Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TheRumpledOne

Never Lose Again!! TheRumpledOne

Recommended Posts

For the rest of March, I will be using Twitter, FaceBook and some others sites instead of posting.

 

I want to learn and embrace the newer ways of disseminating information over the net.

 

You can folllow me, therumpledone, if you like.

 

In April, I'll decide if I will continue the newer ways.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

dear rumpled,

 

for a long time i couldn't understand your posts because they were too simple.

if you had said " within 20 pips of the low of the daily bar " it would have made more sense to me.

 

anyway... i appreciate your posts.

all those forums who have banned you are insane.

i thought big mike's trading was a good site until i saw that they had banned you and a few other intelligent posters.

 

thanks

elo

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
dear rumpled,

 

for a long time i couldn't understand your posts because they were too simple.

if you had said " within 20 pips of the low of the daily bar " it would have made more sense to me.

 

anyway... i appreciate your posts.

all those forums who have banned you are insane.

i thought big mike's trading was a good site until i saw that they had banned you and a few other intelligent posters.

 

thanks

elo

 

Thanks for the hint about low of the DAILY BAR. Let's see if it helps others.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Please give me your opinion on trading without volume. Do you consider that volume is meaningless and for that reason you trade forex without reserve? Do you believe that you could trade another product better if you used your method and added a volume study to it? I guess I'm trying to see if you feel volume adds nothing to a probability based methodology. Thanks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Please give me your opinion on trading without volume. Do you consider that volume is meaningless and for that reason you trade forex without reserve? Do you believe that you could trade another product better if you used your method and added a volume study to it? I guess I'm trying to see if you feel volume adds nothing to a probability based methodology. Thanks

 

Unless the position size is extremely large, volume is of no concern in Forex. The stock market is different.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

i thought big mike's trading was a good site until i saw that they had banned you and a few other intelligent posters.

elo

 

What are the other poster banned?

 

TheRumpledOne do you have your system in easylanguage?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Thank You for your help with the indocators it means a lot to us beginners just to see and play around with indicators and trying to find the best that fits my personality. you saying you have 100's of free indicators, where can I find these indicators? thanks

 

Alex

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2u6ocg1.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

259zls5.gif

 

 

1) price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

2) red candle closes

 

3) green candle closes - note the high price of the green candle.

 

4) enter long at the green candle's high price

 

5) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS

 

6) Take whatever profit you can.

 

7) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern.

 

=============================================

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

=============================================

 

"The technique is so simple that just several lessons (or a few pages of explanations) cover it all. Now what? Now the student has to practice, practice and practice again to understand what he had been taught. The teacher DOES know much more than the student, but his understanding can't be "passed", "transferred" or taught in any way -- not even by reading books."

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

24o6n4k.gif

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2e31mo6.gif

 

1) price within 20 pips of the daily low - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

2) red candle closes

 

3) green candle closes - note the high price of the green candle.

 

4) enter long at the green candle's high price

 

5) STOP LOSS IS 10 PIPS

 

6) Take whatever profit you can.

 

7) If the rules do not mention it, then it is of no concern.

 

=============================================

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

=============================================

 

"The technique is so simple that just several lessons (or a few pages of explanations) cover it all. Now what? Now the student has to practice, practice and practice again to understand what he had been taught. The teacher DOES know much more than the student, but his understanding can't be "passed", "transferred" or taught in any way -- not even by reading books."

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Phew...I have finally got to the end of this thread. Looks like a pretty straightforward way of trying to trade, there is some credit to anyone offering some or all their coded indicators/systems.

 

As a newbie trader myself, I would find blindly following anything too stressful, by this I mean it is important to understand and see the bigger picture in forex and why what is happening on the lower timeframes and time your entry/exit. The methods I have found that bring this bigger picture and an improvement for making profits and pips of somewhere in the region of 200 per week for me are trading patterns ABC / trendlines / sr etc on the gbp/usd in particular demark. You can get knocked up versions of demark at no cost.

 

Demark TLs will show you on the weekly/daily where price is heading if not now then eventually, so if your initial entry is off you will eventually come right, when to enter on a break on the 4hr/dly. Harmonic patterns can be found at KorHamonic and forex-std where there are some great coders for demark.

 

Everyday a currency pair will put in it's range, from the open if it goes up by more than 45pips I have read it usually continues in that direction with a 75% accuracy, which I have also found to be the case.

 

Hope this helps someone...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

311mni9.gif

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

great line! thanks for these posts, i'm really learning alot. please post more often if you can there are alot of people just starting out that you are helping. thanks - mslk

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
311mni9.gif

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

 

 

 

hello Rumbleone, been checking your post which is started from the beginning, i would like to know the name of the arrow indicators that appears on those candles, and also is that a regular semafor you used on your earlier post of a rebuilt one, i wouldnt mind if you send me those two indicators...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

ildqfk.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

10z8ux3.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

First can I just say, I think you have been getting a rough deal in the past on other forums, and I'm sure I can speak for many others out there, when I say keep up the excellent work....

Please could I just ask one thing... where can I find an explanation of the purpose's and usage of all the indicators in the "Never Lose Again" file?

 

Many thanks, and keep up the good work.

 

BocaCrazy

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

wir8si.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2125z5d.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2lurzu8.gif

 

"Look, for example, at this elegant little experiment. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze with a few morsels of food placed on either the far right or left side of the enclosure. The placement of the food is randomly determined, but the dice is rigged: over the long run, the food was placed on the left side sixty per cent of the time. How did the rat respond? It quickly realized that the left side was more rewarding. As a result, it always went to the left, which resulted in a sixty percent success rate. The rat didn't strive for perfection. It didn't search for a Unified Theory of the T-shaped maze, or try to decipher the disorder. Instead, it accepted the inherent uncertainty of the reward and learned to settle for the best possible alternative.

 

The experiment was then repeated with Yale undergraduates. Unlike the rat, their swollen brains stubbornly searched for the elusive pattern that determined the placement of the reward. They made predictions and then tried to learn from their prediction errors. The problem was that there was nothing to predict: the randomness was real. Because the students refused to settle for a 60 percent success rate, they ended up with a 52 percent success rate. Although most of the students were convinced they were making progress towards identifying the underlying algorithm, they were actually being outsmarted by a rat."

 

P64 HOW WE DECIDE (italics added)

 

========================= ====================

 

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

 

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

 

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

 

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

 

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

 

=============================================

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20): This is OPPORTUNITY

 

============================================

 

WHY ISN'T EVERYBODY DOING IT?

 

Most of you know I catch a lot of flak on my forums because SOME PEOPLE don't like the way I post.

 

One worn out argument that is used repeatedly is, "If this is so (simple, great, profitable, ), then why isn't everybody doing it?"

 

Simple answer is because SOYLENT GREEN is people!

 

We all know exercise is great, but how many actually exercise?

 

We all know smoking is bad, but how many do it anyway?

 

We all know which foods are bad for our health, but how many eat those foods?

 

We all know that we should save for our future and spend less than we earn but who does that?

 

The list is almost endless.

 

As long as there are people, there will always be some STUPID people and some smart people making STUPID decisions, where STUPID is defined as knowing better but acting otherwise.

 

Meanwhile, the RATS are still beating the Yale students.

 

=============================================

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

33lcx7p.gif

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) Price within 20 pips of the daily low (ClLo < 20) - that is OPPORTUNITY

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

The important part is to enter WITHIN 20 pips of the daily low. The RAT REVERSAL is only one entry method.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

Trading is GUESSING. If it wasn't, you wouldn't need a STOP LOSS.

 

THINK ABOUT IT!!

 

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

MAXIMUM RISK = 2% * ACCOUNT BALANCE.

 

STOP LOSS = 10 PIPS. (INCLUDING SPREAD)

 

POSITION SIZE = RISK / STOP LOSS.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

1) To trade like a RAT is to ALWAYS trade in ONE DIRECTION - either LONG or SHORT. Once you pick a "team", you can't switch.

 

2) The "within 20 pips of the daily high/low" is the BEST possible entry to get the maximum run BUT the RAT REVERSAL entry works ANYWHERE on the chart.

 

<-------------------------------------------------------------------->

 

PLEASE DO NOT PM ME WITH QUESTIONS ABOUT TRADING, INDICATORS, CODING, ETC... Post your questions in the forum. Thank you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • HLF Herbalife stock, watch for a bull flag breakout above 9.02 at https://stockconsultant.com/?HLF
    • Date: 1st April 2025.   Will Gold’s Rally Hold Strong as New Trade Tariffs Take Effect Tomorrow?   Gold continues to increase in value for a sixth consecutive day and is trading more than 17% higher in 2025. Amid fear of higher inflation, a recession and the tariffs war escalating investors continue to invest into Gold pushing demand higher. The trade policy from April 2nd onwards continues to be a key factor for the whole market. Can Gold maintain its upward trend? Trade Policy From Tomorrow Onwards Starting as soon as tomorrow, a 25% tariff will be imposed on all passenger cars imported into the United States. While this White House policy is anticipated to negatively affect European industrial performance, it will also lead to higher transportation and maintenance costs for everyday American taxpayers. The negative impact expected on both the EU and US is one of the reasons investors continue to buy Gold. Additionally, last month, President Donald Trump announced reciprocal sanctions against any trade partners that impose import restrictions on US goods. Furthermore, tariffs on products from Canada and the EU could increase even more if they attempt to coordinate a response. Overall, investors continue to worry that new trade barriers will prompt retaliatory measures, particularly from China, the Eurozone, and Japan. Any retaliation is likely to escalate the trade conflict and prompt another reaction from the US. Experts at Goldman Sachs and other investment banks warn that this will lead to rising inflation and unemployment. They also caution that it could effectively halt economic growth in the US.   XAUUSD 1-Hour Chart   The Weakness In The US Dollar Another factor which is allowing the price of XAUUSD to increase in value is the US Dollar which has been unable to maintain any bullish momentum. Despite last week’s Core PCE Price Index rising to its highest level since February 2024, the US Dollar has been unable to see any significant rise in value. Due to the US Dollar and Gold's inverse correlation, the price of Gold is benefiting from the Dollar weakness. Investors worry that new trade barriers will prompt retaliatory measures from China, the Eurozone, and Japan, potentially escalating the conflict. Experts at The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. believe that such actions by the US administration will drive rising inflation and unemployment while effectively halting economic growth in the country. Can Gold Maintain Momentum? When it comes to technical analysis, the price of Gold is not trading at a price where oscillators are indicating the instrument is overbought. The Relative Strength Index currently trades at 68.88, outside of the overbought area, since Gold’s price fell 0.65% during this morning’s session. However, even with this decline, the price still remains 0.40% higher than the day’s open price. In terms of fundamental analysis, there continues to be plenty of factors indicating the price could continue to rise. However, the price movement of the week will also partially depend on the employment data from the US. The US is due to release the JOLTS Job Vacancies for February this afternoon, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change tomorrow, and the NFP Change and Unemployment Rate on Friday. If all data reads higher than expectations, investors may look to sell to lock in profits at the high price. Key Takeaway Points: Gold’s Rally Continues – Up 17% in 2025 as investors seek safety from inflation, recession fears, and trade tensions. Trade War Impact – New US tariffs and potential retaliation from China, the EU, and Japan drive uncertainty, boosting Gold demand. Weak US Dollar – The Dollar’s struggle supports Gold’s rise due to their inverse correlation. Gold’s Outlook – Uptrend may continue, but US jobs data could trigger profit-taking. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 31st March 2025.   Trump Confirms Tariffs on All Countries, Sending Stocks Lower.   The NASDAQ continues to trade lower due to the US confirming the latest tariffs will be on all countries. In addition to this, bearish volatility also is largely due to the higher inflation data from Friday. The NASDAQ declines to its lowest price since September 11th 2024. Core PCE Price Index - Inflation Increases Again! The PCE Price Index read 2.5% aligning with expert forecasts not triggering any alarm bells. However, the Core PCE Price Index rose from 0.3% to 0.4% MoM and from 2.7% to 2.8% YoY, signalling growing inflationary pressure. This increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. The NASDAQ fell 2.60% due to the higher inflation reading which is known to pressure the stock market due to pressure on consumer demand and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Boston Fed President Susan Collins recently commented that tariffs could drive up inflation, though the long-term impact remains uncertain. She told journalists that a short-term spike is the most probable outcome but believes the current pause in monetary policy adjustments is appropriate given the prevailing uncertainties. Although, certain investment banks such as JP Morgan actually believe the Federal Reserve will be forced into cutting rates. This is due to expectations that the economy will struggle under the new trade policy. For example, JP Morgan expects the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts but will quickly cut towards the end of 2025. Market Risk Appetite Takes a Hit! A big factor for the day is the drop in the risk appetite of investors. This can be seen from the VIX which is up almost 6%, Gold which is trading 1.30% higher and the Japanese Yen which is the day’s best performing currency. Most safe haven assets, bar the US Dollar, increase in value. It is also worth noting that all indices are decreasing in value during this morning's Asian session with the Nikkei225 and NASDAQ witnessing the strongest decline. Previously the stock market rose in value as investors heard rumours that tariffs would only be on certain countries. This bullish swing occurred between March 14th and 25th. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump indicated that the upcoming tariffs would apply to all countries, not just those with the largest trade imbalances with the US. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis In terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ continues to obtain indications that sellers control the price action. The price opens on a bearish price gap measuring 0.30% and trades below all Moving Averages on all timeframes. The NASDAQ also trades below the VWAP and almost 100% of the most influential components (stocks) are declining in value.     The next significant support level is at $18,313, and the resistance level stands at $20,367.95. Key Takeaway Points: NASDAQ falls to its lowest since September 2024 as the US confirms tariffs on all countries, adding to inflation concerns. Core PCE inflation rises to 0.4% MoM and 2.8% YoY, increasing the likelihood of prolonged high interest rates. Investor risk appetite drops as VIX jumps 6%, gold gains 1.3%, and safe-haven assets outperform. NASDAQ shows strong bearish momentum, trading below key technical levels with support at $18,313 and resistance at $20,367.95. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • PM Philip Morris stock, top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?PM
    • EXC Exelon stock, nice range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?EXC
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.