif

 

For those who follow the ES, note that it never even made it to the previous day's midpoint, much less establish a trend. The fact that it could not do so suggests weakness.

 

The red lines are the midpoints of the respective moves. The dotted line is both a support and a resistance line, depending on where price is in relation to it during this period. The black line is, of course, the midpoint of the post 4/18 trading range.

 

6329d1210336615-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image1a.gif

 

A couple more points regarding these charts.

 

1. The purpose behind drawing these lines is not to make the chart look pretty but to draw the trader's attention to those areas, zones, points, levels, whatever where price action is most likely to provide trading opportunities. Whether one draws lines, boxes, circles, arrows, or big, pointy fingers is irrelevant.

 

2. Once those areas, zones, points, etc are identified, volume becomes largely a non-event, i.e., one pays attention to it only at those areas, etc where it is most likely to mean something. That this point is so often overlooked is probably why so many people think volume is useless.

 

For example, using the 1m time bar chart I posted earlier, I've blown up the shaded area:

 

6334d1210361499-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image1b.gif

 

6335d1210361631-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image1c.gif

 

Until price reaches an area where a trading opportunity is most likely to occur, there's no reason to obsess over the minor ebbs and flows in volume. However, once trading opportunities are on the horizon, what might be considered directionless activity elsewhere suddenly becomes important.

 

Here, for example, when price comes back to 1966 the second time, the fact of the test is interesting enough. That it cannot make a lower low even with all the volume is even more interesting. The bullish boost at 1329-30 becomes more important because of what has come before, as does the volume recession when price pulls back to 1975. When another bullish boost occurs, beginning at 1352, it is significant, again, because of what has come before. And when price makes an attempt at a higher high at 1401 and volume isn't there, that again becomes significant because of what has become before and provides the "classic" double-top price-volume divergence setup for the short. Without the context, none of this matters, and volume is little more than traders going about their business. With the context, it becomes a high-probability short trade.

 

Update:

 

There is no end to the story, really, just chapter after chapter after chapter. I put this chart together to post elsewhere, but since it addresses "what happened next", I may as well include it here.

 

6429d1210904348-trade-discussion-and-analysis-image6.gif

 

The short takes you all the way to support at 1950, and even though the volume on the test is only slightly lighter than on the "climax", it's not heavier, either. Then afterward, a hinge. The long entry, in order to avoid whipsaws and feints, is on volume just above 1970, five bars past the point of the hinge (one can enter at the apex of the hinge, but this occurred just before the close; of course, this may not trouble some people :)).

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Scaling Out

 

There need to be criteria for exits. But the nearly universal problem that beginning traders have with regard to exits is a desire to trade all in then all out. Add to that the fact that they are nearly always trading with one contract or one lot, and you have a doomed setup.

 

The solution to exits is a simple one: trade as if you were trading five contracts or five lots and abandon the idea of being able to exit with all of them at the exact top or bottom. The goal is to make money, not to prove to oneself what a superior trader one is.

 

Then determine in advance where each of those contracts will be sold. For example, if one is trading support and resistance, sell the first contract at one or the other. Sell the second contract, for example, at the lower high or the break of the trendline, whichever comes first. Sell the third at whatever you didn't sell at for the second. Sell the fourth, for example, at a breach of the last swing low. Leave the fifth, for example, at breakeven.

 

Then sell the first contract at whatever point you predetermined and paper trade the other four. Do this for several months. When it becomes second nature, carry the second contract for real. Sell the first and second contracts at your predetermined points. Paper trade the remaining three.

 

And so on.

 

Simple.

 

No wringing of the hands, no thumb-twiddling, no head banging.

 

For example:

 

6154d1208876220-riding-the-wyckoff-wave-image1.gif

 

 

Note that (as stated on the chart) this particular sequence is used for those situations where R is indeterminate. If R has instead been determined, the remainder of the trade is exited at the target. Then preparations are made for the next trade, either a continuation into a new range or a reversal back into the old one.

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
This is something I have meant to ask you about for a while. While rectangles may provide a much truer picture of where S/R might lie they do present more challenges to the trader looking for trades. I think you coined the term 'preliminary climax' for the push that comes before the real one. Sometimes you may get a couple if the side in control just wont give up. Now what if all these are in the zone?

 

I guess one trades them all? You mentioned elsewhere that Wyckoff would have no qualms about entering and re-entering. If you get good trade location and apply decent money management principles you should get a scratch or even take some profits on a portion if that is your preference. Is this the answer, trade management.

 

Actually lines provide a similar challenges too because if price has visited somewhere a lot (i.e. it is 'real' S/R) there is likely to be 'clusters' of them resulting in a zone anyway.

 

I guess another way of putting this is if the S/R zones are pretty wide compared to the space between them they become less useful in there job of guiding the trader to where he should be looking for trades?

 

Not sure if this is the right place for this. I was going to post in your blog or PA thread. Feel free to link off somewhere if it's straying off topic here. I have given this quite a lot of thought, maybe its the old traders malaise of looking for 'certainty' where none exist. Still I would be appreciative of any thoughts you might have on this.

 

Cheers.

 

I think I used the term "potential climax". What appears to be a potential climax and turns out not to be THE climax is considered "preliminary support". W didn't know at the time whether the selling clmaxes were in fact selling climaxes until they were tested. Rather he went with what was in front of him and stayed open.

 

But an omnibus answer to your questions may be that the best trades are found at the extremes. Therefore, you wait for the extremes. I read somewhere recently -- and can't remember where -- having to do with MP, I believe, that most experienced traders will avoid trying to catch the tops and bottoms and focus on "the middle", waiting for confirmations to enter and confirmations to exit. This is likely what they were taught to do. However, since "the middle" is by definition where most of the trading is going on and is largely non-directional, there is also a lot of whipsawing in the middle, and that generates a lot of losing trades. One can sometimes avoid this by widening the stops, but, since the market always teaches us to do what will lose the most money, this will turn out to be an unproductive tactic.

 

W used a combination of events to tell him when a wave was reaching its natural crest or trough: the selling/buying climaxes, the tests, higher lows/lower highs, and so on, all confirmed by what the volume was doing and by the effect the volume had on price (effort and result). What auction market theory provides is the WHERE these events are taking place, providing an important clue as to whether they are culminating or merely preliminary. Since W was big on extremes (climaxes), support and resistance, stride, momentum, midpoints, etc., I do not view any of this as being off-topic at all. If anything, it's just a natural extension.

 

Dunnigan had this same issue, and it may have been for him the missing piece. TLo also had problems with this since she was (and I suppose still is) a Dunnigan fan. One can try to hit what appear at the time to be the important swings again and again and be stopped out again and again, hoping all the while that once one hits the true turning point, all the effort will turn out to have been worthwhile, and the P&L will change from red to black. But by waiting for the extremes, one avoids most or all of those losing trades, and even more important avoids trading counter-trend. These boxes -- which are simply a graphic variation of the MP distribution curve, whether skewed or not, or of the VAP pattern -- are nothing more than a means of locating those extremes. What I've found more useful about them is that they are encapsulated by time, i.e., the price and volume ranges have a beginning and an end. This enables me to see at a glance where the important S&R are, or at least are likely to be. Without them, one ends up with line after line after line until the S/R plots become a parody of themselves.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Awesome thread!

 

I'm tuned in and want to learn some wyckoff, to go along with my VSA and other things I've picked up in my 1 and a half years so far. I'm still a baby so I pick up new stuff each day, I love the wave and volume techniques.

 

Keep up the good work

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thanks. Even though Wyckoff provides truckloads of examples in his course, the principles are few, stemming from support/resistance, supply/demand, the price/volume relationship, and trend (or lack of it). If you can hang what you learn on these, they may help you stay organized.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thanks. Even though Wyckoff provides truckloads of examples in his course, the principles are few, stemming from support/resistance, supply/demand, the price/volume relationship, and trend (or lack of it). If you can hang what you learn on these, they may help you stay organized.

 

Well I had a light bulb moment on Friday. For the first 9 months I had a horrible "mentor" that had no clue, though I still respect that he helped me the best he could. From then it has been mainly allot of self learning and I'm finally getting to see things properly now. Thursday and Friday I wasn't at work and was able to devote 100% attention to the markets movement which proved to be what I needed.

 

Looking at the market as a slighted auction driven by the big money and chopping it into waves is crucial IMO. So the lightbulb went on when my mind saw volume and price action in the proper fashion, much clearer than I had before using VSA and trends alone, kind of a mixup of what all I've seen in probably 10-12 hours of screentime daily.

 

Another thought that clicked is that trending moves are emotional, and congestion is a balancing/thinking slice in time. Of course the consolidation is needed for a breather and gives us supply and demand zones and entry and stop triggers. :)

I had been trading in congestion zones for some time without really seeing the bigger picture or knowing it. Good traders prey on the emotions of others, in chop there isn't enough emotion to exploit beside scalping. Let the congestion break and take the emotional slice of price action to the next level of congestion and so on. This defines trend trading at its core, and though I "knew" it, I didn't quite see it properly.

 

Anyhow...enough rambling.

Thanks again, a few of your posts had a role in me making this transformation.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest forsearch
For the first 9 months I had a horrible "mentor" that had no clue, though I still respect that he helped me the best he could.

 

Why do you characterize this mentor as "horrible"? Does this equate to "unprofitable" or just a poor teacher?

 

...kind of a mixup of what all I've seen in probably 10-12 hours of screentime daily.

 

IMHO, perhaps the problem is one of too much screentime? Does a good trader really need that much time each day? Wouldn't 4-6 hours suffice?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Well I had a light bulb moment on Friday. For the first 9 months I had a horrible "mentor" that had no clue, though I still respect that he helped me the best he could. From then it has been mainly allot of self learning and I'm finally getting to see things properly now. Thursday and Friday I wasn't at work and was able to devote 100% attention to the markets movement which proved to be what I needed.

 

Looking at the market as a slighted auction driven by the big money and chopping it into waves is crucial IMO. So the lightbulb went on when my mind saw volume and price action in the proper fashion, much clearer than I had before using VSA and trends alone, kind of a mixup of what all I've seen in probably 10-12 hours of screentime daily.

 

Another thought that clicked is that trending moves are emotional, and congestion is a balancing/thinking slice in time. Of course the consolidation is needed for a breather and gives us supply and demand zones and entry and stop triggers. :)

I had been trading in congestion zones for some time without really seeing the bigger picture or knowing it. Good traders prey on the emotions of others, in chop there isn't enough emotion to exploit beside scalping. Let the congestion break and take the emotional slice of price action to the next level of congestion and so on. This defines trend trading at its core, and though I "knew" it, I didn't quite see it properly.

 

Anyhow...enough rambling.

Thanks again, a few of your posts had a role in me making this transformation.

 

Sounds like you had some real breakthroughs. Congratulations. Watching the bars move makes a big difference. You learn that it's not about the bars but about the flow. As for the auction part, MP brings a lot to the table. It's a nice fit.

 

But don't beat yourself up for taking what might have seemed like too much time to put it together. If you're a Voyager fan, think of the game that Tuvok enjoys so much (if "enjoy" is the right word): kal-toh. A piece here, a piece there, and suddenly it forms a "perfect sphere". Takes a lot of practice, though.

Edited by DbPhoenix

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Why do you characterize this mentor as "horrible"? Does this equate to "unprofitable" or just a poor teacher?

 

IMHO, perhaps the problem is one of too much screentime? Does a good trader really need that much time each day? Wouldn't 4-6 hours suffice?

 

I didn't know him personally, IMO he was NOT profitable. Or if he was profitable in the bull, the bear market likely wiped his a$$ out. Way too much ego and celebration on wins, and excuses on why he was holding losers. Also no consistency, we all know loss is often is a bi-product of being inconsistent. He had me chasing the grail with him, does that give you a further hint as to why it was NOT a good/productive experience?

 

In regards to screen time, I totally disagree. When you're profitable you shouldn't need a ton of screen time because you've found the flow and your "zone". You're in your element and trading what you know and see.

As a new trader you are looking and trying to find out what you should be seeing. It goes without saying that trying to find what you should see takes way more time than after you've developed your edge and intuition.

 

Are you telling me you spent limited time (4-6 hours) and tackled the market in a brief period? It's possible, I'm sure some are naturals. If you are a natural perhaps you should spend more time being thankful for your gift and less critiquing others learning curves. ;)

 

Thanks for the congrats DB, I'm not a pro or done evolving but I'm yet another step closer. Like you said, its all coming together through patience and perseverance.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

any new link to the 1910 book for download? already have DTB (if the 1910 is the same as DTB, I still want to download it for the sake of a classic =P).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest forsearch

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/fileshare/162498 should still work.

 

If not, do the legwork yourself and go to Google Books and search for it there.

 

-fs

 

P.S. to Mods: Can't attach pdf; File Attachments link is still not working for me here.

 

Note: since the copyright date has been settled and the link provided, the redundant posts have been deleted. If this is a problem, please PM me. (Db)

Edited by gassah

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest forsearch
I didn't know him personally, IMO he was NOT profitable. Or if he was profitable in the bull, the bear market likely wiped his a$$ out. Way too much ego and celebration on wins, and excuses on why he was holding losers. Also no consistency, we all know loss is often is a bi-product of being inconsistent. He had me chasing the grail with him, does that give you a further hint as to why it was NOT a good/productive experience?

 

Sounds like the guy over at ioamt.com. :o

 

IMHO, perhaps the problem is one of too much screentime? Does a good trader really need that much time each day? Wouldn't 4-6 hours suffice?

In regards to screen time, I totally disagree. When you're profitable you shouldn't need a ton of screen time because you've found the flow and your "zone". You're in your element and trading what you know and see.

 

I don't think we're in complete disagreement on this one. Unless you're OK with trading the dead zone at lunch time too.:missy:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I have but one question to DB or anyone using these ideas presented here - is anyone (DB included) using these Wyckoff related ideas to day trade in real-time? Some of the charts and ideas presented look great, but I'm curious how hard or easy this is to decipher in real-time, when it really matters.

 

I guess it's easy to see a trend day after the fact and easy to say ignore certain tests or whatever you want to call it, but I have to wonder how this operates in real-time conditions.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I do. Why would I mess with it otherwise? But it's not easy. Simple, but not easy.

 

I showed in the Cajas Famosas thread what I'll be looking at tomorrow morning. I'll short a choke at 40 or buy a break thru it. That's about it. If it doesn't test 40 at all, I doubt I'll do anything unless it tests 10 again. I have no idea what our friends will do :).

 

BTW, how come the CC is so quiet?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Similar Content

    • By vishnux
      Hey guys , what are the main things you look for to detect if the consolidation area is accumulating or distributing ? 
      1 ) I see springs in top , still markup happens and it becomes accumulation area and vice versa
      2) There is lots of volume absorption in support line and still markdown occurs.
      3) sometimes in market high / low it becomes re-accumulation  / re-distribution
      Is there any clear way to find it ? 
    • By millonmethod
      Hello everyone!
      I am an advanced trader, with many years of experience (about 15 years - 10 living exclusively from this)
      I am going to give you some tips that you must know:
      There are going to be many people who tell you that trade is easy, that with only crossiing a line  with another one you will win a lot of money.... and that´s not true.  No, Sir, reality is far away from that. Many people who start arrive here with the hope that someone "gives them" a free method, they watch youtube videos thinking that this will give them the "strategy" and in a few days they realize that it does not work for them - they lose money - and then They go looking for a new one ... and so on. YES, IT´S TRUE YOU EARN IN TRADING, A LOT. BUT THINK: for a few to win (10% + any BROKER) many others must lose (90% people). YOU MUST HAVE A MONEY MANAGMENT FORMULA ( you can email me) People study so many years to live on this, not because they are dumb, but to know what they do, when, and have absolute effectiveness. It´s very easy to get lost here: do not disperse, jumping from one to another strategy WILL NEVER give you money, it will only waste your time and make you nervous when trading. PEOPLE WHO CHANGE THEIR METHOD CONSTANTLY : LOOOOSE ALWAYS.   If you have the knowledge to develop it, take your time and do it.  Always try it first on DEMO for at least 2 weeks! If not: search to buy a solid strategy (no you tube videos pleassse ! Avoid losing money! ) This is like any business, it requires some capital to start (capital = money in the broker + solid made /purchased strategy) If you are lost: I RECOMMEND YOU NOT TO WASTE TIME IN YOUTUBE, JOIN PEOPLE WHO HAVE EXPERIENCE AND IF YOU ARE GOING TO BUY A METHOD ... PLEASE !!!! DO NOT BUY 10 BAD AND CHEAP METHODS, SAVE MONEY AND BUY ONLY 1 BUT EXCLUSIVE AND MUST ALLWAYS HAVE SUPPORT !!!!!  Do not buy Signals! They never keep up with constant profits! One week will win and the next will lose. Nothing that does not depend absolutely on you will give you the money you are looking for. And if you do not have a strategy (made or purchased) do not even try PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE: DO NOT USE REAL MONEY! AT LEAST 2 WEEK DEMO FREE HELP HERE!!!!!  IF YOU FOLLOW MY ADVICE YOU WILL BE PART OF THAT 10% WINNER, email me.
      Have a nice trading day
       
       
  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 3rd December 2024. High Bond Yields Boost Euro, But ECB Signals December Cut! The French government is close to collapse due to the French Prime Minister’s persistence on the latest budget. French bond yields rise to their highest since 2012 and the Euro attempts to correct upwards during this morning’s session. According to state central banks, the ECB will continue cutting interest rates in December. Is the current bullish Euro temporary? The SNP500 renewed its highs for a second consecutive day mainly due to gains from Meta, Tesla and Microsoft. EURUSD – ECB Members Indicate Cut For December! The US Dollar is declining in value against most currencies this morning after significant gains on Monday. However, the performance throughout the week will depend on the JOLTS Job Openings, ADP Employment Change, NFP and US Unemployment Rate. Positive dynamics have been unfolding amid Trump’s warning to BRICS nations against creating a currency alternative to the US Dollar, threatening 100% tariffs on their exports. Experts fear this signals a potential trade war with China, India, Russia, and others. Moscow countered that forcing reliance on the Dollar could erode its appeal as a reserve currency. Meanwhile, investors await November employment data. With private consumption rising (2.1% to 2.3%) and core inflation increasing (2.7% to 2.8%), further labor market strength could challenge a December rate cut of 25 basis points. Most experts still expect the Fed to proceed, but a pause in rate cuts is anticipated early next year. Currently, the Euro is the second best performing currency of the day behind the Australian Dollar. Many believe this is partially due to the competitive price and high Bond Yields. However, this can quickly change as the ECB’s dovishness and France’s political and budget crisis continue. ECB Governing Board member Yannis Stournaras indicated today that interest rates are likely to be cut further in December, with experts anticipating a 25 basis point reduction. For the Euro to maintain a buy signal in the short-term, the price will need to rise above $2,647.92 and this afternoon’s JOLTS Job Opening to fall below expectations. SNP500 – Stocks Reach All-Time High! The SNP500 so far this year is trading 27.50% higher and is at an all time high. This is mainly due to gains from Meta, Tesla and Microsoft. On Monday, 59% of the most influential stocks rose in value. Wedbush Securities reaffirmed an “Outperform” rating on Apple shares with a $300 target, citing a potential record 240 million iPhone sales in fiscal 2025, driven by the new Apple Intelligence AI feature. Last month, Apple reported $94.9 billion in revenue and $1.64 EPS, beating forecasts and last year’s figures. The performance of the SNP500 will depend on this week’s employment data, similar to the US Dollar. Most analysts believe the ideal scenario for the stock market is for the data to come in as expected. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • RBLX Roblox stock, nice rally off the 49.19 gap support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?RBLX
    • CTLT Catalent stockt, watch for a bull flag breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?CTLT
    • AAPL Apple stock, top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?AAPL
    • BYD Boyd Gaming stock watch, nice trend with a top of range breakout watch above 74.67 at https://stockconsultant.com/?BYD
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.