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Soultrader

Extreme Pessimism - Potential Rally?

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Taking a look here at the $VIX and ES. The first chart shows the overlay of the $VIX and ES... notice the extreme readings in the $VIX usually led to a rally. Look at where the$VIX is now. There is extreme pessimism in the markets. Many S&P traders will pay closer attention to the trend of the $VIX. The trend on the $VIX is still upwards creating higher highs and higher lows, and would preferably want to see the $VIX start trending downwards before calling bottoms.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=8362&stc=1&d=1224484561

 

However, take a look at the ES during these times of extreme $VIX readings. We had heavy volume over the past month will the ES finally creating a higher low on the 16th of October.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=8363&stc=1&d=1224484561

 

Buying appeared on the tech sector as well creating a double bottom support. Somewhat positive on the short term.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=8364&stc=1&d=1224484799

 

Taking a look at the Nikkei today. Surpsingly positive, following through from Fridays US action but also leading the way. I am expecting this to follow through into Europe and US today.

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=8365&stc=1&d=1224484899

vix.thumb.jpg.86c4c53c60163a8c6151e6f061bca6c6.jpg

es.jpg.bb658d91adb093297a55215e25bddf66.jpg

tech.jpg.64cf36a79eff62e710acf0e743b94431.jpg

n225.jpg.9c50364d46559dfb301f5f01309d2efb.jpg

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