Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

jerich

USDJPY Discussions

Recommended Posts

USD/JPY DAILY as of Tuesday, 26 March, 2013

The RSI has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 period(s). This is BEARISH signal. SAR signal was a Sell 2 days ago.

The close is currently

ABOVE its 200 daily moving average

ABOVE its 50 daily moving average

BELOW its 20 daily moving average

The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Bullish

A Daily black body has formed (because prices closed lower than they opened).

For the past 10 Daily candlestick bars as of 25/03/2013, there are 3 white candles versus 7 black candles with a net of 4 black candles.

For the past 50 Daily candlestick bars as of 25/03/2013, there are 24 white candles versus 26 black candles with a net of 2 black candles.

Three Daily black candles has formed during the last three Daily bars. Although these candles were not big enough to create three Daily black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

jpy-candle-d.thumb.png.2ee22261ed52a02fac1c4f3e7882f0c0.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yens continued their journey in descending channels and testing the lower trend line. Current price action suggest Bears are running out of momentum in JPY pairs. If you are Short keep your Shorts , Short otherwise look for nice Long Entries but don’t jump in too soon. Caution with Yens.

Our outlook for the Yen pairs is sideways. Here's a detailed look at Usd/Jpy for 28th March:

5aa711d221e2f_usdjpy28th.jpg.73a7c42a17d717a107cbc8b09b59fd5c.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi,

As opposed to the other Yen currency pairs, today Usd/Jpy is forecasted to go long.

Yens continued their journey in descending channels and are testing the lower trend line. Current price action along with resistance and European currencies getting weaker, indicate at shorts in most pairs except Usd/Jpy.

Best

TradeCuts

5aa711d46c80f_usdjpy3rdap.jpg.a69dfedc7d02cc302b9f0714eaba566e.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

How has Abenomics been doing so far?

 

Japan's global brand names have been benefitting greatly from the devaluation of the Yen. There is Toyota that will have its earnings release on Wednesday that is going to be extremely good. Demand is on the rise in North America for the car maker despite the recent airbag defects.

 

Sony is expected to report its first annual profit in 5 years, but this is a little misleading. The major reason for this will be the billion-dollar sale of its headquarters in NYC.

 

As much as exports have picked up due to Abenomics, they could be much better. One has to take into account the slow demand from the stabilizing EU which has hurt exports. In terms of its competition with neighboring China, there has been much made of the fact that economists feel that Chinese exporters have exaggerated data and this is why the February numbers were better than expected.

 

Still, Japan has been losing its grip over the last two decades. Southeast Asia is the fast growing region with much to offer investors.

 

Japan is hedging a lot of its bets on the successful outcome of Abenomics.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The strong impulsive look of the rally from 75.50 suggests that USD/JPY is now in a long term up trend. Key focus will be on current 100/103.10 resistance zone. Sustained trading above there would open up the case for further extension through 124.13 resistance in the long term. For the short term (week) i am expecting a pull back from the ecent highs.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The Japanese yen rallied after a fresh 4-1/2 year low, helped by weaker-than-expected Chinese data and selloff in Japanese stocks boosted risk aversion. The yen was also supported due to the jump in 10-year Japanese government bond yields, which rose to 1%, the highest in a year. USD/JPY closed at 101.28 on Friday i will play the rebound from that level up to 102

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

USD/JPY extended its decline down to key support around the 95.00 level and managed to rebound and recover that loss intra-day, that move makes me believe that mabe we will see a further recovery above 100.50

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

USD dropped sharply against the yen in the beggining of the week but then recovered these losses. US releases looked sharp and the improving US economy bodes well for the dollar. At the same time, the Japanese economy has been picking up steam, and if this week’s inflation numbers are strong, the yen could gain ground.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Taking the move from 105 in mths i do see the current up move from 80-100 is sure lot without form of corrections.... but at same time, look at the retracement of tthe downmoves from there on and on all way till below 80 since start 01082008.... given current pricing 96-97 area, in my view it seems sweet for a short.... but on note, i am seeing the cake at 104.45 for a sweeter short, casting retracement towards south or reversal.... 104.45 which is just below 105 seems sweeter and much convincing in terms for the sellers to start loading retracement/reversal....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think we will come down to 99.8x-9x level early next week and we will get a bounce upwards. if the bounce is impulsive upwards and takes out current highs within 16 hours then we are continuing the upmove. If we get a corrective bounce, then likely we head down to at least 98.5 level...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Daily and weekly TF point to the upsides though. theres resistance at 103.79 on the weekly TF and we were hoping for a retracement on the daily to about 100.3.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Man, Usd/Jpy is getting killed...

 

USDJPY Slumps Most In 4 Months As Nikkei Futures Tumble 450 Points

 

USDJPY – Testing recent lows at 104.15.. below the sell stops of 104.10 are bids at 104.00

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Thx for reminding us... I don't bang that drum often enough anymore Another part for consideration is who that money initially went to...
    • TDUP ThredUp stock, watch for a top of range breakout above 2.94 at https://stockconsultant.com/?TDUP
    • How long does it take to receive HFM's withdrawal via Skrill? less than 24H?
    • My wife Robin just wanted some groceries.   Simple enough.   She parked the car for fifteen minutes, and returned to find a huge scratch on the side.   Someone keyed her car.   To be clear, this isn’t just any car.   It’s a Cybertruck—Elon Musk's stainless-steel spaceship on wheels. She bought it back in 2021, before Musk became everyone's favorite villain or savior.   Someone saw it parked in a grocery lot and felt compelled to carve their hatred directly into the metal.   That's what happens when you stand out.   Nobody keys a beige minivan.   When you're polarizing, you're impossible to ignore. But the irony is: the more attention something has, the harder it is to find the truth about it.   What’s Elon Musk really thinking? What are his plans? What will happen with DOGE? Is he deserving of all of this adoration and hate? Hard to say.   Ideas work the same way.   Take tariffs, for example.   Tariffs have become the Cybertrucks of economic policy. People either love them or hate them. Even if they don’t understand what they are and how they work. (Most don’t.)   That’s why, in my latest podcast (link below), I wanted to explore the “in-between” truth about tariffs.   And like Cybertrucks, I guess my thoughts on tariffs are polarizing.   Greg Gutfield mentioned me on Fox News. Harvard professors hate me now. (I wonder if they also key Cybertrucks?)   But before I show you what I think about tariffs… I have to mention something.   We’re Headed to Austin, Texas This weekend, my team and I are headed to Austin. By now, you should probably know why.   Yes, SXSW is happening. But my team and I are doing something I think is even better.   We’re putting on a FREE event on “Tech’s Turning Point.”   AI, quantum, biotech, crypto, and more—it’s all on the table.   Just now, we posted a special webpage with the agenda.   Click here to check it out and add it to your calendar.   The Truth About Tariffs People love to panic about tariffs causing inflation.   They wave around the ghost of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff from the Great Depression like it’s Exhibit A proving tariffs equal economic collapse.   But let me pop this myth:   Tariffs don’t cause inflation. And no, I'm not crazy (despite what angry professors from Harvard or Stanford might tweet at me).   Here's the deal.   Inflation isn’t when just a couple of things become pricier. It’s when your entire shopping basket—eggs, shirts, Netflix subscriptions, bananas, everything—starts costing more because your money’s worth less.   Inflation means your dollars aren’t stretching as far as they used to.   Take the 1800s.   For nearly a century, 97% of America’s revenue came from tariffs. Income tax? Didn’t exist. And guess what inflation was? Basically zero. Maybe 1% a year.   The economy was booming, and tariffs funded nearly everything. So, why do people suddenly think tariffs cause inflation today?   Tariffs are taxes on imports, yes, but prices are set by supply and demand—not tariffs.   Let me give you a simple example.   Imagine fancy potato chips from Canada cost $10, and a 20% tariff pushes that to $12. Everyone panics—prices rose! Inflation!   Nope.   If I only have $100 to spend and the price of my favorite chips goes up, I either stop buying chips or I buy, say, fewer newspapers.   If everyone stops buying newspapers because they’re overspending on chips, newspapers lower their prices or go out of business.   Overall spending stays the same, and inflation doesn’t budge.   Three quick scenarios:   We buy pricier chips, but fewer other things: Inflation unchanged. Manufacturers shift to the U.S. to avoid tariffs: Inflation unchanged (and more jobs here). We stop buying fancy chips: Prices drop again. Inflation? Still unchanged. The only thing that actually causes inflation is printing money.   Between 2020 and 2022 alone, 40% of all money ever created in history appeared overnight.   That’s why inflation shot up afterward—not because of tariffs.   Back to tariffs today.   Still No Inflation Unlike the infamous Smoot-Hawley blanket tariff (imagine Oprah handing out tariffs: "You get a tariff, and you get a tariff!"), today's tariffs are strategic.   Trump slapped tariffs on chips from Taiwan because we shouldn’t rely on a single foreign supplier for vital tech components—especially if that supplier might get invaded.   Now Taiwan Semiconductor is investing $100 billion in American manufacturing.   Strategic win, no inflation.   Then there’s Canada and Mexico—our friendly neighbors with weirdly huge tariffs on things like milk and butter (299% tariff on butter—really, Canada?).   Trump’s not blanketing everything with tariffs; he’s pressuring trade partners to lower theirs.   If they do, everybody wins. If they don’t, well, then we have a strategic trade chess game—but still no inflation.   In short, tariffs are about strategy, security, and fairness—not inflation.   Yes, blanket tariffs from the Great Depression era were dumb. Obviously. Today's targeted tariffs? Smart.   Listen to the whole podcast to hear why I think this.   And by the way, if you see a Cybertruck, don’t key it. Robin doesn’t care about your politics; she just likes her weird truck.   Maybe read a good book, relax, and leave cars alone.   (And yes, nobody keys Volkswagens, even though they were basically created by Hitler. Strange world we live in.) Source: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/the-truth-about-tariffs-busting-the-inflation-myth    Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/       
    • No, not if you are comparing apples to apples. What we call “poor” is obviously a pretty high bar but if you’re talking about like a total homeless shambling skexie in like San Fran then, no. The U.S.A. in not particularly kind to you. It is not an abuse so much as it is a sad relatively minor consequence of our optimism and industriousness.   What you consider rich changes with circumstances obviously. If you are genuinely poor in the U.S.A., you experience a quirky hodgepodge of unhelpful and/or abstract extreme lavishnesses while also being alienated from your social support network. It’s about the same as being a refugee. For a fraction of the ‘kindness’ available to you in non bio-available form, you could have simply stayed closer to your people and been MUCH better off.   It’s just a quirk of how we run the place and our values; we are more worried about interfering with people’s liberty and natural inclination to do for themselves than we are about no bums left behind. It is a slightly hurtful position and we know it; we are just scared to death of socialism cancer and we’re willing to put our money where our mouth is.   So, if you’re a bum; you got 5G, the ER will spend like $1,000,000 on you over a hangnail but then kick you out as soon as you’re “stabilized”, the logistics are surpremely efficient, you have total unchecked freedom of speech, real-estate, motels, and jobs are all natural healthy markets in perfect competition, you got compulsory three ‘R’’s, your military owns the sky, sea, space, night, information-space, and has the best hairdos, you can fill out paper and get all the stuff up to and including a Ph.D. Pretty much everything a very generous, eager, flawless go-getter with five minutes to spare would think you might need.   It’s worse. Our whole society is competitive and we do NOT value or make any kumbaya exception. The last kumbaya types we had werr the Shakers and they literally went extinct. Pueblo peoples are still around but they kind of don’t count since they were here before us. So basically, if you’re poor in the U.S.A., you are automatically a loser and a deadbeat too. You will be treated as such by anybody not specifically either paid to deal with you or shysters selling bejesus, Amway, and drugs. Plus, it ain’t safe out there. Not everybody uses muhfreedoms to lift their truck, people be thugging and bums are very vulnerable here. The history of a large mobile workforce means nobody has a village to go home to. Source: https://askdaddy.quora.com/Are-the-poor-people-in-the-United-States-the-richest-poor-people-in-the-world-6   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.