Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

jonbig04

Jonbig04's Log

Recommended Posts

Took a stop today for -1.25. Saw the small move of 2 or so points, obviously I wanted more. Just goes to show that the level was correct, but price had other ideas. which is ok because if it was going to take of higher, it would ave done so at my level...or a good chance at least.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Trying to do a stop run study. Too often do vol spikes occur just before a large move. As atto pointed out, there's no way to tell if that's a stop run or a break out. Or is there? I'm trying to see if I can distinguish them with any profitability. As with any system, its difficult to define specifically what you are looking for because if you wait for all criterion to be met, your fill is shit. With a 1 point stop, i can't afford crappy fill. Worked on this all last night with moderate success. I'm going to play around with it for the rest of the day. Im trying to focus on what price is doing, what a stop run IS and what it means in terms of supply and demand-how can I use that info to find them and get the killer entries that result? hmm.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think I'm on to something with this stop-run study. Im sick of charts right now, will likely continue the study tomorrow between trades. It's helpful because its looking like the stop run strategy works decently on months when my s/r picking is great (and is my net), but does very well when my s/r picking my be a little off, making up the slack. Anyways I don't want to get ahead of myself, but I think its a sound concept. I know I can get killer trades with a 1 point stop using the 5 sec and stop run hunting may be one way to do it.

 

 

As far as trading tomorrow goes...my TL has never been in danger and was bounced off of on 5/7 at 15:34 at 898. I have a major area at 940. May try to get a long in in the AM if I can, other wise I must wait. Does appear to be some R up here in the 925s, but my guess it that it will break to the upside, we'll see.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

finished my stop study, it works pretty well. Just another way of re-entering so no big changes there. NO trades today, this is all no mans land to me-which sucks.

 

I'm going to study my targets. I tested everything out with static targets, but we all know they suck. my average win is 9ES, but i know with this time frame I can aim for much, much more.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looking back at the week, I was able to catch the LOD once and I netted 10 from that. The next day my short was stopped 2 ticks below the HOD, the day after my short was stopped 1 point below the HOD, and today my short was stopped 2 ticks below the HOD. The purpose of this isn't to brag or rant, but rather recognize a weakness and try to fix it. The problem is simple. I am still getting my stop run. I cannot simply enter higher, because sometimes I miss the move by missing the fill. today for example, I missed fill on a long by 2 ticks. All of these trades would have netted me 9 ES. I don't expect to catch them all, but it seems like I should have been able to capitalize more off of them. I have developed stop-run rules that makeme more profitable, but I want to be an expert. I want to be able to know with 75% certainty when I see a stop run. I HATE the idea of having my stop run and not getting back in. What am I some loser noob who has no idea whats going on? Apparently. Bah. My work is cut out for me.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

No Reply.

 

I had a question for you, but I realised the answer, after examining you're most recent attached pictures.

Edited by CazMoney
Realised the answer to my initial question.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

haha, tell me about it. No, i think you're misunderstanding. What I mean is a few times I was short, then got stopped out just under the HOD. Meaning after stopping out my short by a few ticks, the market went down for the rest of the day. click the pics to see what i mean.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yeah sorry, I realsied that after I posted my question. So there's no confusion, my initial question was:

 

Why are you putting your stops "Below" the HOD. "

 

I then examined your posts and realised you were getting stopped prior to the HOD being made.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

microtrader takes tiny bit out of the market

macrotrader takes bite out of the market

 

 

don't use macro analysis to do micro trades,

and vis versa

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • YUM Yum Brands stock, nice breakout with volume +34.5%, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?YUM
    • Date: 3rd April 2025.   Gold Prices Pull Back After Record High as Traders Eye Trump’s Tariffs.   Key Takeaways:   Gold prices retreated after hitting a record high of $3,167.57 per ounce due to profit-taking. President Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all US imports, escalating trade tensions. Gold remains exempt from reciprocal tariffs, reinforcing its safe-haven appeal. Investors await US non-farm payroll data for further market direction. Fed rate cut bets and weaker US Treasury yields underpin gold’s bullish outlook. Gold Prices Retreat from Record Highs Amid Profit-Taking Gold prices saw a pullback on Thursday as traders opted to take profits following a historic surge. Spot gold declined 0.4% to $3,122.10 per ounce as of 0710 GMT, retreating from its fresh all-time high of $3,167.57. Meanwhile, US gold futures slipped 0.7% to $3,145.00 per ounce, reflecting broader market uncertainty over economic and geopolitical developments.   The recent rally was largely fueled by concerns over escalating trade tensions after President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping new import tariffs. The 10% baseline tariff on all goods entering the US further deepened the global trade conflict, intensifying investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, as traders locked in gains from the surge, prices saw a modest retracement.   Trump’s Tariffs and Their Market Implications On Wednesday, Trump introduced a sweeping tariff policy imposing a 10% baseline duty on all imports, with significantly higher tariffs on select nations. While this move was aimed at bolstering domestic manufacturing, it sent shockwaves across global markets, fueling inflation concerns and heightening trade war fears.   Gold’s Role Amid Trade War Escalations Despite the widespread tariff measures, the White House clarified that reciprocal tariffs do not apply to gold, energy, and ‘certain minerals that are not available in the US’. This exemption suggests that central banks and institutional investors may continue favouring gold as a hedge against economic instability. One of the key factors supporting gold is the slowdown that these tariffs could cause in the US economy, which raises the likelihood of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Gold is currently in a pure momentum trade. Market participants are on the sidelines and until we see a significant shakeout, this momentum could persist.   Impact on the US Dollar and Bond Yields Gold prices typically move inversely to the US dollar, and the latest developments have pushed the dollar to its weakest level since October 2024. Market participants are increasingly pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut, as the tariffs could weigh on economic growth.   Additionally, US Treasury yields have plummeted, reflecting growing recession fears. Lower bond yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it a more attractive investment.         Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Gold’s recent rally has pushed it into overbought territory, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70. This indicates a potential short-term pullback before the uptrend resumes. The immediate support level lies at $3,115, aligning with the Asian session low. A further decline could bring gold towards the $3,100 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong support zone. Below this, the $3,076–$3,057 region represents a critical weekly support range where buyers may re-enter the market. In the event of a more significant correction, $3,000 stands as a major psychological floor.   On the upside, gold faces immediate resistance at $3,149. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, potentially leading to a retest of the record high at $3,167. If bullish momentum persists, the next target is the $3,200 psychological barrier, which could pave the way for further gains. Despite the recent pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, with dips likely to be viewed as buying opportunities.   Looking Ahead: Non-Farm Payrolls and Fed Policy Traders are closely monitoring Friday’s US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which could provide critical insights into the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves. A weaker-than-expected jobs report may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut, further boosting gold prices.   Other key economic data releases, such as jobless claims and the ISM Services PMI, may also impact market sentiment in the short term. However, with rising geopolitical uncertainties, trade tensions, and a weakening US dollar, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains strong.   Conclusion: While short-term profit-taking may trigger minor corrections, gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish. As global trade tensions mount and the Federal Reserve leans toward a more accommodative stance, gold could see further gains in the months ahead.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Andria Pichidi HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • AMZN Amazon stock, nice buying at the 187.26 triple+ support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?AMZN
    • DELL Dell Technologies stock, good day moving higher off the 90.99 double support area, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?DELL
    • MCK Mckesson stock, nice trend and continuation breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?MCK
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.