Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TraderBG

Time to Go Live

Recommended Posts

OK, so I've been training and preparing for this moment for well over 3 years now. I've been consistently profitable on paper for many months. I feel I have firmly established my edge in the market based on my own observation and statistical analysis (not others) and am capitalized enough to meet my risk parameters for my style of trading. I will be going live sometime either next week or the week after. This isn't the first time I've traded live but it is the first time I will be trading with a clear edge.

 

My question may seem kind of lame to some but I'm wondering what's the best way to mentally prepare for the transition? I'm known to operate like a machine in situations like this but for me there is no such thing as over preparation. I want to minimize the pain of transition the best I can so any advice from others will be greatly appreciated.

 

FYI I'm 24 years old and I will be daytrading index futures if that matters.

 

Thanks for any advice!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Don't over analyze it too much and just do it. When shit hits the fan, remember that you know what you're doing and stay cool. After a while, you'll hate the concept of paper trading. Two years ago, the thought of live capital was worrisome. Now, I always use live capital simply because you learn so much more.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Stop overthinking it, sounds like you're ready to go IMO. :)

You're at the stage I am with prior live trading experience on all but random market timing. I also have been working on my edge and turned consistent profit on simulated trading. I intend to fund my account in the next week or 2 once I finish some other chores up in my personal dealings.

 

Just be sure you have the full biz plan including hedging strategies and all that good protective stuff.

 

And I won't wish you "good luck" because it sounds like you're going to have better than random results. :cool:

 

Added---

Damn, James beat me to it and had the same message. Oh well, I know I'm in good company prep wise then. :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  TraderBG said:
OK, so I've been training and preparing for this moment for well over 3 years now. I've been consistently profitable on paper for many months. I feel I have firmly established my edge in the market based on my own observation and statistical analysis (not others) and am capitalized enough to meet my risk parameters for my style of trading. I will be going live sometime either next week or the week after. This isn't the first time I've traded live but it is the first time I will be trading with a clear edge.

 

 

Seems to be like you spent a lot more time preparing and papertrading than most people do. Which is great!

 

Just a couple of other things to reconsider. Do you have a backup plan, in case:

 

(a) you lose connection to your broker while you just entered a position but not yet placed a stop?

(b) you lose connection to internet while you just entered a position but not yet placed a stop?

© your PC or your platform locks up completely and you face a hard disk drive failure?

(d) the exchange goes down and you see other correlated markets plunge while you are in a long position and when the exchange opens again you're guaranteed to have your stop triggered and take a major hit?

(e) your first 5 trades are losers straight out of the box?

(f) you accidentally forgot to close out your position on Friday night, and now you are long over the weekend while some devastating news comes out on Sunday? (not a personal example lol!)

(g) your broker doubles the margins while you are in a position but don't have enough reserve to stay in that position and you're about to receive a liquidation call?

(h) a combination of any of the above...?

 

I hope your trading career will be long and prosperous :)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I thank you all for your advice and encouragement. I've read over each post and am considering each one carefully.

 

smwinc brings up an interesting point which makes me wonder: Since I've done so much of my learning during an extremely volatile period, I wonder if this will this help me or hurt me in the long run?

 

Thanks again to all of you.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Apply what you've learned while we're still in a more 'volatile' period and when 'volatility' calms adapt and learn to thrive in that environment.

 

The only traders who aren't learning are the ones who have left trading completely.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  TraderBG said:
I thank you all for your advice and encouragement. I've read over each post and am considering each one carefully.

 

smwinc brings up an interesting point which makes me wonder: Since I've done so much of my learning during an extremely volatile period, I wonder if this will this help me or hurt me in the long run?

 

Thanks again to all of you.

 

I feel this is the prime time to learn and watch the market. I'm thankful I came in just about 2 years ago so I say a chunk of a bull and the full bear to date. I think from watching this insanity you really learn to respect the market just like mother nature...if not you blow out. It's simple as that. You've put in lots of time and effort, I expect updates here so we know how well your work pays off. I think you're gonna do quite well thanks to all your preparation. :)

 

Good luck

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
  TraderBG said:
I wonder if this will this help me or hurt me in the long run?

 

 

IMO it doesn't matter when you enter this business. It's not timing the business it's time IN the business that matters.

 

If you sat by and waited for the prime time to be trading, you'd never take the jump. There's ALWAYS a reason to not trade - too much volatility, volatility dried up, it's summer, it's winter, a holiday around the corner, oil is up, oil is down, the fed is raising rates, the fed is bailing out banks, the housing market is in the tank... You'll never find a perfect time to start trading.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • META stock watch, local support and resistance areas at 507.48, 557.84 at https://stockconsultant.com/?META
    • TMUS T-Mobile stock, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?TMUS
    • KULR KULR Technology stock watch, pullback to 1.25 triple support area with bullish indicators at https://stockconsultant.com/?KULR
    • PM Philip Morris stock, nice bull flag breakout with volume +91% at https://stockconsultant.com/?PM
    • Date: 4th April 2025.   USDJPY Falls to 25-Week Low as Safe Havens Surge and Markets Eye NFP Data.   Safe haven currencies and the traditional alternative to the US Dollar continue to increase in value while the Dollar declines. Investors traditionally opt to invest in the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc at times of uncertainty and when they wish to avoid the Dollar. The Japanese Yen continues to be the best-performing currency of the week and of the day. Will this continue to be the case after today’s US employment figures?   USDJPY - NFP Data And Trade Negotiations The USDJPY is currently trading at a 25-week low and is witnessing one of its strongest declines this week. The exchange rate is no longer obtaining indications from the RSI that the price is oversold. The current bullish swing is obtaining indications of divergence as the price fails to form a higher high. Therefore, short-term momentum is in favour of the US Dollar, but there are still signs the Japanese Yen can regain momentum quickly.       USDJPY 1-Hour Chart     The price movement of the exchange rate in both the short and long term will depend on 3 factors. Today’s US employment data, next week’s inflation rate and most importantly the progress of negotiations between the US and trade partners. If today’s Unemployment Rate increases above 4.1%, the reading will be the highest seen so far in 2025. Currently, the market expects the Unemployment Rate to remain at 4.1% and the Non-Farm Payroll Change to add 137,000 jobs. The average NFP reading this year so far has been 194,000.   If data does not meet expectations, US investors may continue to increase exposure away from the Dollar and to other safe-haven assets. Previously investors were expecting only 2 rate cuts this year from the Federal Reserve, however, most investors now expect up to 4. If today’s employment data deteriorates, economists advise the Federal Reserve may opt to cut interest rates sooner.   Therefore, it is important to note that today’s NFP will influence the USDJPY to a large extent. Whereas in the longer-term, trade negotiations will steal the spotlight. If trade partners are able to negotiate the US Dollar can correct back upwards. Whereas, if other countries retaliate and do not negotiate the US Dollar will remain weak.   USDJPY - The Yen and the Bank of Japan The Japanese Yen is the best-performing currency in 2025 increasing by 6.70% so far. Risk indicators such as the VIX and High-Low Indexes continue to worsen which is positive for the JPY as a safe haven currency.   Yesterday Japan released March business activity data that came in weaker than expected: the Services PMI dropped from 53.7 to 50.0, while the Composite PMI fell from 52.0 to 48.9. The data is the lowest in two years. These figures could hinder further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. However, most economists still expect the Bank Of Japan to hike at least once more. It's also important to note, that even if the BOJ opts for a prolonged pause, a cut is not likely.   Additionally, a 24% tariff was imposed on Japanese exports to the US yesterday. Prime Minister Mr Ishiba expressed disappointment over Japan's failure to secure a tariff exemption and pledged support measures to help domestic industries manage the impact.   Key Takeaway Points: US Dollar Weakens, Safe Havens Rise: The Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc continue to gain as investors shift away from the US Dollar. USDJPY Under Pressure: USDJPY trades at a 25-week low, with short-term momentum favouring the Dollar but long-term trends pointing to potential Yen strength. NFP and Unemployment Crucial: Today’s Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment figures will heavily influence short-term USDJPY. On the other hand, trade negotiations will dictate longer-term trends. Japan Faces Mixed Signals: Despite weak PMI data and new US tariffs, the Japanese Yen remains strong. Economists expect at least one more rate hike from the Bank of Japan, but no cuts are in sight. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.