Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

firewalker

Live Commodities Trades

Recommended Posts

(LONG WEAT (Wheat) from 4.0400 not a Day trade.. ) from couple of weeks back..

 

 

still got this !!! ....did say not a day trade.....still around 4.04 ....

 

added Some LONG Silver...at 16.90

 

and some SHORT Oil 126.22

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
(LONG WEAT (Wheat) from 4.0400 not a Day trade.. ) from couple of weeks back..

 

 

still got this !!! ....did say not a day trade.....still around 4.04 ....

 

added Some LONG Silver...at 16.90

 

and some SHORT Oil 126.22

 

....out Oil at 125.68 +34 I still feel we are probing the recent range extremes atm

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you ever need proff that commodities are high risk...see the reversal on TIN today...

 

long Tin up 26% and short Tin down 26% in a sharp revsal of the last few weeks one way trading

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
short Oil $125.62...

 

posted initally to wrong thread

 

 

I still have this SHORT...thankfully tiny position.. been to $129 !!

Hopefully some downside now...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I still have this SHORT...thankfully tiny position.. been to $129 !!

Hopefully some downside now...

 

btw, is that the QM Crude oil you are trading?

Looks like you're back in profit, I have it at 123.47 right now

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
btw, is that the QM Crude oil you are trading?

Looks like you're back in profit, I have it at 123.47 right now

 

Hi FW its Crude Oil Jul 08.... I have just closed at $123.54 up 208

 

I am still bearish and my target was 123.09 but that looks too far, ahead of the 3:30 crude figures that are its biggest mover.. but as I will be in the school playground then...thought I would cash in my chips.. might come back to $118 but thats life...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi FW its Crude Oil Jul 08.... I have just closed at $123.54 up 208

 

I am still bearish and my target was 123.09 but that looks too far, ahead of the 3:30 crude figures that are its biggest mover.. but as I will be in the school playground then...thought I would cash in my chips.. might come back to $118 but thats life...

 

Well done... :thumbs up:

 

Here's some more oil news..

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/jun/03/commodities?gusrc=rss&feed=networkfront

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Do you put stops on your trades?

 

 

short Oil $124.74

 

 

Hi Brown....no...stops in the market...although try to choose entry carefully...

not and exact science in Oil though. Have been offside 300 in the past..

 

 

atm feel its sucking people in then will drop to $118-120 in the next week or so..

you going to give it a go?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
short Oil $124.74

 

 

Hi Brown....no...stops in the market...although try to choose entry carefully...

not and exact science in Oil though. Have been offside 300 in the past..

 

 

atm feel its sucking people in then will drop to $118-120 in the next week or so..

you going to give it a go?

 

I was just wondering if you put stops on since it's so volatile. I'm just focusing on the ES currently since the moves have been nice lately.

 

Good trading!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Taking some pain now...thank goodness they are small positions...

that rally on the back of the ECB rate rise news...really caught me out...

 

I share your pain, Foale, having shorted earlier this morning. Still in now, but wishing I'd just set a tighter stop and taken the loss.:(

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I share your pain, Foale, having shorted earlier this morning. Still in now, but wishing I'd just set a tighter stop and taken the loss.:(

 

 

I am leaving those while I can ....

I did no another couple of quickies netting +65..... too quick to post

 

but yes take the loss springs to mind...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm going to stick my neck out and say Thursday's and Friday's action is the kind if extreme greed action that suggests this is oil's final hurrah for this, its longest and biggest upleg of its secular bull run to date. So short at 13759 with a view to holding and looking for sub 10000 - bringing it back to its long term trend.

 

I accept it could still spike to a further extreme before engaging its long overdue correction so if we first move up higher and even see the 15000 prophesy self-fulfilling then I will add more.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I'm going to stick my neck out and say Thursday's and Friday's action is the kind if extreme greed action that suggests this is oil's final hurrah for this, its longest and biggest upleg of its secular bull run to date. So short at 13759 with a view to holding and looking for sub 10000 - bringing it back to its long term trend.

 

I accept it could still spike to a further extreme before engaging its long overdue correction so if we first move up higher and even see the 15000 prophesy self-fulfilling then I will add more.

 

I'm going to stick my neck out too and going to say:

(a) the market can stay irrational for longer than... (you know)

(b) even if parabolic rises usually signal the end of a move, they seldom reverse in the same way straight away (but it can happen)

© would you exit your trade if you were in a long position?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I'm going to stick my neck out too and going to say:

(a) the market can stay irrational for longer than... (you know)

(b) even if parabolic rises usually signal the end of a move, they seldom reverse in the same way straight away (but it can happen)

© would you exit your trade if you were in a long position?

 

Fair points FW -

 

I'm in small - and have precalculated my phase ins so there'll be no excessive exposure.

I don't pretend I can call the top but I think the signs are there. It's all speculative cash from the big players and when the plug is pulled it'll drop hard and fast.

I'd wager the trigger will be some coordinated action from governments plus further signs of slowing / stalflating economies. But that's guesswork.

This upleg in oil has been a 175% whopper - the previous largest upleg was 68%. The long term trend channel sees us at $90 - $100. Corrections tend to mirror uplegs in their size.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 18th November 2024. Monday Market Analysis and the Week Ahead! The NASDAQ inches up ahead of NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings report. NVIDIA will release their earnings report on Wednesday. Analysts expect NVIDIA’s Earnings Per Share to rise from $0.68 to $0.74 and Revenue to rise by $3 billion. The US Dollar remains strong as investors contemplate whether the Federal Reserve will pause in December. The Fed Chairman advises the US economy remains strong and the employment sector stable. The GBP was the best-performing currency in the Asian session, but will this continue as London starts trading? NASDAQ – Investors Turn Their Attention To NVIDIA Earnings! The NASDAQ fell for 5 consecutive days last week due to the US consumer and producer inflation striking fear amongst investors. The US inflation rate rose from 2.4% to 2.6% and the producer inflation from 1.9% to 2.4%. In addition to this the Federal Reserve advises the US economy remains strong and the employment sector stable. As a result, only 65% of investors expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December, particularly lower than the previous weeks. Though, certain key events could prompt higher demand and investors to contemplate buying the NASDAQ at the lower price. The higher demand is also in line with what many price theories would suggest. The NASDAQ’s average resistance point from October is at $20,511.29. The price has now dropped below this level and many price theories indicate that a retracement will end around this price. However, analysts would also urge investors to consider what else will drive investors to buy, not solely the price. For this reason, investors will be closely watching NVIDIA’s Quarterly Earnings Report on Wednesday. NVIDIA is the NASDAQ’s most influential stock holding a weight of 8.69% and is already up 0.52% in pre-hours trading. The market expects NVIDIA’s Earnings Per Share to rise from $0.68 to $0.74 and Revenue to rise by $3 billion. If the company beats these expectations, the stock is likely to rise and can support the NASDAQ. On Monday, investors will keep this in mind while trading. Besides the upcoming earnings report investors are also monitoring the volatility in the Bond Market and the VIX Index. Bond yields continue to rise which is a concern for the stock market. The US 10 Year Treasury is up 14 points, however, the VIX index is 1.45% lower which is known to be positive. Buyers will be hoping for the VIX to remain low and for bond yields to drop. Whereas, sellers will be hoping for bond yields to rise further and the VIX to correct back upwards. GBPUSD – Will The Cable Retrace After A Seven-Day Decline? The GBPUSD has declined for seven consecutive days which is a price movement which has not happened before in 2024. In addition to this, the exchange rate has fallen back to the support level from June and August 2024. Therefore investors are considering whether the GBPUSD will retrace slightly higher on Monday. A retracement in the short term could potentially take the price to the resistance level at 1.26810 or 1.27190. A retracement is possible according to analysts as the GBP is the best performing currency of the day and due to the low price. In addition to this, the US Dollar is not expected to be influenced by any economic releases until Friday, when the US as well as the UK will release their Purchasing Managers’ Index, whereas the UK will release the Monetary Policy Report tomorrow morning and their Retail Sales within the week. In terms of potential areas to consider speculating a buy, some traders may take into consideration the breakout level at 1.26270 or once 65% of the previous swing has been made. This would be at the 1.26314 price. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Please feel free to post up and let me know if you would like any features added to the indicator in Post #1. You can demo test it before deciding to rent it.
    • Please feel free to post up and let me know if you would like any features added to the indicator in Post #1. You can demo test it before deciding to rent it.
    • Please feel free to post up and let me know if you would like any features added to the indicator in Post #1. You can demo test it before deciding to rent it.
    • Please feel free to post up and let me know if you would like any features added to the indicator in Post #1. You can demo test it before deciding to rent it.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.