Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TheRumpledOne

Never Lose Again!! TheRumpledOne

Recommended Posts

For the rest of March, I will be using Twitter, FaceBook and some others sites instead of posting.

 

I want to learn and embrace the newer ways of disseminating information over the net.

 

You can folllow me, therumpledone, if you like.

 

In April, I'll decide if I will continue the newer ways.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

dear rumpled,

 

for a long time i couldn't understand your posts because they were too simple.

if you had said " within 20 pips of the low of the daily bar " it would have made more sense to me.

 

anyway... i appreciate your posts.

all those forums who have banned you are insane.

i thought big mike's trading was a good site until i saw that they had banned you and a few other intelligent posters.

 

thanks

elo

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  elovemer said:
dear rumpled,

 

for a long time i couldn't understand your posts because they were too simple.

if you had said " within 20 pips of the low of the daily bar " it would have made more sense to me.

 

anyway... i appreciate your posts.

all those forums who have banned you are insane.

i thought big mike's trading was a good site until i saw that they had banned you and a few other intelligent posters.

 

thanks

elo

 

Thanks for the hint about low of the DAILY BAR. Let's see if it helps others.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Please give me your opinion on trading without volume. Do you consider that volume is meaningless and for that reason you trade forex without reserve? Do you believe that you could trade another product better if you used your method and added a volume study to it? I guess I'm trying to see if you feel volume adds nothing to a probability based methodology. Thanks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  clmacdougall said:
Please give me your opinion on trading without volume. Do you consider that volume is meaningless and for that reason you trade forex without reserve? Do you believe that you could trade another product better if you used your method and added a volume study to it? I guess I'm trying to see if you feel volume adds nothing to a probability based methodology. Thanks

 

Unless the position size is extremely large, volume is of no concern in Forex. The stock market is different.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  elovemer said:

i thought big mike's trading was a good site until i saw that they had banned you and a few other intelligent posters.

elo

 

What are the other poster banned?

 

TheRumpledOne do you have your system in easylanguage?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thank You for your help with the indocators it means a lot to us beginners just to see and play around with indicators and trying to find the best that fits my personality. you saying you have 100's of free indicators, where can I find these indicators? thanks

 

Alex

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2u6ocg1.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

259zls5.gif

 

 

1) price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

2) red candle closes

 

3) green candle closes - note the high price of the green candle.

 

4) enter long at the green candle's high price

 

5) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS

 

6) Take whatever profit you can.

 

7) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern.

 

=============================================

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

=============================================

 

"The technique is so simple that just several lessons (or a few pages of explanations) cover it all. Now what? Now the student has to practice, practice and practice again to understand what he had been taught. The teacher DOES know much more than the student, but his understanding can't be "passed", "transferred" or taught in any way -- not even by reading books."

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

24o6n4k.gif

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2e31mo6.gif

 

1) price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

2) red candle closes

 

3) green candle closes - note the high price of the green candle.

 

4) enter long at the green candle's high price

 

5) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS

 

6) Take whatever profit you can.

 

7) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern.

 

=============================================

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

=============================================

 

"The technique is so simple that just several lessons (or a few pages of explanations) cover it all. Now what? Now the student has to practice, practice and practice again to understand what he had been taught. The teacher DOES know much more than the student, but his understanding can't be "passed", "transferred" or taught in any way -- not even by reading books."

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Phew...I have finally got to the end of this thread. Looks like a pretty straightforward way of trying to trade, there is some credit to anyone offering some or all their coded indicators/systems.

 

As a newbie trader myself, I would find blindly following anything too stressful, by this I mean it is important to understand and see the bigger picture in forex and why what is happening on the lower timeframes and time your entry/exit. The methods I have found that bring this bigger picture and an improvement for making profits and pips of somewhere in the region of 200 per week for me are trading patterns ABC / trendlines / sr etc on the gbp/usd in particular demark. You can get knocked up versions of demark at no cost.

 

Demark TLs will show you on the weekly/daily where price is heading if not now then eventually, so if your initial entry is off you will eventually come right, when to enter on a break on the 4hr/dly. Harmonic patterns can be found at KorHamonic and forex-std where there are some great coders for demark.

 

Everyday a currency pair will put in it's range, from the open if it goes up by more than 45pips I have read it usually continues in that direction with a 75% accuracy, which I have also found to be the case.

 

Hope this helps someone...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

311mni9.gif

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  TheRumpledOne said:

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

great line! thanks for these posts, i'm really learning alot. please post more often if you can there are alot of people just starting out that you are helping. thanks - mslk

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  TheRumpledOne said:
311mni9.gif

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

 

 

 

hello Rumbleone, been checking your post which is started from the beginning, i would like to know the name of the arrow indicators that appears on those candles, and also is that a regular semafor you used on your earlier post of a rebuilt one, i wouldnt mind if you send me those two indicators...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ildqfk.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

10z8ux3.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

First can I just say, I think you have been getting a rough deal in the past on other forums, and I'm sure I can speak for many others out there, when I say keep up the excellent work....

Please could I just ask one thing... where can I find an explanation of the purpose's and usage of all the indicators in the "Never Lose Again" file?

 

Many thanks, and keep up the good work.

 

BocaCrazy

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

wir8si.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2125z5d.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2lurzu8.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

33lcx7p.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 3rd April 2025.   Gold Prices Pull Back After Record High as Traders Eye Trump’s Tariffs.   Key Takeaways:   Gold prices retreated after hitting a record high of $3,167.57 per ounce due to profit-taking. President Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all US imports, escalating trade tensions. Gold remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Investors await US non-farm payroll data for further market direction. Fed rate cut bets and weaker US Treasury yields underpin gold’s bullish outlook. Gold Prices Retreat from Record Highs Amid Profit-Taking Gold prices saw a pullback on Thursday as traders opted to take profits following a historic surge. Spot gold declined 0.4% to $3,122.10 per ounce as of 0710 GMT, retreating from its fresh all-time high of $3,167.57. Meanwhile, US gold futures slipped 0.7% to $3,145.00 per ounce, reflecting broader market uncertainty over economic and geopolitical developments.   The recent rally was largely fueled by concerns over escalating trade tensions after President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping new import tariffs. The 10% baseline tariff on all goods entering the US further deepened the global trade conflict, intensifying investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, as traders locked in gains from the surge, prices saw a modest retracement.   Trump’s Tariffs and Their Market Implications On Wednesday, Trump introduced a sweeping tariff policy imposing a 10% baseline duty on all imports, with significantly higher tariffs on select nations. While this move was aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing, it sent shockwaves across global markets, fueling inflation concerns and heightening trade war fears.   Gold’s Role Amid Trade War Escalations Despite the widespread tariff measures, the White House clarified that reciprocal tariffs do not apply to gold, energy, and ‘certain minerals that are not available in the US’. This exemption suggests that central banks and institutional investors may continue favouring gold as a hedge against economic instability. One of the key factors supporting gold is the slowdown that these tariffs could cause in the US economy, which raises the likelihood of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Gold is currently in a pure momentum trade. Market participants are on the sidelines and until we see a significant shakeout, this momentum could persist.   Impact on the US Dollar and Bond Yields Gold prices typically move inversely to the US dollar, and the latest developments have pushed the dollar to its weakest level since October 2024. Market participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut, as the tariffs could weigh on economic growth.   Additionally, US Treasury yields have plummeted, reflecting growing recession fears. Lower bond yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it a more attractive investment.         Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Gold’s recent rally has pushed it into overbought territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70. This indicates a potential short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The immediate support level lies at $3,115, aligning with the Asian session low. A further decline could bring gold towards the $3,100 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong support zone. Below this, the $3,076–$3,057 region represents a critical weekly support range where buyers may re-enter the market. In the event of a more significant correction, $3,000 stands as a major psychological floor.   On the upside, gold faces immediate resistance at $3,149. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially leading to a retest of the record high at $3,167. If bullish momentum persists, the next target is the $3,200 psychological barrier, which could pave the way for further gains. Despite the recent pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, with dips likely to be viewed as buying opportunities.   Looking Ahead: Non-Farm Payrolls and Fed Policy Traders are closely monitoring Friday’s US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves. A weaker-than-expected jobs report may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut, further boosting gold prices.   Other key economic data releases, such as jobless claims and the ISM Services PMI, may also impact market sentiment in the short term. However, with rising geopolitical uncertainties, trade tensions, and a weakening US dollar, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains strong.   Conclusion: While short-term profit-taking may trigger minor corrections, gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish. As global trade tensions mount and the Federal Reserve leans toward a more accommodative stance, gold could see further gains in the months ahead.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Andria Pichidi HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • AMZN Amazon stock, nice buying at the 187.26 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMZN
    • DELL Dell Technologies stock, good day moving higher off the 90.99 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?DELL
    • MCK Mckesson stock, nice trend and continuation breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?MCK
    • lmfx just officially launched their own LMGX token, Im planning to grab a couple of hundred and maybe have the option to stake them. 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.