Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TheRumpledOne

Never Lose Again!! TheRumpledOne

Recommended Posts

23k6ss6.gif

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

rsabur.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Avery,

Thanks again for being on the show way back in 2006/2007. All your concepts revolve around one thing. You've generously created many indicators in an attempt to graphically display that one thing because different people learn in different ways.

 

If it could simply be explained I believe we both would have done so long ago.

 

You have to "see it" to believe it. You have to "believe it" to own it. You have to "own it" to profit from it.

 

Honestly....... it took a couple of years for it to reveal itself but now I can apply it to literally any market or any time frame. Thank you.

 

I don't use the indicators but I do use the "thing" every single trade and I am forever indebted to you and would love to have you back on the program again.

 

Happy Thanksgiving My Friend!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Avery,

Thanks again for being on the show way back in 2006/2007. All your concepts revolve around one thing. You've generously created many indicators in an attempt to graphically display that one thing because different people learn in different ways.

 

If it could simply be explained I believe we both would have done so long ago.

 

You have to "see it" to believe it. You have to "believe it" to own it. You have to "own it" to profit from it.

 

Honestly....... it took a couple of years for it to reveal itself but now I can apply it to literally any market or any time frame. Thank you.

 

I don't use the indicators but I do use the "thing" every single trade and I am forever indebted to you and would love to have you back on the program again.

 

Happy Thanksgiving My Friend!

 

Just let me know when you want me on your show again.

 

Please post what you SEE in your own words so it may help others to see.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ld6qa.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

24whk60.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just let me know when you want me on your show again.

 

Please post what you SEE in your own words so it may help others to see.

 

I saw the straight line. I remember asking you exactly where to put the horizontal line and your answer changed everything.

 

You said, "It doesn't matter".

 

The scales fell from my eyes as I fell out of my chair.

 

Next month the guy who wrote "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" will be on when his new release hits bookstore shelves. Want to be a part of that discussion?

 

Let me know...

 

Happy Holidays!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

243ri8m.gif

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

8waxqg.gif

 

 

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

 

 

============================================

 

 

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2ceoj74.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

All I see is levels. How do you know which side of the level have the better odds? I have not read through every post but from the earlier posts, it appears that the thesis is that there are many simple ways to get your levels to trade off, but which side should I be trading from? Is that discretional?

 

That IS the definable edge.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My apologies, I got it after reading more.. actually I think that method will probably perform as well as any out there and probably better than many due to the locations chosen to initiate when it comes to forex. I think my edge is bigger on ES but never had a good handle on forex.. wish I did..

 

All I see is levels. How do you know which side of the level have the better odds? I have not read through every post but from the earlier posts, it appears that the thesis is that there are many simple ways to get your levels to trade off, but which side should I be trading from? Is that discretional?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2e0rckj.gif

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
The RumpledOne,

In many ways I agree with your thesis in the way you approach trading as long as you have a definable edge in your directional bias. Do you have one? I'd like to hear it.

Thx,

TZ

 

Did you see the frequency distribution of the daily candle wicks on the same page as your post? That's the "edge"

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

118n8s1.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

20hamo0.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

rvfx3q.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

5uoluc.gif

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

========================= ===================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

34r9m9y.gif

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

========================= ===================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

21l741z.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • YUM Yum Brands stock, nice breakout with volume +34.5%, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?YUM
    • Date: 3rd April 2025.   Gold Prices Pull Back After Record High as Traders Eye Trump’s Tariffs.   Key Takeaways:   Gold prices retreated after hitting a record high of $3,167.57 per ounce due to profit-taking. President Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all US imports, escalating trade tensions. Gold remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Investors await US non-farm payroll data for further market direction. Fed rate cut bets and weaker US Treasury yields underpin gold’s bullish outlook. Gold Prices Retreat from Record Highs Amid Profit-Taking Gold prices saw a pullback on Thursday as traders opted to take profits following a historic surge. Spot gold declined 0.4% to $3,122.10 per ounce as of 0710 GMT, retreating from its fresh all-time high of $3,167.57. Meanwhile, US gold futures slipped 0.7% to $3,145.00 per ounce, reflecting broader market uncertainty over economic and geopolitical developments.   The recent rally was largely fueled by concerns over escalating trade tensions after President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping new import tariffs. The 10% baseline tariff on all goods entering the US further deepened the global trade conflict, intensifying investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, as traders locked in gains from the surge, prices saw a modest retracement.   Trump’s Tariffs and Their Market Implications On Wednesday, Trump introduced a sweeping tariff policy imposing a 10% baseline duty on all imports, with significantly higher tariffs on select nations. While this move was aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing, it sent shockwaves across global markets, fueling inflation concerns and heightening trade war fears.   Gold’s Role Amid Trade War Escalations Despite the widespread tariff measures, the White House clarified that reciprocal tariffs do not apply to gold, energy, and ‘certain minerals that are not available in the US’. This exemption suggests that central banks and institutional investors may continue favouring gold as a hedge against economic instability. One of the key factors supporting gold is the slowdown that these tariffs could cause in the US economy, which raises the likelihood of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Gold is currently in a pure momentum trade. Market participants are on the sidelines and until we see a significant shakeout, this momentum could persist.   Impact on the US Dollar and Bond Yields Gold prices typically move inversely to the US dollar, and the latest developments have pushed the dollar to its weakest level since October 2024. Market participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut, as the tariffs could weigh on economic growth.   Additionally, US Treasury yields have plummeted, reflecting growing recession fears. Lower bond yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it a more attractive investment.         Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Gold’s recent rally has pushed it into overbought territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70. This indicates a potential short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The immediate support level lies at $3,115, aligning with the Asian session low. A further decline could bring gold towards the $3,100 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong support zone. Below this, the $3,076–$3,057 region represents a critical weekly support range where buyers may re-enter the market. In the event of a more significant correction, $3,000 stands as a major psychological floor.   On the upside, gold faces immediate resistance at $3,149. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially leading to a retest of the record high at $3,167. If bullish momentum persists, the next target is the $3,200 psychological barrier, which could pave the way for further gains. Despite the recent pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, with dips likely to be viewed as buying opportunities.   Looking Ahead: Non-Farm Payrolls and Fed Policy Traders are closely monitoring Friday’s US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves. A weaker-than-expected jobs report may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut, further boosting gold prices.   Other key economic data releases, such as jobless claims and the ISM Services PMI, may also impact market sentiment in the short term. However, with rising geopolitical uncertainties, trade tensions, and a weakening US dollar, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains strong.   Conclusion: While short-term profit-taking may trigger minor corrections, gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish. As global trade tensions mount and the Federal Reserve leans toward a more accommodative stance, gold could see further gains in the months ahead.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Andria Pichidi HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • AMZN Amazon stock, nice buying at the 187.26 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMZN
    • DELL Dell Technologies stock, good day moving higher off the 90.99 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?DELL
    • MCK Mckesson stock, nice trend and continuation breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?MCK
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.