Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

firewalker

Trade Discussion and Analysis

Recommended Posts

What we've seen in the last couple of days is a little bit on the unusual side, Wasp. Is it possible you will be over-complicating your proven strat solely due to unusual circumstances? Or are you looking for an addition/confirmer solely for these times of unusual circumstances?

 

Look at the att chart on a smaller TF. You can see that S/R on those did not got broken thus, negating the longs. The problem with the 240m chart is one pip too high or low with the S/R and you are screwed, and every time, it landed the wrong side.

 

240m stays paramount but I will not be taking positions based on 240m alone, I will want to see the ST S/R broken too.

 

I need to look into it more but it would stop these problems. Hopefully.

shorter.thumb.gif.34d56f96e5261c43c181e8340eba3268.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
PS: Maybe just switching to the daily frames when the daily range exceeds a certain level would suffice?

 

Ironically, I switched from dailies to 240m because of the range bound conditions!

 

The dailies made this obvious as I posted at the weekend but trade the 240m plan regardless!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
was anyone expecting that 200 pip 30min drop?!

 

Right. I am off to nurse my wounds as this has been the shittiest week of the summer for me and the best movement to rub further salt in the wound :frustrated:

 

its probably no consolation whatsoever, but even us indicator-freaks are getting nowhere fast.

I am actually switching to paper-trading until next week. (the very day GBPUSD sells off mega)

 

dont take it personally, but its a peculiar form of satisfaction that even you SupRes guys dont have it easy.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I would expect some pushing and pulling around, then perhaps a retracement back to 208'ish before eventually reaching 204-205.

 

Price sure is moving fast... 204 is already here. Still no long signal in my book, but this was the target level for shorts. A push slightly through 204 with a fast comeback high would signal a long.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
its probably no consolation whatsoever, but even us indicator-freaks are getting nowhere fast.

I am actually switching to paper-trading until next week. (the very day GBPUSD sells off mega)

 

dont take it personally, but its a peculiar form of satisfaction that even you SupRes guys dont have it easy.

 

The HMA's would have been beautiful this week!

 

Its annoying for everyone I think, partly due to everyone so used to trading a range only to get hit by a trend we all dream of yet always miss out on!

 

Great day for the trenders though!

 

On Sunday I posted a daily chart expecting this break to cause a down move. Never did I expect this size of a move. Why? Because whenever I have done the same thing in the same situation, it has bounced then continued up!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

dont take it personally, but its a peculiar form of satisfaction that even you SupRes guys dont have it easy.

 

I think in this case it has more to do with the trader not identifying S/R correctly, instead of the market behaving strangely.

 

Fwiw, I know see a failure to make a lower low on support (on the miniscule 5minute chart that is). Going lower here is still risky but here is my papertrade: long @ 204.17.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
The HMA's would have been beautiful this week!

 

Its annoying for everyone I think, partly due to everyone so used to trading a range only to get hit by a trend we all dream of yet always miss out on!

!

 

Which reminds me of the trouble I had in July... June was extremely trending and I didn't except the NQ to stay rangebound for so long. We should've switched places then and back now!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It wasn't the market this time. It was all me. I have no excuses apart from bad placement of S/R.

 

I have pulled the kitchen knife out of my hand and bandaged it up and away we go again!

 

 

 

Oh, and must stop playing with my nieces, posting shit on T2W to start arguments and stop trying to keep the No1 slot over there too.

 

-----------

 

As Mr Pink said to the others..............

 

''Both of you guys got ten years on me and I'm the only one acting like a professional.''

 

I'm NOT Mr Pink in this equation.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Fwiw, I know see a failure to make a lower low on support (on the miniscule 5minute chart that is). Going lower here is still risky but here is my papertrade: long @ 204.17.

 

Keep in mind I know nothing of this instrument, and I would like to know what the average movement per timeframe is, but I'm placing below the low of that the lowest bar, which would be about at 203.95.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Keep in mind I know nothing of this instrument, and I would like to know what the average movement per timeframe is, but I'm placing below the low of that the lowest bar, which would be about at 203.95.

 

At the moment, I'd say don't ask me! but, at the moment, I would bbe looking for 204 to hold, if not........................??

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
It wasn't the market this time. It was all me. I have no excuses apart from bad placement of S/R.

 

Bad S/R placement has caused me a whole lot more trouble than you can imagine! smbtnt will confirm as well...

 

Oh, and must stop playing with my nieces, posting shit on T2W to start arguments and stop trying to keep the No1 slot over there too.

 

Especially the last part :o

 

As Mr Pink said to the others..............

 

Check out 'Interview', he's good there as well.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
At the moment, I'd say don't ask me! but, at the moment, I would bbe looking for 204 to hold, if not........................??

 

Well it looks like I was a bit premature (rarely happens ;))

 

It's still a potential shakeout if we climb back above 204.

 

A push slightly through 204 with a fast comeback high would signal a long.

 

203.85 and right back up to 204. I need to listen to myself more. The plan was to wait for this to happen, then go long on confirmation if price goes back above 204. It has yet to do that, so my trade was not according to plan!

 

Anyhow, with 45 minutes till US markets, I'll better start focusing on my own instruments instead of messing around elsewhere.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Anyhow, with 45 minutes till US markets, I'll better start focusing on my own instruments instead of messing around elsewhere.

 

Yes, I think we find it all too easy to become distracted and not concentrate on what we are doing. (T2W, taking the piss out of Belgium, looking at other markets).

 

Come on chaps, bit more professionalism.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

These support/resistance lines are all valid to me, Wasp. The problem as I see it is that the momentum down is just horrifically strong and is causing them to tumble like dominoes. I don't think it's a problem with your strat.

 

Time to go to paper until this thing settles down.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
These resistance lines are all valid to me, Wasp. The problem as I see it is that the momentum down is just horrifically strong and is causing them to tumble like dominoes. I don't think it's a problem with your strat.

 

Time to go to paper until this thing settles down.

 

I see problems with some of my levels and I think I had too many and there importance had waned yet I kept them regardless.

 

Removing some which held little strength at the most recent areas (despite their strength prior) would have meant more success.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I see problems with some of my levels and I think I had too many and there importance had waned yet I kept them regardless.

 

Removing some which held little strength at the most recent areas (despite their strength prior) would have meant more success.

 

There is no way to predetermine their effectiveness, is there?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
There is no way to predetermine their effectiveness, is there?

 

There are/were levels which had been of importance but the last time price was at said level, it was of no importance. Those levels become less of use and can be removed. as they are no longer S or R.

 

Attached are the 2 variations.

old.thumb.gif.14063b52bc90970d3904bf9d6322a573.gif

new.thumb.gif.59ea4729a0c502733d09be86e7a260c5.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
There are/were levels which had been of importance but the last time price was at said level, it was of no importance. Those levels become less of use and can be removed. as they are no longer S or R.

 

Attached are the 2 variations.

 

I took a look at both versions, and they appear to be identical to me?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I can see the changes now. I was seeing the same file before, but now it's different. Maybe you changed it? Or my browser crapped up. No matter. I can see the differences now. Thanks.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I still cannot believe what I am seeing; the possible profits, and knowing I missed the lot! (and bought into it losing money instead!)

 

It should have been the best week of the year and I should be on the phone to my travel agent ffs!

wow.thumb.gif.734f16bf5f51655851460acc9b5a0ec3.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 22nd January 2025.   Netflix Earnings Surge Driving the NASDAQ to Monthly Highs!   The NASDAQ increases in value for a fourth consecutive day, gaining momentum after Netflix stocks rise more than 15%. Earnings reports are gaining speed for the technology sector, but why has Netflix stocks seen such a high and sudden rise in demand? Netflix Stocks Increase 15% Supporting the NASDAQ! Netflix stocks have been one of the best-performing stocks within the NASDAQ, rising more than 79% in 12 months. However, even for Netflix, a 15% rise in less than 24 hours is considered substantial. The quarterly earnings report was made public by Netflix after the market closed on Tuesday. The earnings report confirmed the following: Netflix beat their earnings per share expectations - $4.27 reported vs $4.21 expectations. Netflix’s revenue surpasses the previous quarter - $10.25 billion this quarter vs $9.82 billion in the previous quarter. The online streaming company confirms projects to expand into live sport and event streaming will proceed. In addition to this, the company’s forward guidance for 2025 remains positive. Netflix is the 10th most influential company for the NASDAQ meaning the positive earnings data and bullish price movement supports the overall price of the NASDAQ. In addition to this, the positive earnings improve the sentiment towards the entire US technology sector. Investors will now turn their attention to the quarterly earnings report for Intuitive Surgical. Intuitive Surgical stocks on Tuesday rose 1.94%. How is the Economy And Politics Affecting the NASDAQ?     The US stock market is witnessing an upward correction after struggling in the last weeks of 2024. The bullish price movement is a result of a sharp decline in bond yields, the new US administration and earnings season. Investors remain relieved that bond yields have fallen back down from the 5.00% level. If bond yields continue to decline further, particularly below 4.50%, the move would be deemed as positive for the US stock market. President Trump took office on Monday and so far the pro-US rhetoric from the President, Vice President and Secretary of State continues to support the stock market. So far, the main concern is how upcoming tariffs can negatively affect inflation and growth. However, some economists advise tariffs will become the “norm” and may have a lesser effect compared to 2018. However, this is something traders will continue to evaluate and monitor. The VIX this morning fell 0.83% lower and trades more than 5.70% lower over a 7-days. The lower VIX indicates a higher risk appetite towards the stock market. If the VIX continues to decline a strong buy indication may materialize. On the most influential stocks for the NASDAQ, 82% rose in value on Tuesday. However, Apple stocks, the most impactful stock, fell 3.19% due to poor sell data. If Apple stocks continue to decline, the NASDAQ’s upward trend may come under strain. In the meantime, investors over the next week will continue to monitor upcoming earnings reports. NASDAQ - Technical Analysis The price of the index is trading significantly higher than all Moving Averages on a 2-hour timeframe and relatively high on oscillators. These factors indicate that buyers are controlling the order book. However, price action also confirms the latest impulse wave measures 3.43% which is normally the point at which the index retraces. This is something that investors may also consider. The retracement potentially also may be triggered by Netflix buyers quickly selling to cash in profit after the sudden 15% bullish surge. If a retracement does indeed form, price action and the 75-period EMA indicates that the pullback may drop as low as $21,391.30.     Key Takeaways: The NASDAQ increases in value for a fourth consecutive day, but price action signals a possible retracement before continuing its bullish trend. Netflix stocks increase more than 15% due to strong earnings data. Netflix beat earnings and revenue expectations by 1.39% and confirmed projects to add live sports streaming to its platforms. The VIX trades more than 5.70% lower over a 7-days and US Bond Yields remain at recent lows. On the most influential stocks for the NASDAQ, 82% rose in value on Tuesday. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • DASH DoorDash stock, watch for a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?DASH
    • SYF Synchrony Financial stock with a top of range breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?SYF
    • RKLB Rocket Labstock, big rally off support and breakout at https://stockconsultant.com/?RKLB
    • RDW Redwire stock, what a launch off the 14.16 support area at https://stockconsultant.com/?RDW
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.